Kyle Haynes
@kylehaynes.bsky.social
Political scientist studying security, conflict, bargaining, US foreign policy, etc. Scored on by Geoff Cameron. Personal account. Opinions mine alone.
https://kyle-haynes.weebly.com/
https://kyle-haynes.weebly.com/
I take a decent amount of solace in knowing that these are just the most miserable, empty people imaginable.
February 12, 2026 at 1:46 AM
I take a decent amount of solace in knowing that these are just the most miserable, empty people imaginable.
This is amazing and anyone who tries to diminish it in favor setting trash cans on fire is full of shit.
South Minneapolis a hornet’s nest of resistance this AM. Car commuters everywhere, multiple observers on every corner, ICE patrols getting smothered by completely oppressive neighborhood watch. Incredible job guys, you’re all heroes
We ride at dawn
February 6, 2026 at 4:14 PM
This is amazing and anyone who tries to diminish it in favor setting trash cans on fire is full of shit.
This post was built in a lab from pieces of lesser posts, specifically designed to please me.
Just one more dumpster bro, all those government thugs in tactical gear will see that we really mean business if we set just one more fire. We're just one fire away from The Revolution, I swear to you.
Anyway, read theory.
Anyway, read theory.
February 4, 2026 at 12:34 AM
This post was built in a lab from pieces of lesser posts, specifically designed to please me.
After tenure I briefly leaned in to writing sloppy emails to students. Quickly realized it’s really just a thinly veiled assertion of dominance. It’s saying the other person isn’t worth the time it’d take to fix that typo. It’s pathetic. Reveals nothing but insecurity. Or illiteracy. Either way…
January 31, 2026 at 5:30 PM
After tenure I briefly leaned in to writing sloppy emails to students. Quickly realized it’s really just a thinly veiled assertion of dominance. It’s saying the other person isn’t worth the time it’d take to fix that typo. It’s pathetic. Reveals nothing but insecurity. Or illiteracy. Either way…
All future empirical research on diversionary war will need to include fixed effects for the Trump admin this is getting ridiculous
January 31, 2026 at 1:19 PM
All future empirical research on diversionary war will need to include fixed effects for the Trump admin this is getting ridiculous
I’m calling for a total and complete shutdown of rich people until we can figure out what’s going on
January 31, 2026 at 1:13 PM
I’m calling for a total and complete shutdown of rich people until we can figure out what’s going on
“Israel violates ceasefire, killing 29” fixed it for you
Israeli strikes kill at least 29 Palestinians on Saturday, one of the highest tolls since the October ceasefire aimed at stopping the fighting, hospitals in Gaza say.
Israeli strikes in Gaza kill at least 29 Palestinians, one of highest tolls since October ceasefire
Hospitals in Gaza say Israeli strikes killed at least 29 Palestinians Saturday, one of the highest tolls since the October ceasefire aimed at stopping the fighting.
bit.ly
January 31, 2026 at 12:45 PM
“Israel violates ceasefire, killing 29” fixed it for you
Just for context this is ~10X the number of Ukrainian civilians killed by Russia since 2022.
I cannot tell you how much doubt was consistently directed at the Gaza Health Ministry’s casualty numbers and how much pressure was put on news organizations to couch those numbers as unreliable.
Biden himself said they were fabricated!
www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
Biden himself said they were fabricated!
www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
IDF accepts Gaza Health Ministry death toll of over 71,000 Palestinians killed in the war
Although Many International Experts Have Accepted the Health Ministry's Data as Reliable, and Even Conservative Relative to the True Death Toll, Israel Had Refused to Accept the Health Ministry's Coun...
www.haaretz.com
January 29, 2026 at 3:59 PM
Just for context this is ~10X the number of Ukrainian civilians killed by Russia since 2022.
"in theater"
But yes this is simply law enforcement, not an invasion of an American city.
But yes this is simply law enforcement, not an invasion of an American city.
Q: Can you be specific about how many ICE and CBP agents are currently operating in the state?
HOMAN: 3,000. There's been some rotations. They've been in theater a long time. Day after day, can't eat in restaurants, people spin on you, blowing whistles at you. But my main focus now is draw down
HOMAN: 3,000. There's been some rotations. They've been in theater a long time. Day after day, can't eat in restaurants, people spin on you, blowing whistles at you. But my main focus now is draw down
January 29, 2026 at 2:11 PM
"in theater"
But yes this is simply law enforcement, not an invasion of an American city.
But yes this is simply law enforcement, not an invasion of an American city.
40% of the time, it works every time
The U.S. will be capable of defending “the entire nation” against ballistic missiles and other aerial threats via Golden Dome by summer 2028, and grow the architecture by 2035 to address the full range of threats as defined by the Defense Intelligence Agency, the Golden Dome director said
U.S. Space Force General Reaffirms Tight Timeline For Golden Dome | Aviation Week Network
The DOD is following a strict schedule to deploy an initial Golden Dome for America capability in just more than two years and an expanded architecture by 2035.
aviationweek.com
January 29, 2026 at 3:44 AM
40% of the time, it works every time
Grand strategy is foreign policy analysis but for powerful states so they can feel cool.
I was inspired to write something secretaryrofdefenserock.substack.com/subscribe?si...
January 28, 2026 at 6:23 PM
Grand strategy is foreign policy analysis but for powerful states so they can feel cool.
WTF they're trying to bring ICE to Milan for the olympics? Best case this just highlights the cost of hollowing out the rest of the federal government to reroute funding to the Gestapo.
www.cnn.com/2026/01/27/e...
www.cnn.com/2026/01/27/e...
Italians furious over deployment of ICE agents to bolster US security at Winter Olympics | CNN
Outrage is growing in Italy over the deployment of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents to assist US security operations at the Winter Olympics next month.
www.cnn.com
January 27, 2026 at 5:10 PM
WTF they're trying to bring ICE to Milan for the olympics? Best case this just highlights the cost of hollowing out the rest of the federal government to reroute funding to the Gestapo.
www.cnn.com/2026/01/27/e...
www.cnn.com/2026/01/27/e...
Cognitive consistency is a hell of a drug
One thing future historians will study is how a bunch of rich people convinced us this was a very serious guy whose ideas were worth hearing.
January 27, 2026 at 2:07 PM
Cognitive consistency is a hell of a drug
Nah this isn’t it. Sure, Bovino isn’t the linchpin or whatever. But any time someone in the regime gets punished it’s a reminder: to the public, that resistance isn’t futile; and to every faceless brownshirt terrorizing our communities that they too might one day be held accountable.
Until Miller’s gone these are just gestural purges to sanitize and consolidate his reign of terror.
BREAKING: The Border Patrol's Greg Bovino has been ousted from his role of "Commander at Large"—and Kristi Noem and Corey Lewandowski could be next to lose their jobs, sources tell @nickmiroff.bsky.social www.theatlantic.com/politics/202...
January 27, 2026 at 2:39 AM
Nah this isn’t it. Sure, Bovino isn’t the linchpin or whatever. But any time someone in the regime gets punished it’s a reminder: to the public, that resistance isn’t futile; and to every faceless brownshirt terrorizing our communities that they too might one day be held accountable.
Reposted by Kyle Haynes
brass solidarity band performing “stand by me” in the streets of whittier next to alex pretti’s memorial. the crowd started chanting “the people united will never be defeated” so they incorporated it into the song. i love minneapolis
January 27, 2026 at 12:22 AM
brass solidarity band performing “stand by me” in the streets of whittier next to alex pretti’s memorial. the crowd started chanting “the people united will never be defeated” so they incorporated it into the song. i love minneapolis
Tfw you collaborate with a revisionist foreign power to overthrow a personalist dictator, then try to rule the country through the old dictator’s apparatus as your foreign patron (who you damn well knew has the attention span of a house fly) goes off chasing the next car that passes by.
He may forget about your country once he starts bombing Iran 🤷♀️
Venezuela’s acting president says she has had ‘enough’ of U.S. orders
January 26, 2026 at 2:55 PM
Tfw you collaborate with a revisionist foreign power to overthrow a personalist dictator, then try to rule the country through the old dictator’s apparatus as your foreign patron (who you damn well knew has the attention span of a house fly) goes off chasing the next car that passes by.
He knows he’s losing. He’s looking for some kind of face saving deal.
January 26, 2026 at 3:23 AM
He knows he’s losing. He’s looking for some kind of face saving deal.
A giant preemptive "nuuuupe" to anyone who's gonna try to argue that they support mass deportation but oppose the way they're doing it. It was obvious from the jump you couldn't deport millions, much less tens of millions of people without exactly this kind of reign of terror.
Bill Melugin of Fox News may be the best-sourced journalist within ICE and CBP. If he's hearing this, the administration has a real problem.
January 26, 2026 at 1:43 AM
A giant preemptive "nuuuupe" to anyone who's gonna try to argue that they support mass deportation but oppose the way they're doing it. It was obvious from the jump you couldn't deport millions, much less tens of millions of people without exactly this kind of reign of terror.
Hold on hold on let him cook
Comer on Fox right now urging Trump to pull ICE out of Minneapolis to *punish* Minnesotans — will prove to the state how good it was to have ICE there! This is really some 5-D chess
January 25, 2026 at 3:48 PM
Hold on hold on let him cook
I’ve been eagerly waiting for this summer since 1994, unsure for many of those years if the World Cup would ever come back to the US. But yes this needs to happen. And if it happens it’ll almost certainly be players, not politicians, driving it.
Any self-respecting democracy will be boycotting the World Cup this year.
January 25, 2026 at 3:18 AM
I’ve been eagerly waiting for this summer since 1994, unsure for many of those years if the World Cup would ever come back to the US. But yes this needs to happen. And if it happens it’ll almost certainly be players, not politicians, driving it.
Not a dig, but we need to understand that the United States today is simply not a democratic state. It’s not a consolidated autocracy either. I believe democracy will be restored. But rule of law, separation of powers…all the essentials of democratic governance are just…in tatters at this point.
People are terrified of our government. This isn’t a healthy democracy.
You have to read this. Firsthand affidavit from one of the women who was there and recording the video. She talks about how Alex Pretti was directing traffic when she arrived. She watched him be killed in front of her. She's afraid to go home, worried she'll be arrested.
January 25, 2026 at 2:57 AM
Not a dig, but we need to understand that the United States today is simply not a democratic state. It’s not a consolidated autocracy either. I believe democracy will be restored. But rule of law, separation of powers…all the essentials of democratic governance are just…in tatters at this point.
Domestic terrorist
A video of Alex Pretti reading out the final salute of an unnamed veteran he cared for until the end of his life in the ICU, posted to Facebook by his son.
January 25, 2026 at 2:06 AM
Domestic terrorist
Lulz don’t get your hopes up. The first sentence of that tweet is pretty clear that they’re criticizing one person and one person only. And it certainly isn’t Trump.
Rare NRA pushback against the Trump administration regarding law enforcement shooting Americans with guns
January 25, 2026 at 1:58 AM
Lulz don’t get your hopes up. The first sentence of that tweet is pretty clear that they’re criticizing one person and one person only. And it certainly isn’t Trump.
“Turns out ‘don’t tread on me’ actually meant ‘tread on them.’ You weren’t afraid of tyranny. You were afraid of losing dominance. There’s a difference, and this moment exposes it completely.”
🔥🎯
🔥🎯
January 25, 2026 at 1:46 AM
“Turns out ‘don’t tread on me’ actually meant ‘tread on them.’ You weren’t afraid of tyranny. You were afraid of losing dominance. There’s a difference, and this moment exposes it completely.”
🔥🎯
🔥🎯
Truth and reconciliation is about perpetrators owning up to and apologizing for their wrongs. I’d happily go the t&r route if they choose that. But I’m not holding my breath. Otherwise, we’re in the realm of purging, prosecuting, aggressively stigmatizing anyone who takes part in this.
We will need a Truth and Reconciliation Commission when these cruel, lawless people are out of office. They must be held accountable in order for our nation to heal.
January 25, 2026 at 1:31 AM
Truth and reconciliation is about perpetrators owning up to and apologizing for their wrongs. I’d happily go the t&r route if they choose that. But I’m not holding my breath. Otherwise, we’re in the realm of purging, prosecuting, aggressively stigmatizing anyone who takes part in this.