Human Capital HCEO - CEHD
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hceconomics.bsky.social
Human Capital HCEO - CEHD
@hceconomics.bsky.social
400 followers 260 following 110 posts
Human Capital and Economic Opportunity Global Working Group at the @UChicago Center for the Economics of Human Development. We generate & share research on how people achieve their fullest potential. https://hceconomics.uchicago.edu https://cehd.uchicago.
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evavivalt.bsky.social
🚨 New working paper!

How well do people predict the results of studies?

@sdellavi.bsky.social and I leverage data from the first 100 studies to have been posted on the SSPP, containing 1,482 key questions, on which over 50,000 forecasts were placed. Some surprising results below.... 🧵👇
November 24, 2025 at 3:43 PM
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nber.org
Open call for papers, Health and Healthcare Variations across the Population Conference. Conference to be held in Cambridge, MA on May 15, 2026. Submit applications by 11:59pm EDT on February 13, 2026. More information: www.nber.org/calls-papers...
November 24, 2025 at 6:27 PM
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climent.bsky.social
Bridging Research and Policy for Gender Equality: From Insight to Impact @uniofreading.bsky.social
‬
🔗 research.reading.ac.uk/global-devel...

cc: @uofebusiness.bsky.social @exeter.ac.uk @resmedia.bsky.social @iza.org @hceconomics.bsky.social
Bridging Research and Policy for Gender Equality: From Insight to Impact - Global Development Research
Economists, social scientists, and policy thinkers met at the Gender Issues Development Workshop to discuss challenges affecting women and possible soultions
research.reading.ac.uk
November 24, 2025 at 11:15 AM
hceconomics.bsky.social
Interesting data on the impact of specializing curriculum in a new @nber.org working paper.
www.nber.org/papers/w34502
Malleable Minds: The Effects of STEM- vs. Humanities-Focused Curricula
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 24, 2025 at 6:29 PM
hceconomics.bsky.social
www.nber.org/papers/w34484
Do Test Scores Misrepresent Test Results? An Item-by-Item Analysis
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 18, 2025 at 6:26 PM
hceconomics.bsky.social
HCEO member Leo Bursztyn and colleagues study how social forces drive parental demand for artificial intelligence-based learning in teens' education. They find that social pressure drives individual technology adoption despite widespread support for restricting its use. www.nber.org/papers/w3448...
Social Dynamics of AI Adoption
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 18, 2025 at 6:24 PM
hceconomics.bsky.social
New @Nber.org working paper from HCEO member Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham (@paulgp.com) with Peter Hull and Michel Kolesar: www.nber.org/papers/w34473
Leniency Designs: An Operator’s Manual
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 18, 2025 at 6:10 PM
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dynarski.bsky.social
New evidence on how ICE is affecting student learning

https://drive.google.com/file/d/1erU5Oe0vJYdVjuqQi4sfhUGxS0BGjWl8/view?usp=drivesdk
November 10, 2025 at 10:40 AM
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aaronsojourner.org
Today

"After the ACA’s major provisions were implemented in 2014... displaced workers were more likely to have public coverage before job loss and less likely to lose coverage afterward."
The Virtual Economics of Poverty and Policy Seminar (VEPPS) continues next week. Date & time: Monday, November 17th at 2pm Eastern To register to receive the Zoom link: https://smith.zoom.us/meeting/register/NM_RCYTVQbC7bqoYKcLMVg Presenter: Mariana Zerpa (University of Chile) Paper Title: "Job loss and health insurance before and after the ACA" Abstract: We examine how the Affordable Care Act (ACA) altered the effects of involuntary job loss on health insurance coverage. Using matched event study models estimated on panel survey data, we document substantial declines in coverage following job loss prior to the ACA especially among middle-income workers. After the ACA’s major provisions were implemented in 2014, these losses were sharply reduced: displaced workers were more likely to have public coverage before job loss and less likely to lose coverage afterward. Heterogeneity by pre-displacement income reveals that the ACA closed gaps in baseline coverage and smoothed post-loss trajectories, particularly for middle-income individuals. Our findings highlight the ACA’s role in strengthening the insurance safety net for displaced workers.
November 10, 2025 at 1:51 PM
hceconomics.bsky.social
New from HCEO member Janet Currie et al: use of an affordable housing tax credit program improves long-term health outcomes for women and their children. www.nber.org/papers/w34464
Affordable Housing During Childhood Improves Long-term Outcomes of Women and their Children
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 10, 2025 at 6:31 PM
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rfberlin.bsky.social
🚨 It’s here! Nobel laureate Claudia Goldin’s Public Lecture at RFBerlin is now online. 🎥 Watch “Why Women Won”: www.youtube.com/live/aNd8ZtT...
RF Berlin Annual Public Lecture / Why Women WonWhy Women Won– Claudia Goldin
YouTube video by Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin
www.youtube.com
November 5, 2025 at 8:09 PM
hceconomics.bsky.social
www.nber.org/papers/w34434
The Financial Consequences of Being Denied Benefit Access
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 3, 2025 at 6:47 PM
hceconomics.bsky.social
Fascinating work from HCEO member @fagostin.bsky.social and Zach Weingarten that aims to sort out the intricate and dynamic interplay between genetic contributions to development (via polygenetic scores) and parental responses to genetic inheritances. www.nber.org/papers/w34427
Modeling and Measuring the Genetic Determinants of Child Development
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 3, 2025 at 6:33 PM
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gregggonsalves.bsky.social
Some charts for those who don't know the extent of the US public (and private) investment in research (particularly in biomedical research) compared to other countries and institutions. The destruction of the US' scientific institutions has global implications.
November 2, 2025 at 10:52 AM
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aaronsojourner.org
For struggling Americans, SNAP (food stamp program) reduces debt and delinquencies and increases credit scores.
www.nber.org/papers/w34434
#EconSky
Financial Consequences of Being Denied Benefit Access Tatiana Homonoff, Min S. Lee & Katherine Meckel Share X LinkedIn Facebook Bluesky Threads Email Link Working Paper 34434 DOI 10.3386/w34434 Issue Date October 2025 We examine the causal impact of being denied benefit access on the financial well-being of marginally-excluded households. Using experimental and quasi-random variation in the flexibility of mandatory intake interviews and a unique linkage between administrative Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) and credit report data, we find that households screened out of SNAP due to administrative barriers suffer tangible downstream economic consequences. Specifically, we find that process-related denials increase debt and delinquencies, and decrease credit scores. These results highlight the economic importance of implementation design and its role in strengthening (or undermining) the financial protection provided by social insurance programs.
November 3, 2025 at 11:15 AM
hceconomics.bsky.social
New from HCEO member @aaronsojourner.org and colleagues.
aaronsojourner.org Aaron Sojourner @aaronsojourner.org · 22d
How does employer access to prisoners’ labor through work release impact the well-being of those workers & of free workers?

New working paper by Sue Helper, Suresh Naidu, Akseli Palomaki, Adam Reich, + me provides evidence, focus on auto manufacturing in AL
#EconSky
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Coercion and Monopsony in Modern American Manufacturing: Evidence from Alabama Prison Labor Susan Helper Suresh Naidu Akseli Palomaki Adam Reich Aaron Sojourner We study coercion and monopsony in contemporary U.S. manufacturing labor markets. We combine administrative data from the Alabama Department of Corrections work release program with a unique survey of workers in the Alabama auto supply chain where workers report their work-release status. We first present descriptive patterns of work-release labor, finding that the use of incarcerated (i.e., work-release) labor is concentrated in the auto supply industry, especially in the Montgomery area, where Hyundai’s assembly plant is located. In the survey, the share of plant-level workers who are incarcerated is negatively correlated with non-incarcerated wages. The survey also enables estimation of hypothetical quit elasticities separately among incarcerated and non-incarcerated workers. Incarcerated workers are estimated to have quit elasticities less than half that of non-incarcerated workers. Because Alabama law requires employers to pay the same wage to incarcerated and non-incarcerated workers in the same jobs, the additional monopsony power introduced by employer access to incarcerated workers creates an incentive and ability for employers to reduce plant-level wages to, and employment of, non-incarcerated workers. We build a quantitative model of firm-specific labor supply that, for incarcerated workers, distinguishes the roles of coercion (the risk of physical harm in prison from not working), wage garnishment that blunts the consumption effect of higher wages, and monopsony (limited mobility across employers). Using it, we estimate effects on free and incarcerated workers’ welfare from i) reforming prison conditions to eliminate violence, ii) eliminating prison labor wage garnishment, iii) imposing a $15 minimum wage, &iv) abolishing prison labor. Free worker welfare goes up in all scenarios...
November 3, 2025 at 5:59 PM
hceconomics.bsky.social
New work from HCEO member Eric Chyn on the effect of place and pollution on birthweight. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
October 29, 2025 at 6:11 PM
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bcfginitiative.bsky.social
Join BCFG, @pennchibe.bsky.social, and @katymilkman.bsky.social TOMORROW 10/29 at 12 PM ET for MIT Professor Amy Finkelstein’s virtual keynote talk. Register here: https://upenn.zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_kE9HPGsPRz2J2jcfJcjIEA#/registration
October 28, 2025 at 6:45 PM
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srcdorg.bsky.social
Applications are OPEN for the 2026-2027 SRCD U.S. Policy Fellowship Program. Receive a highly competitive stipend while immersing yourself in a state agency or Congress. Share and help spread the word! Applications due January 6, 2026 at 11:50 pm ET. Learn more and apply here https://bit.ly/4pUANY5
October 27, 2025 at 7:21 PM
hceconomics.bsky.social
New from HCEO member Bhashkar Mazumder and colleagues: A review of efforts to expand measurements of intergenerational mobility beyond income, education, and occupation to broader measures of well-being. www.nber.org/papers/w34407?
Intergenerational Mobility in Measures of Wellbeing: Consumption, Health and Life Satisfaction
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
October 27, 2025 at 7:38 PM
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henninghermes.com
📢 New working paper alert! 📢

Super happy to share our new working paper, „The Demand for Economic Narratives“, with my great co-authors Sebastian Blesse, Klaus Gründler, and @philippheil.bsky.social.

Check out the summary thread by Philipp below👇🏻🧵

@ifoeducation.bsky.social
@cesifo.org
October 24, 2025 at 10:20 AM
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florianederer.bsky.social
BU Questrom is launching a new PhD Program in Business Economics focused on how markets and firms interact with public policy.

Graduates will be ready for research and teaching roles in both business schools and econ departments.
October 24, 2025 at 2:15 PM
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gabriconti.bsky.social
Felice di vedere il nostro lavoro su La Voce: lavoce.info/archives/109...!

👶🏻👧🏼 Dai dati dell’#AssegnoUnico emergono forti disuguaglianze territoriali e sociali nella disabilità infantile in 🇮🇹.

🔗 Studio con Paola Biasi e Maria De Paola qui 👉🏻 ifs.org.uk/publications...

#Disabilità #Infanzia #Italia
October 20, 2025 at 3:35 PM
hceconomics.bsky.social
HCEO member Emily Nix et al. on the economics of dating the boss: breakups are costly! www.nber.org/papers/w34346
The Impacts of Romantic Relationships with the Boss
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
October 16, 2025 at 3:05 PM
hceconomics.bsky.social
New from HCEO member Janet Currie & Kate Musen: www.nber.org/papers/w34369
Information, Spillovers, or Hassle Costs? Effects of Medicaid Prior Authorization on Preschool Antipsychotic Prescribing
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
October 16, 2025 at 3:03 PM