@matthewlambert.bsky.social
Waxing poetic while eating my curds and whey.
Reposted
The K-shaped economy is becoming steadily more K-shaped. That’s the message in our updated estimate of personal outlays by income group.
January 18, 2026 at 4:39 PM
The K-shaped economy is becoming steadily more K-shaped. That’s the message in our updated estimate of personal outlays by income group.
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“Asset Managers again increased their near-record short VIX positions this week. The only comparable time was July 2024. SPX pulled back a month later and VIX spiked.” www.chartstorm.info/p/weekly-s-a... via @topdowncharts.bsky.social
January 18, 2026 at 4:34 PM
“Asset Managers again increased their near-record short VIX positions this week. The only comparable time was July 2024. SPX pulled back a month later and VIX spiked.” www.chartstorm.info/p/weekly-s-a... via @topdowncharts.bsky.social
Reposted
Yesterday's put/call ratio was .73
January 17, 2026 at 12:38 PM
Yesterday's put/call ratio was .73
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“63% of S&P 500 stocks are beating the index YTD. Thats market breadth we haven’t seen since 2001.” www.dailychartbook.com/p/835 via @dailychartbook.bsky.social
January 16, 2026 at 4:07 PM
“63% of S&P 500 stocks are beating the index YTD. Thats market breadth we haven’t seen since 2001.” www.dailychartbook.com/p/835 via @dailychartbook.bsky.social
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@michaelsantoli.bsky.social Two market dynamics I'm waiting for are silver and the memory stocks going at least below their 20-day moving averages.
January 16, 2026 at 2:18 PM
@michaelsantoli.bsky.social Two market dynamics I'm waiting for are silver and the memory stocks going at least below their 20-day moving averages.
Reposted
When this breaks it almost surely won't go gently...
January 16, 2026 at 2:14 PM
When this breaks it almost surely won't go gently...
Reposted
10yr yield testing 4.20% once again @teconomics
January 16, 2026 at 1:35 PM
10yr yield testing 4.20% once again @teconomics
Reposted
Stocks Near Highest Valuations Since 1880 -Torsten at Apollo
Donning our CAPE this morning...
Donning our CAPE this morning...
January 16, 2026 at 12:12 PM
Stocks Near Highest Valuations Since 1880 -Torsten at Apollo
Donning our CAPE this morning...
Donning our CAPE this morning...
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U.S. megabanks reduce headcount by most in nearly a decade
January 15, 2026 at 7:40 PM
U.S. megabanks reduce headcount by most in nearly a decade
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’Rising inflation volatility will lead to rising bond volatility. The latter is unstably low and it won’t take much to trigger a potentially explosive move higher.‘ blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories...
January 15, 2026 at 6:46 PM
’Rising inflation volatility will lead to rising bond volatility. The latter is unstably low and it won’t take much to trigger a potentially explosive move higher.‘ blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories...
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‘S&P EPS are almost universally expected to increase solidly again during 2026. However, the continued rising trend in the unemployment rate is telling a much more cautious story when it comes to potential profit outcomes.‘ paulsenperspectives.substack.com/p/market-mes... by @jimwpaulsen.bsky.social
January 15, 2026 at 5:53 PM
‘S&P EPS are almost universally expected to increase solidly again during 2026. However, the continued rising trend in the unemployment rate is telling a much more cautious story when it comes to potential profit outcomes.‘ paulsenperspectives.substack.com/p/market-mes... by @jimwpaulsen.bsky.social
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‘A lengthy period of tightly-coiled price action often has an explosive resolution, much like a spring converting potential energy to kinetic. That outcome, should it materialize, will perhaps threaten some of the speculative trends in other markets.’ blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories...
January 15, 2026 at 6:49 PM
‘A lengthy period of tightly-coiled price action often has an explosive resolution, much like a spring converting potential energy to kinetic. That outcome, should it materialize, will perhaps threaten some of the speculative trends in other markets.’ blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories...
Reposted
U.S. Treasury just bought back another $2 Billion of their own debt 🚨🚨
January 15, 2026 at 11:02 AM
U.S. Treasury just bought back another $2 Billion of their own debt 🚨🚨
Reposted
‘Incorporating the PPI data, Nomura forecasts year-over-year core PCE inflation likely accelerated above 3% in December.‘ thedailyshot.com/2026/01/15/e... via @thedailyshot.bsky.social
January 15, 2026 at 3:59 PM
‘Incorporating the PPI data, Nomura forecasts year-over-year core PCE inflation likely accelerated above 3% in December.‘ thedailyshot.com/2026/01/15/e... via @thedailyshot.bsky.social
Reposted
‘Goldman’s Marquee client poll shows bullishness at levels seen only three other times in the past decade — in late 2017, late 2020, and late 2024. In two of those instances, markets experienced a correction within three months, the bank said.’ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
January 15, 2026 at 3:54 PM
‘Goldman’s Marquee client poll shows bullishness at levels seen only three other times in the past decade — in late 2017, late 2020, and late 2024. In two of those instances, markets experienced a correction within three months, the bank said.’ www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
The owner of Saks Fifth Avenue, Bergdorf Goodman and Neiman Marcus has filed for bankruptcy. Its downfall was partly of its own making
How Saks Fifth Avenue’s owner went bust
The posh department-store group has itself to blame
econ.st
January 15, 2026 at 12:02 AM
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“The only other times that XLP rallied 1%+ for three days in a row when the S&P 500 wasn’t up 1%+ on any of those three days was back in early 2000, right around and after the dot-com peak.” www.dailychartbook.com/p/833 via @dailychartbook.bsky.social
January 14, 2026 at 3:36 PM
“The only other times that XLP rallied 1%+ for three days in a row when the S&P 500 wasn’t up 1%+ on any of those three days was back in early 2000, right around and after the dot-com peak.” www.dailychartbook.com/p/833 via @dailychartbook.bsky.social
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The only year in the past decade that the Nasdaq 100 was down in January was 2022. It's up less than 1% MTD at the moment, lot of ball still to play.
January 14, 2026 at 3:55 PM
The only year in the past decade that the Nasdaq 100 was down in January was 2022. It's up less than 1% MTD at the moment, lot of ball still to play.
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NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.35 million SAAR in December; Lowest Annual Sales since 1995
Median House Prices Increased 0.4% Year-over-Year
calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existi...
Median House Prices Increased 0.4% Year-over-Year
calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existi...
NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.35 million SAAR in December; Lowest Annual Sales since 1995
Median House Prices Increased 0.4% Year-over-Year
calculatedrisk.substack.com
January 14, 2026 at 3:56 PM
NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.35 million SAAR in December; Lowest Annual Sales since 1995
Median House Prices Increased 0.4% Year-over-Year
calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existi...
Median House Prices Increased 0.4% Year-over-Year
calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existi...
Reposted
the big banks will shed jobs in 2026
Citi announce cuts yesterday
today
*BOFA LETTING HEADCOUNT `DRIFT DOWN' THROUGH ATTRITION, CEO SAYS
Citi announce cuts yesterday
today
*BOFA LETTING HEADCOUNT `DRIFT DOWN' THROUGH ATTRITION, CEO SAYS
January 14, 2026 at 2:17 PM
the big banks will shed jobs in 2026
Citi announce cuts yesterday
today
*BOFA LETTING HEADCOUNT `DRIFT DOWN' THROUGH ATTRITION, CEO SAYS
Citi announce cuts yesterday
today
*BOFA LETTING HEADCOUNT `DRIFT DOWN' THROUGH ATTRITION, CEO SAYS
Reposted
“.. A slowdown in retail sales momentum in November, with 3m annualized change falling to +3.2% ..”
- Schwab
- Schwab
January 14, 2026 at 1:37 PM
“.. A slowdown in retail sales momentum in November, with 3m annualized change falling to +3.2% ..”
- Schwab
- Schwab
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$SLV silver ETF implied volatiltiy up to a roller-coaster 72%
January 14, 2026 at 12:27 PM
$SLV silver ETF implied volatiltiy up to a roller-coaster 72%
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“.. In our view, stable incoming headline inflation and strong GDP data coupled with the lack of consensus among the 2026 Fed voting members will lead to a ‘do nothing’ approach for the first half of 2026 ..”
@yardeniresearch.bsky.social
@yardeniresearch.bsky.social
January 13, 2026 at 11:20 PM
“.. In our view, stable incoming headline inflation and strong GDP data coupled with the lack of consensus among the 2026 Fed voting members will lead to a ‘do nothing’ approach for the first half of 2026 ..”
@yardeniresearch.bsky.social
@yardeniresearch.bsky.social
Reposted
‘Economic forecasts imply that a highly pro-cyclical Federal Reserve under increasing government duress will manage to deter a recession without generating inflation. That leaves stocks and bonds vulnerable to a significant repricing and higher volatility.’ blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories...
January 13, 2026 at 7:30 PM
‘Economic forecasts imply that a highly pro-cyclical Federal Reserve under increasing government duress will manage to deter a recession without generating inflation. That leaves stocks and bonds vulnerable to a significant repricing and higher volatility.’ blinks.bloomberg.com/news/stories...