Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
@aleferna.bsky.social
Postdoctoral Researcher in Political Science at Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona | Political behaviour, public opinion and philosophy of social sciences.
Pinned
Ever struggle to explain why your research is relevant? Sometimes the data just does it for you! 👇
Has anyone seen a more dramatic poll discrepancy than this one from Spain nationwide polling? CIS has PSOE +9.0pp, while NCReport has PP +9.4pp *over the exact same fieldwork*! 🤯😅
Has anyone seen a more dramatic poll discrepancy than this one from Spain nationwide polling? CIS has PSOE +9.0pp, while NCReport has PP +9.4pp *over the exact same fieldwork*! 🤯😅
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Thrilled to share our new paper with amazing Agus.
We show that non-traditional families, especially open and age-gap couples, face substantial prejudice. Even LGB couples encounter bias, highlighting persistent inequalities in societies often seen as tolerant.
We show that non-traditional families, especially open and age-gap couples, face substantial prejudice. Even LGB couples encounter bias, highlighting persistent inequalities in societies often seen as tolerant.
❗My first publication is out!
Using a conjoint experiment with adoption solicitations, @bertous.bsky.social and I demonstrate that modern societies still exhibit prejudice against non-traditional relationships, including same-sex, open and age-gap couples
More below and in @poqjournal.bsky.social
Using a conjoint experiment with adoption solicitations, @bertous.bsky.social and I demonstrate that modern societies still exhibit prejudice against non-traditional relationships, including same-sex, open and age-gap couples
More below and in @poqjournal.bsky.social
January 28, 2026 at 12:40 PM
Thrilled to share our new paper with amazing Agus.
We show that non-traditional families, especially open and age-gap couples, face substantial prejudice. Even LGB couples encounter bias, highlighting persistent inequalities in societies often seen as tolerant.
We show that non-traditional families, especially open and age-gap couples, face substantial prejudice. Even LGB couples encounter bias, highlighting persistent inequalities in societies often seen as tolerant.
My favourite author 'departs', and I can't help feeling a bit sad. Can't recommend enough *The sense of an ending*, a book that changed my life when I was in the midst of shattering changes. www.theguardian.com/books/2026/j...
Departure(s) by Julian Barnes review – this final novel is a slippery affair
Memoir merges with fiction as the author reflects on failed love, ageing and the end of life in this last instalment to his writing career
www.theguardian.com
January 28, 2026 at 9:51 AM
My favourite author 'departs', and I can't help feeling a bit sad. Can't recommend enough *The sense of an ending*, a book that changed my life when I was in the midst of shattering changes. www.theguardian.com/books/2026/j...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Why did antisemitism rise in Germany during the Covid pandemic? And why was this increase concentrated among political centrists, rather than on the fringes?
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
@kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
@kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
Cultural Roots of Prejudice: Cultural Scripts and the Reactivation of Antisemitism in Germany | Perspectives on Politics | Cambridge Core
Cultural Roots of Prejudice: Cultural Scripts and the Reactivation of Antisemitism in Germany
doi.org
January 27, 2026 at 10:57 AM
Why did antisemitism rise in Germany during the Covid pandemic? And why was this increase concentrated among political centrists, rather than on the fringes?
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
@kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1017/S153...
@kanol.bsky.social @wzb.bsky.social @uni-hamburg.de @politikuhh.bsky.social @socfub.bsky.social
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
I have a new article just published in Political Studies: What is Centrism? Open access here: doi.org/10.1177/0032...
What Is Centrism? - Karl Pike, 2026
Centrism, an ambiguous political term, requires greater analytical scrutiny. After summarising conceptualisations of centrism – and of a centre in politics – th...
doi.org
January 26, 2026 at 9:21 AM
I have a new article just published in Political Studies: What is Centrism? Open access here: doi.org/10.1177/0032...
I really enjoyed reading this article, now available in @bjpols.bsky.social:
In recent years in Spain, when the Left governs, voters seem to undergo an ideological realignment and become more right-wing in their policy preferences.
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
In recent years in Spain, when the Left governs, voters seem to undergo an ideological realignment and become more right-wing in their policy preferences.
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
January 23, 2026 at 11:53 AM
I really enjoyed reading this article, now available in @bjpols.bsky.social:
In recent years in Spain, when the Left governs, voters seem to undergo an ideological realignment and become more right-wing in their policy preferences.
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
In recent years in Spain, when the Left governs, voters seem to undergo an ideological realignment and become more right-wing in their policy preferences.
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
🧭 in our #NewIssue (30.3)
The study by @galais.bsky.social & @ruizhdezmaria.bsky.social reveals that sadness can reduce support for far-right parties in Spain, whereas anger—the most studied emotion—shows only a limited reinforcing effect
🔓 Read the article
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The study by @galais.bsky.social & @ruizhdezmaria.bsky.social reveals that sadness can reduce support for far-right parties in Spain, whereas anger—the most studied emotion—shows only a limited reinforcing effect
🔓 Read the article
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
January 21, 2026 at 3:58 PM
🧭 in our #NewIssue (30.3)
The study by @galais.bsky.social & @ruizhdezmaria.bsky.social reveals that sadness can reduce support for far-right parties in Spain, whereas anger—the most studied emotion—shows only a limited reinforcing effect
🔓 Read the article
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The study by @galais.bsky.social & @ruizhdezmaria.bsky.social reveals that sadness can reduce support for far-right parties in Spain, whereas anger—the most studied emotion—shows only a limited reinforcing effect
🔓 Read the article
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
🚨New article in @electoralstudies.bsky.social🚨
New method using open-text survey, parliament speech analysis & conjoint experiment to detect policies/issues where all of:
1) bottom-up public demand
2) elites are neglecting it
3) would motivate vote choice if party adopt it
tinyurl.com/44ryyybc
🧵
New method using open-text survey, parliament speech analysis & conjoint experiment to detect policies/issues where all of:
1) bottom-up public demand
2) elites are neglecting it
3) would motivate vote choice if party adopt it
tinyurl.com/44ryyybc
🧵
January 19, 2026 at 9:28 AM
🚨New article in @electoralstudies.bsky.social🚨
New method using open-text survey, parliament speech analysis & conjoint experiment to detect policies/issues where all of:
1) bottom-up public demand
2) elites are neglecting it
3) would motivate vote choice if party adopt it
tinyurl.com/44ryyybc
🧵
New method using open-text survey, parliament speech analysis & conjoint experiment to detect policies/issues where all of:
1) bottom-up public demand
2) elites are neglecting it
3) would motivate vote choice if party adopt it
tinyurl.com/44ryyybc
🧵
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Apologies for being self-referential but
January 15, 2026 at 12:57 PM
Apologies for being self-referential but
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Arrancamos el nuevo año con una entrada de @damjantomic.bsky.social, @sergiferrer.bsky.social, Enrique Prada y @ehernandez.bsky.social.
Muestran que, contrario a lo que podíamos esperar, los ciudadanos siguen bastante comprometidos con las reglas democráticas.
www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepap...
Muestran que, contrario a lo que podíamos esperar, los ciudadanos siguen bastante comprometidos con las reglas democráticas.
www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepap...
¿Aceptan igual la democracia quienes ganan y quienes pierden las elecciones?
El aumento de la polarización y de opciones políticas autoritarias podría generar una brecha en el compromiso democrático entre ganadores y perdedores electorales. No obstante, datos de elecciones rec...
www.eldiario.es
January 8, 2026 at 9:35 AM
Arrancamos el nuevo año con una entrada de @damjantomic.bsky.social, @sergiferrer.bsky.social, Enrique Prada y @ehernandez.bsky.social.
Muestran que, contrario a lo que podíamos esperar, los ciudadanos siguen bastante comprometidos con las reglas democráticas.
www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepap...
Muestran que, contrario a lo que podíamos esperar, los ciudadanos siguen bastante comprometidos con las reglas democráticas.
www.eldiario.es/piedrasdepap...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Some reflections from me on January 6 in comparative and historical perspective (first time on substack)
open.substack.com/pub/ziblatt4...
open.substack.com/pub/ziblatt4...
January 6 in Historical Perspective
January 6, 2026
open.substack.com
January 6, 2026 at 3:24 PM
Some reflections from me on January 6 in comparative and historical perspective (first time on substack)
open.substack.com/pub/ziblatt4...
open.substack.com/pub/ziblatt4...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
New article out in @bjpols.bsky.social 🎉
Why do elections remain widely supported even as democratic checks and balances erode around the world?
Why do elections remain widely supported even as democratic checks and balances erode around the world?
NEW -
Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf
- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf
- @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social
#OpenAccess
January 5, 2026 at 11:23 AM
New article out in @bjpols.bsky.social 🎉
Why do elections remain widely supported even as democratic checks and balances erode around the world?
Why do elections remain widely supported even as democratic checks and balances erode around the world?
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Out now and open access with @sethers.bsky.social at Political Research Quarterly! How do election outcomes shape affective polarization among Americans? 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Election Outcomes and Affective Polarization in the United States - Joseph B. Phillips, Seth B. Warner, 2026
Do election outcomes exacerbate affective polarization? While polarization often rises during campaigns and correlates with democratic backsliding, isolating th...
journals.sagepub.com
January 2, 2026 at 5:07 PM
Out now and open access with @sethers.bsky.social at Political Research Quarterly! How do election outcomes shape affective polarization among Americans? 🧵 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Which factors affect how Americans react to political violence? Our paper in @polbehavior.bsky.social addressing this question just got a volume and issue number! link.springer.com/article/10.1...
When Push Comes to Shove: How Americans Excuse and Condemn Political Violence - Political Behavior
What factors do Americans find most important when evaluating acts of political violence? Normatively, details regarding the violent act (e.g., the target and violence severity) should determine the p...
link.springer.com
December 20, 2025 at 1:32 PM
Which factors affect how Americans react to political violence? Our paper in @polbehavior.bsky.social addressing this question just got a volume and issue number! link.springer.com/article/10.1...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
For the historical polling nerds out there, an article about our project with @ropercenter.bsky.social that digitised ~800 surveys by Gallup poll in Britain between 1955 and 1991 has been published in JEPOP. The merged dataset contains over three-quarters of a million respondents.
Revealing long-term trajectories of public opinion and polling in Britain: a new resource of historical data from the Gallup Poll in Britain, 1955–1991
From the 1930s to early 2000s, the British affiliate and later subsidiary of the Gallup Organization conducted around three thousand surveys of public opinion in Great Britain. While the records of...
www.tandfonline.com
December 15, 2025 at 3:29 PM
For the historical polling nerds out there, an article about our project with @ropercenter.bsky.social that digitised ~800 surveys by Gallup poll in Britain between 1955 and 1991 has been published in JEPOP. The merged dataset contains over three-quarters of a million respondents.
Great to present yesterday in Barcelona the latest version (and hopefully last!) of joint work with @klaramueller.bsky.social. Now looking forward to expanding the project further!
It was also in some way my official debut for UAB 🙂
PS: You may want to follow @bcnpolisci.bsky.social too!
It was also in some way my official debut for UAB 🙂
PS: You may want to follow @bcnpolisci.bsky.social too!
Last panels of JCPOP 2025! 🔔
Join us in room 24.S01 for a panel on Representation, in room 24.019 for a panel on Economy and welfare, and in room 24.021 for one on Public opinion 👥🧠
Join us in room 24.S01 for a panel on Representation, in room 24.019 for a panel on Economy and welfare, and in room 24.021 for one on Public opinion 👥🧠
December 11, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Great to present yesterday in Barcelona the latest version (and hopefully last!) of joint work with @klaramueller.bsky.social. Now looking forward to expanding the project further!
It was also in some way my official debut for UAB 🙂
PS: You may want to follow @bcnpolisci.bsky.social too!
It was also in some way my official debut for UAB 🙂
PS: You may want to follow @bcnpolisci.bsky.social too!
Personal news! 📣
I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe.
Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!
I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe.
Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!
December 1, 2025 at 10:18 AM
Personal news! 📣
I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe.
Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!
I'm very happy to share that today I've joined @dec-gr.bsky.social as a postdoc to work on the @tact-forsed.bsky.social project, studying conspiracy beliefs and democratic backsliding across Europe.
Grateful to @galais.bsky.social and @mguinjoan.bsky.social for the opportunity!
A hidden gem for PolSci in an Econ journal: mainstream right-wing parties seem to capture only a fraction (!) of the far-right vote when the latter don't run in an election. Crucially, left parties seem to gain votes! A key finding for understanding potential coalitions doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...
November 28, 2025 at 11:22 AM
A hidden gem for PolSci in an Econ journal: mainstream right-wing parties seem to capture only a fraction (!) of the far-right vote when the latter don't run in an election. Crucially, left parties seem to gain votes! A key finding for understanding potential coalitions doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...
I just had to update my beliefs on the topic: this is brilliant research!
(1/10) 🚨Preprint alert!🚨
In this article, I challenge claims of a generational rise of conservative men. In the media and recent academic publications, the so-called ‘youth gender gap’ has been interpreted as a generational phenomenon.
doi.org/10.31234/osf...
In this article, I challenge claims of a generational rise of conservative men. In the media and recent academic publications, the so-called ‘youth gender gap’ has been interpreted as a generational phenomenon.
doi.org/10.31234/osf...
OSF
doi.org
November 27, 2025 at 7:19 PM
I just had to update my beliefs on the topic: this is brilliant research!
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
‼️ Important new paper on the consequences of low turnout for representation by @mascakir.bsky.social, see Semih's 🧵 for a summary of his findings 👇
Do policy preferences of voters and non-voters differ in European democracies?
My new article in @ejprjournal.bsky.social finds: Yes, sometimes, but this is not the norm.
Let's break it down. 🧵 1/10
My new article in @ejprjournal.bsky.social finds: Yes, sometimes, but this is not the norm.
Let's break it down. 🧵 1/10
November 19, 2025 at 1:49 PM
‼️ Important new paper on the consequences of low turnout for representation by @mascakir.bsky.social, see Semih's 🧵 for a summary of his findings 👇
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail
November 18, 2025 at 9:23 PM
AI presents a fundamental threat to our ability to use polls to assess public opinion. Bad actors who are able to infiltrate panels can flip close election polls for less than the cost of a Starbucks coffee. Models will also infer and confirm hypotheses in experiments. Current quality checks fail
Solid work on (absent) attitudinal age gaps in the UK 👇
🚨 New paper with Maria Grasso on generational shifts in political values. Despite talk of rising age polarisation, we show that gaps in attitudes are stable or even narrowing. Economic attitudes move in cycles, while social values have become more liberal – mainly due to generational replacement.
Political Socialisation in the UK: Describing Generational Changes of Values - International Journal of Politics, Culture, and Society
A growing bulk of research examines intergenerational shifts in attitudes and the extent to which they are attributable to new cohorts of voters being socialised under different socioeconomic and cult...
link.springer.com
November 13, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Solid work on (absent) attitudinal age gaps in the UK 👇
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
November 11, 2025 at 9:00 AM
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
🗳️ Dutch voters will elect a new parliament for the third time in just five years on October 29. Here's everything you need to know about the upcoming elections. 🇳🇱 My colleague Esmee and I wrote a short primer for @theconversation.com.
doi.org/10.64628/AB....
doi.org/10.64628/AB....
The Netherlands is trying to draw a line under a year of chaos with fresh elections – will it work?
Prime Minister Dick Schoof called fresh elections following the first collapse of his government, which would go on to fall a second time within a few months.
doi.org
October 21, 2025 at 8:09 PM
🗳️ Dutch voters will elect a new parliament for the third time in just five years on October 29. Here's everything you need to know about the upcoming elections. 🇳🇱 My colleague Esmee and I wrote a short primer for @theconversation.com.
doi.org/10.64628/AB....
doi.org/10.64628/AB....
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Great to speak to @greenmirandahere.bsky.social for today's FT Inside Politics about the latest finding from our politics of (im)patience project, w/ @karlpike.bsky.social and @philipjcowley.bsky.social.
www.ft.com/content/e984...
www.ft.com/content/e984...
Labour sheds support from impatient Britons
Research shows party losing voters who want results now, with women more likely to prioritise short-term gains
www.ft.com
October 20, 2025 at 9:20 AM
Great to speak to @greenmirandahere.bsky.social for today's FT Inside Politics about the latest finding from our politics of (im)patience project, w/ @karlpike.bsky.social and @philipjcowley.bsky.social.
www.ft.com/content/e984...
www.ft.com/content/e984...
Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán
Really important study by @sannabergvall.bsky.social et al.!
Focusing on Sweden, this study finds that PhD students begin their programs with similar psychiatric medication use as other master’s graduates, but usage rises sharply to about 40 percent higher by the fifth year before declining after graduation.
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
www.sciencedirect.com
October 20, 2025 at 8:09 AM
Really important study by @sannabergvall.bsky.social et al.!