Joe Phillips
@polpsychjoe.bsky.social
Lecturer in Politics, Cardiff University. Political Psychology. Polarization. Political Communication.
Pinned
Joe Phillips
@polpsychjoe.bsky.social
· Nov 17
Hello new followers! For those I don't know yet, let me introduce myself:
- I'm an American working at Cardiff University
- My work focuses on animosity between political groups, misinformation, and support for democratic norms.
- I tend to be much more of a doomer than my empirical results warrant
- I'm an American working at Cardiff University
- My work focuses on animosity between political groups, misinformation, and support for democratic norms.
- I tend to be much more of a doomer than my empirical results warrant
Reposted by Joe Phillips
There a cliched story which I'll call the Fox News Narrative to explain politics. It doesn't describe reality but it's simple enough and repeated often enough that many people fall for it or versions of it, not limited to Fox. If others have a better title, I'll consider it. It goes like this: (1/)
November 29, 2025 at 6:02 PM
There a cliched story which I'll call the Fox News Narrative to explain politics. It doesn't describe reality but it's simple enough and repeated often enough that many people fall for it or versions of it, not limited to Fox. If others have a better title, I'll consider it. It goes like this: (1/)
Reposted by Joe Phillips
1984 is over-cited, but the best word for this is doublethink. MAGA has tons of it.
Trump is a strong leader no one would cross and a poor victim who deserves sympathy.
He brought crime down and crime is out of control.
The Epstein Files are fake to hurt Trump and have nothing negative about him.
Trump is a strong leader no one would cross and a poor victim who deserves sympathy.
He brought crime down and crime is out of control.
The Epstein Files are fake to hurt Trump and have nothing negative about him.
This is the crux of the MAGA strategy: make contradictory claims and hope no one notices. Either the files are fake, or they’re harmless — they can’t logically be both.
New in PN: MAGA's Epstein gaslighting is unsustainable
"The Epstein files are a 'hoax,' Trump says — a lie made up by Dems to make him look bad. Yet somehow, at the same time, there’s nothing in them that could make him look bad — b/c if there was, Biden would have released them. So which is it?"
"The Epstein files are a 'hoax,' Trump says — a lie made up by Dems to make him look bad. Yet somehow, at the same time, there’s nothing in them that could make him look bad — b/c if there was, Biden would have released them. So which is it?"
November 29, 2025 at 6:12 PM
1984 is over-cited, but the best word for this is doublethink. MAGA has tons of it.
Trump is a strong leader no one would cross and a poor victim who deserves sympathy.
He brought crime down and crime is out of control.
The Epstein Files are fake to hurt Trump and have nothing negative about him.
Trump is a strong leader no one would cross and a poor victim who deserves sympathy.
He brought crime down and crime is out of control.
The Epstein Files are fake to hurt Trump and have nothing negative about him.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
November 29, 2025 at 3:13 PM
A critique of our (w/ @bertous.bsky.social) paper “Instrumentally inclusive” has just been published.
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
Our response is under review (see below on process) but we feel obliged to share our draft for balance since the comment has been released without the response.
osf.io/rn6h3/files/...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Slovakia's young and old voters diverge widely on Mr Fico's coalition, per FOCUS polls in Jul-Nov
66 and older: 44% Smer+Hlas, 12% PS
18-30 y.o.: 11% Hlas, 45% PS
PS+SaS+ D
19% vs 58%
Smer+Hlas+SNS+Rep
56% vs 26%
66+ are 22% of the adult population, 18-30 y.o. 16%
1/2
66 and older: 44% Smer+Hlas, 12% PS
18-30 y.o.: 11% Hlas, 45% PS
PS+SaS+ D
19% vs 58%
Smer+Hlas+SNS+Rep
56% vs 26%
66+ are 22% of the adult population, 18-30 y.o. 16%
1/2
November 29, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Slovakia's young and old voters diverge widely on Mr Fico's coalition, per FOCUS polls in Jul-Nov
66 and older: 44% Smer+Hlas, 12% PS
18-30 y.o.: 11% Hlas, 45% PS
PS+SaS+ D
19% vs 58%
Smer+Hlas+SNS+Rep
56% vs 26%
66+ are 22% of the adult population, 18-30 y.o. 16%
1/2
66 and older: 44% Smer+Hlas, 12% PS
18-30 y.o.: 11% Hlas, 45% PS
PS+SaS+ D
19% vs 58%
Smer+Hlas+SNS+Rep
56% vs 26%
66+ are 22% of the adult population, 18-30 y.o. 16%
1/2
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Farage has openly campaigned on racism, nativism, and xenophobia, his entire political career. Yet, to the media, he can only be said to have been "dogged by allegations" because nobody can prove he spoke slurs. This is white supremacy defining the terms so as to endlessly obfuscate the issue.
November 29, 2025 at 11:23 AM
Farage has openly campaigned on racism, nativism, and xenophobia, his entire political career. Yet, to the media, he can only be said to have been "dogged by allegations" because nobody can prove he spoke slurs. This is white supremacy defining the terms so as to endlessly obfuscate the issue.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Who is supporting these settlements? It’s generally not faculty or even long-time university administrators, it’s university boards and interim administrators who they’ve installed after admins with more of a fighting instinct have been forced out. There’s a playbook here.
@mbkplus.bsky.social and I will have more thoughts on the podcast, but it's no coincidence that the two most draconian settlements were signed by *interim* university presidents.
Here’s the text of the Northwestern settlement with the DoJ, which includes a $75 million financial component / payoff (cc @profmarkovic.bsky.social):
November 29, 2025 at 2:48 AM
Who is supporting these settlements? It’s generally not faculty or even long-time university administrators, it’s university boards and interim administrators who they’ve installed after admins with more of a fighting instinct have been forced out. There’s a playbook here.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
The term "has historic roots, including Nazi ideology and, more recently, a violent conspiracy theory that’s inspired terrorist attacks in the US and abroad" www.cnn.com/2025/10/19/u...
November 29, 2025 at 3:17 AM
The term "has historic roots, including Nazi ideology and, more recently, a violent conspiracy theory that’s inspired terrorist attacks in the US and abroad" www.cnn.com/2025/10/19/u...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
i think we have to get off the defensive on immigration
it's not just necessary, it's good! - & the easier it is, the greater its benefits
it's not just necessary, it's good! - & the easier it is, the greater its benefits
November 28, 2025 at 1:23 PM
i think we have to get off the defensive on immigration
it's not just necessary, it's good! - & the easier it is, the greater its benefits
it's not just necessary, it's good! - & the easier it is, the greater its benefits
Reposted by Joe Phillips
A hidden gem for PolSci in an Econ journal: mainstream right-wing parties seem to capture only a fraction (!) of the far-right vote when the latter don't run in an election. Crucially, left parties seem to gain votes! A key finding for understanding potential coalitions doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...
November 28, 2025 at 11:22 AM
A hidden gem for PolSci in an Econ journal: mainstream right-wing parties seem to capture only a fraction (!) of the far-right vote when the latter don't run in an election. Crucially, left parties seem to gain votes! A key finding for understanding potential coalitions doi.org/10.1016/j.jp...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Why is #Politics so negative right now? 🤔
Ming M. Boyer @carolinaplescia.bsky.social & André Blais finds two kinds of negativity:
⚡ #Voting against a candidate
⚡ Feeling like voting doesn’t matter at all
Only one threatens #Democracy--and it’s not the one you think. 👀
Ming M. Boyer @carolinaplescia.bsky.social & André Blais finds two kinds of negativity:
⚡ #Voting against a candidate
⚡ Feeling like voting doesn’t matter at all
Only one threatens #Democracy--and it’s not the one you think. 👀
Voting against or against voting? | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core
Voting against or against voting?
buff.ly
November 28, 2025 at 10:30 AM
Why is #Politics so negative right now? 🤔
Ming M. Boyer @carolinaplescia.bsky.social & André Blais finds two kinds of negativity:
⚡ #Voting against a candidate
⚡ Feeling like voting doesn’t matter at all
Only one threatens #Democracy--and it’s not the one you think. 👀
Ming M. Boyer @carolinaplescia.bsky.social & André Blais finds two kinds of negativity:
⚡ #Voting against a candidate
⚡ Feeling like voting doesn’t matter at all
Only one threatens #Democracy--and it’s not the one you think. 👀
Reposted by Joe Phillips
🚨 🚨 Publication 🚨 🚨
My work on residential relocation of Immigrants and their descendants in France has been published in Population, Space and Place.
This work was part of my time in @standrewssgsd.bsky.social with the @migrantlife.bsky.social project.
Available here
👇👇👇
dx.doi.org/10.1002/psp....
My work on residential relocation of Immigrants and their descendants in France has been published in Population, Space and Place.
This work was part of my time in @standrewssgsd.bsky.social with the @migrantlife.bsky.social project.
Available here
👇👇👇
dx.doi.org/10.1002/psp....
Residential Relocations and Housing Changes Among Immigrants and Their Descendants: An Analysis of Longitudinal Register Data From France
This paper investigates residential mobility and housing changes among immigrants, their descendants, and the native population, alongside the association between family and household characteristics....
dx.doi.org
November 21, 2025 at 3:49 PM
🚨 🚨 Publication 🚨 🚨
My work on residential relocation of Immigrants and their descendants in France has been published in Population, Space and Place.
This work was part of my time in @standrewssgsd.bsky.social with the @migrantlife.bsky.social project.
Available here
👇👇👇
dx.doi.org/10.1002/psp....
My work on residential relocation of Immigrants and their descendants in France has been published in Population, Space and Place.
This work was part of my time in @standrewssgsd.bsky.social with the @migrantlife.bsky.social project.
Available here
👇👇👇
dx.doi.org/10.1002/psp....
Reposted by Joe Phillips
The Blue Labour right have become the Militant of 2025 - a tiny but hyperactive and densely networked sect working relentlessly to drag Labour towards their niche pursuits and away from the values and priorities of core Labour voters.
November 28, 2025 at 10:44 AM
The Blue Labour right have become the Militant of 2025 - a tiny but hyperactive and densely networked sect working relentlessly to drag Labour towards their niche pursuits and away from the values and priorities of core Labour voters.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Kinnock voice - "I’ll tell you what happens with impossible promises. You start with far-fetched resolutions....and you end up in the grotesque chaos of a Labour government, a *Labour* government, rejecting visas for homeless 8 yr olds trying to joing their parents"
November 28, 2025 at 10:43 AM
Kinnock voice - "I’ll tell you what happens with impossible promises. You start with far-fetched resolutions....and you end up in the grotesque chaos of a Labour government, a *Labour* government, rejecting visas for homeless 8 yr olds trying to joing their parents"
Reposted by Joe Phillips
🚨 SynthNet is out 🚨
Researchers propose new constructs and measures faster than anyone can track. We (@anniria.bsky.social @ruben.the100.ci) built a search engine to check what already exists and help identify redundancies; indexing 74,000 scales from ~31,500 instruments in APA PsycTests. 🧵1/3
Researchers propose new constructs and measures faster than anyone can track. We (@anniria.bsky.social @ruben.the100.ci) built a search engine to check what already exists and help identify redundancies; indexing 74,000 scales from ~31,500 instruments in APA PsycTests. 🧵1/3
November 26, 2025 at 11:42 AM
🚨 SynthNet is out 🚨
Researchers propose new constructs and measures faster than anyone can track. We (@anniria.bsky.social @ruben.the100.ci) built a search engine to check what already exists and help identify redundancies; indexing 74,000 scales from ~31,500 instruments in APA PsycTests. 🧵1/3
Researchers propose new constructs and measures faster than anyone can track. We (@anniria.bsky.social @ruben.the100.ci) built a search engine to check what already exists and help identify redundancies; indexing 74,000 scales from ~31,500 instruments in APA PsycTests. 🧵1/3
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Its really strange. And a very weird reading of public opinion too. There are multiple reasons to win elections. Being clear about what you stand for, expressing values, delivery, unity in parliament, not just 'following poll X' !!
It's part of the electionification of everything, which is why we as a country are failing to have a proper conversation about our actual problems. It's bad for the left *and* the right.
It's such a bizarre framing. Labour MPs think taking 450k kids out of poverty is putting the country first! That's why they wanted it to happen! It's not because they personally benefit.
November 28, 2025 at 9:41 AM
Its really strange. And a very weird reading of public opinion too. There are multiple reasons to win elections. Being clear about what you stand for, expressing values, delivery, unity in parliament, not just 'following poll X' !!
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Welcome Shabana Mahmood to your next four years of headlines!!!
Foreign doctors trained by the NHS face deportation under visa rules
Foreign doctors trained by the NHS face deportation under visa rules
www.thetimes.com
November 28, 2025 at 9:32 AM
Welcome Shabana Mahmood to your next four years of headlines!!!
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Ask yourself why there wasn’t this level of wall to wall coverage for this shooting wgme.com/news/local/i...
ICE agent who shot woman in Chicago drove Border Patrol vehicle back to Maine
An unnamed ICE agent, who shot and injured a woman in Chicago, is now back in Maine after driving the Border Patrol vehicle he was in 1,100 miles.
wgme.com
November 28, 2025 at 5:49 AM
Ask yourself why there wasn’t this level of wall to wall coverage for this shooting wgme.com/news/local/i...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
UK politics followers, these graphs are in a paper by @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social and co (inc. me).
There's so much useful info in them.
The long-term context for the politics of our time, how the 'Brexit elections' differed, though note the Y axes may need to be bigger for the next election!!
There's so much useful info in them.
The long-term context for the politics of our time, how the 'Brexit elections' differed, though note the Y axes may need to be bigger for the next election!!
November 28, 2025 at 9:29 AM
UK politics followers, these graphs are in a paper by @jamesdgriffiths.bsky.social and co (inc. me).
There's so much useful info in them.
The long-term context for the politics of our time, how the 'Brexit elections' differed, though note the Y axes may need to be bigger for the next election!!
There's so much useful info in them.
The long-term context for the politics of our time, how the 'Brexit elections' differed, though note the Y axes may need to be bigger for the next election!!
Reposted by Joe Phillips
My latest article is now up on ASR. In it, we argue that the U.S. LGBTQ movement is in the midst of a widespread, conflictual process of generational turnover—with important implications for the future of the movement.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
November 27, 2025 at 11:15 PM
My latest article is now up on ASR. In it, we argue that the U.S. LGBTQ movement is in the midst of a widespread, conflictual process of generational turnover—with important implications for the future of the movement.
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Five concerts you’ve seen
Dream Theater
Alice in Chains
The Mars Volta
Tool
Social Distortion
Dream Theater
Alice in Chains
The Mars Volta
Tool
Social Distortion
Five concerts you’ve seen
Midnight Oil
Steely Dan
New Order
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Elaine Stritch
Midnight Oil
Steely Dan
New Order
Red Hot Chili Peppers
Elaine Stritch
Five concerts you’ve seen
Bob Mould
The Replacements
The Gear Daddies
Vial
Arcwelder
Bob Mould
The Replacements
The Gear Daddies
Vial
Arcwelder
November 28, 2025 at 1:38 AM
Five concerts you’ve seen
Dream Theater
Alice in Chains
The Mars Volta
Tool
Social Distortion
Dream Theater
Alice in Chains
The Mars Volta
Tool
Social Distortion
Reposted by Joe Phillips
"We followed everything we were supposed to do"
Legitimate green card applicants with US spouses are being
arrested by armed, masked men at scheduled immigration interviews, taken away from their children, sent to prison
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/26/u...
Legitimate green card applicants with US spouses are being
arrested by armed, masked men at scheduled immigration interviews, taken away from their children, sent to prison
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/26/u...
Green Card Interviews End in Handcuffs for Spouses of U.S. Citizens
www.nytimes.com
November 27, 2025 at 11:55 AM
"We followed everything we were supposed to do"
Legitimate green card applicants with US spouses are being
arrested by armed, masked men at scheduled immigration interviews, taken away from their children, sent to prison
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/26/u...
Legitimate green card applicants with US spouses are being
arrested by armed, masked men at scheduled immigration interviews, taken away from their children, sent to prison
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/26/u...
Reposted by Joe Phillips
I say this mostly because Reform and certain journalists friendly to them seem determined to start a “white flight” narrative since net migration has dropped so dramatically.
It’s not true. It’s not even close to true.
It’s not true. It’s not even close to true.
November 27, 2025 at 4:49 PM
I say this mostly because Reform and certain journalists friendly to them seem determined to start a “white flight” narrative since net migration has dropped so dramatically.
It’s not true. It’s not even close to true.
It’s not true. It’s not even close to true.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
The number of British citizens emigrating hasn’t increased, btw. Outward migration is up, but the increase is mostly non-EU migrants leaving the UK.
The methodology counting emigration of British citizens changed in 2021, which increased the number, and it’s been pretty much flat ever since…
The methodology counting emigration of British citizens changed in 2021, which increased the number, and it’s been pretty much flat ever since…
November 27, 2025 at 4:48 PM
The number of British citizens emigrating hasn’t increased, btw. Outward migration is up, but the increase is mostly non-EU migrants leaving the UK.
The methodology counting emigration of British citizens changed in 2021, which increased the number, and it’s been pretty much flat ever since…
The methodology counting emigration of British citizens changed in 2021, which increased the number, and it’s been pretty much flat ever since…
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Thankful for justice movements working to make America belatedly live up to its promises for hundreds of years.
November 27, 2025 at 4:09 PM
Thankful for justice movements working to make America belatedly live up to its promises for hundreds of years.
Reposted by Joe Phillips
Here's one office Dems could flip on Tuesday.
(No, it's not in TN!)
The Republican mayor of Roswell, a Georgia city of 90K, finished just one percentage point ahead of his Dem challenger on November 4. The runoff is in a few days.
One of my Dec elections to watch: boltsmag.org/whats-on-the...
(No, it's not in TN!)
The Republican mayor of Roswell, a Georgia city of 90K, finished just one percentage point ahead of his Dem challenger on November 4. The runoff is in a few days.
One of my Dec elections to watch: boltsmag.org/whats-on-the...
November 27, 2025 at 4:08 PM
Here's one office Dems could flip on Tuesday.
(No, it's not in TN!)
The Republican mayor of Roswell, a Georgia city of 90K, finished just one percentage point ahead of his Dem challenger on November 4. The runoff is in a few days.
One of my Dec elections to watch: boltsmag.org/whats-on-the...
(No, it's not in TN!)
The Republican mayor of Roswell, a Georgia city of 90K, finished just one percentage point ahead of his Dem challenger on November 4. The runoff is in a few days.
One of my Dec elections to watch: boltsmag.org/whats-on-the...