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Institute for the Study of War
@thestudyofwar.bsky.social
ISW is a policy research organization focused on U.S. national security. Email: [email protected]. For more: https://linktr.ee/understandingwar
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The regime likely determined that the current protest movement represents an extremely dire security threat and the regime has intensified its crackdown, including by taking the rare step of using IRGC Ground Forces to suppress protests in at least one province 1/7

Read more isw.pub/IranUpdate01...
NEW: The Iranian regime has sustained its nationwide internet shutdown, likely to disrupt protest coordination and obscure the scale of its repression. Widespread protest activity has continued to take place across Iran amid the internet shutdown. 🧵(1/8)

Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate01...
January 10, 2026 at 3:35 AM
NEW: Officials confirmed that Russian forces conducted an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile strike against Lviv Oblast, likely as part of the Kremlin's reflexive control campaign that aims to deter Western support for Ukraine. 🧵(1/5)

Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar010926
January 10, 2026 at 2:30 AM
NEW: The PRC is using the capture of Venezuelan President Nicholas Maduro to portray the US negatively and present itself as a responsible actor and leader of the “Global South.”

China & Taiwan Update, Jan. 9, 2026: isw.pub/ChinaTaiwan0...

More Key Takeaways ⬇️ (1/4)
January 9, 2026 at 10:07 PM
Interactive Time-Lapse | Protests in Iran: storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/0f3b... 🧵(1/3)
January 9, 2026 at 4:26 PM
Reposted by Institute for the Study of War
NEW: Preliminary unconfirmed reports suggested that Russian forces may have conducted an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) strike against Lviv Oblast on the night of January 8, but Ukrainian officials have not yet confirmed these reports. 🧵(1/6)
January 9, 2026 at 2:00 AM
Reposted by Institute for the Study of War
The regime likely determined that the current protest movement represents an extremely dire security threat and the regime has intensified its crackdown, including by taking the rare step of using IRGC Ground Forces to suppress protests in at least one province 1/7

Read more isw.pub/IranUpdate01...
January 9, 2026 at 4:41 AM
The regime likely determined that the current protest movement represents an extremely dire security threat and the regime has intensified its crackdown, including by taking the rare step of using IRGC Ground Forces to suppress protests in at least one province 1/7

Read more isw.pub/IranUpdate01...
January 9, 2026 at 4:41 AM
NEW: Preliminary unconfirmed reports suggested that Russian forces may have conducted an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) strike against Lviv Oblast on the night of January 8, but Ukrainian officials have not yet confirmed these reports. 🧵(1/6)
January 9, 2026 at 2:00 AM
Upon completion of the basic Hertog War Studies Program, students will have access to the Advanced War Studies Programs, offered two times per year.

Learn more about our advanced programs, and apply for the basic HWSP Summer 2026 by February 24: https://isw.pub/HWSPBlueSky
January 8, 2026 at 11:00 PM
Russian Occupation Update, January 8, 2026: An investigation by Ukrainian outlet Suspilne provided additional details on Russia’s deportation of Ukrainian children to a camp in North Korea.

Read the full update: https://isw.pub/OccupationUpdate010826
January 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM
Reposted by Institute for the Study of War
NEW: The US Coast Guard seized two oil tankers with links to Russia for attempting to bypass US sanctions against Venezuelan oil.

Read the full Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 7, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar010726

More Key Takeaways ⬇️ (1/3)
January 8, 2026 at 4:12 AM
Reposted by Institute for the Study of War
NEW: CTP-ISW has recorded 89 protests across 21 provinces in Iran since the Jan. 6 data cutoff, incl. 19 in Tehran. The protests continue to primarily take place in western Iran and in smaller, less populated areas.

Iran Update, Jan. 7, 2026: isw.pub/IranUpdate01...

More Key Takeaways ⬇️ (1/6)
January 8, 2026 at 3:02 AM
NEW: The US Coast Guard seized two oil tankers with links to Russia for attempting to bypass US sanctions against Venezuelan oil.

Read the full Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 7, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar010726

More Key Takeaways ⬇️ (1/3)
January 8, 2026 at 4:12 AM
NEW: CTP-ISW has recorded 89 protests across 21 provinces in Iran since the Jan. 6 data cutoff, incl. 19 in Tehran. The protests continue to primarily take place in western Iran and in smaller, less populated areas.

Iran Update, Jan. 7, 2026: isw.pub/IranUpdate01...

More Key Takeaways ⬇️ (1/6)
January 8, 2026 at 3:02 AM
NEW: The rate of protests across Iran declined slightly on Jan. 5-6 compared to the rate of protests Jan. 2-4. CTP-ISW recorded 43+ protests across Iran Jan. 5 at 2 PM ET-Jan. 6 at 2 PM ET, & 37 protests Jan. 4 at 2 PM ET-Jan. 5 at 2 PM ET.

Iran Update, Jan. 6, 2026: isw.pub/IranUpdate01... (1/5)
January 7, 2026 at 1:33 AM
NEW: Ukrainian forces continued their long range strike campaign against Russian military and energy infrastructure overnight on January 5 to 6.

Read the full Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 6, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar010626

Other Key Takeaways ⬇️ (1/3)
January 6, 2026 at 11:44 PM
Reposted by Institute for the Study of War
The Iranian regime appears to have shifted toward a harsher and more coercive crackdown after top Iranian officials began differentiating between “rioters” and “protesters” and calling for crackdowns on “rioters" after a speech delivered by Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei on January 4.
January 6, 2026 at 2:20 PM
Reposted by Institute for the Study of War
CTP-ISW recorded a total of at least 179 protests in 24 provinces across Iran since January 2, for a total of 369 protests since the protests began on December 28. www.criticalthreats.org/analysis/ira...
January 6, 2026 at 2:20 PM
NEW: CTP-ISW recorded a total of at least 179 protests in 24 provinces across Iran since CTP-ISW’s last data cut-off on January 2. Some protesters have continued to clash with Iranian security forces in response to the regime’s protest suppression efforts. 🧵(1/6)

Read more: isw.pub/IranUpdate01...
January 6, 2026 at 2:10 AM
NEW: Russia is modifying its Shahed long-range strike drones to target Ukrainian aircraft as part of a wider effort to innovate and maximize long-range drone capabilities. 🧵(1/4)

Read more: isw.pub/UkrWar010526

Other Key Takeaways ⬇️
January 5, 2026 at 11:58 PM
NEW: CTP-ISW recorded 81 protests across 23 provinces in Iran on January 4. CTP-ISW will provide full analysis about the protests in its Iran Update on Monday, January 5. View CTP-ISW’s interactive map of the ongoing protests and recent updates about the protests here: understandingwar.org...
January 4, 2026 at 10:17 PM
NEW: Russian officials continue to respond to the US military operation in Venezuela, but the response from senior Kremlin decisionmakers remains relatively muted.🧵(1/3)

Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, January 4, 2026: isw.pub/UkrWar010426

January 4, 2026 at 9:35 PM
Reposted by Institute for the Study of War
ISW-CTP recorded 62 protests across 18 provinces in Iran on January 3. ISW-CTP will provide a full analysis about the protests in a full update on Monday, January 5.
January 3, 2026 at 10:40 PM
Reposted by Institute for the Study of War
NEW: The Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) issued a boilerplate response condemning the US military operation against Venezuela on January 3.

Read the full update: isw.pub/UkrWar010326

January 4, 2026 at 1:26 AM
Reposted by Institute for the Study of War
NEW: Maps of confirmed US Strikes in Northern Venezuela and Caracas: isw.pub/VenezuelaStr...
January 4, 2026 at 3:31 AM