Lou Mannheim
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim
@loumannheim87.bsky.social
960 followers 1.1K following 1.9K posts
Chief investment officer. Former sell-side, former buy-side. "Stick to the fundamentals, that's how IBM and Hilton were built."
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 1h
a young boy in a white tank top and red shorts is standing in a car .
ALT: a young boy in a white tank top and red shorts is standing in a car .
media.tenor.com
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 2h
Really?! For Mikie?
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 2h
Now we just need Mikie too. Cmon ladies!
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 3h
Free buses and cheaper rent will get people to the polls
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Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 6h
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 14h
The problem with social media is that it's just snippets of a broader thesis. My overall thesis is: I dont know what's going on! There are many indicators pointing to recession (eg, job growth) and some pointing to "fine" (eg, most other indicators).
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 14h
Well, two things. First, manufacturing is only about 10% of GDP. (But it's seen as a pseudo leading indicator.) Second, see chart below. The while line is the focus. It's been running negative for a while now.
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 14h
Torsten out today with alternative job market trackers. (Check Apollo's page for the pdf.) This was a good one. Despite the big layoff announcements in the news recently, layoffs havent really spiked recently (versus the last couple years).
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 1d
Oh and he implemented the largest tax increase in this nation's history (ie, the tariffs) via decree, not via legislation.

One might even say via a dictatorial type of authority...
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Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 1d
- Stormtrooper arrests of innocent people
- National guard in the streets
- Jan 6th rioters all pardoned
- Executive order to end birthright citizenship
- Big bill cuts benefits for poor
- Big bill cuts taxes for rich people
- End foreign aid to starving people

Everyone have a great thanksgiving!
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 1d
ISM manufacturing in contraction for 3 years and running. Question for the group: does this metric matter anymore? It used to, I remember that.
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 4d
There are no major drugs coming from Venezuela. No fentanyl anyway. Maybe it's like 3rd in terms of cocaine supply. Meanwhile, Venezuela has more oil reserves in the ground than Saudi Arabia. (It's true.) Maduro has screwed up the development of it tho. And China is moving in... So...
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 4d
We're about to go to war over oil again. In South America this time.
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Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 4d
Just so we're all on the same page: THIS HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH DRUGS. It's about oil and China.
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 4d
You're a Nostradamus!
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 4d
Well, that's news...
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loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 4d
I'm joking but also kinda serious: If we uploaded all the Buffett letters to chatgpt, could we replicate Warren? ... like forever?
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Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 5d
Ha! That feels about right. Meta bringing on the end of the world.
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Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 5d
Ending SNAP will end it. Grocery store theft will spike. Probably Sunday.
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Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 5d
loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 5d
So crazy. If you lived uptown, it was just a bad storm. If you lived downtown, it was suddenly "I am legend".
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Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 5d
loumannheim87.bsky.social
Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 5d
haha! well, back in the 70s, the big stocks in the index were steel, oil, manufacturers, retail, etc. The big uglies! ... If you wanted to grow, you built another plant. And that needed financing. ... And now it's back!
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Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 5d
Dont forget ole EBAY! -13%... that had been on a run
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Lou Mannheim @loumannheim87.bsky.social · 5d
College football fans: "I got that reference!"
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