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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 10h

I feel like this radar/sky is a "get out of the Narrows and back to the shuttle NOW" radar. I know radar is limited, so the task of determining when exactly starts falling in the Virgin River basin is beyond our technology. But I'm always curious about the balance of having fun without dying.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 12h

Alex's photos are of course insanely incredible.

I can't get over being able to look *south* from Omaha and see aurora. Dancing black ghosts above our city visible to the naked eye.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 13h

There's an enormous amount of noise around everything that is going on, but the country can probably survive if the National Governor's Association survives because push/shove governors tend to care. If the NGA falls apart *that* would be a development that would be hard to recover from.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 1d

From a Nebraskan. Certified. I hope he wins big and plays for a decade.

James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 1d

The Giants are definitely in the 3+ category (dart, skat, fidone, runyan at least) and i don’t know if they are any good, but they are fun, and that’s much more important.

Joey Langdon @jlangdon76.bsky.social · 1d

Football is easy. All you need is 1-2 certified crazy ass white boys and you'll be fine. 0 is not enough. 3+ is way too much

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 1d

They still won at least 35 games fewer than they should have.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 1d

Priscilla-ish HYSPLIT trajectory using the GFS model. (Initial point may not be perfect but is kinda fun.) Then the air moves inland and both up terrain and up in the atmosphere. Lot of reasons why it's going to flood in the SW; here's one of them.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 2d

The bishops are plenty happy to get into the political fray on certain issues.

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Reposted by James McCormick

Russ Schumacher @rschumacher.cloud · 2d

Highly unusual situation approaching western Colorado with the moisture from Hurricane Priscilla. Grand Junction has never had precipitable water over an inch (25mm) so late in the year, but looks like it will be near that level on both Fri & Sat. Six standard deviations above average! #cowx 1/2

Global Ensemble Forecast System mean precipitable water and 700-mb winds valid on Saturday morning, 11 October 2025. A big plume of moisture will be transported into the southwest US ahead of decaying Hurricane Priscilla. From https://schumacher.atmos.colostate.edu/weather/ens.php

Standardized anomaly of precipitable water from the ECWMF ensemble mean on Saturday morning, 11 October 2025. It shows a broad swath of greater than +3 standard deviations in the western US. From https://schumacher.atmos.colostate.edu/weather/ecmwf.php

Ensemble forecast plume showing precipitable water at Grand Junction, Colorado in the members of the ECWMF ensemble. Values are predicted to be around 25-30 mm with high confidence on Friday 10 October through Saturday 11 October, far above the 90th percentile for the date. From https://schumacher.atmos.colostate.edu/weather/ecmwf.php

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 3d

Enderlin was straight line winds

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 4d

Every once in a while, the weather surprises. 10/6/2010 in Arizona was one of those days that even though the atmosphere said what was going to happen, it was still weird to see happen in real time.

David Blanchard @davidblanchard.bsky.social · 4d

AMS paper that discusses the 06 October 2010 tornado outbreak.

journals.ametsoc.org

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 4d

The mammatus field in northern Kansas on October 6th, 2016, was among the best that I have ever seen.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 4d

Darn near perfect supercell picture, Simon. Well done.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 4d

Hug your parents if you still have one/both of them. A lot fewer people have both parents at 40 than at 30.

Travel while you have your health, too. You won't quite be able to do everything (Like a Canyonlands backcountry) when you're 40.

Don't let stupid people control your spirit.

essencesimmone.blacksky.app @essencesimmone.blacksky.app · 7d

Those who are 35+, what advice do you have for people just entering their 30s?

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 4d

For the intense detail of essentially creating a *new* damage indicator, many weeks is pretty common. The new DI created for the Joplin tornado was done in a few days because, though nobody would say it, there was an urgency to make sure that tornado was not left as an EF4+.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 4d

No surprises here. That day looked, smelled, and felt like Coleridge '03 from the start.

Kyle J Gillett @wxkylegillett.bsky.social · 4d

An EF5 sounding.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 4d

No this will make it worse, because it will embolden the idea that if you just look hard enough (as if money is not an object), you can find a truer estimate of wind speeds.

I would hope this, like joplin, would underscore how terribly hard associating wind speeds with tornado intensity is.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 4d

It's so rare that we get to do a deep-dive on the damage that rural tornadoes cause, and I'm glad this one got it.

It doesn't diminish Mayfield, New London, Pilger, Rolling Fork, Elkhorn, Minden, Greenfield, or a host of others whose true intensities during the "drought" forever lies unknown.

Bruce Pollock @brucepollock09.bsky.social · 4d

The EF-5 drought appears to be over wow

kamala.cod.edu/offs/KFGF/25...

PNS from KFGF

kamala.cod.edu

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 4d

Brad Zook, campus pastor at the Elkhorn campus of the Brookside church, discusses the afternoon of April 26th, 2024 and the aftermath of the violent tornado. #newx
writersonthestorm.substack.com/p/elkhorn-to...

Elkhorn Tornado Series: Pastor Brad Zook Interview

Pastor Brad Zook of Elkhorn-Brookside details his experience during and after the Elkhorn, Nebraska tornado of April 26th, 2024.

writersonthestorm.substack.com

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 4d

4.35" in southern Gage County, Nebraska overnight. Beatrice (a few miles north) has 3 Octobers since 2000 with more than 4.35" for the entire month.

James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 5d

Oh it’s definitely trivial especially compared to laughing at texas.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 5d

Kinda circular because that implies Cincy isn’t a good win.

James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 5d

Cincy being above Nebraska is a choice I suppose, but they did play…

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 5d

This game was a little bit of a one off game with the heavy rain and the FSU motivation and Simpson's first road start and the fact that FSU nearly loses a player to a shooting a couple of days later, but that game was also more telling about the SEC this year than ESPN wants it to be.

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James McCormick @60andhatched.bsky.social · 6d

Accumulating hail forecast verification!

Timothy Burke @bubbaprog.xyz · 6d

cannot even process this

A snow covered field in Laramie for UNLV-Wyoming

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