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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 17h

The International Court of Justice 2025 determination in “Obligations of States in respect of climate change” notes that States are obliged to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions, and to not do so is an internationally wrongful act.
www.icj-cij.org/sites/defaul...

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Michael Grose @michaelgrose.bsky.social · 19h

I will be helping give a webinar on the climate and hazard work underpinning the Australian National Climate Risk Assessment (NCRA), Monday 20 Oct - please register! events.teams.microsoft.com/event/b1585f...

Microsoft Virtual Events Powered by Teams

events.teams.microsoft.com

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 20h

Western Brisbane is a place to watch, fire wise, this fire season IMHO. Stay dafe @gergyl.bsky.social

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 20h

No, negative SAM means westerlies over the land into eastern Australia, so dry and warm. Great paper by EunPa Lim et all. on 2019 SSW event.
doi.org/10.1175/BAMS...
Remember also other climate drivers in 2025 - neg IOD and possible La Nina. Its complex.

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 20h

Approving new coal mines assuming they will be profitable aligns Australia to IPCC's SSP5 'fossil fueled development' tajectory.
SSP5 means *at least* 2.7C global heating, likely 4C, by 2100.
The government's own National Climate Risk Assessment shows 3C is disasterous for every Australian.

Damien Irving @drclimate.bsky.social · 23h

"An extension of the huge BHP/Mitsubishi Peak Downs mine in Queensland aims to continue operations for almost another century - out to 2116."

Labor’s slate for fossil fuel approvals

The Albanese government has already approved 31 fossil fuel projects, and more than that are waiting, even as renewables overtake coal as the top source of electricity.

www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 21h

The importance of 'NOW' from IPCC...
"limiting {global} warming to around 1.5°C (2.7°F) requires global greenhouse gas emissions to peak before **2025** at the latest"
www.ipcc.ch/2022/04/04/i...

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Damien Irving @drclimate.bsky.social · 23h

"An extension of the huge BHP/Mitsubishi Peak Downs mine in Queensland aims to continue operations for almost another century - out to 2116."

Labor’s slate for fossil fuel approvals

The Albanese government has already approved 31 fossil fuel projects, and more than that are waiting, even as renewables overtake coal as the top source of electricity.

www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 1d

A climatologist, an economist and a social scientist walk into a Royal Society of Victoria lecture theatre.
A discussion about the future of our society in a climate changed world.
Myself, Dr Richard Dennis @richarddenniss.bsky.social and Prof. Lucas Walsh
podcasts.apple.com/au/podcast/e...

Event: A trio of commentators at the Royal Society of Victoria tackles: 'What is Australia Risking? Future Impacts of Climate Change'

Podcast Episode · Climate Conversations · 09/10/2025 · 1h 46m

podcasts.apple.com

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 2d

Finally the graph that shows the fallacy of the ‘it’s all happened before’ argument. #ithasnt

Peter Brannen @peterbrannen.bsky.social · 2d

Just remembered this jaw-dropping graph by @oceansclimatecu.bsky.social showing the rate of change in CO2 during the previous two deglaciations of the Pleistocene (which, as a fun aside, featured ~400 feet of sea level rise) as compared with today

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Peter Brannen @peterbrannen.bsky.social · 2d

Just remembered this jaw-dropping graph by @oceansclimatecu.bsky.social showing the rate of change in CO2 during the previous two deglaciations of the Pleistocene (which, as a fun aside, featured ~400 feet of sea level rise) as compared with today

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Dr Richard Denniss @richarddenniss.bsky.social · 2d

I don’t know about you, but I’m a bit scared of any new ‘environment laws’ that Labor can get Matt Canavan and Andrew Hastie to vote for…I think they will be better described as ‘ how to build more mines faster laws’ www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...

Watt nears deal with Coalition to finally overhaul environment laws

Environment Minister Murray Watt will sit down with his Liberal counterpart Angie Bell today, with quiet optimism in both parties that a deal might soon be struck to finally rewrite Australia's "broke...

www.abc.net.au

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John Holmes @jhaue.bsky.social · 4d

New data shows Australia's extreme weather losses among highest in world www.abc.net.au/news/2025-10...

Betting on the weather emerges as a solution as insurance costs skyrocket

Amid more extreme weather events, parametric insurance — described as a bet on the weather —is on the rise. It is now being touted as a possible solution for Australians, who have some of the highest ...

www.abc.net.au

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 5d

I'm a white bellied sea eagle guy myself...

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 6d

I’ll be presenting on the NCRA with my friend Prof. Lucas Walsh and economist Richard Dennis @richarddenniss.bsky.social at the Royal Society of Victoria this Tuesday 6pm - come on down
events.humanitix.com/what-is-aust...

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Zeke Hausfather @hausfath.bsky.social · 8d

September 2025 was the third warmest September on record at 1.47C above preindustrial levels in ERA5, behind only the prior two years (2023 and 2024).

With 9 months of the year now in, I estimate 2025 will approximately tie with 2023 for the second warmest year on record at ~1.48C.

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The Australia Institute @australiainstitute.org.au · 8d

🔴 Santos Limited has racked up a 10th straight year of zero corporate tax payments from $48 billion in sales.

🔴 Ichthys LNG Pty Ltd paid zero corporate tax for the 6th year running, from $43 billion in sales.

Add your name to make the gas industry pay their fair share > theaus.in/fix_gas_expo...

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 10d

The News Corp headlines referring to the NCRA were, frankly, disgraceful. Some comments from me are included in this @australia.theguardian.com article.

Guardian Australia @australia.theguardian.com · 10d

News Corp embraces fantasy genre by turning climate crisis into ‘laughable’ science fiction | Graham Readfearn

The National Climate Risk Assessment was attacked in the Daily Telegraph, while wind turbines became a frightening obstacle for firefighting planes and solar panels a source of mountains of landfill waste * Get our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcast On the front page of the Daily Telegraph, Australia’s first comprehensive assessment of the risks from climate change became “SCIENCE FICTION”. In other leading stories in recent weeks, wind turbines became a frightening obstacle for firefighting planes and solar panels were a source of mountains of landfill waste. Continue reading...

www.theguardian.com

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Guardian Australia @australia.theguardian.com · 10d

News Corp embraces fantasy genre by turning climate crisis into ‘laughable’ science fiction | Graham Readfearn

The National Climate Risk Assessment was attacked in the Daily Telegraph, while wind turbines became a frightening obstacle for firefighting planes and solar panels a source of mountains of landfill waste * Get our breaking news email, free app or daily news podcast On the front page of the Daily Telegraph, Australia’s first comprehensive assessment of the risks from climate change became “SCIENCE FICTION”. In other leading stories in recent weeks, wind turbines became a frightening obstacle for firefighting planes and solar panels were a source of mountains of landfill waste. Continue reading...

www.theguardian.com

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 11d

“On September 17, Antarctic sea ice likely reached its annual maximum extent of 17.81 million square kilometers (6.88 million square miles). The 2025 maximum is the third lowest in the 47-year satellite record above 2023 and 2024.”

nsidc.org/sea-ice-toda...

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Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science (ACEAS) @antarcticsciaus.bsky.social · 11d

❄️ Fact vs Fiction

Q: Has Antarctica’s ice mass rebounded after increasing in recent years?

A: Whilst fluctuations have occurred, the continent has lost around 2.5T tonnes of ice since 2002.

Our Director @deformedearth.bsky.social (UTAS) explains in AAP FactCheck.

🔗 www.aap.com.au/factcheck/sc...

Scientists call foul on Antarctic ice rebound claim

Experts have said the long-term decline in ice mass is clear and that cherry-picking small periods of time gives a misleading picture.

www.aap.com.au

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 11d

Noting guru Eun-Pa Lim explains on X that its still very early days for the Sudden Stratospheric Warming, and what we have seen so far is a 'minor warming'

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 11d

Great explainer by Martin Jucker @drjucker.bsky.social on the emerging Sudden Stratospheric Warming event over Antarctica, noting it is just one climate driver at play and does *not* lock in another 2019-like spring/summer.
(Thanks also to Martin for citing our 2019 SSW article with Harry and EunPa)

The Conversation AUNZ @aunz.theconversation.com · 11d

The stratospheric polar vortex high above Antarctica has rapidly heated up. These sudden bursts of heat can bring rapid weather changes in Australia.

👉 theconversation.com/air-tem...

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 11d

#ridetoworkmelb #melbweather

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The Conversation AUNZ @aunz.theconversation.com · 11d

The stratospheric polar vortex high above Antarctica has rapidly heated up. These sudden bursts of heat can bring rapid weather changes in Australia.

👉 theconversation.com/air-tem...

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 13d

“Mosquito borne diseases are the most climate sensitive
transmission type of communicable disease in Australia, with other vector borne diseases, food and water borne diseases, zoonotic diseases and environmental diseases also aggravated by multiple climate conditions”

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 13d

Hidden gems of the National Climate Risk Assessment- the Climate and Communicable diseases discussion paper, led by Brett Sutton AO from CSIRO.
www.arcgis.com/home/item.ht...

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 14d

We all do!

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 15d

Burro indeed!! Top work DW

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 15d

The work of EunPa Lim (and Harry Hendon) is quite convincing. There have been some great advances in our thinking around the influence of the southern SSW over the past several years.

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Andrew B. Watkins @windjunky.bsky.social · 15d

….comes with preinstalled sandbags and low-tide only beach.