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Reposted by Alejandro Fernández-Roldán

Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 6d

Following the success of our spring seminar series earlier this year, we @psapolpsychology.bsky.social are running an autumn/winter series, with four online presentations by great scholars.

Please do register and come along to hear about some really fascinating research!

PSA Political Psychology Specialist Group @psapolpsychology.bsky.social · 6d

This time in two weeks, we will launch our autumn/winter seminar series. We have an exciting line-up of four online talks covering a range of topics in political psychology.

All presentations are on Thursdays at 12:00 UK.

Sign up to attend here!: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...

Political Psychology | The Political Studies Association (PSA)

Political Psychology is a multi-disciplinary group established to provide a forum for collaboration, discussion and support for political psychology scholars and practitioners as well as to facilitate...

www.psa.ac.uk

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Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 7d

Happy to publish today in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social

Pop culture (think Netflix's Sex Education) make us think that emerging cohorts are happy to socially incorporate partners with sexually modern backgrounds and experiences 🏳️‍🌈

But is this really the case?

doi.org/10.1017/S147...

Allies on the streets but illiberal in the sheets? Gender and the public vs. private inclusion of sexual minorities | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core

Allies on the streets but illiberal in the sheets? Gender and the public vs. private inclusion of sexual minorities

doi.org

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Political Science Research and Methods @psrm.bsky.social · 19d

🤔 Do surveys exaggerate democratic support due to social desirability bias (SDB)?

➡️ Using survey-mode variation & list experiments in 24 countries, @pcmagalhaes.bsky.social & @aarslew.bsky.social find no evidence that SDB inflates democratic attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

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Jac Larner @jaclarner.bsky.social · 22d

Latest ITV BarnCymru 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 poll confirms trend seen over last 6 months - neck and neck race between Plaid Cymru and Reform UK for largest party, with Labour falling to even more distant third. Evidence growing of distinct realignment in Wales 🧵

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 23d

This is extremely good!

WEP Journal @wepsocial.bsky.social · 26d

💥Online first:

"The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments"

by @ankuepfer.bsky.social @jocmuel.bsky.social & @pluggedchris.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1080/0140...

Abstract of the research article "The sound of party competition: how applause reflects unity, disagreement, and the electoral cycle in parliaments" by Andreas Küpfer, Jochen Müller and Christian Stecker. Published online first in West European Politics.

Figure 1, displaying the occurences of different types of reactions in the German Bundestag between 1976 and 2020.

Figure 3, displaying the heatmap of predicted applause per 1000 words based on a Poission regression model.

Figure 5, displaying expected applause for interaction terms government and opposition.

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 27d

This polling discrepancy is a huge concern when you consider how polls influence political behaviour. Last year, @mbarnfield.bsky.social and I published a paper about the dangers of this exact situation - a 'mixed-poll environment' with conflicting estimates academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 27d

Note: While NCReport has its own house effects and there are differences in sampling and non-sampling procedures between the two houses, in an upcoming paper @klaramueller.bsky.social and I show that CIS' deviation from all the other national polls is both weighty and consistent. E.g., see below 🙃

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 27d

Ever struggle to explain why your research is relevant? Sometimes the data just does it for you! 👇

Has anyone seen a more dramatic poll discrepancy than this one from Spain nationwide polling? CIS has PSOE +9.0pp, while NCReport has PP +9.4pp *over the exact same fieldwork*! 🤯😅

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Sep 6

What a great way to wrap up #EPOP2025!

Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · Sep 4

Full circle moment ⭕:
@psaepop.bsky.social was the first ever conference I presented at, and now I'm thrilled to wrap up my PhD conference cycle at #EPOP2025 in Exeter. Enthusiatic to present joint work with @aleferna.bsky.social and to be part of this promising panel. Curious to hear your thoughts!

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Sep 4

Back in Exeter for the first time since my first PhD visiting stay! I'm thrilled to be presenting joint research on election polling with @klaramueller.bsky.social at the @psaepop.bsky.social Conference tomorrow. So looking forward to this panel full of great scholars

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Sep 1

Vamos! Nice one

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Sep 1

For the surname I am willing to accept any of those, but in my head the first name will always be Chubby

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Sep 1

Nos vemos allí, María - Buen viaje!

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Aug 28

This is cool! I've tried it with a couple of my papers and indeed it identifies the main 'issues'. However, I feel it is not taking into account things that are mentioned in subsequent sections: my hunch is that if is focusing in specific blocks/sections without cross-checking (?)

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Danbischof @danbischof.bsky.social · Aug 21

This is a prime case study of how moving your issue agenda as a center right party (Cons) to the right extremes will eventually cost yourself everything.

The Cons are projected at 24!!! seats right now.

Reform at 395!

Election Maps UK @electionmaps.uk · Aug 21

➡️ Reform lead by 15%, their largest ever lead in an opinion poll.

Would give them a majority of ~140 seats.

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Aug 15

Congratulations! That's what can be called success, Dr. Ledoux 😉

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Aug 14

I guess their rationale could be trying to make their audience feel heard and engaged? I mean, that could be the intention, not that they necessarily succeed. Perhaps also to create content based on those surveys, as they increasingly do with the pre-election polls they commission (?)

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Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · Aug 6

I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies.

OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...

Title page of article "Electoral Hope" in journal Political Studies.

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Aug 5

Looks taken from the cantine of LSE circa 2019.

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Alberto López Ortega @bertous.bsky.social · Aug 4

📝Why has a Bukele-style far-right party emerged in Spain—even though VOX already exists?

In our new paper, @javierpadilla.bsky.social, @canalejoalvaro.bsky.social and I explain the unexpected rise of SALF ("Let the Party Be Over") in the 2024 EP elections:

journals.sagepub.com/doi/epub/10....

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Aug 1

or something like that :)

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Aug 1

Same here! It took so much writing, and so much rewriting. And I buy your hypothesis too :)

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Aug 1

When I gave my first PhD writing to one of my supervisors, a philosopher, he told me, 'Alex, you write like a philosopher.' I assumed it was a compliment. It wasn't.

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Aug 1

Just discovered that ChatGPT writes as I did during my masters (maybe even early PhD): trying to use grandiloquent words to compensate for a lack of depth in my writing(s)

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Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Aug 1

Disclaimer: I like Oxford.

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