Jordan Howard
@jordanahoward.bsky.social
Planning, transportation, and economic development. Dem campaign finance in another life. Long suffering Mets, Jets, and Knicks fan. Expect typos. Views are my own.
Biden and the Democrats just tried this. You can't go on a tour saying things are cheaper while people are going grocery shopping every week. We see the prices. Doing this will just seem out of touch and weaken his standing. Rs need empathy and a plan, Trump has neither.
Fox News' Brian Kilmeade: "The president is talking about doing a tour... about what he's doing to make things affordable... If you do that, they'll pass all the other turmoil. They'll look past all the negative press that pops up on the networks and legacy media. They'll say ok, my life's better."
November 13, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Biden and the Democrats just tried this. You can't go on a tour saying things are cheaper while people are going grocery shopping every week. We see the prices. Doing this will just seem out of touch and weaken his standing. Rs need empathy and a plan, Trump has neither.
Let's go live to Fox News to see their coverage of the recently released Epstein emails, surely it's the top story on their website...
November 12, 2025 at 2:55 PM
Let's go live to Fox News to see their coverage of the recently released Epstein emails, surely it's the top story on their website...
Seeing those Senate numbers makes me rethink my position on preferring this map. Ds would've been competitive in the 3rd district but it would've been more of an uphill battle than I realized. Might as well take the one safe seat and call it a day.
Utah Republicans had enacted a new gerrymander to win all four seats again, but the court rejected it.
While Dems may have had a chance to win the two Trump+2 & Trump+7 seats in a blue wave, Republicans have typically done much better downballot in Utah.
Map: davesredistricting.org/join/769040a...
While Dems may have had a chance to win the two Trump+2 & Trump+7 seats in a blue wave, Republicans have typically done much better downballot in Utah.
Map: davesredistricting.org/join/769040a...
November 11, 2025 at 6:29 PM
Seeing those Senate numbers makes me rethink my position on preferring this map. Ds would've been competitive in the 3rd district but it would've been more of an uphill battle than I realized. Might as well take the one safe seat and call it a day.
Reposted by Jordan Howard
This isn't an improvement. The legislature's map (their attempt to respond to a prior ruling) was a classic dummymander, it had an R+1 and an R+6 seat and Dems were very likely to pick up both next year. Now they get one packed D+24 safe seat.
This takes a likely 2-2 map and makes it 3-1.
This takes a likely 2-2 map and makes it 3-1.
Breaking: A Utah judge just tossed out Republicans’ gerrymandered map and ordered a new map that will include a new safe Democratic seat.
Utah now joins California in helping to cancel out Trump’s gerrymandering.
Utah now joins California in helping to cancel out Trump’s gerrymandering.
November 11, 2025 at 4:00 PM
This isn't an improvement. The legislature's map (their attempt to respond to a prior ruling) was a classic dummymander, it had an R+1 and an R+6 seat and Dems were very likely to pick up both next year. Now they get one packed D+24 safe seat.
This takes a likely 2-2 map and makes it 3-1.
This takes a likely 2-2 map and makes it 3-1.
Even if the latter 3 go through with it, we're likely to have a net wash by the end of the cycle. What a waste of time rearranging the deck chairs.
If you score remap shifts between safe/competitive seats as +/-0.5, here's how the count looks today, to my eye:
CA: Dem +4.5
MO: GOP +1
NC: GOP +0.5
OH: GOP +0.5
TX: GOP +4
UT: Dem +1
That leaves Republicans ahead by half a seat, w/ FL, IN & VA the biggest remaining variables.
CA: Dem +4.5
MO: GOP +1
NC: GOP +0.5
OH: GOP +0.5
TX: GOP +4
UT: Dem +1
That leaves Republicans ahead by half a seat, w/ FL, IN & VA the biggest remaining variables.
November 11, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Even if the latter 3 go through with it, we're likely to have a net wash by the end of the cycle. What a waste of time rearranging the deck chairs.
Reposted by Jordan Howard
11) The discussion about health care was useful PR, but covered up discussion over the power of the purse, which is fundamental. If the WH doesn't have to follow the law, it doesn't matter what you pass.
With the remaining approps bills + CR, Dems still could fight that fight. If they're smart
With the remaining approps bills + CR, Dems still could fight that fight. If they're smart
November 10, 2025 at 2:01 PM
11) The discussion about health care was useful PR, but covered up discussion over the power of the purse, which is fundamental. If the WH doesn't have to follow the law, it doesn't matter what you pass.
With the remaining approps bills + CR, Dems still could fight that fight. If they're smart
With the remaining approps bills + CR, Dems still could fight that fight. If they're smart
Doesn't seem like Schumer pushed this and the defectors went around him. Senate isn't the House where leaders rule their caucus.
I know the easy thing is to dunk on Schumer but given where we are we can now say:
1) He made the right call in March not to shutdown the gov't.
2) A one year ACA ext is suicide for Rs and they know it. They'll want to push this well into 2027.
1) He made the right call in March not to shutdown the gov't.
2) A one year ACA ext is suicide for Rs and they know it. They'll want to push this well into 2027.
November 10, 2025 at 2:27 PM
Doesn't seem like Schumer pushed this and the defectors went around him. Senate isn't the House where leaders rule their caucus.
Kaine - Got lang he wanted, almost assuredly retiring in '30.
Rosen - Terrible pol
Fetterman - Fetterman
Shaheen - Retiring
Hassan - "Moderate"
King - "Moderate"
Durbin - Retiring
CCM - Terrible pol
Rosen - Terrible pol
Fetterman - Fetterman
Shaheen - Retiring
Hassan - "Moderate"
King - "Moderate"
Durbin - Retiring
CCM - Terrible pol
8 Senate Democrats sided with Trump and Republican fascists in throwing 15 million Americans off Medicaid and Obamacare:
Dick Durbin (IL), Maggie Hassan (NH), Tim Kaine (VA), Angus King (I-ME), Cortez Masto (NV), Jeanne Shaheen (NH), Jacky Rosen (NV), John Fetterman (PA).
Dick Durbin (IL), Maggie Hassan (NH), Tim Kaine (VA), Angus King (I-ME), Cortez Masto (NV), Jeanne Shaheen (NH), Jacky Rosen (NV), John Fetterman (PA).
November 10, 2025 at 2:24 PM
Kaine - Got lang he wanted, almost assuredly retiring in '30.
Rosen - Terrible pol
Fetterman - Fetterman
Shaheen - Retiring
Hassan - "Moderate"
King - "Moderate"
Durbin - Retiring
CCM - Terrible pol
Rosen - Terrible pol
Fetterman - Fetterman
Shaheen - Retiring
Hassan - "Moderate"
King - "Moderate"
Durbin - Retiring
CCM - Terrible pol
83% of the caucus stuck together. You're almost never going to get unamity in the Seante with staggered terms and retirements. It's beyond frustrating to fold when Ds were holding pocket 10s though. Push more, extract more. Demand a ACA vote first.
Two-thirds of Democrats say their own party makes them feel frustrated. By far the most commonly cited reason is that the party is not pushing back hard enough against Trump. www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...
November 10, 2025 at 2:21 PM
83% of the caucus stuck together. You're almost never going to get unamity in the Seante with staggered terms and retirements. It's beyond frustrating to fold when Ds were holding pocket 10s though. Push more, extract more. Demand a ACA vote first.
When you have a winning hand, you gotta fold, after all.
The cave of Senate Democrats is breaking from all outlets now including PBS reporters.
November 9, 2025 at 9:22 PM
When you have a winning hand, you gotta fold, after all.
I know the easy thing is to dunk on Schumer but given where we are we can now say:
1) He made the right call in March not to shutdown the gov't.
2) A one year ACA ext is suicide for Rs and they know it. They'll want to push this well into 2027.
1) He made the right call in March not to shutdown the gov't.
2) A one year ACA ext is suicide for Rs and they know it. They'll want to push this well into 2027.
November 7, 2025 at 8:17 PM
I know the easy thing is to dunk on Schumer but given where we are we can now say:
1) He made the right call in March not to shutdown the gov't.
2) A one year ACA ext is suicide for Rs and they know it. They'll want to push this well into 2027.
1) He made the right call in March not to shutdown the gov't.
2) A one year ACA ext is suicide for Rs and they know it. They'll want to push this well into 2027.
One of the most effective Speakers in US History. She knew how to count votes, sway her caucus, hold them together, and get shit done.
NANCY PELOSI IS RETIRING www.nbcnews.com/politics/con...
Nancy Pelosi, first female speaker of the House, won't seek re-election to Congress
The California Democrat led her party in the House for two decades. Her decision will open up her San Francisco-based seat for the first time in nearly 40 years.
www.nbcnews.com
November 6, 2025 at 2:04 PM
One of the most effective Speakers in US History. She knew how to count votes, sway her caucus, hold them together, and get shit done.
This site will cheer this but Golden was tailor made for his district and the party should be big tent enough for people like him. Would you rather have him or Paul LePage?
Democratic Rep. Jared Golden, facing a primary challenge from state Auditor Matt Dunlap, says he won't seek reelection in #ME02
Jared Golden: I won’t seek reelection. Here’s why.
"What I could accomplish in this increasingly unproductive Congress pales in comparison to what I could do in that time as a husband, a father and a son."
www.bangordailynews.com
November 5, 2025 at 8:34 PM
This site will cheer this but Golden was tailor made for his district and the party should be big tent enough for people like him. Would you rather have him or Paul LePage?
I'm going to throw cold water on this image, Ds still have a long term problem in Hispanic communities. They will do well as long as Trump's ICE reign of terror continues but Sherrill still slipped from some Murphy '21 numbers.
November 5, 2025 at 5:40 PM
I'm going to throw cold water on this image, Ds still have a long term problem in Hispanic communities. They will do well as long as Trump's ICE reign of terror continues but Sherrill still slipped from some Murphy '21 numbers.
Every article and study I see on Gen Z (and Alpha) loneliness all say the same thing -- kids just want to hangout with their friends. Create spaces that allow for that.
November 5, 2025 at 2:33 PM
Every article and study I see on Gen Z (and Alpha) loneliness all say the same thing -- kids just want to hangout with their friends. Create spaces that allow for that.
Reposted by Jordan Howard
If Jay Jones texted that shit in 2016 would a critical mass of Dems have blanked their ballot and let Miyares win? I think so. But they are furious now. Their new standard is: Make the guy apologize, then vote for him, because fuck it, Republicans would.
November 5, 2025 at 1:07 PM
If Jay Jones texted that shit in 2016 would a critical mass of Dems have blanked their ballot and let Miyares win? I think so. But they are furious now. Their new standard is: Make the guy apologize, then vote for him, because fuck it, Republicans would.
Reposted by Jordan Howard
CONFIRMED: Georgia Democrats have won their first statewide elections for non-federal offices since *2006.*
The two Dem challengers, Alicia Johnson and Peter Hubbard, have ousted two GOP Republican commissioners on the state's utility commission.
The two Dem challengers, Alicia Johnson and Peter Hubbard, have ousted two GOP Republican commissioners on the state's utility commission.
November 5, 2025 at 2:58 AM
CONFIRMED: Georgia Democrats have won their first statewide elections for non-federal offices since *2006.*
The two Dem challengers, Alicia Johnson and Peter Hubbard, have ousted two GOP Republican commissioners on the state's utility commission.
The two Dem challengers, Alicia Johnson and Peter Hubbard, have ousted two GOP Republican commissioners on the state's utility commission.
November 5, 2025 at 1:41 AM
We get these wins *and* Trump might bully Rs into ending the filibuster? What a night!
November 5, 2025 at 1:11 AM
We get these wins *and* Trump might bully Rs into ending the filibuster? What a night!
Pretty crazy to see the years where Trump was President or a candidate versus when he was in the wilderness.
Record-breaking turnout at the campus voting precinct today. the energy was unreal, all day.
November 5, 2025 at 1:06 AM
Pretty crazy to see the years where Trump was President or a candidate versus when he was in the wilderness.
I'm going to say it again...
Do not take Decision Desk HQ as gospel. They're frequently wrong. They try to be first. Wait until another source confirms a call.
Do not take Decision Desk HQ as gospel. They're frequently wrong. They try to be first. Wait until another source confirms a call.
November 5, 2025 at 1:03 AM
I'm going to say it again...
Do not take Decision Desk HQ as gospel. They're frequently wrong. They try to be first. Wait until another source confirms a call.
Do not take Decision Desk HQ as gospel. They're frequently wrong. They try to be first. Wait until another source confirms a call.
This is much better than '21
Abigail Spanberger (D) wins the Virginia governor's race, NBC News projects, defeating Winsome Earle-Sears (R).
November 5, 2025 at 12:55 AM
This is much better than '21
McAuliffe won Loudoun by 11 in '21, Spanbarger won it by 18. Jones is winning by 19. Biden won it by 25 in a 10 point win. If Jones is winning by that much there, where is Miyares making up the votes?
November 5, 2025 at 12:48 AM
McAuliffe won Loudoun by 11 in '21, Spanbarger won it by 18. Jones is winning by 19. Biden won it by 25 in a 10 point win. If Jones is winning by that much there, where is Miyares making up the votes?
Spanbarger is likely to win by a lot tomorrow, probably more than Northam in '17. Jones will *probably* survive.
Sherrill is likely to win by a closer, but healthy margin.
Both of those outcomes were likely the moment Trump was re-elected. Sears and JC would've had a real shot/ KH in the WH.
Sherrill is likely to win by a closer, but healthy margin.
Both of those outcomes were likely the moment Trump was re-elected. Sears and JC would've had a real shot/ KH in the WH.
November 3, 2025 at 6:25 PM
Spanbarger is likely to win by a lot tomorrow, probably more than Northam in '17. Jones will *probably* survive.
Sherrill is likely to win by a closer, but healthy margin.
Both of those outcomes were likely the moment Trump was re-elected. Sears and JC would've had a real shot/ KH in the WH.
Sherrill is likely to win by a closer, but healthy margin.
Both of those outcomes were likely the moment Trump was re-elected. Sears and JC would've had a real shot/ KH in the WH.
Honestly, I don't think Trump really cares about the freedom to own firearms. I'd be surprised if he ever picked up a gun prior to running for President.
Most Americans say Trump is not committed to protecting the freedom of the press, protecting freedom of speech, free and fair elections or a fair criminal justice system abcnews.go.com/Politics/hal...
November 3, 2025 at 5:20 PM
Honestly, I don't think Trump really cares about the freedom to own firearms. I'd be surprised if he ever picked up a gun prior to running for President.