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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 8h

I dunno, I think 2024 was the election where the urban/rural split finally established itself in anglo NB. Franco NB voted Liberal because of Higgs' language stances, we'll see if a more amenable PC leader can change that.

Rob Hoadley @robhoadley.bsky.social · 8h

New Brunswick doesn't (yet) have this urban/rural split. We still have longtime rural Liberal seats. Susan Holt won her election by picking up swing ridings in Fredericton, Saint John, and Moncton that were no guarantees for her party.

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 19h

the only provincial Liberal premier left now is Susan Holt.

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 20h

they call a a majority at 11:02. Not enough votes left in the last riding to be called (Fogo Island-Cape Freels) to make the difference.

election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 20h

CBC finally makes the call at 10:35 NT. PC largest party, not making a call on majority or minority yet.

election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 20h

CBC finally makes the call at 10:35 NT. PC largest party, not making a call on majority or minority yet.

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 20h

another hilarious east coast thing - CBC called up indie Paul Lane for an interview and he said they could broadcast live from his house.

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Reposted by election-atlas.ca

Rob Hoadley @robhoadley.bsky.social · 21h

“I’ve known Jeff Dwyer a long time, he used to work at the liquor store near my house” is peak East Coast political commentary

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

...and a 21st seat (Placentia West-Bellevue) flips PC.

NTV ticker has PCs with 21 and also a "NO MAJORITY" graphic at the same time.

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

NTV (who uses CTV's decision desk) declares no party will have a majority.... which is a crazy thing to say when one party is one seat short and only 3 votes behind in said seat.

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

yeah, the pollsters blew it.

Polling Canada @canadianpolling.bsky.social · 21h

A check in on the pollsters at this hour

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

what was the last election in this country that just flipped back and forth all night like this? NB 2018?

election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

um....2 seats just flipped PC and now it's 20-16.

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

um....2 seats just flipped PC and now it's 20-16.

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

....and now it's flipped back Liberal.

election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

and now the PCs go ahead thanks to Lewisporte-Twillingate... 6 polls left there.

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

and now the PCs go ahead thanks to Lewisporte-Twillingate... 6 polls left there.

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

popular vote: Liberal 44.2, PC 43.8

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

knowing that both Lane and Joyce are, well, independents for a reason... would an 18-18-2-2 House of Assembly be workable at all?

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

18-18!

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 21h

It's back down to 19-17. This might not be over.

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election-atlas.ca @electionatlasca.bsky.social · 22h

the last seat to report, Virginia Waters-Pleasantville, just came in and the Liberals lead. This puts them at 21, the number they need for a majority.

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