Peter Carlson
peterdcarlson.bsky.social
Peter Carlson
@peterdcarlson.bsky.social
410 followers 670 following 2.8K posts
He/him. Alexandria, VA.
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There's certainly a chance but it's worth the risk. The right move would be send someone from a safe seat in the House or GA, with maybe a preference toward House of Delegates since Dems have such a large majority now.
Reposted by Peter Carlson
The original Dem demands were:
1) Permanent ACA subsidies
2) Medicaid funding restored
3) No more blank checks for the regime (rescission)

They dropped Medicaid immediately. Went silent on rescission. Cut back to 1 year of subsidies on Friday. And surrendered today.

The Senate Democrats!
Reposted by Peter Carlson
Okay, anyway gongshow of this aside, a very important note:

there is another cloture vote! 4 days, because Rand Paul is going to draw it out. The squishes have no spines, at all, and this goes two ways. Incandescent anger, especially at Kaine and CCM/Rosen.
Reposted by Peter Carlson
The coordinated nature of this—none are facing voters in 2026—means that either Schumer approved it or failed in his job as Senate Majority Leader to stop it.

Dems voting "no" get zero credit until they demand a change in leadership. Schumer out as Leader, Durbin out as Whip.
so currently defectors are:

Kaine (2030)
Shaheen (Retiring)
Hasan (2028)
Fetterman (2028)
Durbin (Retiring)
CCM (2028)
Rosen (2030)
King (2030)
Reposted by Peter Carlson
Warner is up for reelection. He was widely seen driving towards surrender behind the scenes, but he's voting no in public because it's unpopular. The real question is whether he supports a senate leadership change. If not, someone who supports senate leadership change should primary him.
But I cannot support a deal that still leaves millions of Americans wondering how they are going to pay for their health care or whether they will be able to afford to get sick.
Reposted by Peter Carlson
Reposted by Peter Carlson
Important to understand this. There's a reasonable chance that your Dem Senator who voted against it and is acting mad now was in on the play. It's the same reason why they scheduled the surrender for AFTER the election this week. They didn't want people pissed at Dems right before an election.
The caucus meeting was just to orchestrate who would fall on the sword but not be up for a vote in 2026.
so currently defectors are:

Kaine (2030)
Shaheen (Retiring)
Hasan (2028)
Fetterman (2028)
Durbin (Retiring)
CCM (2028)
Rosen (2030)
King (2030)
Reposted by Peter Carlson
Schumer's caucus is unified behind the deal Schumer orchestrated. These 8 are just the ones willing to take the heat for the rest of the caucus.
Reposted by Peter Carlson
I just have to think the senators knew how much hot water this was going to be because we all had, what, an hour? to figure out what they were up to and call in, if we weren’t online on a Sunday evening we would have missed the whole thing
Reposted by Peter Carlson
Not sold on the idea that this would shift the blame, since kind of the whole point is that when the news is bad, normal people just blame the president; what it would do is take a lot of bad things out of the news, creating the impression that the president must be handling things better now.
Reposted by Peter Carlson
The average SNAP benefit per month is $177 a person.

The average ACA benefit per month is up to $550 a person.

People want us to hold the line for a reason. This is not a matter of appealing to a base. It’s about people’s lives.

And working people want leaders whose word means something to them.
Reposted by Peter Carlson
Shaheen is retiring; Virginia is solid enough Blue territory that Kaine shld be replaced by a Democrat who is serious about preserving American democracy.
Reposted by Peter Carlson
Durbin is trash. Yes, lots of great stuff in the past. Sure he’s a decent guy. But he’s pure trash now. Important to see that the bulk of Team Cave is made up of people who are retiring.
Durbin is a YES on this deal: “At Democrats’ urging, today’s bill is not the same one we’ve voted down 14 times. Republicans finally woke up and realized their Groundhog Day needed to end. This bill is not perfect, but it takes important steps to reduce their shutdown’s hurt.”
Reposted by Peter Carlson
You look like an idiot doing this. You have no grasp of how political power works and your decision is an embarrassment.
They think we're stupid.
Not disagreeing with Sahil. But absurd for Team Cave to present full SNAP funding as part of a deal since that’s automatic if the govt reopens.
Tentative Senate deal to end shutdown, multiple sources tell me & @frankthorp.bsky.social:

—CR through Jan 30
—Approps minibus
—Fully funds SNAP
—Reverses Trump’s shutdown RIFs
—Promise of Senate vote on ACA subsidies by Dec second week (details/outcome uncertain)
—Led by King/Shaheen/Hassan
Reposted by Peter Carlson
Not disagreeing with Sahil. But absurd for Team Cave to present full SNAP funding as part of a deal since that’s automatic if the govt reopens.
Tentative Senate deal to end shutdown, multiple sources tell me & @frankthorp.bsky.social:

—CR through Jan 30
—Approps minibus
—Fully funds SNAP
—Reverses Trump’s shutdown RIFs
—Promise of Senate vote on ACA subsidies by Dec second week (details/outcome uncertain)
—Led by King/Shaheen/Hassan
Reposted by Peter Carlson
The senior Senator from Virginia is a no on the funding bill

Warner is up for re-election next year and imagine would like to avoid primary

Most of Yes votes for Dems will be retiring or don’t have to worry about primary any time soon
Warner breaks with Kaine on funding vote, though he praises RIF prohibitions

"I want nothing more than to reopen the government ...
“But I cannot support a deal that still leaves millions of Americans wondering how they are going to pay for their health care
Reposted by Peter Carlson
Tim Kaine is a chump who believes Republican promises.

Call him and yell at him if he's your senator.

Phone numbers here: www.kaine.senate.gov/contact/offi...
Sen. Tim Kaine statement "on the funding deal to reopen government, protect federal employees, and vote to protect health care"
bluevirginia.us/2025/11/sund...
Which Senators do the Schumer two-step this time and vote yes for cloture and then no on CR?
Warner's gonna vote no bc he knows he's in hot water. Kaine is bailing him out. They're trying to hide the ball.
Reposted by Peter Carlson
I will not support a deal that does nothing to make health care more affordable.

We are in a health care emergency. A simple one-year extension of these tax credits would cost less than Donald Trump’s $40 billion bailout for Argentina.

A vote for this bill is a mistake.
ACA subsidies extension is the floor. Anything less than that is a loss for the Dems. This is obvious to anyone with half a brain.
Reposted by Peter Carlson
i think this is key. taking the deal would amount to taking the blame. it would turn a clear political victory into an unambiguous defeat.
If the Dems blink after all of this, for a deal that all but ensures no ACA subsidies in 2026 anyway, then what was the purpose of letting the shutdown go for 40 days in the first place?
This is insulting.
My statement on the funding deal to reopen government, protect federal employees, and vote to protect health care: