Aureo de Paula
@paulaaureo.bsky.social
Professor of Economics at UCL, IFS. East London Carioca. Arsenal and Flamengo!
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
📢 #CallForPapers - 2nd Workshop on Frontiers in Measurement and Survey Methods
Organised by: CEPR, University of Calabria, University of Naples Federico II & @yale.edu
Deadline: 25 Jan 2026
More details: cepr.org/events/works...
@giannolamichele.bsky.social @armiano.bsky.social
Organised by: CEPR, University of Calabria, University of Naples Federico II & @yale.edu
Deadline: 25 Jan 2026
More details: cepr.org/events/works...
@giannolamichele.bsky.social @armiano.bsky.social
November 17, 2025 at 3:52 PM
📢 #CallForPapers - 2nd Workshop on Frontiers in Measurement and Survey Methods
Organised by: CEPR, University of Calabria, University of Naples Federico II & @yale.edu
Deadline: 25 Jan 2026
More details: cepr.org/events/works...
@giannolamichele.bsky.social @armiano.bsky.social
Organised by: CEPR, University of Calabria, University of Naples Federico II & @yale.edu
Deadline: 25 Jan 2026
More details: cepr.org/events/works...
@giannolamichele.bsky.social @armiano.bsky.social
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
NEW: #IFSWorkingPaper: The rise of online dating and heterogamous marriages
📗 Read Yujung Hwang, Fangzhu Yang and @paulaaureo.bsky.social's new paper on how the diffusion of online dating platforms has shaped intermarriage patterns by race and education here: ifs.org.uk/publications...
📗 Read Yujung Hwang, Fangzhu Yang and @paulaaureo.bsky.social's new paper on how the diffusion of online dating platforms has shaped intermarriage patterns by race and education here: ifs.org.uk/publications...
September 17, 2025 at 11:42 AM
NEW: #IFSWorkingPaper: The rise of online dating and heterogamous marriages
📗 Read Yujung Hwang, Fangzhu Yang and @paulaaureo.bsky.social's new paper on how the diffusion of online dating platforms has shaped intermarriage patterns by race and education here: ifs.org.uk/publications...
📗 Read Yujung Hwang, Fangzhu Yang and @paulaaureo.bsky.social's new paper on how the diffusion of online dating platforms has shaped intermarriage patterns by race and education here: ifs.org.uk/publications...
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
Just published in @jpube.bsky.social:
"Intergenerational mobility in socio-emotional skills"
By Orazio P. Attanasio, @paulaaureo.bsky.social, & Alessandro Toppeta
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
#econsky #publiceconomics
@ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social
@sofi.su.se
"Intergenerational mobility in socio-emotional skills"
By Orazio P. Attanasio, @paulaaureo.bsky.social, & Alessandro Toppeta
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
#econsky #publiceconomics
@ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social
@sofi.su.se
August 13, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Just published in @jpube.bsky.social:
"Intergenerational mobility in socio-emotional skills"
By Orazio P. Attanasio, @paulaaureo.bsky.social, & Alessandro Toppeta
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
#econsky #publiceconomics
@ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social
@sofi.su.se
"Intergenerational mobility in socio-emotional skills"
By Orazio P. Attanasio, @paulaaureo.bsky.social, & Alessandro Toppeta
www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
#econsky #publiceconomics
@ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social
@sofi.su.se
This is a (very) short thread on a recent paper with the great Orazio Attanasio and Alessandro Toppeta on “Intergenerational Mobility in Socio-Emotional Skills” (forthcoming at @jpube.bsky.social)! (1/7)
@ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social @sofi.su.se @clscohorts.bsky.social
@ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social @sofi.su.se @clscohorts.bsky.social
July 14, 2025 at 11:05 AM
This is a (very) short thread on a recent paper with the great Orazio Attanasio and Alessandro Toppeta on “Intergenerational Mobility in Socio-Emotional Skills” (forthcoming at @jpube.bsky.social)! (1/7)
@ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social @sofi.su.se @clscohorts.bsky.social
@ucleconomics.bsky.social @uclpolicylab.bsky.social @sofi.su.se @clscohorts.bsky.social
📣 Check out my latest article with R Inafuku, T Halliday and Lester Lusher on air population, test scores ...and a volcano!
🆕 article in the Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics:
"Vog: Using Volcanic Eruptions to Estimate the Impact of Air Pollution on Student Test Scores"
(by Rachel Inafuku, Timothy J. Halliday, Lester Lusher, @paulaaureo.bsky.social)
doi.org/10.1111/obes...
#Environment #HumanCapital🌋💨📝🏫
"Vog: Using Volcanic Eruptions to Estimate the Impact of Air Pollution on Student Test Scores"
(by Rachel Inafuku, Timothy J. Halliday, Lester Lusher, @paulaaureo.bsky.social)
doi.org/10.1111/obes...
#Environment #HumanCapital🌋💨📝🏫
Vog: Using Volcanic Eruptions to Estimate the Impact of Air Pollution on Student Test Scores
We pair variation stemming from volcanic eruptions with the census of Hawaii's public schools' student test scores to estimate the impact of PM2.5$$ P{M}_{2.5} $$ and SO2$$ S{O}_2 $$ on student perfo...
doi.org
June 25, 2025 at 11:06 PM
📣 Check out my latest article with R Inafuku, T Halliday and Lester Lusher on air population, test scores ...and a volcano!
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
Join @ucleconomics.bsky.social this May for this year's annual Gorman Lecture and Conference 2025.
Find out more about this year's programme and book your tickets ⬇️
Find out more about this year's programme and book your tickets ⬇️
In @ucleconomics.bsky.social, we engage in the #discourse globally. Our annual Gorman Lecture (and conference) returns this May with the distinguished Ariel Pake of @harvard.edu.
Register now➡️https://www.ucl.ac.uk/economics/events/2025/may/ucl-department-economics-gorman-lecture-and-conference-2025
Register now➡️https://www.ucl.ac.uk/economics/events/2025/may/ucl-department-economics-gorman-lecture-and-conference-2025
May 1, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Join @ucleconomics.bsky.social this May for this year's annual Gorman Lecture and Conference 2025.
Find out more about this year's programme and book your tickets ⬇️
Find out more about this year's programme and book your tickets ⬇️
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
We at @ucleconomics.bsky.social have extended the application deadline to our MA degrees by a week (until May 8th)--all nationalities warmly welcome!
American students turn to UK as Trump takes aim at US universities
https://www.ft.com/content/ebb2b7e7-5dea-47a2-8386-f12eda692c0f
https://www.ft.com/content/ebb2b7e7-5dea-47a2-8386-f12eda692c0f
American students turn to UK as Trump takes aim at US universities
Searches for British courses surge following US president’s assault on Ivy League institutions, data shows
www.ft.com
April 29, 2025 at 7:33 AM
We at @ucleconomics.bsky.social have extended the application deadline to our MA degrees by a week (until May 8th)--all nationalities warmly welcome!
This year's Gorman Lectures at UCL will be given by one of my heroes, Ariel Pakes. I can't wait!
In @ucleconomics.bsky.social, we engage in the #discourse globally. Our annual Gorman Lecture (and conference) returns this May with the distinguished Ariel Pake of @harvard.edu.
Register now➡️https://www.ucl.ac.uk/economics/events/2025/may/ucl-department-economics-gorman-lecture-and-conference-2025
Register now➡️https://www.ucl.ac.uk/economics/events/2025/may/ucl-department-economics-gorman-lecture-and-conference-2025
April 25, 2025 at 8:58 PM
This year's Gorman Lectures at UCL will be given by one of my heroes, Ariel Pakes. I can't wait!
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
It's been a while since I did a standard lit review thread, but here's one for #econsky #econtwitter about an important literature that's been growing recently: the effect of supply- and demand-side interventions on fertility in LMICs
April 11, 2025 at 4:49 PM
It's been a while since I did a standard lit review thread, but here's one for #econsky #econtwitter about an important literature that's been growing recently: the effect of supply- and demand-side interventions on fertility in LMICs
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
We are recruiting an Econometrics Adviser. The role would suit someone with a recent PhD (or a masters and some experience), and an interest in empirical IO. This is a unique opportunity to work on high-profile cases and with great data!
www.civilservicejobs.service.gov.uk/csr/jobs.cgi...
www.civilservicejobs.service.gov.uk/csr/jobs.cgi...
February 21, 2025 at 11:01 AM
We are recruiting an Econometrics Adviser. The role would suit someone with a recent PhD (or a masters and some experience), and an interest in empirical IO. This is a unique opportunity to work on high-profile cases and with great data!
www.civilservicejobs.service.gov.uk/csr/jobs.cgi...
www.civilservicejobs.service.gov.uk/csr/jobs.cgi...
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
Recently accepted to @reveconstudies.bsky.social, "Industrial Policy Implementation: Empirical Evidence from China’s Shipbuilding Industry" from Barwick, Kalouptsidi and Bin Zahur:
www.restud.com/industrial-p...
www.restud.com/industrial-p...
February 18, 2025 at 11:37 AM
Recently accepted to @reveconstudies.bsky.social, "Industrial Policy Implementation: Empirical Evidence from China’s Shipbuilding Industry" from Barwick, Kalouptsidi and Bin Zahur:
www.restud.com/industrial-p...
www.restud.com/industrial-p...
I have a new paper on “Prediction Sets and Conformal Inference with Censored Outcomes” with the great Weiguang Liu and Elie Tamer. Prediction Sets and Conformal… what? I know, I know! Here comes a (very) short thread on what we do in the paper. (1/5)
February 10, 2025 at 12:50 PM
I have a new paper on “Prediction Sets and Conformal Inference with Censored Outcomes” with the great Weiguang Liu and Elie Tamer. Prediction Sets and Conformal… what? I know, I know! Here comes a (very) short thread on what we do in the paper. (1/5)
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
Agnes Norris Keiller presented a great paper with @paulaaureo.bsky.social and @johnvanreenen.bsky.social on how we can use data on firms' turnover and employment expectations directly in production function estimation.
www.nber.org/papers/w32725
2/
www.nber.org/papers/w32725
2/
Production Function Estimation Using Subjective Expectations Data
Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...
www.nber.org
November 16, 2024 at 3:11 PM
Agnes Norris Keiller presented a great paper with @paulaaureo.bsky.social and @johnvanreenen.bsky.social on how we can use data on firms' turnover and employment expectations directly in production function estimation.
www.nber.org/papers/w32725
2/
www.nber.org/papers/w32725
2/
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
NEW #IFSWorkingPaper: Robust inference for the Frisch labor supply
Michael Keane and Timothy Neal argue the AR test should be widely adopted in lieu of the 2SLS t-test for estimating Frisch labor supply elasticity.
Read here: https://buff.ly/4fhBJ2G
Michael Keane and Timothy Neal argue the AR test should be widely adopted in lieu of the 2SLS t-test for estimating Frisch labor supply elasticity.
Read here: https://buff.ly/4fhBJ2G
October 23, 2024 at 4:14 PM
NEW #IFSWorkingPaper: Robust inference for the Frisch labor supply
Michael Keane and Timothy Neal argue the AR test should be widely adopted in lieu of the 2SLS t-test for estimating Frisch labor supply elasticity.
Read here: https://buff.ly/4fhBJ2G
Michael Keane and Timothy Neal argue the AR test should be widely adopted in lieu of the 2SLS t-test for estimating Frisch labor supply elasticity.
Read here: https://buff.ly/4fhBJ2G
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
The ONS has today released results from two new data collection efforts on public-sector productivity: a public-sector version of the existing Management and Expectations Survey and a public-sector time use survey.
Overall, management practices look similar in the public and private sectors.
1/
Overall, management practices look similar in the public and private sectors.
1/
October 21, 2024 at 7:42 PM
The ONS has today released results from two new data collection efforts on public-sector productivity: a public-sector version of the existing Management and Expectations Survey and a public-sector time use survey.
Overall, management practices look similar in the public and private sectors.
1/
Overall, management practices look similar in the public and private sectors.
1/
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
🚨New (very short) paper alert:
"Bayesian Fama-MacBeth Regressions" with @SBryzgalova and Jiantao Huang tinyurl.com/bddpezz6
🧵1/n #Finance #Econometrics
"Bayesian Fama-MacBeth Regressions" with @SBryzgalova and Jiantao Huang tinyurl.com/bddpezz6
🧵1/n #Finance #Econometrics
October 19, 2024 at 11:45 AM
🚨New (very short) paper alert:
"Bayesian Fama-MacBeth Regressions" with @SBryzgalova and Jiantao Huang tinyurl.com/bddpezz6
🧵1/n #Finance #Econometrics
"Bayesian Fama-MacBeth Regressions" with @SBryzgalova and Jiantao Huang tinyurl.com/bddpezz6
🧵1/n #Finance #Econometrics
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
I am trying to be more active on here, and have not yet seen an IO or org econ starter pack, so here is an attempt at one:
go.bsky.app/Rchu8QX
Please shout out if I have forgotten someone, or when others join. #EconSky
go.bsky.app/Rchu8QX
Please shout out if I have forgotten someone, or when others join. #EconSky
September 13, 2024 at 9:17 PM
I am trying to be more active on here, and have not yet seen an IO or org econ starter pack, so here is an attempt at one:
go.bsky.app/Rchu8QX
Please shout out if I have forgotten someone, or when others join. #EconSky
go.bsky.app/Rchu8QX
Please shout out if I have forgotten someone, or when others join. #EconSky
🎉 🎉 Check out our paper with I Rasul (UCL and @theifs.bsky.social) and P Souza (QMUL), now forthcoming at the REStud. You can find replication codes either at the REStud or on Github (shorturl.at/hO24S)!
www.restud.com/identifying-...
www.restud.com/identifying-...
Identifying Network Ties from Panel Data: Theory and an Application to Tax Competition - The Review of Economic Studies
Social interactions determine many economic behaviors, but information on social ties does not exist in most publicly available and widely used datasets. We present results on the identification of so...
www.restud.com
September 2, 2024 at 2:52 PM
🎉 🎉 Check out our paper with I Rasul (UCL and @theifs.bsky.social) and P Souza (QMUL), now forthcoming at the REStud. You can find replication codes either at the REStud or on Github (shorturl.at/hO24S)!
www.restud.com/identifying-...
www.restud.com/identifying-...
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
Very interesting fresh working paper on production function estimation w. subjective firm expectations by Norris Keiller, @paulaaureo.bsky.social, & @johnvanreenen.bsky.social: arxiv.org/pdf/2407.07988
Just in time to serve as overture to John's UK Econ Advisory Council chairmanship gig, I suppose!😉
Just in time to serve as overture to John's UK Econ Advisory Council chairmanship gig, I suppose!😉
arxiv.org
July 12, 2024 at 9:15 AM
Very interesting fresh working paper on production function estimation w. subjective firm expectations by Norris Keiller, @paulaaureo.bsky.social, & @johnvanreenen.bsky.social: arxiv.org/pdf/2407.07988
Just in time to serve as overture to John's UK Econ Advisory Council chairmanship gig, I suppose!😉
Just in time to serve as overture to John's UK Econ Advisory Council chairmanship gig, I suppose!😉
Reposted by Aureo de Paula
In his jmp, Wenhao uses data and model of altruism within networks to study the evolution of patrilineal kinship in facilitating male marriages in 19th-century China amid development spurred by a forced port opening.
November 23, 2023 at 3:17 AM
In his jmp, Wenhao uses data and model of altruism within networks to study the evolution of patrilineal kinship in facilitating male marriages in 19th-century China amid development spurred by a forced port opening.