Daniel McDowell
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danielmcdowell.bsky.social
Daniel McDowell
@danielmcdowell.bsky.social
Family man | Professor @Syracuse | Sr. Fellow @Atlantic Council | Fmr. China Fellow @TheWilsonCenter | Geoeconomics, Finance, & Cleveland sports | www.danielmcdowell.org
Pinned
New pinned post.
January 12, 2026 at 4:53 PM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
What a cool job!
Please share - @pewresearch.org wants to hire a data archivist who will be an advocate for data users, helping to ensure that our datasets are easy to discover and reuse by researchers, journalists, and the public.
pewtrusts.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/CenterExtern...
January 7, 2026 at 1:43 AM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
New Special Issue in @the-peio.bsky.social: Public Opinion and International Organizations. In the SI intro, we map the field, place the SI papers & identify ways forward: rdcu.be/eXt2R with @jonastallberg.bsky.social, 🙏 @adreher.bsky.social, reviewers & SI authors #Polisky #InternationalRelations
January 5, 2026 at 11:03 AM
Obligatory end-of-year retrospectives are my least favorite media form.
December 30, 2025 at 4:16 PM
"Russia is repaying China’s help [in Ukraine] by sharing advanced technologies in...undersea warfare..., advocat[ing] for greater Chinese involvement in governance of the High North...[and] invit[ing] China to develop infrastructure in Arctic Russia"

www.wsj.com/world/china-...
China’s Push to Master the Arctic Opens an Alarming Shortcut to U.S.
National-security officials say Chinese submarines and icebreakers pose a new military threat from the High North.
www.wsj.com
December 30, 2025 at 3:51 PM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
GWU is home to some of the best scholars of Russia, and multiple important research initiatives related to Russia and the region, so of course the Russian state considers it "undesirable."
December 29, 2025 at 5:00 PM
“There’s still that anxiety in people. It’s scary to talk about how one day this beautiful life may be over, and we have to adjust to some new realities.”

www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...
Russia’s Threats Put Europe’s Borderlands on Edge
The Baltic countries are fortifying their frontier regions as a deterrent to Russian aggression. Close to the border, communities now have to reckon with the price of peace.
www.bloomberg.com
December 28, 2025 at 1:53 PM
wait for it
You might be thinking, "CPSC, does a dry Christmas tree really burn that much faster than a well-watered tree?"

Friend, let's find out together by watching this PSA.
December 20, 2025 at 12:00 AM
New work exploring how elite discourse shapes public views of democracy from @seaytac.bsky.social
Why do citizens who say they support democracy tolerate leaders who dismantle it? Delighted to share my paper “Framing Democracy: How Elite Discourse Shapes Citizens' Understandings of Democracy and Enables Backsliding” is forthcoming in World Politics...(1/5, link at the end)
December 19, 2025 at 11:57 PM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Viktor Orbán — on the war in Ukraine:

"It’s not entirely clear who attacked whom."
December 19, 2025 at 9:43 PM
It took three days of work, but iteration two of my Geoeconomics & Statecraft PhD seminar is ready to launch in Spring 2026.

Syllabus link: drive.google.com/file/d/1u3p6...
December 18, 2025 at 1:18 AM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Your regular reminder that the Fed has a dual mandate, we should give thanks Jay Powell has taken it so seriously, & so many of his harshest & still unrepentant critics have confused their idiosyncratic personal inflation preferences with the idea that it were otherwise

bsky.app/profile/mcop...
Fed's Powell: If we didn't have to worry about the labour market, the policy rate would be higher
December 10, 2025 at 8:34 PM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
This longer-term view very much undercuts the Putin/Trump claim that “Russia has the upper hand.”
Since late 2022 Russia's battlefield advances in Ukraine have remained slow
• Over past three years Russia has captured only an additional 1.45% of Ukraine’s land
• Russia’s advance also comes at enormous cost, with 1-1.35m Russian soldiers killed or wounded so far
www.economist.com/graphic-deta...
December 11, 2025 at 1:08 PM
Since I'll be trading in a pair of my vintage Advent Loudspeakers over the weekend, I decided to stack them in accordance with Hi-Fi lore.

My wife told me I have 24-hours before I must take this monstrosity down.
December 11, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
From October 2025 -

Inflation and Incumbent Support: Experimental Evidence from the 2024 US Presidential Election - cup.org/3JaiZYj

"priming Americans to think about inflation reduced support for the incumbent"

- Selim Erdem Aytaç, @danielmcdowell.bsky.social & David A. Steinberg

#OpenAccess
December 9, 2025 at 1:40 AM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Europe must act now. We should use Russia’s frozen assets to provide a reparations loan that strengthens Ukraine’s ability to defend itself. This is fair, feasible and urgent. Leaders of 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇸🇪🇵🇱🇮🇪 to 🇪🇺 in the name of 🇺🇦
December 8, 2025 at 1:59 PM
"Tariff" has one R and two Fs
"Terrific" has two Rs and one F.
That is all.
December 2, 2025 at 6:24 PM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
From this a.m. on the talks in Florida, as they were starting. Not much optimism from me, and a suggestion that the US needs a different strategy.
Russia-Ukraine war: Talks underway in Florida
Top US officials, including Secretary of State Marco Rubio, US envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Sunday in South Florida with a Ukrainian delegation ahead of Witkoff's meeting this coming week...
www.livenowfox.com
November 30, 2025 at 10:31 PM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
my most dad-core belief is that the IRA should have been called the Defeat Inflation Program (DIP) so that it better paired with the other signature Biden policy -- the CHIPS act.
December 1, 2025 at 5:14 PM
I realize this is not the sophisticated opinion but:

Wonderful Christmastime is legitimately a top five Christmas song, in my book. It's catchy and fun. It makes me happy every time I hear it. I love the synthesizer. I love the overdubbed vocals. When the song comes on, I turn up the volume. 1/2
December 1, 2025 at 7:03 PM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
We used to have nice things
November 25, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
Republicans increasingly oppose requiring healthy kids to get MMR vaccines to attend public schools
2016 19%
2019 20%
2023 42%
2025 47%
www.pewresearch.org/science/2025... 🧪
November 23, 2025 at 10:30 PM
There are too many alternate uniforms in sports.
November 23, 2025 at 9:27 PM
Reposted by Daniel McDowell
US stocks are feeling very iffy. We're only down 5% from the all-time high in October, but the narrative around the AI boom has definitely changed. I'm getting more and more questions if Fed rate cuts can bail out the market, which tells you something...
robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/can-the-fe...
November 21, 2025 at 12:52 AM
Cool research!
NEW -

Hide and Seek: Offshore Financial Centers and Targeted Sanctions - https://cup.org/4i925GJ

- Menevis Cilizoglu & Chelsea Estancona

#OpenAccess
November 20, 2025 at 6:22 PM