Sky Kalkman
@skykalkman.bsky.social
Baseball, limes, data nerdery. I ask a lot of questions.
https://skykalkman.substack.com/
https://skykalkman.substack.com/
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
early returns are that Pham faced a league-average collection of pitchers per DRA/cFIP basically on the button. Also that the spread for DRA- is ~97-103, so just not a substantial gap, broadly speaking.
I guess one bit of follow up I'd like to see from the pham piece is whether the Pirates (or Pham) were really at a deficit i/r/t quality of pitcher faced? I get that PIT had the highest average leverage index or w/e, but I'd be curious to see what (if any) gap actually exists on opponent quality
January 5, 2026 at 9:30 PM
early returns are that Pham faced a league-average collection of pitchers per DRA/cFIP basically on the button. Also that the spread for DRA- is ~97-103, so just not a substantial gap, broadly speaking.
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
WAM had @robarthur.bsky.social run a report for us that found that fielders in stadiums with closed roofs were, on average, positioned a foot closer to where fly balls landed than in outdoor venues. Theoretically, you could use WAM's data to position your fielders better and save a few runs a year.
January 5, 2026 at 7:10 PM
WAM had @robarthur.bsky.social run a report for us that found that fielders in stadiums with closed roofs were, on average, positioned a foot closer to where fly balls landed than in outdoor venues. Theoretically, you could use WAM's data to position your fielders better and save a few runs a year.
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
INBOX: Statement from Senator Kelly
January 5, 2026 at 4:40 PM
INBOX: Statement from Senator Kelly
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
Really, a remarkable statement from Colombia’s President.
January 5, 2026 at 3:39 AM
Really, a remarkable statement from Colombia’s President.
Bold move wiring your first piece at an analytics-forward website premised on the idea that Luis Arraez is a future Hall of Famer.
January 5, 2026 at 4:35 PM
Bold move wiring your first piece at an analytics-forward website premised on the idea that Luis Arraez is a future Hall of Famer.
Josh Allen did this without actually having a wide receiver to throw to.
Top five quarterbacks in EPA per play for the season, per TruMedia
January 5, 2026 at 1:22 AM
Josh Allen did this without actually having a wide receiver to throw to.
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
In a study following 23 million people age 18-59 (pretty young) for 4 years…despite the fact that the ones who got the COVID vaccine were overall older and sicker at baseline, they not only had 74% lower risk of dying from COVID than the unvaccinated but 25% lower risk of dying from any other cause!
January 4, 2026 at 8:59 PM
In a study following 23 million people age 18-59 (pretty young) for 4 years…despite the fact that the ones who got the COVID vaccine were overall older and sicker at baseline, they not only had 74% lower risk of dying from COVID than the unvaccinated but 25% lower risk of dying from any other cause!
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
"But Wiles conceded that attacking targets on Venezuela’s mainland would force Trump to get congressional approval. 'If he were to authorize some activity on land, then it’s war, then [we’d need] Congress.'"
- WH Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, Nov 2, 2025 interview
www.vanityfair.com/news/story/t...
- WH Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, Nov 2, 2025 interview
www.vanityfair.com/news/story/t...
Trump’s Inner Circle, On the Record (Part 2 of 2)
Susie Wiles discusses the Epstein files, Pete Hegseth’s war tactics, and “retribution” against Letitia James.
www.vanityfair.com
January 3, 2026 at 1:35 PM
"But Wiles conceded that attacking targets on Venezuela’s mainland would force Trump to get congressional approval. 'If he were to authorize some activity on land, then it’s war, then [we’d need] Congress.'"
- WH Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, Nov 2, 2025 interview
www.vanityfair.com/news/story/t...
- WH Chief of Staff Susie Wiles, Nov 2, 2025 interview
www.vanityfair.com/news/story/t...
*fingers crossed*
81 days until Opening Day
January 3, 2026 at 5:45 PM
*fingers crossed*
Don Mattingly has 42 career bWAR with a peak of 7.2, 6.4, 6.3, 5.1 and only one other season above 4. I agree he needs a higher or longer peak to be a Hall of Famer.
But the fielding metrics only have him at +44 runs at 1B over his main 11 seasons (+4 per season) which doesn't match his reputation.
But the fielding metrics only have him at +44 runs at 1B over his main 11 seasons (+4 per season) which doesn't match his reputation.
January 3, 2026 at 4:34 PM
Don Mattingly has 42 career bWAR with a peak of 7.2, 6.4, 6.3, 5.1 and only one other season above 4. I agree he needs a higher or longer peak to be a Hall of Famer.
But the fielding metrics only have him at +44 runs at 1B over his main 11 seasons (+4 per season) which doesn't match his reputation.
But the fielding metrics only have him at +44 runs at 1B over his main 11 seasons (+4 per season) which doesn't match his reputation.
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
Amid everything with Venezuela & Maduro and the Trump Regime's various justifications for its extrajudicial & anti-constitutional actions, a quick reminder that - just one month ago - Trump PARDONED former Honduras President Juan Orlando Hernández for his... wait for it... cocaine trafficking.
Breaking: President Trump pardons former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernandez serving 45-year sentence on drug charges.
Amid anti-drug push, Trump pardons leader sentenced on cocaine charges
Trump said Nov. 28 that he planned to pardon the former Honduran leader, and a White House official confirmed Dec. 2 that the pardon had been issued.
bit.ly
January 3, 2026 at 3:21 PM
Amid everything with Venezuela & Maduro and the Trump Regime's various justifications for its extrajudicial & anti-constitutional actions, a quick reminder that - just one month ago - Trump PARDONED former Honduras President Juan Orlando Hernández for his... wait for it... cocaine trafficking.
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
Republicans in Congress are pro dictator and anti Constitution. They should never have power again.
January 3, 2026 at 3:47 PM
Republicans in Congress are pro dictator and anti Constitution. They should never have power again.
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
Marco Rubio is reportedly saying Maduro will stand trial in US courts.
Which means it’s now the US administration’s position that US courts can hold foreign presidents, but not the US president, accountable for crimes.
Which means it’s now the US administration’s position that US courts can hold foreign presidents, but not the US president, accountable for crimes.
January 3, 2026 at 10:52 AM
Marco Rubio is reportedly saying Maduro will stand trial in US courts.
Which means it’s now the US administration’s position that US courts can hold foreign presidents, but not the US president, accountable for crimes.
Which means it’s now the US administration’s position that US courts can hold foreign presidents, but not the US president, accountable for crimes.
"I suspect the usage of [torpedo] bats will increase in 2026."
Following up on your question: I suspect that others are also analyzing the 2025 data on torpedo bats. And I further suspect that, based on this analysis, the usage of these bats will increase in 2026. We shall see.
Yes, I have done some analysis. It is still in progress and not yet ready to go public. Also have done ( with my collaborators) lab measurements. Those results will be shown at a conference in June. Perhaps prior to that.
January 2, 2026 at 9:09 PM
"I suspect the usage of [torpedo] bats will increase in 2026."
Hi, BlueSky converts. Probably deserves some updating, but here's a list of baseball analytics nerds if that's up your alley.
go.bsky.app/GZjLuxK
go.bsky.app/GZjLuxK
January 2, 2026 at 8:28 PM
Hi, BlueSky converts. Probably deserves some updating, but here's a list of baseball analytics nerds if that's up your alley.
go.bsky.app/GZjLuxK
go.bsky.app/GZjLuxK
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
who is blurred out here?
January 2, 2026 at 1:33 PM
who is blurred out here?
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
Josh Bell finished 2025 with both a higher xwOBA (.358) and barrel rate (12.0%) than Freddie Freeman and Julio Rodriguez.
January 2, 2026 at 8:53 AM
Josh Bell finished 2025 with both a higher xwOBA (.358) and barrel rate (12.0%) than Freddie Freeman and Julio Rodriguez.
22 weeks until I run a half marathon. Ran about 100 miles last year. Eek.
January 1, 2026 at 9:49 PM
22 weeks until I run a half marathon. Ran about 100 miles last year. Eek.
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
day one in mamdani’s new york
January 1, 2026 at 5:10 PM
day one in mamdani’s new york
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
Simple request. While reading up on pitchers, I'd like to collect a list of guys who pitched through an injury. I just thought about doing this after reading up on Tanner Scott doing it.
Thanks.
Thanks.
January 1, 2026 at 4:52 PM
Simple request. While reading up on pitchers, I'd like to collect a list of guys who pitched through an injury. I just thought about doing this after reading up on Tanner Scott doing it.
Thanks.
Thanks.
Found cluesbysam.com recently and really enjoy it. Shorter puzzles that scratch the itch of the Soduku variant puzzles I like.
Any other logic puzzle sites you enjoy?
Any other logic puzzle sites you enjoy?
Clues by Sam
A daily logic puzzle where you deduce who is a criminal!
cluesbysam.com
January 1, 2026 at 4:33 PM
Found cluesbysam.com recently and really enjoy it. Shorter puzzles that scratch the itch of the Soduku variant puzzles I like.
Any other logic puzzle sites you enjoy?
Any other logic puzzle sites you enjoy?
Mostly fantasy and sci-fi that I read before bed. Non-fiction has really taken a nosedive as free time decreases and stress increases.
January 1, 2026 at 12:13 AM
Mostly fantasy and sci-fi that I read before bed. Non-fiction has really taken a nosedive as free time decreases and stress increases.
"If I'm going to spend a little more on a bike, I might as well spend even a little bit more than that" gets really dangerous really fast.
December 31, 2025 at 11:12 PM
"If I'm going to spend a little more on a bike, I might as well spend even a little bit more than that" gets really dangerous really fast.
Reposted by Sky Kalkman
Timezones are so weird. Australia is in 2026, Canada is in 2025, and the United States is in 1939.
December 31, 2025 at 6:12 PM
Timezones are so weird. Australia is in 2026, Canada is in 2025, and the United States is in 1939.