Alex Sutherland
@criminologist.bsky.social
1K followers 520 following 2.1K posts
Criminology, public policy, research and experiments
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criminologist.bsky.social
Yep.

And if we don't train future statisticians, hell, future "people who do numbers", there will be noone to spot when things have gone wrong.

Just like with software etc when junior roles are threatened by AI.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
danneidle.bsky.social
Nik Storonsky, the founder of Revolut, has left the UK and become tax resident in Dubai - escaping more than £3bn of UK tax.

Could we have stopped him leaving? Either with the carrot of a more competitive tax system, or the stick of an exit tax?

Some thoughts:
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
danneidle.bsky.social
Every developed country in the world has an "exit tax" - you leave with unrealised capital gains, and you're taxed on them.

Except the UK and Italy:
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
pennyend.bsky.social
Oh my goodness! We’ve been discussing using gracehopper chips in our next supercomputer but I didn’t know! Respect!
wyrdwomen.bsky.social
Grace Hopper was an American computer scientist and United States Navy rear admiral. She was a pioneer of computer programming who was the first to devise the theory of machine-independent programming languages.

#COBOL
#FLOW-MATIC
#WomeninSTEM
#WyrdWomen
criminologist.bsky.social
Really good post and another set of reasons to resist using AI all the time for everything.

(And I always hated Teams and thought it bloated, but 100% CPU usage is just really bad software)
bownie.bsky.social
"Normalized incompetence" seems to sum up my day-to-day!
fransbouma.com
This was a great read. No idea how to get on top of this, perhaps pulling random people away from keyboards? Who knows!
techtrenches.substack.com/p/the-great-...
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
robmanuelyeah.bsky.social
Some people say, ok AI is 80% right and 20% hallucinations, and if you know that then you can work with it.

Out of curiosity I asked AI to summarise the last b3ta newsletter & every single bit of this, other than the title, isn't true. Not just a distortion, but absolutely untrue. Pure fantasy.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
annadent.bsky.social
ICO orders DWP to

"disclose the list of all AI tools DWP plans to place on the Algorithmic Transparency Recording Standards Hub"

I.e. publish details of all the AI they are using unless there is a valid reason to keep it secret

h/t @rightsnet.org.uk
Department for Work and Pensions (DWP)
ico.org.uk
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
nuffieldlibrary.bsky.social
Also:
Tradecraft: writers on John le Carré edited by @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social Senior Research Fellow Federico Varese
Find out more about this tie-in with the @bodleian.ox.ac.uk exhibition here:
visit.bodleian.ox.ac.uk/lecarre
Book cover showing a close up photograph of a late middle-aged man's face
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
jasonfurman.bsky.social
The other day a student asked me about the prevalence of insider trading in prediction markets. I now have an answer.
criminologist.bsky.social
Soooooo wrong. But very funny.
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
johnhorgan.bsky.social
"He was looking for a way out. She was looking for a way in."

The most romantic film of the year.

The Silence of the Lambs.

youtu.be/HCoTiU0S85Y?...
The Silence of the Lambs as a Romantic Comedy - Trailer Mix
YouTube video by CineFix - IGN Movies and TV
youtu.be
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
pengzell.bsky.social
The exodus has begun
florianscheuer.bsky.social
I am delighted to share that Nobel laureates Esther Duflo and Abhijit Banerjee will join our Department of Economics @econ.uzh.ch at the University of Zurich on July 1, 2026, as Lemann Foundation Professors of Economics.

🧵 1/7
criminologist.bsky.social
"Economists" are green/bottom right quad. "Low friction, high capability, low repugnance" (low repugnance to their being placed).

Is this research just measuring "how well do people understand what other people do in a given occupation"?
koenfucius.bsky.social
AI will take our jobs—and that’s (mostly) OK with us, US survey by Friis & Riley finds.

When AI is described as equally effective as humans at lower cost, there is support for automation for 58% of occupations, with
12% of jobs categorically off limits:

buff.ly/82HlaFX
criminologist.bsky.social
But why is it that those voices, decried by many, are repeatedly on or in the media?

"Attention economy" is the media equivalent of "treasury brain" IMO because it leads to short-term/now-now decisions about attention/clicks that have long-term consequences.

Eg the "discourse" we have now...
criminologist.bsky.social
😮
the-hedgehog.bsky.social
Ukrainian drone followed a Russian drone back to its home, hit the Russian drone operator
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
mcsweeneys.net
"You’re a man. You’re into man stuff, like weed wackers, sports that cause brain damage, and getting hired by your dad’s golf friends. But it’s autumn. And something feels different."
Pumpkin Spice: Now For Men
You’re a man. You’re into man stuff, like weed wackers, sports that cause brain damage, and getting hired by your dad’s golf friends. But it’s autu...
buff.ly
criminologist.bsky.social
Absolutely this. 1000 years of Nobels to women before a single notion that non-human effort gets recognised.

To even write the headline for this piece - which may well not have been the author - is absurd.
profannawatts.bsky.social
Lol the Nobels can't even acknowledge women's contribution to discovery. But sure let's acknowledge The Machines.
Headline from an article in Nature this week that states "Prizes must recognize machine contributions to discovery. The future of science will be written by humans and machines together. Awards should reflect that reality."
Reposted by Alex Sutherland
profannawatts.bsky.social
Lol the Nobels can't even acknowledge women's contribution to discovery. But sure let's acknowledge The Machines.
Headline from an article in Nature this week that states "Prizes must recognize machine contributions to discovery. The future of science will be written by humans and machines together. Awards should reflect that reality."
criminologist.bsky.social
"Trumpian" as the ultimate one word Reviewer 2 review
criminologist.bsky.social
[maths version of this is the same meme but find-replace maths for stats]

...but yes, it [AI/ML/NLP/etc] is just applied stats...

...the hype side of it is applied marketing
criminologist.bsky.social
Policy-based evidence in the wild!

(And it is wild!)