Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
banner
ashafferwx.bsky.social
Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
@ashafferwx.bsky.social
Retired TV meteorologist, UW-Madison graduate in Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences. Bike commuting, mountain biking, windsurfing, skiing, backpacking, canoeing. Protect the Boundary Waters Canoe Area. Minneapolis Bicycle Advisory Committee Ward 8.
Another storm arrives overnight Friday - but for Minneapolis/St. Paul it's more likely a couple of inches of snow, with a quick ramp-up as you head south. If you have family visiting from Iowa they may want to head home Friday afternoon. #mnwx #iawx
November 27, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
MSP Airport [Hennepin Co, MN] Official NWS Obs reports Snow of 3.10 Inch at 6:00 AM CST -- Storm total as of 6 AM. Light snow still falling at observation.
at Wed, 26 Nov 2025 12:27:09 +0000 via IEMbot
Additional Details Here.
November 26, 2025 at 12:28 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
Rain quickly changing to snow now across MSP from west to east.
Snowfall totals so far
Baxter 7"
Rothsay 7"
Brainerd 6.5"
Pelican Rapids 6.3"
Duluth 4.5"
Latest storm update.
#mnwx
www.mprnews.org/story/2025/1...
Storm update: Snowfall totals and high winds increasing into Wednesday morning.
A feisty wintry storm is dumping wind-blown snow across much of Minnesota overnight into Wednesday morning. Weather conditions will gradually improve later Wednesday.
www.mprnews.org
November 26, 2025 at 3:39 AM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
Here's a YouTube short that shows more or less shows the entirety of what happened right before St. Paul Police went on their little rampage (spoiler: no one protesting did anything remotely violent) youtube.com/shorts/A3bXg...
November 26, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Heavier band of snow in western suburbs is working it's way into Minneapolis shortly. Winter is coming. #mnwx
November 26, 2025 at 3:35 AM
Mesoscale discussion out for central Minnesota - 1-2" per hour snowfall possible soon in the middle third of Minnesota. #mnwx
November 26, 2025 at 12:31 AM
A different storm. We'll talk about that after tonight's.
Following the ongoing winter storm across the Upper Midwest, another storm system is forecast to impact parts of the Midwest and Great Lakes with wintry weather this weekend. Keep an eye on the forecast and check weather.gov for more information. ❄️
November 25, 2025 at 11:57 PM
Update: Still looking like around 3-6" of really heavy (in the literal - it will weigh a lot sense) snow overnight. Looking for that transition between about 6-8 p.m. tonight. Snow should be over but very gusty winds will remain in the morning. Heavier totals likely found north metro. #MNWX
November 25, 2025 at 10:37 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
Storm update: Heavy snow (1"-2"/hour) already falling I-94 Fargo-Alexandria.
Rain (thunder?) to snow tonight MSP 6-10 p.m.
Wind-whipped snow overnight.
3" to 6" range likely MSP. (heaviest north)
5" to 10"+ central MN -North Shore.
Icy AM commute!
#mnwx
www.mprnews.org/story/2025/1...
Winter storm update: Heavy snow and high winds increasing through Tuesday night
The season’s first major wintry storm impacts Minnesota through Wednesday morning.
www.mprnews.org
November 25, 2025 at 9:04 PM
Models, as usual, are all over the place, trending north and south at different times. Right now the range I'd go with is 3-7" in the Twin Cities - and if I had to put money on *one* number, I'd say to expect 3" of heavy, slushy snow. #MNWX

Image is 3KM NAM forecast, with about 3-4" of snow.
November 25, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
Latest Monday evening 0Z HRRR continues southward trend with Tuesday storm. If verified that would increase snowfall totals forecast for MSP area by Wednesday AM. Stay tuned, snowfall forecast may "inch up" Tuesday before the snow flies.
#mnwx
November 25, 2025 at 1:56 AM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
A winter storm to impact the Northern Plains, Upper Midwest, and Great Lakes this Thanksgiving week. Periods of heavy snow and gusty winds may make travel difficult at times. Be sure to check weather.gov for more information. ❄️
November 24, 2025 at 8:23 PM
Snow totals still looking interesting across Minnesota Tuesday-Wednesday. As usual, it's borderline/fringe snow in the Twin Cities - or it's not. Right now, the European ECMWF model shows roughly 2" in the Twin Cities, with a quick increase north. The GFS shows more snow + southern creep. #MNWX
November 24, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
Well, it was a good run.
November 22, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Looking at possible snow in Minnesota and the Twin Cities on Tuesday evening through early Wednesday - switching from rain earlier in the day Tuesday. Then winter seems to begin - at least for the time being. Snow totals depend on changeover time+stormtrack, but 2-3 slushy inches possible. #mnwx
November 22, 2025 at 2:36 PM
Finally got my film developed from our recent trip! These were taken with Fuji 35mm film along the Amstel River in Amsterdam. Two windmills, two bikes.
November 22, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
Twin Metals is back, trying to mine near the Boundary Waters. We beat them once, but they're relentless. With your support, we'll defend clean water, push for permanent protection, and keep the BWCA wild. Donate now and double your impact during Give to the Max.
www.givemn.org/bwcaw?referr...
November 20, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
Sorry for another Give to the Max Day post! Our following isn't huge here – but it's meaningful. If you're concerned about housing, treatment, mental health, and giving people a chance at a career - or all of the above, consider a #GTMD25 donation to Avivo at www.givemn.org/organization...
November 20, 2025 at 3:58 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
Some perspective on how dry we’ve been the last few months, and how—rain or snow—moisture is needed.

Last 6 months: not bad, a little dry up north

Last 60 days: much drier than normal

Last 30 days: much drier than normal
November 20, 2025 at 2:32 AM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
There have been reports of federal government activity in Ward Four this morning. As of right now, we believe the entities involved are FBI and DEA, not ICE. We’re continuing to work to get official confirmation of this, and to monitor the activity in the area closely. I’ll share more as I’m able.
November 18, 2025 at 3:03 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
Per MIRAC trained observers are on site and MORE OBSERVERS REQUESTED. Go if you can:
November 18, 2025 at 2:57 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
About 30 cars of ICE and DEA agents staging st Newell park in St. Paul
November 18, 2025 at 2:34 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
Hard cut off on the slushy snow in the Twin Cities. There are some slippery stretches (blue lines, second pic) in the far south metro.
November 18, 2025 at 1:48 PM
Reposted by Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer
And so it begins!
Slushy snow ❄️ accumulations likely overnight especially S of MSP.
NWS graphic seems reasonable given latest models.
Locally higher totals possible within the wider snow zone.
Let the games begin.
#mnwx
November 17, 2025 at 6:23 PM
I've been sleeping on this one - but you shouldn't. There's a CHANCE of some light snow accumulation overnight. Some model runs still showing it missing us entirely - some 1-2" of slushy snow (I'd expect roughly 1" to be safe). Timing is just after midnight - so you'll know when you wake up! #MNWX
November 17, 2025 at 8:39 PM