Brian McGarry
mcgarrybe.bsky.social
Brian McGarry
@mcgarrybe.bsky.social
Health economist at University of Rochester and NBER studying issues related to aging, post-acute care, and long-term care
Reposted by Brian McGarry
Sure, WSJ. Shame on me for worrying about patient access to care and taxpayer spending over for profit companies. As long as the system works for the wealthy it must be fine with you. Enjoying the comments on the piece, though.

Trouble With MedPAC - WSJ share.google/M9VyVAt9V255...
Opinion | The Trouble With MedPAC
A federal advisory board tries to undermine Medicare Advantage.
share.google
February 11, 2026 at 12:56 AM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
More immigration into the US raises the number of health care workers and saves the lives of older Americans, from David C. Grabowski, Jonathan Gruber, and Brian E. McGarry www.nber.org/papers/w34791
February 10, 2026 at 2:02 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
“We measure the impact of increased immigration on mortality among elderly Americans, who rely on the immigrant-intensive [health care] sectors… [we find] striking effects on mortality: a 25% increase in the steady state flow of immigrants to the US would result in 5,000 fewer deaths nationwide.”
February 9, 2026 at 11:34 AM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
Immigrants save Americans' lives: "...a 25% increase in the steady state flow of immigrants to the US would result in 5,000 fewer deaths nationwide. We identify reduced use of nursing homes as a key mechanism driving this result."
www.nber.org/papers/w34791
February 9, 2026 at 12:42 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
Major news outlets: Please consider prominently reporting what this all-star team of researchers has found.
www.nber.org/papers/w34791
February 9, 2026 at 12:22 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
SNF capacity is the bottleneck that keeps people waiting in ER hallways and make-shift hospital rooms. SNF beds are crucial to our health system. Since 2020, capacity is down 5%, with less slack, due to staffing shortages.

@jamainternalmed.com @mlbarnett.bsky.social: jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
January 14, 2026 at 3:49 AM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
Skilled nursing facility operating capacity in the US declined by 5% since 2019, with the largest losses in rural counties and areas reporting staff shortages, impacting hospital discharge and access to facility-based postacute care. ja.ma/49LZK1E
January 12, 2026 at 4:30 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
More on dementia & finances: similar to credit outcomes, we see declines on asset side start about 6 years before dementia onset, patterns are consistent with mistakes driving declines, not healthcare spending or spenddown
nber.org NBER @nber.org · Jan 13
Household wealth begins to decline six years before the onset of dementia, largely because of poor financial decisions, from Jing Li, Kathleen M. McGarry, @lhnicholas.bsky.social, and Jonathan S. Skinner www.nber.org/papers/w34659
January 13, 2026 at 7:06 PM
New work from @mlbarnett.bsky.social, Andrew Wilcock, Ashvin Gandhi, Fangli Geng, David Grabowski, & me in @jamainternalmed.com documenting declines in SNF capacity in the aftermath of the Covid-19 pandemic
jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
Changes in US Skilled Nursing Facility Capacity Following the COVID-19 Pandemic
This cross-sectional study assesses changes in skilled nursing facility capacity after the COVID-19 pandemic primarily using Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services data from 2019 to 2024 on Medi...
jamanetwork.com
January 13, 2026 at 1:52 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
Nursing home effort fluctuates with the inspection cycle, affecting patient survival. Unpredictable inspection schedules may boost effort and save lives, from Ashvin Gandhi, Andrew Olenski, and Maggie Shi www.nber.org/papers/w34491
December 15, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
Medicaid “spend down” — how we force individuals to impoverish themselves to qualify for Medicaid coverage of long-term care — is one of the most messed up things I’ve learned about the US health care system

In a new paper, we look at how often spend-down happens in nursing homes specifically
Asset Spend-Down and Medicaid Enrollment in Nursing Homes
This cohort study examines the rate of Medicaid spend-down among nursing home residents enrolled in traditional Medicare and assesses what factors are associated with Medicaid spend-down among these r...
tinyurl.com
December 8, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
Next up at @SHESG2025, Katherine Wen presents work on employment and vaccine mandates. Katherine and her colleagues study the impact of vaccinations mandates surrounding COVID. You may remember that there was significant push-back from workers about the mandates at the time.
September 20, 2025 at 1:56 PM
Excited this paper is out. Medicare Advantage is driving longer hospital lengths of stay, especially for patients discharged to SNFs. This has important implications for patients' access to post-acute care and hospital patient flows as MA becomes dominant type of Medicare coverage
New paper w/ Brian McGarry, Ashvin Gandhi, and Drew Wilcock in @jamainternalmed.com!

Hospitals are complaining across the US that patients are "stuck" waiting for rehab beds at nursing homes when they are medically stable and ready for discharge. What is going on??

jamanetwork.com/journals/jam...
September 9, 2025 at 5:20 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
Eric Roberts and @joefigs.bsky.social led a groundbreaking new study on Medicaid and Medicare, out today in NEJM. I’m lucky to have been a part of it.

Medicare saves lives. But is it enough to save lives of the most vulnerable Americans? The study suggests no; Medicaid still matters. (1/11)
Loss of Subsidized Drug Coverage and Mortality among Medicare Beneficiaries | NEJM
A total of 14 million Medicare beneficiaries receive the Low-Income Subsidy (LIS), which reduces cost sharing in Medicare Part D. Losing the LIS may impede medication access and affect mortality. U...
www.nejm.org
May 14, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
Placing a "soft" spending limit on physical therapy reduces unnecessary care, but also introduces inequities based on how well providers can navigate paperwork requirements, from Ashvin Gandhi and Maggie Shi https://www.nber.org/papers/w33722
May 1, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
We are hiring! HSR, health policy, health Econ

jobs.academyhealth.org/jobs/view/as...

Happy to chat!

#econsky #policysky
jobs.academyhealth.org
March 6, 2025 at 1:51 AM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
A key problem is there's a Hotel California aspect to MA: once you're in, it's hard to leave.

In nearly every state, after your initial eligibility period @65, you can't revert to traditional Medicare without facing medical underwriting for Medigap plan that cover your out-of-pocket obligations.
January 8, 2025 at 4:31 PM
Reposted by Brian McGarry
As the baby boom generation enters its prime years for long-term care needs, its difficult to come up with a more challenging backdrop than an immigration system about to be cut off at its knees (think: nursing home aides) and states having to fill in funding gaps from Medicaid spending shortfalls.
As press reports continue to highlight the debate within GOP Congressional leaders as to whether they should block grant Medicaid to pay for their tax cuts, it is worth highlighting that there are 11.7 million seniors/PWD on Medicare + Medicare.
The so-called "Dual-eligibles".
November 25, 2024 at 7:33 PM