Jordan Tessler
@jztessler.bsky.social
Data guy, forecaster of weather, mapper of things, hockey player.
Pinned
Jordan Tessler
@jztessler.bsky.social
· Jun 25
And yet we wonder why trust in the democratic system is eroding. Voters aren’t invested in the processes; which makes them easy to malign and exploit
Virginia has begun the certification wave
November 12, 2025 at 4:39 PM
Virginia has begun the certification wave
the vodka jokes write themselves
Russia presented its human-like AI robot. It fell down as it walked onto the stage.
November 11, 2025 at 7:40 PM
the vodka jokes write themselves
The same genius brains that brought you “there’s no Covid if you don’t test for it” now bring you “there’s no delays if there aren’t any flights”
If you just cancel flights, then they're actually not late! Brilliant stuff from Sean Duffy here
November 7, 2025 at 6:12 PM
The same genius brains that brought you “there’s no Covid if you don’t test for it” now bring you “there’s no delays if there aren’t any flights”
word of warning for my fellow VA data nerds: If you're parsing VA's results be careful of which counties have allocated their AV/IP-EV into precincts and who hasn't. They'll eventually all get there, but there's a mishmash rn and your precinct analysis might get thrown off big-time
November 6, 2025 at 6:11 PM
word of warning for my fellow VA data nerds: If you're parsing VA's results be careful of which counties have allocated their AV/IP-EV into precincts and who hasn't. They'll eventually all get there, but there's a mishmash rn and your precinct analysis might get thrown off big-time
Ah yes, noted medieval chronicler Karl Marx
November 5, 2025 at 11:47 PM
Ah yes, noted medieval chronicler Karl Marx
VASBE is putting the AV votes into precincts and I think it's showing that every precinct in Fairfax Co went for Spanberger
November 5, 2025 at 9:48 PM
VASBE is putting the AV votes into precincts and I think it's showing that every precinct in Fairfax Co went for Spanberger
There are actually about 20 precincts where Jones ran ahead of Spanberger
November 5, 2025 at 7:33 PM
There are actually about 20 precincts where Jones ran ahead of Spanberger
Congrats VA on finally becoming a "blue state"
Mike Johnson: "What happened last night is blue states and blue cities voted blue. We all saw that coming. And no one should read too much into last night's election results."
November 5, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Congrats VA on finally becoming a "blue state"
Because ballot referenda are fun: NYC rejected an attempt to move city elections to presidential years.
November 5, 2025 at 6:57 AM
Because ballot referenda are fun: NYC rejected an attempt to move city elections to presidential years.
there'll be more over the coming days, but some of the precinct level swings in VA and NJ are just colossal
November 5, 2025 at 6:40 AM
there'll be more over the coming days, but some of the precinct level swings in VA and NJ are just colossal
You're telling me Abby Spanberger won the election day vote in Purcellville?
November 5, 2025 at 6:04 AM
You're telling me Abby Spanberger won the election day vote in Purcellville?
Reposted by Jordan Tessler
BREAKING: Democrats just broke the GOP supermajority in the Mississippi Senate!
In a stunning victory, Democrats gained seats in court-ordered special elections and will now head to Jackson to represent and fight on behalf of their constituents.
In a stunning victory, Democrats gained seats in court-ordered special elections and will now head to Jackson to represent and fight on behalf of their constituents.
November 5, 2025 at 4:39 AM
BREAKING: Democrats just broke the GOP supermajority in the Mississippi Senate!
In a stunning victory, Democrats gained seats in court-ordered special elections and will now head to Jackson to represent and fight on behalf of their constituents.
In a stunning victory, Democrats gained seats in court-ordered special elections and will now head to Jackson to represent and fight on behalf of their constituents.
Man Republicans are lucky the state Senate isn't up in VA tonight
November 5, 2025 at 2:00 AM
Man Republicans are lucky the state Senate isn't up in VA tonight
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA.
Yeah, 2024 trends aren't holding
Yeah, 2024 trends aren't holding
November 5, 2025 at 1:20 AM
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA.
Yeah, 2024 trends aren't holding
Yeah, 2024 trends aren't holding
It's small but a double-digit D swing vs 2024 in Manassas
November 5, 2025 at 1:03 AM
It's small but a double-digit D swing vs 2024 in Manassas
Ya done pissed off the suburbs
November 5, 2025 at 12:42 AM
Ya done pissed off the suburbs
HAHAHAHAHAHA. Loudoun drops a 63-37 bomb on Sears
November 5, 2025 at 12:31 AM
HAHAHAHAHAHA. Loudoun drops a 63-37 bomb on Sears
remember, rural VA reports first, then urban VA comes plowing in
November 5, 2025 at 12:16 AM
remember, rural VA reports first, then urban VA comes plowing in
here we go... WE ARE SPEAKING
November 5, 2025 at 12:01 AM
here we go... WE ARE SPEAKING
Lest you think political bettors are smart and know the intricacies of politics.
For the record: this is fusion voting and has been NYs system for like ever. Harris and Trump ran on two party lines last year
For the record: this is fusion voting and has been NYs system for like ever. Harris and Trump ran on two party lines last year
November 4, 2025 at 11:43 PM
Lest you think political bettors are smart and know the intricacies of politics.
For the record: this is fusion voting and has been NYs system for like ever. Harris and Trump ran on two party lines last year
For the record: this is fusion voting and has been NYs system for like ever. Harris and Trump ran on two party lines last year
the i voted sticker is the adult equivalent of the gold star on your homework
November 4, 2025 at 11:18 PM
the i voted sticker is the adult equivalent of the gold star on your homework
arlington at 50% total turnout going into the evening rush
November 4, 2025 at 10:46 PM
arlington at 50% total turnout going into the evening rush
early exit polls? The farmer's alamanc is more useful
November 4, 2025 at 10:41 PM
early exit polls? The farmer's alamanc is more useful
this. See what the final reports from the DC metro look like to see what true "pissed off suburbs" look like
That group: ARL, ALX, Fairfax, PW, Loudoun, Stafford
Manassas/MPark, Fairfax, Falls Church are the tiny independent cities of NoVA. data points, but get drowned by their larger neighbors
That group: ARL, ALX, Fairfax, PW, Loudoun, Stafford
Manassas/MPark, Fairfax, Falls Church are the tiny independent cities of NoVA. data points, but get drowned by their larger neighbors
Folks I wouldn’t go too wild either way reading into Falls Church
Always has strong turnout
But drove by polling place there and still people voting there
It’s more a good example of what’s happening in suburbs
Always has strong turnout
But drove by polling place there and still people voting there
It’s more a good example of what’s happening in suburbs
November 4, 2025 at 10:23 PM
this. See what the final reports from the DC metro look like to see what true "pissed off suburbs" look like
That group: ARL, ALX, Fairfax, PW, Loudoun, Stafford
Manassas/MPark, Fairfax, Falls Church are the tiny independent cities of NoVA. data points, but get drowned by their larger neighbors
That group: ARL, ALX, Fairfax, PW, Loudoun, Stafford
Manassas/MPark, Fairfax, Falls Church are the tiny independent cities of NoVA. data points, but get drowned by their larger neighbors
Reposted by Jordan Tessler
Folks I wouldn’t go too wild either way reading into Falls Church
Always has strong turnout
But drove by polling place there and still people voting there
It’s more a good example of what’s happening in suburbs
Always has strong turnout
But drove by polling place there and still people voting there
It’s more a good example of what’s happening in suburbs
November 4, 2025 at 10:09 PM
Folks I wouldn’t go too wild either way reading into Falls Church
Always has strong turnout
But drove by polling place there and still people voting there
It’s more a good example of what’s happening in suburbs
Always has strong turnout
But drove by polling place there and still people voting there
It’s more a good example of what’s happening in suburbs