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Classical Studies Memes for Hellenistic Teens @csmfht.bsky.social · 2d

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · 10d

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Sam Abbott @seabbs.bsky.social · 10d

This is today at 3pm uk time. As a change of pace I think there will be a fairly heavy #julialang component

Sam Abbott @seabbs.bsky.social · 12d

For this weeks #epinowcast seminar at 3pm UK time online we have Sandra Montes speaking about dynamic survival analysis and optimal control policy for infectious disease modelling.

www.epinowcast.org/seminars/202...

Sandra Montes - Optimisation and Dynamic Survival Analysis: Towards a Toolkit for Epidemic Preparedness – Epinowcast

Epinowcast community site

www.epinowcast.org

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Thomas House @tah-sci.com · 11d

I love this. Explainer: There are 100 outcomes (all squares) each equally likely. Wiggly lines event happens 20% of the time; grey event happens 30% of the time. >

David K Butler @davidkbutler.bsky.social · 11d

This came up in the staff meeting today: how the ordinary English meaning of the word “independent” does not describe at all how a Venn diagram looks, and what to do to fix that. #MathSky www.adelaide.edu.au/mathslearnin...

A collection of nine diagrams. Each is a ten-by-ten grid with a four-by-five rectangle in its bottom left corner shaded with wavy lines. Each also has a five-by-six rectangle shaded in grey, overlapping with the wavy-shaded rectangle by a different amount in each diagram. They each have a label underneath too.
In the first diagram, the grey rectangle covers the wavy-shaded rectangle completely and the label says “Not independent”.
In the second diagram, the two rectangles overlap on 15 squares and the label says “Not independent”.
In the third diagram, the two rectangles overlap on 12 squares and the label says “Not independent”.
In the fourth diagram, the two rectangles overlap on 8 squares and the label says “Not independent”.
In the fifth diagram, the two rectangles overlap on 6 squares and the label says “Independent!” in capital letters.
In the sixth diagram, the two rectangles overlap on 4 squares and the label says “Not independent”.
In the seventh diagram, the two rectangles overlap on 2 squares and the label says “Not independent”.
In the eighth diagram, the two rectangles overlap on 1 squares and the label says “Not independent”.
In the ninth diagram, the two rectangles do not overlap and the label says “Not independent”.

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The Museum of English Rural Life (MERL) @themerl.bsky.social · 15d

yeah we're into LLMs (Large Lamb-bridge Models)

A herd of sheep move across a marshy bridge.

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Zach Weinersmith @zachweinersmith.bsky.social · 17d

Incidentally, in my experience this is the ultimate way to tell an arts nerd from a stem nerd. Arts nerd like the aesthetics of the left side, stem nerds like the logic of the right side. Linguists, being right at the periphery, refuse to choose sides.

Zach Weinersmith @zachweinersmith.bsky.social · 17d

Fight.

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Communications Biology @commsbio.nature.com · 18d

a bit delayed, but still hot: ‪‪A phylodynamic study, conducted in southwestern France, on the importance of farm density when it comes to avian influenza spread: www.nature.com/articles/s42... @claireguinat.bsky.social @epidesa.bsky.social

Poultry farm density and proximity drive highly pathogenic avian influenza spread - Communications Biology

A study using phylodynamics to investigate highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N8 spread in southwestern France in 2020 and 2021 demonstrates that a single introduction led to rapid spread, mainly in duck farms, with farm density driving transmission.

www.nature.com

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · 23d

Chuffed to announce that registration for the HPAI Modelling Challenge is now open! Interested in testing your modelling team's outbreak response capabilities in a synthetic, peacetime setting? Want to contribute to the improvement of HPAI epidemic preparedness? Check out below:

HPAI Modelling Challenge @hpai-mod-challenge.bsky.social · 23d

🚨 Registration is OPEN 🚨
Join the International Mathematical Modelling Challenge on HPAI!

Participate alongside other modelling teams as you:
🌍 simulate outbreaks
🧮 test management strategies
🤝 strengthen epidemic preparedness

#HPAIModChallenge #HPAI #Epidemiology #OneHealth #DiseaseDynamics

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Adam Kucharski @adamjkucharski.bsky.social · Sep 10

Recently came across the really useful term 'Moat of Low Status' from Cate Hall. It describes why we find it so difficult to take steps required to fulfil our ambitions - if we're already good at one thing, it's hard to endure being bad at something else.

Learn to love the Moat of Low Status

It hurts, but less than you think

usefulfictions.substack.com

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NY Times Pitchbot @nytpitchbot.bsky.social · Sep 5

Whether it's Democrats making it harder for kids to get cigarettes or Republicans making it harder for kids to get vaccines, both sides have imposed the will of government on America's children.

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Sep 1

When Woody Guthrie proclaimed “This Machine Kills Fascists” this is exactly what he meant 🇺🇸 youtu.be/PL0oB1gbZE4?... #SongoftheYear

The Ballad of Big Balls

YouTube video by Jesse Welles

youtu.be

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Maryn McKenna @marynmck.bsky.social · Aug 29

Bsky is so disseminated that you never know who is seeing what. So I want to be sure that people see that the foremost public and global health law theorist in the US, Lawrence Gostin of Georgetown Law, is here on Bsky and doesn't have nearly enough followers. Fix that, folks.

gostin.bsky.social @gostin.bsky.social · Aug 28

So, today I finally got an official letter firing me from the scientific board of NIH's Fogarty International Center. The letter read: You "serve at the pleasure of the Secretary of Health and Human Services. As such, your appointment has been rescinded"

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IDDjobs @iddjobs.org · Aug 26

2 x Postdocs (Berkeley, CA, USA)
Infectious-disease modelling & phylodynamics for pandemic preparedness
with ‪@charleswhittaker.bsky.social‬
at @petal-team.bsky.social‬ @ucberkeleyofficial.bsky.social‬ ‪@berkeleypublichlth.bsky.social‬
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2351

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 26

Great opportunity in Happy Valley! Would recommend cross-posting to @iddjobs.org

IDDjobs

Find infectious disease dynamics modelling jobs, studentships, and fellowships.

iddjobs.org

Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 26

nothing innocent about a pie chart!

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 26

The most important takeaway: this is *not* a situation where reaction will be sufficient. If prevention measures fail—and by all current appearances, they appear to be heading in that direction—the human, animal, and economic toll may be staggering. 7/7

Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 26

Vector-borne epidemics tend to explode once a threshold is crossed. Individual livestock cases will go unnoticed until there are simultaneous outbreaks, and by the time an infestation is noticed, multiple herds in a region will be affected, requiring a large coordinated response. 6/7

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 26

Look at West Africa’s battle with Old World Screwworm since 2023: 1000s of cases, freq wound care and anti-parasitic administration, huge cross-sector response… Btw, there isn’t an approved treatment for NWS—all parasiticides would be off-label. Veterinary demand alone would be staggering. 5/7

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 26

What human health tolls? Agriculture is already one of the most stressful occupations, and no shortage of studies show the *intense* physical and mental health toll epizootics have on farmers and ag workers. 4/7

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 26

†i am very much not an economist

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 26

Texas is home to ~12 not 7 million cattle. Herd sizes and production systems in the report are outdated, there's no trade disruption, it assumes rapid SIT deployment, doesn't include response costs, etc. I'd venture† the $1.8B figure is off by *an order of magnitude* (at least in final costs) 3/7

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 26

Economically? NWS isn't just loses to cattle futures. The USDA economic estimates are a useful start, but the (conservative) conclusions were extrapolated from data from *50 years ago*. 2/7

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 26

Screwworm is making headlines because of this rare imported human case, but a slightly important omission from these articles is just how *insanely catastrophic* a New World Screwworm (NWS) epidemic would be on people, livestock, pets, and the US economy. 1/7

Mark Chadbourn @chadbourn.bsky.social · Aug 24

First human case of the flesh-eating screwworm in the US has been identified in Maryland.

Exclusive: First human screwworm case in US traced to person in Maryland who traveled from Guatemala, sources say

A case of the flesh-eating screwworm parasite has been identified in a person in Maryland who had traveled to the United States from Guatemala, according to four sources familiar with the situation.

www.reuters.com

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🎃 public HELLth guy 🎃 @publichealthguy1.bsky.social · Aug 15

NEW: The CDC shooting was public health’s Jan. 6. from @colincarlson.bsky.social and myself for @statnews.com. we do not make this comparison lightly, and we bring the receipts.

The CDC shooting was public health’s Jan. 6

“In RFK Jr.’s America, it will never be safe to practice public health or medicine," write an epidemiologist and a former CDC staffer.

www.statnews.com

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Brandon Hayes @brandonhayes.bsky.social · Aug 15

Love all those calligraphic letters we get to use in stat formulas. I hope other disciplines get to experience the joy of writing a fancy Y rather than the regular boring one.

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