Adam Chapnik
@alsosortofadam.bsky.social
PhD student in American politics at Yale University | formerly @evictionlab.bsky.social at Princeton University | Vassar ‘22 | just my own opinions
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Adam Chapnik
@alsosortofadam.bsky.social
· Mar 30
I’m excited to announce I'll be joining the Yale Political Science dept as a PhD student this fall! I plan to focus on American politics: local accountability, the pol econ of campaigns and party orgs, and housing politics.
I don't think it's hard to make a credible argument that this is also about affordability
The usual suspects are telling Dems that Epstein won’t win elections, get back to “affordability” and I think my head might explode. www.offmessage.net/p/force-a-re...
Force A Referendum On The Epstein Coverup
It divides Republicans much more than "affordability" or any other economic issue.
www.offmessage.net
November 15, 2025 at 8:20 PM
I don't think it's hard to make a credible argument that this is also about affordability
Reposted by Adam Chapnik
New research out today with my colleague Jacob Udell on financial distress in the multifamily market. We focus on the impact on tenants, who have little say over their landlords’ financial decisions but bear the brunt of the consequences of this escalating crisis.
Check it out!
Check it out!
Financial distress in the multifamily market is on the rise in the United States: Multifamily loan delinquencies are at their highest rate in 10 years, having nearly doubled in the last year alone.
November 13, 2025 at 4:25 PM
New research out today with my colleague Jacob Udell on financial distress in the multifamily market. We focus on the impact on tenants, who have little say over their landlords’ financial decisions but bear the brunt of the consequences of this escalating crisis.
Check it out!
Check it out!
Reposted by Adam Chapnik
I'm going to try to put together a mini lit review on some of the recent institutional landlords papers. there are lots of papers, so I will be necessarily omitting many.
Mostly focused on impacts on prices, and whether institutional landlords are killing homeownership and driving up rents.
Mostly focused on impacts on prices, and whether institutional landlords are killing homeownership and driving up rents.
November 13, 2025 at 8:46 PM
I'm going to try to put together a mini lit review on some of the recent institutional landlords papers. there are lots of papers, so I will be necessarily omitting many.
Mostly focused on impacts on prices, and whether institutional landlords are killing homeownership and driving up rents.
Mostly focused on impacts on prices, and whether institutional landlords are killing homeownership and driving up rents.
"Democracy for Realists" is less than ten years old. Why are we doing a new round of "political scientists vs. journalists/consultants" about the exact same topic?
October 28, 2025 at 3:14 PM
"Democracy for Realists" is less than ten years old. Why are we doing a new round of "political scientists vs. journalists/consultants" about the exact same topic?
I understand why this is bad in theory, but if I were in the military, not receiving my regular paycheck, and all I got was a $100 in the mail thanks to some guy, I would not feel any gratitude. Funding government operations is just much more expensive than the private sector can handle.
"Donor Who Gave $130 Million to Pay Troops Is Reclusive Heir to Mellon Fortune
Timothy Mellon is a billionaire and a major financial backer of Trump." www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/u...
Timothy Mellon is a billionaire and a major financial backer of Trump." www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/u...
Donor Who Gave $130 Million to Pay Troops Is Reclusive Heir to Mellon Fortune
www.nytimes.com
October 25, 2025 at 3:48 PM
I understand why this is bad in theory, but if I were in the military, not receiving my regular paycheck, and all I got was a $100 in the mail thanks to some guy, I would not feel any gratitude. Funding government operations is just much more expensive than the private sector can handle.
I think Platner has anti-fascist tendencies and isn't a Nazi, but I won't defend him further. He clearly hasn't thought through most things and doesn't deserve to be a Senator. The issue is that there definitely should be someone else like him to run in his place with less baggage.
October 25, 2025 at 3:58 AM
I think Platner has anti-fascist tendencies and isn't a Nazi, but I won't defend him further. He clearly hasn't thought through most things and doesn't deserve to be a Senator. The issue is that there definitely should be someone else like him to run in his place with less baggage.
They're inventing new things you can do for the first time
THE FIRST PINCH-HIT GRAND SLAM IN WORLD SERIES HISTORY!
October 25, 2025 at 3:19 AM
They're inventing new things you can do for the first time
TBF, if you pay attention to the research that does this more and more it points out that the trends started around Carter or even earlier
October 23, 2025 at 6:24 PM
TBF, if you pay attention to the research that does this more and more it points out that the trends started around Carter or even earlier
Reposted by Adam Chapnik
Jeffries: We have an American president behaving like an organized crime boss, stealing taxpayer dollars in real-time in front of everyone in plain sight. And Republicans have nothing to say about the emerging crime scene at 1600 Pennsylvania avenue.
October 22, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Jeffries: We have an American president behaving like an organized crime boss, stealing taxpayer dollars in real-time in front of everyone in plain sight. And Republicans have nothing to say about the emerging crime scene at 1600 Pennsylvania avenue.
Reposted by Adam Chapnik
People really need to wrap their heads around HOW ATTENUATED our election cycles have gotten.
They're acting like the Maine primary was a race between Platner and Mills only and it's too late for anyone else to jump in.
The deadline to REGISTER FOR IT is in MARCH!
Go out and recruit SOMEONE ELSE
They're acting like the Maine primary was a race between Platner and Mills only and it's too late for anyone else to jump in.
The deadline to REGISTER FOR IT is in MARCH!
Go out and recruit SOMEONE ELSE
October 22, 2025 at 4:50 PM
People really need to wrap their heads around HOW ATTENUATED our election cycles have gotten.
They're acting like the Maine primary was a race between Platner and Mills only and it's too late for anyone else to jump in.
The deadline to REGISTER FOR IT is in MARCH!
Go out and recruit SOMEONE ELSE
They're acting like the Maine primary was a race between Platner and Mills only and it's too late for anyone else to jump in.
The deadline to REGISTER FOR IT is in MARCH!
Go out and recruit SOMEONE ELSE
weird
October 15, 2025 at 3:35 PM
weird
Reposted by Adam Chapnik
Stupid statement in several ways. Anyway, what's so bad about paid protesters?
Sean Duffy: "The No Kings protest, Maria, really frustrating. This is part of antifa, paid protesters. It begs the question who's funding it."
October 13, 2025 at 11:12 PM
Stupid statement in several ways. Anyway, what's so bad about paid protesters?
Aggressors in wars never get the Nobel for putting down arms, but yet they give the prize to people who just talk to them a bit until they decide to voluntarily stop. The mediators aren't making the decisions. It's odd, no?
If Trump deserves the prize, they really should be giving it to Netanyahu.
If Trump deserves the prize, they really should be giving it to Netanyahu.
Just now— @SpeakerJohnson announces he will lead a global pressure campaign to get the narcissist-in-chief a Nobel Prize next year
(Also revealing he doesn’t understand what “objective facts” are)
(Also revealing he doesn’t understand what “objective facts” are)
October 14, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Aggressors in wars never get the Nobel for putting down arms, but yet they give the prize to people who just talk to them a bit until they decide to voluntarily stop. The mediators aren't making the decisions. It's odd, no?
If Trump deserves the prize, they really should be giving it to Netanyahu.
If Trump deserves the prize, they really should be giving it to Netanyahu.
Base coaches are getting fired
So, bases loaded. CF Frelick tipped the ball into the wall, making it in play and not an out. Frelick relayed to SS Joey Ortiz to catcher William Contreras, forcing out the runner at home. Contreras then ran the ball to third, forcing the runner there.
You know, a garden-variety double play.
You know, a garden-variety double play.
what in the hell just happened in Milwaukee
October 14, 2025 at 1:53 AM
Base coaches are getting fired
Stupid statement in several ways. Anyway, what's so bad about paid protesters?
Sean Duffy: "The No Kings protest, Maria, really frustrating. This is part of antifa, paid protesters. It begs the question who's funding it."
October 13, 2025 at 11:12 PM
Stupid statement in several ways. Anyway, what's so bad about paid protesters?
I think formal economic modeling is a type of sado-masochism that is nonetheless valuable, and there should be a class of people (not me) who just do that and we all agree to trust them on it if they figure out anything important.
October 13, 2025 at 11:07 PM
I think formal economic modeling is a type of sado-masochism that is nonetheless valuable, and there should be a class of people (not me) who just do that and we all agree to trust them on it if they figure out anything important.
Should I go see Anemone? Reviews are pretty terrible. Could be a waste of time. Then again...
www.imdb.com/title/tt3354...
www.imdb.com/title/tt3354...
Anemone (2025) ⭐ 5.9 | Drama
2h 5m | R
www.imdb.com
October 11, 2025 at 9:57 PM
Should I go see Anemone? Reviews are pretty terrible. Could be a waste of time. Then again...
www.imdb.com/title/tt3354...
www.imdb.com/title/tt3354...
It's pretty embarrassing for Vance that Miller can get away with this. Whether or not Vance agrees with it, strategically he should want to be the one playing this role.
Miller’s apparent elevation to shadow president and his seeming intent to declare an end to the constitutional order would, in any other administration, be treated as a executive branch meltdown that was immensely embarrassing for the president and requiring Miller’s immediate removal
October 5, 2025 at 4:10 AM
It's pretty embarrassing for Vance that Miller can get away with this. Whether or not Vance agrees with it, strategically he should want to be the one playing this role.
If you oppose DHS and ICE and you're looking for work, you should be applying for these jobs
overt nazi language in this DHS job listing (which i’m told is for a low-level but important job in adjudicating immigration applications and requires knowledge of the law)
October 3, 2025 at 5:05 PM
If you oppose DHS and ICE and you're looking for work, you should be applying for these jobs
Reposted by Adam Chapnik
You know what would be great? If Democrats came out and said that the next time they’re in power, they’ll change the rules and end shutdowns for good. And then actually did it.
Beyond being dumb and unnecessary, it’s flat-out disrespectful to keep treating federal employees like bargaining chips.
Beyond being dumb and unnecessary, it’s flat-out disrespectful to keep treating federal employees like bargaining chips.
October 1, 2025 at 10:45 PM
You know what would be great? If Democrats came out and said that the next time they’re in power, they’ll change the rules and end shutdowns for good. And then actually did it.
Beyond being dumb and unnecessary, it’s flat-out disrespectful to keep treating federal employees like bargaining chips.
Beyond being dumb and unnecessary, it’s flat-out disrespectful to keep treating federal employees like bargaining chips.
Yarvin seems to be doing some sort of publicity tour? I saw an ad that he'll be doing a debate at Yale Law School (closed to the public).
Anyway I have no interest but I think the condition of his invitation to these things should be that he wears a bike helmet throughout.
Anyway I have no interest but I think the condition of his invitation to these things should be that he wears a bike helmet throughout.
Seeing Curtis Yarvin tweet is like if you watch a horror movie that sets up this mysterious evil villain, and then at the end of the movie comes the grand reveal… and it’s just Alf. And you can’t help but laugh and also feel a bit let down. That’s it??
September 28, 2025 at 2:42 AM
Yarvin seems to be doing some sort of publicity tour? I saw an ad that he'll be doing a debate at Yale Law School (closed to the public).
Anyway I have no interest but I think the condition of his invitation to these things should be that he wears a bike helmet throughout.
Anyway I have no interest but I think the condition of his invitation to these things should be that he wears a bike helmet throughout.
This is exactly the sort of epistemology driving beliefs in witchcraft and shamans. There's power to it, no doubt. One reason I tend to put less weight on recent narratives about biased information driving political trends.
Five years ago, @brandyzadrozny.bsky.social and I did a story about rural Oregon's fever dream that Antifa was coming to their town from Portland.
Hundreds showed up armed downtown because they heard on Facebook that "Antifa buses" were coming.
No buses came so they said Antifa "retreated."
Hundreds showed up armed downtown because they heard on Facebook that "Antifa buses" were coming.
No buses came so they said Antifa "retreated."
In Klamath Falls, Oregon, victory declared over antifa, which never showed up
Towns from Washington state to Indiana have seen armed groups begin patrolling the streets after rumors spread on social media about an antifa invasion.
www.nbcnews.com
September 27, 2025 at 9:58 PM
This is exactly the sort of epistemology driving beliefs in witchcraft and shamans. There's power to it, no doubt. One reason I tend to put less weight on recent narratives about biased information driving political trends.
I'd go further and say that the boosting of outlier research by conservative politicos as a framing strategy to devalue academia has nothing to do with the content of the work itself.
On the exact opposite end of the spectrum, much of Stephen Kershnar's work was used to the same end.
On the exact opposite end of the spectrum, much of Stephen Kershnar's work was used to the same end.
but what do you want academics as a whole *to do* that will materially move the needle? there are twenty people doing regressions for every one using the ivory tower to scream that decolonization is not a metaphor. but as long as that one person does exist Chris Rufo is going to find them and boost.
September 27, 2025 at 7:12 PM
I'd go further and say that the boosting of outlier research by conservative politicos as a framing strategy to devalue academia has nothing to do with the content of the work itself.
On the exact opposite end of the spectrum, much of Stephen Kershnar's work was used to the same end.
On the exact opposite end of the spectrum, much of Stephen Kershnar's work was used to the same end.
I don't really like Wilco but the new Jeff Tweedy solo album is quite good
September 27, 2025 at 5:51 PM
I don't really like Wilco but the new Jeff Tweedy solo album is quite good
Why do people put "MBA" next to their name? It's a two-year degree and I'm not sure that even faculty in the business schools can give you a coherent answer about what unique skills come with the degree
September 26, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Why do people put "MBA" next to their name? It's a two-year degree and I'm not sure that even faculty in the business schools can give you a coherent answer about what unique skills come with the degree