Jonathan Judge
@bachlaw.bsky.social
Lawyer, former Wisconsinite, (coefficient) shrinkage enthusiast. Baseball Prospectus stats, PECOTA. Likes: Brewers, Packers, statistical parameters.
Why say “recipes” plural when the only Christmas Cookie you ever need is right there?
It’s the most wonderful time of the year: Cookie season. Here are 29 of our most-loved Christmas cookie recipes. nyti.ms/4a9DD5X
December 14, 2025 at 6:43 PM
Why say “recipes” plural when the only Christmas Cookie you ever need is right there?
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
If the Brewers call asking for one of your relievers you should hang up on principle
December 13, 2025 at 11:53 PM
If the Brewers call asking for one of your relievers you should hang up on principle
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
I like to remind people, now and then, that Dan Turkenkopf helped build DRA @baseballprospectus.com, and about 15 minutes later, he was hired by the #Brewers. The stuff DRA likes, the Brewers often like, too. Angel Zerpa's DRA- the last three years: 96, 90, 74.
December 13, 2025 at 11:49 PM
I like to remind people, now and then, that Dan Turkenkopf helped build DRA @baseballprospectus.com, and about 15 minutes later, he was hired by the #Brewers. The stuff DRA likes, the Brewers often like, too. Angel Zerpa's DRA- the last three years: 96, 90, 74.
Brewers clearing an OF spot for Kyle Tucker. Love the boldness.
December 13, 2025 at 11:58 PM
Brewers clearing an OF spot for Kyle Tucker. Love the boldness.
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
Climate action has become less urgent now that affordability is top of mind. The good news is, emissions are likely to decline anyway. on.wsj.com/4oSkOb9
Politicians and CEOs have gone quiet about climate change. The good news is, emissions are likely to decline anyway.
Climate action has become less urgent now that affordability is top of mind. The good news is, emissions are likely to decline anyway.
on.wsj.com
December 13, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Climate action has become less urgent now that affordability is top of mind. The good news is, emissions are likely to decline anyway. on.wsj.com/4oSkOb9
Despite what MLB keeps suggesting, I don’t think (smart) small market teams care about a salary cap.
Having six-plus years of player control is far more valuable than the ability to pay less to players you won’t sign anyway. A salary cap would just make being the Dodgers or Mets more profitable.
Having six-plus years of player control is far more valuable than the ability to pay less to players you won’t sign anyway. A salary cap would just make being the Dodgers or Mets more profitable.
December 13, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Despite what MLB keeps suggesting, I don’t think (smart) small market teams care about a salary cap.
Having six-plus years of player control is far more valuable than the ability to pay less to players you won’t sign anyway. A salary cap would just make being the Dodgers or Mets more profitable.
Having six-plus years of player control is far more valuable than the ability to pay less to players you won’t sign anyway. A salary cap would just make being the Dodgers or Mets more profitable.
The problem is that virtually everybody has to bend the knee if the federal government wants them to. They can and will ruin you. When your side is in charge it is suddenly ok for companies and universities to be harassed on your issues. Truly a “both sides do it” problem, differing only in degree.
Any university, law firm, corporation or other powerful entity that now bends the knee for Trump deserves to be scorned and boycotted.
He is deeply unpopular and will only grow more unpopular. Moreover his power is waning and his own coalition smells it and is fracturing.
He is deeply unpopular and will only grow more unpopular. Moreover his power is waning and his own coalition smells it and is fracturing.
December 12, 2025 at 2:11 PM
The problem is that virtually everybody has to bend the knee if the federal government wants them to. They can and will ruin you. When your side is in charge it is suddenly ok for companies and universities to be harassed on your issues. Truly a “both sides do it” problem, differing only in degree.
This is why I am content to let others handle this activity.
A skydiver survived a harrowing jump after their parachute was caught on a plane wing, leaving them dangling in the air, the Australian Transport Safety Bureau said in a report released Thursday.
Video Shows Skydiver Dangling From Plane’s Tail After Parachute Gets Stuck
A parachutist in Queensland, Australia, survived by cutting the chute free at 15,000 feet when a reserve parachute accidentally deployed, according to a government report.
nyti.ms
December 12, 2025 at 4:18 AM
This is why I am content to let others handle this activity.
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
A slew of improvements to NUTS
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/11/a...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/11/a...
A slew of improvements to NUTS | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
December 11, 2025 at 8:37 PM
A slew of improvements to NUTS
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/11/a...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/12/11/a...
Indiana has a unique tradition of effective-government pragmatism that Team MAGA has been trying to bulldoze away. It will be pretty meaningful if this fails.
Indiana Republican State Senator Greg Goode, a key swing vote who Trump attacked by name and was victim of swatting attempt, indicates he's voting no on mid-decade gerrymandering. Increases likelihood bill will fail. He denounces "Threats of primaries. Threats of violence. Acts of violence."
December 11, 2025 at 8:25 PM
Indiana has a unique tradition of effective-government pragmatism that Team MAGA has been trying to bulldoze away. It will be pretty meaningful if this fails.
An average of 71 pounds lost at the highest dose plus relief from knee degradation. Eli Lilly appears to be unstoppable.
Eli Lilly’s experimental weight-loss drug retatrutide resulted in significant weight loss and reduced knee pain in a phase three trial involving patients with obesity and knee osteoarthritis. on.wsj.com/4pza4zH
Eli Lilly Reports Positive Results From Study of Weight Loss Drug
Eli Lilly’s experimental weight-loss drug retatrutide resulted in significant weight loss and reduced knee pain in a phase three trial involving patients with obesity and knee osteoarthritis.
on.wsj.com
December 11, 2025 at 1:22 PM
An average of 71 pounds lost at the highest dose plus relief from knee degradation. Eli Lilly appears to be unstoppable.
Has Carrington ever made a shot?
December 11, 2025 at 2:28 AM
Has Carrington ever made a shot?
If you are interested in either a data science career or hobby, including in sports analysis, this opportunity is not to be missed. Watch the lectures. Read the chapters. Do the work.
I would be concerned about any applicant who hadn’t done this already.
I would be concerned about any applicant who hadn’t done this already.
I'm teaching Statistical Rethinking again starting Jan 2026. This time with live lectures, divided into Beginner and Experienced sections. Will be a lot more work for me, but I hope much better for students.
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
December 9, 2025 at 2:48 PM
If you are interested in either a data science career or hobby, including in sports analysis, this opportunity is not to be missed. Watch the lectures. Read the chapters. Do the work.
I would be concerned about any applicant who hadn’t done this already.
I would be concerned about any applicant who hadn’t done this already.
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
I'm teaching Statistical Rethinking again starting Jan 2026. This time with live lectures, divided into Beginner and Experienced sections. Will be a lot more work for me, but I hope much better for students.
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
December 9, 2025 at 1:58 PM
I'm teaching Statistical Rethinking again starting Jan 2026. This time with live lectures, divided into Beginner and Experienced sections. Will be a lot more work for me, but I hope much better for students.
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
I will record lectures & all will be found at this link: github.com/rmcelreath/s...
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
Indiana went from one of college football’s losingest schools to the top team in the country. And it didn’t take endless hours on the practice field to get there. on.wsj.com/3KPutkL
They’re the Best Team in College Football—and They Barely Practice at All
Indiana went from one of college football’s losingest schools to the top team in the country. And it didn’t take endless hours on the practice field to get there.
on.wsj.com
December 9, 2025 at 12:01 PM
Indiana went from one of college football’s losingest schools to the top team in the country. And it didn’t take endless hours on the practice field to get there. on.wsj.com/3KPutkL
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
The Guy Teams Were Willing To Face After Intentionally Walking Barry Bonds has now been elected to the Hall of Fame over Barry Bonds
Hall of Fame Contemporary Baseball Era veterans committee elects Jeff Kent
December 8, 2025 at 12:49 AM
The Guy Teams Were Willing To Face After Intentionally Walking Barry Bonds has now been elected to the Hall of Fame over Barry Bonds
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
Rolling out a righty to the left forcing a throw against his body/momentum…leads to that.
December 8, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Rolling out a righty to the left forcing a throw against his body/momentum…leads to that.
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
Glad I saved this by @longwall26.bsky.social
December 7, 2025 at 7:06 PM
Glad I saved this by @longwall26.bsky.social
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
Indiana was the worst team in college football for 150 years and then they let you start paying players and they immediately became No. 1 and the only conclusion one can draw is they were the only ones who didn’t realize you could pay players under the table for the first 150 years.
December 7, 2025 at 4:39 AM
Indiana was the worst team in college football for 150 years and then they let you start paying players and they immediately became No. 1 and the only conclusion one can draw is they were the only ones who didn’t realize you could pay players under the table for the first 150 years.
Complaints about the unfairness of having to play (and lose badly) in a divisional title game sound good until you remember what those same people would say if their team had won instead.
December 7, 2025 at 3:24 AM
Complaints about the unfairness of having to play (and lose badly) in a divisional title game sound good until you remember what those same people would say if their team had won instead.
Never thought I would say this again, but what a tremendous college football game.
December 7, 2025 at 3:22 AM
Never thought I would say this again, but what a tremendous college football game.
The most important thing for junior high boys to wear, rain, sleet or snow: white clogs.
December 6, 2025 at 7:48 PM
The most important thing for junior high boys to wear, rain, sleet or snow: white clogs.
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
political science
Found when sorting an old drive. I still, very occasionally, say 'not many badgers in the House of Lords' and this is why:
December 6, 2025 at 12:47 PM
political science
Reposted by Jonathan Judge
I'm forced to check Turnitin Similarity and AI report for MSc theses I supervise. A thesis was flagged with "An attempt to hinder similarity detection by replacing characters with similar looking ones from different alphabets or character sets." Flagged parts were equations with Greek letters!
December 5, 2025 at 1:55 PM
I'm forced to check Turnitin Similarity and AI report for MSc theses I supervise. A thesis was flagged with "An attempt to hinder similarity detection by replacing characters with similar looking ones from different alphabets or character sets." Flagged parts were equations with Greek letters!
Told myself 20minutes ago I would watch this 76ers / Warriors game until somebody made a 3. It finally happened.
December 5, 2025 at 12:24 AM
Told myself 20minutes ago I would watch this 76ers / Warriors game until somebody made a 3. It finally happened.