Bill Connelly
@espnbillc.bsky.social
32K followers 600 following 2K posts
ESPN writer, professional nerd. SP+. Author of three books (Study Hall, 50 Best* and Forward Progress). College football, soccer, tennis. Puma addiction. https://docs.google.com/document/d/1BKvo23DyGppxvRifqFgwkUoflPLQX5wabjUDIV4qUZA/edit?usp=sharing
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espnbillc.bsky.social
Hello, friends. It's FORWARD PROGRESS DAY.

"A cinematic celebration of college football’s exploding influence and a rigorous look at how and why the sport may look totally new once again," according to whoever wrote the summary blurb on Amazon.

www.amazon.com/Forward-Prog...
Forward Progress: The Definitive Guide to the Future of College Football
Amazon.com: Forward Progress: The Definitive Guide to the Future of College Football: 9781637278703: Connelly, Bill: Books
www.amazon.com
espnbillc.bsky.social
This quadbox is quadbox as HELL too.
espnbillc.bsky.social
Did I put this game in the top section of tomorrow's preview (and call it the Pop Rocks Margarita of the Week)? Why yes! Yes I did!
sickoscommittee.org
For the first time in the stadium’s history, North Texas’s DATCU Stadium has sold out for their Friday night game against USF.

Go Mean Green!
espnbillc.bsky.social
Yeah that marriage at Frankfurt went from brilliant to toxic ~overnight.
espnbillc.bsky.social
I think my biggest concern is that this is about the point in the cycle when he starts getting very annoyed with his organization and they in turn start getting very annoyed with him, lol.
espnbillc.bsky.social
Oh I definitely think they can maintain a 7th-place level, but right now it feels like they're playing at a higher level than even that (even if the table doesn't really say so)...
espnbillc.bsky.social
If you could average more than 3 points per game, they would be right now.
espnbillc.bsky.social
(The soccer content will continue until morale improves.)
espnbillc.bsky.social
Bayern's summer was defined by failed transfer attempts for guys like Florian Wirtz and Nick Woltemade. So they had to settle for ... fielding the best team in Europe over the first two months of the season. The 20 HOTTEST TEAMS in the Big Five:
www.espn.com/soccer/story...
The best teams in Europe right now: Bayern, Kane setting the tone
Bayern Munich's start to the season has been astonishingly good, but where does the rest of Europe fall in Bill Connelly's rankings?
www.espn.com
espnbillc.bsky.social
Mizzou's just had so many of them that it comes naturally!
Reposted by Bill Connelly
espnbillc.bsky.social
25 years ago, Oklahoma crushed Texas on the way to one of college football's most unexpected national titles. But how unexpected was it? I ranked the 20 most surprising title runs, from Jimbo's Noles to Murray Warmath's 2-loss Gophers.

www.espn.com/college-foot...
The 2000 Sooners and 19 other unlikely champions
OU's 2000 title team came out of nowhere to win it all. Honoring their 25th anniversary, we look at other surprising champs.
www.espn.com
espnbillc.bsky.social
The Jets making the playoffs at 4-13 would be the greatest moment in the history of the NFL.
brykno.bsky.social
Mathematically, the Jets can still make the playoffs at 4-13, but it becomes more likely than not at about 9-8.

In this case, I spot the Jets losses at Baltimore and Buffalo, but have them otherwise run the table against the third-easiest remaining schedule.

Unlikely? Very. But again, 2.1%
A theoretical schedule for the Jets, having them beat everyone except for the Ravens and Bills.
espnbillc.bsky.social
Ha, they were literally 21st. I was surprised too.
espnbillc.bsky.social
25 years ago, Oklahoma crushed Texas on the way to one of college football's most unexpected national titles. But how unexpected was it? I ranked the 20 most surprising title runs, from Jimbo's Noles to Murray Warmath's 2-loss Gophers.

www.espn.com/college-foot...
The 2000 Sooners and 19 other unlikely champions
OU's 2000 title team came out of nowhere to win it all. Honoring their 25th anniversary, we look at other surprising champs.
www.espn.com
espnbillc.bsky.social
Harvard and Tarleton both adding a little something new to the top of the rankings. Well, the top of the non-NDSU rankings anyway.
espnbillc.bsky.social
COLLEGE FOOTBALL SP+ TOP 766, WEEK 7

* No. 1 vs. No. 3 this week!
* LSU -121 Centenary
* Tenn Tech -2 UNC 😑
* West Florida -2 MTSU
* Your new No. 766 after a 62-7 loss to No. 595? The NEC Nor'easters! In 3 weeks: No. 766 vs. No. 765 for ALL THE TOP 766 MARBLES

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
espnbillc.bsky.social
I’m not in charge of FPI.
espnbillc.bsky.social
The ~90 of you hanging out in the doc have already noticed, but I made a tweak to SP+ to account for it suddenly picking nothing but Unders. Scoring curve was off a bit on the defensive ratings. Will get the website updated soon, but The Spreadsheet's changed.

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
Reposted by Bill Connelly
espnbillc.bsky.social
* Penn State's all-in season is just about over
* Lagway outdueled Arch
* Turnovers wrecked the script in Tuscaloosa and Tallahassee
* Damn near Tech vs. the Field in the Big 12
* SP+ movers! This week's Heisman winner! MULTIPLE HAIL MARY-ISH ENDINGS!

WEEK 6 RECAP: www.espn.com/college-foot...
How shocking upsets and near misses of Week 6 impact conference, CFP races
How bleak are things for Penn State and Texas? What's next in the ACC and Big 12? Bill Connelly has answers.
www.espn.com