Todd Tucker
@toddntucker.com
Director, Industrial Policy & Trade, @RooseveltInstitute.org, @RooseveltForward.org. Political scientist of economic transitions, administrative states, Bidenomics, Trumpnomics. Fellow @ Harvard Kennedy School. PhD.
Pinned
Todd Tucker
@toddntucker.com
· Oct 30
As the Supreme Court Hears Arguments on Trump’s “Emergency” Tariffs, Few Good Outcomes Await - Roosevelt Institute
In a new brief, Roosevelt Institute’s director of industrial policy and trade Todd N. Tucker explores the legal and political stakes of Trump’s emergency tariffs as SCOTUS prepares its ruling, which w...
rooseveltinstitute.org
NEW from me @rooseveltinstitute.org: As the Supreme Court Hears Arguments on Trump’s “Emergency” Tariffs, Few Good Outcomes Await.
This explainer goes through the 4 main options for the Court next week, each of which comes with drawbacks or hurdles.
Thread🧵
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
This explainer goes through the 4 main options for the Court next week, each of which comes with drawbacks or hurdles.
Thread🧵
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
Reposted by Todd Tucker
After reading a summary of the opinion, Justice Sonia Sotomayor said to the courtroom, which contained SG John Sauer and his deputies: "Seeing who's here, it's not the case you thought."
We still don't know when #SCOTUS will release its tariffs decision.
We still don't know when #SCOTUS will release its tariffs decision.
January 9, 2026 at 3:10 PM
After reading a summary of the opinion, Justice Sonia Sotomayor said to the courtroom, which contained SG John Sauer and his deputies: "Seeing who's here, it's not the case you thought."
We still don't know when #SCOTUS will release its tariffs decision.
We still don't know when #SCOTUS will release its tariffs decision.
Reposted by Todd Tucker
The US continues to lose manufacturing jobs—payrolls are down 81k over the last year, & another 5k jobs were lost in November
Transportation (especially auto manufacturing), wood, & electronics/electrical manufacturing are the biggest losers, but few subsectors are doing well
Transportation (especially auto manufacturing), wood, & electronics/electrical manufacturing are the biggest losers, but few subsectors are doing well
January 9, 2026 at 1:51 PM
The US continues to lose manufacturing jobs—payrolls are down 81k over the last year, & another 5k jobs were lost in November
Transportation (especially auto manufacturing), wood, & electronics/electrical manufacturing are the biggest losers, but few subsectors are doing well
Transportation (especially auto manufacturing), wood, & electronics/electrical manufacturing are the biggest losers, but few subsectors are doing well
Trump: oil companies could be “reimbursed by us, or through revenue” for Venezuela investment.
Actual investor: “No one wants to go in there when a random fucking tweet can change the entire foreign policy of the country".
www.ft.com/content/84e0...
Actual investor: “No one wants to go in there when a random fucking tweet can change the entire foreign policy of the country".
www.ft.com/content/84e0...
US oil groups warn they will need guarantees to invest in Venezuela
Donald Trump to hold more talks with industry bosses as president flexes power over energy markets
www.ft.com
January 9, 2026 at 1:53 PM
Trump: oil companies could be “reimbursed by us, or through revenue” for Venezuela investment.
Actual investor: “No one wants to go in there when a random fucking tweet can change the entire foreign policy of the country".
www.ft.com/content/84e0...
Actual investor: “No one wants to go in there when a random fucking tweet can change the entire foreign policy of the country".
www.ft.com/content/84e0...
Reposted by Todd Tucker
NEW: Following Wednesday's ICE killing, D.C. residents take to the streets, chanting "ICE out now."
A protest at 14 and U streets in Washington, D.C., stopped traffic for roughly an hour on the evening after an ICE agent killed Renee Nicole Good in Minneapolis.
Tonight, a photo essay at Law Dork:
A protest at 14 and U streets in Washington, D.C., stopped traffic for roughly an hour on the evening after an ICE agent killed Renee Nicole Good in Minneapolis.
Tonight, a photo essay at Law Dork:
Following Wednesday's ICE killing, D.C. residents take to the streets, chanting "ICE out now"
A protest at 14 and U streets in Washington, D.C., stopped traffic for roughly an hour on the evening after an ICE agent killed Renee Nicole Good in Minneapolis.
www.lawdork.com
January 9, 2026 at 2:36 AM
NEW: Following Wednesday's ICE killing, D.C. residents take to the streets, chanting "ICE out now."
A protest at 14 and U streets in Washington, D.C., stopped traffic for roughly an hour on the evening after an ICE agent killed Renee Nicole Good in Minneapolis.
Tonight, a photo essay at Law Dork:
A protest at 14 and U streets in Washington, D.C., stopped traffic for roughly an hour on the evening after an ICE agent killed Renee Nicole Good in Minneapolis.
Tonight, a photo essay at Law Dork:
Trump announced new caps on salaries, dividends and stock buybacks for defense companies.
Until production ⬆️, "no Executive should be allowed to make in excess of $5 Million Dollars which, as high as it sounds, is a mere fraction of what they are making now."
ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-s...
Until production ⬆️, "no Executive should be allowed to make in excess of $5 Million Dollars which, as high as it sounds, is a mere fraction of what they are making now."
ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-s...
Trump says he won't permit dividends, buybacks for defense companies till they fix equipment production
President Donald Trump said on Wednesday he would not permit dividends or stock buybacks for defense companies until they fix problems with the production of military equipment. "Defense Companies ...
ca.finance.yahoo.com
January 7, 2026 at 7:29 PM
Trump announced new caps on salaries, dividends and stock buybacks for defense companies.
Until production ⬆️, "no Executive should be allowed to make in excess of $5 Million Dollars which, as high as it sounds, is a mere fraction of what they are making now."
ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-s...
Until production ⬆️, "no Executive should be allowed to make in excess of $5 Million Dollars which, as high as it sounds, is a mere fraction of what they are making now."
ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-s...
"Some influential US investors in Venezuelan debt & oil industry players also want to see Machado kept out of any Trump plan..., viewing her as too radical. They prefer what they see as the safer option of working with Rodríguez to make quick profits."
www.ft.com/content/0186...
www.ft.com/content/0186...
The long wait of María Corina Machado
Venezuela’s opposition leader weighs when to return — and whether to mobilise her supporters
www.ft.com
January 7, 2026 at 2:05 PM
"Some influential US investors in Venezuelan debt & oil industry players also want to see Machado kept out of any Trump plan..., viewing her as too radical. They prefer what they see as the safer option of working with Rodríguez to make quick profits."
www.ft.com/content/0186...
www.ft.com/content/0186...
Reposted by Todd Tucker
Joint Statement of major EU/NATO countries on Greenland, together with Denmark:
January 6, 2026 at 11:53 AM
Joint Statement of major EU/NATO countries on Greenland, together with Denmark:
Nicolas Maduro being represented by lawyer for Wikileaks' Julian Assange and Pras of The Fugees.
news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/...
news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/...
Nicolás Maduro Hires Assange Lawyer for Criminal Defense (2)
Ousted Venezuela President Nicolás Maduro has hired prominent criminal defense lawyer Barry Pollack, who long represented Wikileaks founder Julian Assange, as his counsel in Manhattan criminal proceed...
news.bloomberglaw.com
January 5, 2026 at 7:37 PM
Nicolas Maduro being represented by lawyer for Wikileaks' Julian Assange and Pras of The Fugees.
news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/...
news.bloomberglaw.com/us-law-week/...
Reposted by Todd Tucker
Come work with us on the Reimagining the Economy team at @harvardkennedy.bsky.social ⬇️
We are looking for a project manager for our new Global Economic Transformation initiative at Harvard. Please spread the word. Details here. careers.harvard.edu/job/project-...
Project Manager, Reimagining the Economy
careers.harvard.edu
January 5, 2026 at 5:30 PM
Come work with us on the Reimagining the Economy team at @harvardkennedy.bsky.social ⬇️
Reposted by Todd Tucker
South Africa brings us our first League of Nations mention of the day, and it’s not a happy one
January 5, 2026 at 5:39 PM
South Africa brings us our first League of Nations mention of the day, and it’s not a happy one
Reposted by Todd Tucker
Junk fee executive order in NYC, nice one Mamdani.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-do...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-do...
Mayor Zohran Mamdani Makes Consumer Protection Announcement
YouTube video by NYC Mayor's Office
www.youtube.com
January 5, 2026 at 5:44 PM
Junk fee executive order in NYC, nice one Mamdani.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-do...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=F-do...
From CHIPS director: "The cost of NEPA — that dual risk of delay and litigation—was vastly disproportionate to what it achieved. If the goal is to include environmental or other policy terms in awards, Congress has more straightforward tools."
factorysettings.org/p/an-inside-view-of-nepa-in-practice
factorysettings.org/p/an-inside-view-of-nepa-in-practice
An Inside View of NEPA in Practice
Factory Settings has highlighted many ways the CHIPS program’s setup diverged from standard federal operations.
factorysettings.org
January 5, 2026 at 3:45 PM
From CHIPS director: "The cost of NEPA — that dual risk of delay and litigation—was vastly disproportionate to what it achieved. If the goal is to include environmental or other policy terms in awards, Congress has more straightforward tools."
factorysettings.org/p/an-inside-view-of-nepa-in-practice
factorysettings.org/p/an-inside-view-of-nepa-in-practice
Reposted by Todd Tucker
🧵Day 3 and we have a new meaning for "running Venezuela," courtesy of Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, who is in charge of Venezuela as well as the National Archives. We're going to insist they do what's in the US national interest. Time for some principal-agent theory. 1/
January 5, 2026 at 1:50 PM
🧵Day 3 and we have a new meaning for "running Venezuela," courtesy of Secretary of State Marco Rubio, the nation's top diplomat, who is in charge of Venezuela as well as the National Archives. We're going to insist they do what's in the US national interest. Time for some principal-agent theory. 1/
"It’s a terrible scourge, but the idea that because drugs are coming from a country it justifies an invasion & a change of administration in that country basically gets rid of any... limits on the use of force." @oonahathaway.bsky.social to @ichotiner.bsky.social.
www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
The Brazen Illegality of Trump’s Venezuela Operation
A scholar of international law on the implications of the U.S. arrest of President Nicolás Maduro.
www.newyorker.com
January 5, 2026 at 1:57 PM
"It’s a terrible scourge, but the idea that because drugs are coming from a country it justifies an invasion & a change of administration in that country basically gets rid of any... limits on the use of force." @oonahathaway.bsky.social to @ichotiner.bsky.social.
www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
Reposted by Todd Tucker
1/Leaders are abducted/allies are threatened but pundits and governments are scratching their heads on what the US is doing. Danish PM on Greenland "It makes absolutely no sense". Why? Because actors using old IR models when we need a new lens. Enter neo-royalism.
abcnews.go.com/Internationa...
abcnews.go.com/Internationa...
Denmark's PM urges Trump to 'stop the threats' of annexing Greenland
The prime minister of Denmark called on Trump to “stop the threats” of the U.S. annexing Greenland after renewed comments garnered international attention.
abcnews.go.com
January 5, 2026 at 1:24 PM
1/Leaders are abducted/allies are threatened but pundits and governments are scratching their heads on what the US is doing. Danish PM on Greenland "It makes absolutely no sense". Why? Because actors using old IR models when we need a new lens. Enter neo-royalism.
abcnews.go.com/Internationa...
abcnews.go.com/Internationa...
Reposted by Todd Tucker
WH sources say Venezuela's opposition leader committed the "ultimate sin": She accepted the Nobel Peace prize.
“If she had turned it down and said, ‘I can’t accept it because it’s Donald Trump’s,’ she’d be the president of Venezuela today,” one said.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
“If she had turned it down and said, ‘I can’t accept it because it’s Donald Trump’s,’ she’d be the president of Venezuela today,” one said.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
January 5, 2026 at 3:02 AM
WH sources say Venezuela's opposition leader committed the "ultimate sin": She accepted the Nobel Peace prize.
“If she had turned it down and said, ‘I can’t accept it because it’s Donald Trump’s,’ she’d be the president of Venezuela today,” one said.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
“If she had turned it down and said, ‘I can’t accept it because it’s Donald Trump’s,’ she’d be the president of Venezuela today,” one said.
www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...
"As a solar downturn began in the past year, some Spanish companies sold existing plants to foreign investors. Utility group Endesa offloaded 50% stakes in two solar power portfolios for a combined €1b to Masdar, the United Arab Emirates’ state-owned clean energy company."
www.ft.com/content/5b05...
www.ft.com/content/5b05...
Solar power surplus in Spain triggers ‘discount season’ for plants
Power producers pivot to battery storage to save unprofitable solar farms
www.ft.com
January 5, 2026 at 1:36 PM
"As a solar downturn began in the past year, some Spanish companies sold existing plants to foreign investors. Utility group Endesa offloaded 50% stakes in two solar power portfolios for a combined €1b to Masdar, the United Arab Emirates’ state-owned clean energy company."
www.ft.com/content/5b05...
www.ft.com/content/5b05...
Reposted by Todd Tucker
Prominent MAGA figures are making it 100% explicit that MAGA is a neo-imperialist movement that's all about pillage and plunder justified by assumed racial superiority:
January 5, 2026 at 12:54 PM
Prominent MAGA figures are making it 100% explicit that MAGA is a neo-imperialist movement that's all about pillage and plunder justified by assumed racial superiority:
Does Tulsi resign over Venezuela?
www.latimes.com/politics/sto...
www.latimes.com/politics/sto...
U.S. national intelligence director is silent on Venezuela operation
Tulsi Gabbard's silence on the operation surprised some in the U.S. intelligence community, which laid the groundwork for the mission over several months.
www.latimes.com
January 5, 2026 at 1:20 PM
Does Tulsi resign over Venezuela?
www.latimes.com/politics/sto...
www.latimes.com/politics/sto...
Reposted by Todd Tucker
just saying: it's possible that "I'm gonna dramatically constrict my state capacity while plotting dramatic imperial expansion, and expanding my set of internal enemies while alienating most of my foreign allies" is the beginning of a world-historical masterstroke. but also possible that it isn't
February 5, 2025 at 7:04 PM
just saying: it's possible that "I'm gonna dramatically constrict my state capacity while plotting dramatic imperial expansion, and expanding my set of internal enemies while alienating most of my foreign allies" is the beginning of a world-historical masterstroke. but also possible that it isn't
Reposted by Todd Tucker
The weak response from Can, EU and UN to Trump's flagrant crimes in Venezuela is striking.
It exposes that much of the world has been cowed.
Most notable exception: the Latin American left.
That is why the Trump Admin has gone to enormous lengths to defeat the left across the continent. 1/3
It exposes that much of the world has been cowed.
Most notable exception: the Latin American left.
That is why the Trump Admin has gone to enormous lengths to defeat the left across the continent. 1/3
January 4, 2026 at 6:35 PM
The weak response from Can, EU and UN to Trump's flagrant crimes in Venezuela is striking.
It exposes that much of the world has been cowed.
Most notable exception: the Latin American left.
That is why the Trump Admin has gone to enormous lengths to defeat the left across the continent. 1/3
It exposes that much of the world has been cowed.
Most notable exception: the Latin American left.
That is why the Trump Admin has gone to enormous lengths to defeat the left across the continent. 1/3
Reposted by Todd Tucker
Coming up at 3 pm ET👇⬇️
🚨 Starting in 1 HOUR 🚨
At 3pm ET, watch @benjaminwittes.lawfaremedia.org discuss the U.S. strike on Venezuela and Maduro's capture with Senior Editor @sranderson.bsky.social, Foreign Policy Editor Dana Stuster, and Public Service Fellow Loren Voss here: www.lawfaremedia.org/article/lawf...
At 3pm ET, watch @benjaminwittes.lawfaremedia.org discuss the U.S. strike on Venezuela and Maduro's capture with Senior Editor @sranderson.bsky.social, Foreign Policy Editor Dana Stuster, and Public Service Fellow Loren Voss here: www.lawfaremedia.org/article/lawf...
January 4, 2026 at 7:21 PM
Coming up at 3 pm ET👇⬇️
Reposted by Todd Tucker
BREAKING: The U.S. won’t govern Venezuela, but will press changes through an oil blockade, Rubio says, after Trump claims of running the country.
Venezuela live updates: Uncertainty and legal questions remain after US captures Maduro
The Trump administration’s capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and claims that it will “run” the country are raising stark new questions about the legality of the U.S. actions and its future operations in the South American nation.
bit.ly
January 4, 2026 at 5:40 PM
BREAKING: The U.S. won’t govern Venezuela, but will press changes through an oil blockade, Rubio says, after Trump claims of running the country.
Reposted by Todd Tucker
It might be a coincidence, but I’m afraid it might be a tell.
6/21/25: Windmill rant ➡️ Bombs Iranian nuclear sites.
1/2/26: Windmill rant ➡️ Invades Venezuela/Captures Maduro.
6/21/25: Windmill rant ➡️ Bombs Iranian nuclear sites.
1/2/26: Windmill rant ➡️ Invades Venezuela/Captures Maduro.
January 4, 2026 at 6:13 PM
It might be a coincidence, but I’m afraid it might be a tell.
6/21/25: Windmill rant ➡️ Bombs Iranian nuclear sites.
1/2/26: Windmill rant ➡️ Invades Venezuela/Captures Maduro.
6/21/25: Windmill rant ➡️ Bombs Iranian nuclear sites.
1/2/26: Windmill rant ➡️ Invades Venezuela/Captures Maduro.
Reposted by Todd Tucker
