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Klara Müller

@klaramueller.bsky.social

1.4K followers 410 following 31 posts

Political Scientist | PhD Candidate at the University of Mannheim | Interested in political behaviour, public opinion, quantitative methods and all things sports. 🌐 https://klara-mueller.com/

klara-mueller.com

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · Jun 23

🚨 Excited to see my first solo-authored paper now published in IJPOR! 🚨

Do election outcomes affect participation in post-election surveys? And specifically, do election winners respond more than losers? The short answer: not really.

The slightly longer answer: 🧵👇

academic.oup.com/ijpor/articl...

Survey Nonresponse After Elections: Investigating the Role of Winner-Loser Effects in Panel Attrition

Abstract. When and for whom do election outcomes drive survey nonresponse? This paper investigates whether belonging to the winners or losers of an electio

academic.oup.com

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Reposted by Klara Müller

Joe Noonan @joenoonan.se · 6d

Excellent work from my SU colleague Einar Bäckström on the temporal dynamics of the winner loser gap in democracy satisfaction using a regression discontinuity in time design across 21 European countries.

www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Sore losers on election night? Examining the temporal emergence of the winner–loser gap | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core

Sore losers on election night? Examining the temporal emergence of the winner–loser gap

www.cambridge.org

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Reposted by Klara Müller

Ceri Fowler @cerifowler.bsky.social · 6d

Very pleased to say my new article is out @polstudies.bsky.social ! In it I compare single individuals to those with partners with different past vote choices/party identifications and demonstrate that this is associated with an individual's own vote choice. doi.org/10.1177/0032...

Partner Effects and Gender Gaps in Vote Choice in the United Kingdom: Brexit and Subsequent Elections - Ceri Fowler, 2025

This article explores differences in voting behaviour between those that were single and those that had a Eurosceptic or Europhile partner at the United Kingdom...

doi.org

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 7d

Honoured to be part of the @psapolpsychology.bsky.social seminar and to present some *still-steaming* findings. See you there (registration link below), looking forward to a great discussion!

And don't miss the other fascinating talks in the autumn seminar series! ➡️ www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...

PSA Political Psychology Specialist Group @psapolpsychology.bsky.social · 7d

Second, one week later on Thursday 23rd October at 12:00, @klaramueller.bsky.social will speak on major methodological developments in event-based causal inference in political psychology and behaviour research.

Register: events.teams.microsoft.com/event/5edb84...

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Reposted by Klara Müller

Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · 7d

Following the success of our spring seminar series earlier this year, we @psapolpsychology.bsky.social are running an autumn/winter series, with four online presentations by great scholars.

Please do register and come along to hear about some really fascinating research!

PSA Political Psychology Specialist Group @psapolpsychology.bsky.social · 7d

This time in two weeks, we will launch our autumn/winter seminar series. We have an exciting line-up of four online talks covering a range of topics in political psychology.

All presentations are on Thursdays at 12:00 UK.

Sign up to attend here!: www.psa.ac.uk/specialist-g...

Political Psychology | The Political Studies Association (PSA)

Political Psychology is a multi-disciplinary group established to provide a forum for collaboration, discussion and support for political psychology scholars and practitioners as well as to facilitate...

www.psa.ac.uk

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Reposted by Klara Müller

Stuart Turnbull-Dugarte @turnbulldugarte.com · 8d

Happy to publish today in the @ejprjournal.bsky.social

Pop culture (think Netflix's Sex Education) make us think that emerging cohorts are happy to socially incorporate partners with sexually modern backgrounds and experiences 🏳️‍🌈

But is this really the case?

doi.org/10.1017/S147...

Allies on the streets but illiberal in the sheets? Gender and the public vs. private inclusion of sexual minorities | European Journal of Political Research | Cambridge Core

Allies on the streets but illiberal in the sheets? Gender and the public vs. private inclusion of sexual minorities

doi.org

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Reposted by Klara Müller

MZES Uni Mannheim @mzesunimannheim.bsky.social · 17d

📣 Attention, postdoctoral researchers!

❗ Apply now for our MZES Visiting Fellowships 😊

💡 Spend 2-4 weeks at the MZES to share ideas
💰 Funding for accommodation, travel, daily allowance
📆 Deadline: 28 November

Full information:
👉 www.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/en/news/deta...

Screenshot of the call for applications for MZES Visiting Fellowships, 22 September 2025. For the full text, please follow the link.

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 23d

🚲🤝🏼🗳️

Ala Alrababah @aalrababah.bsky.social · 23d

🚨 New working paper alert 🚨
Missing summer — and the Tour de France? Don’t worry, we got you covered. 🚴‍♂️🚴‍♂️🚴‍♂️
In this paper, we show that being on the route of Tour de France reduces far-right voting. osf.io/preprints/so...

Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 27d

It's striking how engaging in democratic processes can, ironically, lead to democratic discontent when the results feel personally or politically unfavorable. Even in strong democracies!

Roman Senninger @rsenninger.bsky.social · 27d

Our article “Unsuccessful Candidates Are More Concerned About Electoral Fairness than Election Winners” is now online @thejop.bsky.social

Using RDD and elite survey data from Denmark, we show that losing candidates express greater concern about electoral fairness.

🔗 doi.org/10.1086/734240

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · 28d

This deviation is certainly striking (and, given the known influence of polling on political behavior, also somehwat concerning). Spilling the tea on @aleferna.bsky.social's and my research into CIS’ house effects and their shifts over time: this discrepancy is systematic, not just a one-off.

Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · 28d

Ever struggle to explain why your research is relevant? Sometimes the data just does it for you! 👇

Has anyone seen a more dramatic poll discrepancy than this one from Spain nationwide polling? CIS has PSOE +9.0pp, while NCReport has PP +9.4pp *over the exact same fieldwork*! 🤯😅

Reposted by Klara Müller

Stefan Müller @stefanmueller.bsky.social · Sep 8

The University of Cologne plans drastic cuts to its Political Science department, potentially abolishing the MSc in Political Science and eliminating the professorships in IR and Comparative Politics. This would severely weaken the social sciences at @unicologne.bsky.social.
Petition (de/en) ⤵️

Petition unterschreiben

Keine WiSo ohne PoWi! Für eine starke Politikwissenschaft im Bachelor & Master

https://www.change.org/p/keine-wiso-ohne-powi-für-eine-starke-politikwissenschaft-im-bachelor-master

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · Sep 4

Full circle moment ⭕:
@psaepop.bsky.social was the first ever conference I presented at, and now I'm thrilled to wrap up my PhD conference cycle at #EPOP2025 in Exeter. Enthusiatic to present joint work with @aleferna.bsky.social and to be part of this promising panel. Curious to hear your thoughts!

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · Sep 4

Join us tomorrow, we’re super curious about your feedback! 🙌🏻

Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Sep 4

Back in Exeter for the first time since my first PhD visiting stay! I'm thrilled to be presenting joint research on election polling with @klaramueller.bsky.social at the @psaepop.bsky.social Conference tomorrow. So looking forward to this panel full of great scholars

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Reposted by Klara Müller

Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.bsky.social · Aug 29

Interesting paper on non-response bias, and the role of the response propensity distribution onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Non‐Response Insights With Binary Variables

Non-response brings into question the critical ability of probability surveys to make unbiased estimates of population parameters and to estimate the reliability of these estimates. This article cons...

onlinelibrary.wiley.com

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Reposted by Klara Müller

GESIS - Leibniz-Institut für Sozialwissenschaften @gesis.org · Aug 26

#Call #GESISPanel

Collect Your Own Linked #WebTracking and #SurveyData with the GESIS Panel.dbd Digital Behavioral Data Sample
Panelists participate in repeated surveys and digital behavioral data collections such as web tracking, where participants' web browsing behavior is recorded.

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · Aug 20

Glückwunsch, Marvin, sehr cool! 🙌🏻

Reposted by Klara Müller

EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · Aug 7

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026.

😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA.

👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things.

A short 🧵

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Reposted by Klara Müller

Jennifer Wolak @jwolak.bsky.social · Aug 6

Just out at @polbehavior.bsky.social w/Carey Stapleton:

Voting by mail has the upside of boosting correct voting.

When people vote by mail rather than in-person, they are more likely to choose the presidential candidate best aligned with their preferences.

link.springer.com/article/10.1...

The Effects of Voting by Mail on Correct Voting - Political Behavior

The share of Americans voting by mail surged in 2020. For those casting a mail-in ballot, their voting experience was different from those who voted in-person. When voting by mail, people can make the...

link.springer.com

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Reposted by Klara Müller

Matthew Barnfield @mbarnfield.bsky.social · Aug 6

I have a new article out at @polstudies.bsky.social. In "Electoral Hope", I make the case that supposedly irrational "wishful thinking" is actually a crucial part of how voters make rational sense of their role in democracies.

OA link: doi.org/10.1177/0032...

Title page of article "Electoral Hope" in journal Political Studies.

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · Aug 5

Striking to see just *how* much the impact of losing an election increases with populist attitudes. This is a great demonstration of how populist voters may perceive election results as a test of democratic legitimacy rather than 'only' an outcome of electoral competition. Really interesting paper!

Armin Schaefer @arminschaefer.bsky.social · Aug 4

I'm delighted to see this article out in @govandopp.bsky.social! Jonas Wenker and I show that losing an election has a far stronger negative effect on populist voters than on non-populist ones. For populists, losing signals that the system is broken. 1/5 www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Losers’ Dissent: How Election Results Shape Populists’ Satisfaction with Democracy | Government and Opposition | Cambridge Core

Losers’ Dissent: How Election Results Shape Populists’ Satisfaction with Democracy

www.cambridge.org

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Reposted by Klara Müller

Joris Frese @fresejoris.bsky.social · Jul 1

New WP w/ @riazsascha.bsky.social: via >42 million placebo tests, we show type I error inflation in Unexpected Event during Survey Designs (UESD), propose an adjustment, implement via new R package uesdRobust, and demonstrate utility by replicating two top UESD studies.

osf.io/preprints/os...

1/9

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · Jun 29

Leaving #EPSA25 running high on research drive and low on social energy. Super stimulating input, and great to (re)connect with so many colleagues and friends. ¡Gracias, Madrid!
See you in Belfast (?) @epssnet.bsky.social

Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · Jun 28

Thank you!

Reposted by Klara Müller

Alexander Kustov @akoustov.bsky.social · Jun 27

Come join us for our immigration and persuasion panel at 3pm later today if you're around in Madrid #epsa2025

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EPSS @epssnet.bsky.social · Jun 26

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨

We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.

🔗 epssnet.org

Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.

🧵

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Klara Müller @klaramueller.bsky.social · Jun 25

Vamos #EPSA2025! I‘ll be presenting two joint projects with the amazing @aleferna.bsky.social who provided some teasers below🧵

1️⃣ Fri. 3pm 1A.12: How Snap Election Calls Shape Vote Intention Uncertainty
2️⃣ Sat. 11.20am 1A.12: Electoral Polling as a Public Service? The case of CIS 🇪🇸

See you there!

Alejandro Fernández-Roldán @aleferna.bsky.social · Jun 25

Unfortunately, I won't be able to participate in #EPSA2025 😔 - But as I'm coauthor of 3 pieces that will be presented, I feel compelled to share the details in case you're interested in any! - A thread follows 🧵

@epsanet.bsky.social

PS: Sadly, 2 of the presentations clash in date and time