John
@roqueig.bsky.social
Brewery Enthusiast. Stetson Collector. Hedge Fund Manager. Philly Sports Optimist…
All personal views, no investment advice.
All personal views, no investment advice.
Pinned
John
@roqueig.bsky.social
· Jun 18
“.. BloombergNEF estimated that EVs will be 27% of U.S. passenger vehicle sales in 2030, down from nearly 48% in last year's version of the annual look-ahead.”
@axios.com
www.axios.com/newsletters/...
@axios.com
www.axios.com/newsletters/...
some of the blame here has to sit with the US auto manufacturers - their inability to innovate and deliver a high quality and affordable EV is the one of, if not the main culprit here. China has multiple EV offerings coming from multiple manufacturers - across the affordability spectrum
This is a great interview by Scott - asking the right questions
February 6, 2026 at 5:33 PM
This is a great interview by Scott - asking the right questions
Reposted by John
Coffee closer to a 52wk low
February 6, 2026 at 12:31 PM
Coffee closer to a 52wk low
As always, great piece from SemiAnalysis - this sums it up well:
“… Microsoft is one of the largest AI clouds in the world to companies like OpenAI and Anthropic. But they are renting GPUs to the barbarians who will ruin their castle in productivity software.”
“… Microsoft is one of the largest AI clouds in the world to companies like OpenAI and Anthropic. But they are renting GPUs to the barbarians who will ruin their castle in productivity software.”
Claude Code is the Inflection Point
What It Is, How We Use It, Industry Repercussions, Microsoft's Dilemma, Why Anthropic Is Winning
newsletter.semianalysis.com
February 6, 2026 at 11:27 AM
As always, great piece from SemiAnalysis - this sums it up well:
“… Microsoft is one of the largest AI clouds in the world to companies like OpenAI and Anthropic. But they are renting GPUs to the barbarians who will ruin their castle in productivity software.”
“… Microsoft is one of the largest AI clouds in the world to companies like OpenAI and Anthropic. But they are renting GPUs to the barbarians who will ruin their castle in productivity software.”
The $AMZN call is really interesting - Jassy was asked multiple times how far underwater he would go on FCF and his responses were focused on framing how big the opportunity is for Amazon and AWS. It’s clear he is willing the spend and spend aggressively
February 6, 2026 at 12:59 AM
The $AMZN call is really interesting - Jassy was asked multiple times how far underwater he would go on FCF and his responses were focused on framing how big the opportunity is for Amazon and AWS. It’s clear he is willing the spend and spend aggressively
stock is unch from this point
As AMZN sits right about flat on the year, and is now the worst performing mag-7 name, I suppose it's somewhat useful to highlight that since Andy Jassy became CEO in July of 2021 the stock has appreciated ~20.00%
He / AMZN is really, really betting on Project Ranier delivering
He / AMZN is really, really betting on Project Ranier delivering
Now, I don't think the same can be said for AMZN...
If you're Andy Jassy you really, really need Project Ranier and Trainium silicon to deliver for Anthropic leading to that reacceleration in AWS into the 20%'s maybe into the mid 20's
If you're Andy Jassy you really, really need Project Ranier and Trainium silicon to deliver for Anthropic leading to that reacceleration in AWS into the 20%'s maybe into the mid 20's
February 5, 2026 at 9:46 PM
stock is unch from this point
When Jensen told everyone that #$NVDA would do $500bn in Blackwell / Rubin revenue by EOY 2026, I suppose the street should've taken his word and taken up the capex numbers
February 5, 2026 at 9:07 PM
When Jensen told everyone that #$NVDA would do $500bn in Blackwell / Rubin revenue by EOY 2026, I suppose the street should've taken his word and taken up the capex numbers
Coffee prices continue their decline, somewhat aggressively - not sure what is driving that. Should be good for the #$SBUX's of the world who have commented on margin pressure from elevated price
still well about the 2022-2024 levels
still well about the 2022-2024 levels
February 5, 2026 at 3:24 PM
Coffee prices continue their decline, somewhat aggressively - not sure what is driving that. Should be good for the #$SBUX's of the world who have commented on margin pressure from elevated price
still well about the 2022-2024 levels
still well about the 2022-2024 levels
Good juxtaposition how big a beat #$GOOGL delivered yesterday -
After the Q3 print, MS saw a "path" for Google cloud to grow 50%+ in 2026
After yesterday's (Q4) print, MS now sees cloud growing 61% in 2026, with GCP growing more than 70% (all while backlog alone grew 55% QoQ)
After the Q3 print, MS saw a "path" for Google cloud to grow 50%+ in 2026
After yesterday's (Q4) print, MS now sees cloud growing 61% in 2026, with GCP growing more than 70% (all while backlog alone grew 55% QoQ)
February 5, 2026 at 1:17 PM
Good juxtaposition how big a beat #$GOOGL delivered yesterday -
After the Q3 print, MS saw a "path" for Google cloud to grow 50%+ in 2026
After yesterday's (Q4) print, MS now sees cloud growing 61% in 2026, with GCP growing more than 70% (all while backlog alone grew 55% QoQ)
After the Q3 print, MS saw a "path" for Google cloud to grow 50%+ in 2026
After yesterday's (Q4) print, MS now sees cloud growing 61% in 2026, with GCP growing more than 70% (all while backlog alone grew 55% QoQ)
#$AMZN heading into tonight's print is down ~11% from its Q3 post earnings open high and down YoY from last Feb ... these big tech stocks just are not working
February 5, 2026 at 1:02 PM
#$AMZN heading into tonight's print is down ~11% from its Q3 post earnings open high and down YoY from last Feb ... these big tech stocks just are not working
Wearing my Stoutland U shirt in honor
Eagles offensive line coach Jeff Stoutland is leaving Philadelphia, he announced.
@zberm.bsky.social was on it.
@zberm.bsky.social was on it.
February 4, 2026 at 11:54 PM
Wearing my Stoutland U shirt in honor
This ties out with some of my suspicions on how could $AAPL possibly handle the inference workload necessary to run AI on billions of devices - it’s likely $AAPL will run on GCP in the near to medium term before building out their infrastructure with their rumored Baltra hardware coming with $AVGO
February 4, 2026 at 11:27 PM
This ties out with some of my suspicions on how could $AAPL possibly handle the inference workload necessary to run AI on billions of devices - it’s likely $AAPL will run on GCP in the near to medium term before building out their infrastructure with their rumored Baltra hardware coming with $AVGO
Reposted by John
#$GOOGL grew Google Cloud revenues 48% over the last year. 56.4 cents of every new dollar of revenue flowed to operating income. That is...astounding. $5.7bn of new revenue, $3.2bn of new operating income.
February 4, 2026 at 9:31 PM
#$GOOGL grew Google Cloud revenues 48% over the last year. 56.4 cents of every new dollar of revenue flowed to operating income. That is...astounding. $5.7bn of new revenue, $3.2bn of new operating income.
Sundar, wartime CEO??
Massive acceleration across the business and he doubles down with massive capex for FY26
Really interested to get context on the call, but investors will give #$GOOGL much more leeway that the other mega caps because they have proven ROI
Massive acceleration across the business and he doubles down with massive capex for FY26
Really interested to get context on the call, but investors will give #$GOOGL much more leeway that the other mega caps because they have proven ROI
February 4, 2026 at 9:10 PM
Sundar, wartime CEO??
Massive acceleration across the business and he doubles down with massive capex for FY26
Really interested to get context on the call, but investors will give #$GOOGL much more leeway that the other mega caps because they have proven ROI
Massive acceleration across the business and he doubles down with massive capex for FY26
Really interested to get context on the call, but investors will give #$GOOGL much more leeway that the other mega caps because they have proven ROI
Reposted by John
Momentum $MTUM 2nd-worst day vs $SPY in its 13-year history @stockcharts
February 4, 2026 at 7:49 PM
Momentum $MTUM 2nd-worst day vs $SPY in its 13-year history @stockcharts
Reposted by John
GS DESK:
“.. There is no smoking gun for today’s move, it just happens that the market is chasing the strongest earnings revisions possible ..
“.. a larger unwind of the winners could cause more pain than a rotation given where nets are in our Prime Book (89th percentile over last year).”
“.. There is no smoking gun for today’s move, it just happens that the market is chasing the strongest earnings revisions possible ..
“.. a larger unwind of the winners could cause more pain than a rotation given where nets are in our Prime Book (89th percentile over last year).”
February 4, 2026 at 7:37 PM
GS DESK:
“.. There is no smoking gun for today’s move, it just happens that the market is chasing the strongest earnings revisions possible ..
“.. a larger unwind of the winners could cause more pain than a rotation given where nets are in our Prime Book (89th percentile over last year).”
“.. There is no smoking gun for today’s move, it just happens that the market is chasing the strongest earnings revisions possible ..
“.. a larger unwind of the winners could cause more pain than a rotation given where nets are in our Prime Book (89th percentile over last year).”
Jensen is right; however, that doesn't absolve certain SaaS comps from potential obscurity. Many have drained value from their customers (Alex Karp has argued this for quite some time)
The selling pressure now is broad, and incorrect, so there are buying opportunities, but not all will recover
The selling pressure now is broad, and incorrect, so there are buying opportunities, but not all will recover
February 4, 2026 at 5:28 PM
Jensen is right; however, that doesn't absolve certain SaaS comps from potential obscurity. Many have drained value from their customers (Alex Karp has argued this for quite some time)
The selling pressure now is broad, and incorrect, so there are buying opportunities, but not all will recover
The selling pressure now is broad, and incorrect, so there are buying opportunities, but not all will recover
