Todd Tucker
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Todd Tucker
@toddntucker.com
Director, Industrial Policy & Trade, @RooseveltInstitute.org, @RooseveltForward.org. Political scientist of economic transitions, administrative states, Bidenomics, Trumpnomics. Fellow @ Harvard Kennedy School. PhD.
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NEW from me @rooseveltinstitute.org: As the Supreme Court Hears Arguments on Trump’s “Emergency” Tariffs, Few Good Outcomes Await.

This explainer goes through the 4 main options for the Court next week, each of which comes with drawbacks or hurdles.

Thread🧵
rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...
As the Supreme Court Hears Arguments on Trump’s “Emergency” Tariffs, Few Good Outcomes Await - Roosevelt Institute
In a new brief, Roosevelt Institute’s director of industrial policy and trade Todd N. Tucker explores the legal and political stakes of Trump’s emergency tariffs as SCOTUS prepares its ruling, which w...
rooseveltinstitute.org
No matter how SCOTUS rules, "tariffs are going to be a part of this administration's national security and national economic protection of the American people," said Lutnick, citing options of Sections 232, 301 and 338 if justices rule against IEEPA tariffs.
www.foxbusiness.com/politics/lut...
Lutnick expects Supreme Court to side with Trump on tariffs, opening door to $2K payouts
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says Trump administration will win Supreme Court tariff case, defending new trade policies for American manufacturing.
www.foxbusiness.com
November 25, 2025 at 3:13 PM
"If business-as-usual policies worked, America would not be reliant on foreign countries for critical minerals, semiconductors and other products that are key for our national and economic security."

@anaswanson.bsky.social goes deep on the new state capitalism.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/25/u...
$10 Billion and Counting: Trump Administration Snaps Up Stakes in Private Firms
www.nytimes.com
November 25, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
Hegseth out here curing imposter syndrome. Thank you for your service.
The Secretary of Defense, ladies and gentlemen
November 25, 2025 at 2:21 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
In a recession, policymakers should prioritize:

✔️direct, robust stimulus for families
✔️direct and flexible aid for state and local governments
✔️experimentation with economic policy

Zehra Khan on the historical lessons to guide a future recovery: https://bit.ly/3XNuZ5y
How Should Progressives Respond to the Next Recession? - Roosevelt Institute
The next recession should be treated as an opportunity for structural transformation, not merely stabilization. Drawing on historical evidence, Zehra Khan shows that a bold, front-loaded stimulus produces faster and more equitable recoveries than auster...
rooseveltinstitute.org
November 22, 2025 at 9:05 PM
Nice distinction @jerusalem.bsky.social between centrists & liberals on democracy reform, with the latter pushing a maximalist agenda w/ filibuster elimination.

I'd argue centrists should be for this too: it radically opens up "deal space" for various "gangs."
www.theargumentmag.com/p/why-im-not...
Why I'm not a centrist
Liberalism is an ideology. Centrism is a tactic.
www.theargumentmag.com
November 24, 2025 at 3:38 PM
A tremendous own goal for the US to be breaking up offices in the Department of Energy that had bipartisan support and that stood to help the US compete in industries of the future.

@bradplumer.bsky.social has the RIP for MESC, OCED, and LPO.
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/20/c...
A Trump Overhaul of the Energy Dept. Breaks Up Clean Energy Offices
www.nytimes.com
November 24, 2025 at 1:54 PM
"OpenAI and its partners are pumping $500 billion into new data centers in the US as part of what they call Project Stargate. In today’s dollars, that is enough to fund the Manhattan Project 15 times over. It could pay for the entire Apollo moon project. Twice."
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/20/t...
The A.I. Boom Has Found Another Gear. Why Can’t People Shake Their Worries?
www.nytimes.com
November 24, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Global steel capacity is forecast to exceed demand by 38 per cent.

UK Steel: "It is clear that free trade in the steel industry is dead. Governments are being forced to protect their industries by China’s market-distorting subsidies and colossal overproduction."
www.ft.com/content/768a...
Western allies seek to forge joint defence against cheap Chinese steel
‘Heightened sense of urgency’ as global steel production capacity to exceed demand by 38% by 2027
www.ft.com
November 23, 2025 at 11:11 PM
"Following a significant inflow of Chinese foreign direct investment into many sectors of the Italian economy, Rome significantly increased the sectors covered, notably extending them to banking."

Now, Meloni using golden shares in domestic transactions as well.
www.ft.com/content/fbef...
EU confronts Italy over its ‘golden power’ rules to stop foreign mergers
European Commission issues formal warning that Rome’s measures to deter takeovers risk compromising single market
www.ft.com
November 23, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
First Solar just opened a $1.1 billion integrated solar PV manufacturing plant in Louisiana capable of producing 3.5 gigawatts of panels each year. The plant will employ >700 people electrek.co/2025/11/21/f... 🔌💡
First Solar opens a Louisiana factory that’s 11 Superdomes big
First Solar opens a massive $1.1 billion solar factory in Louisiana, adding 3.5 GW of new US capacity and more than 800 well-paid jobs.
electrek.co
November 22, 2025 at 7:31 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
Smart, nuanced piece by @nealemahoney.bsky.social and @bharatramamurti.bsky.social that centers the essential trade-offs of price controls in this affordability moment (rather than assumes them away in either direction), as well as the politics of tackling them.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/16/o...
Opinion | Economists Hate This Idea. It Could Be a Way Out of the Affordability Crisis.
www.nytimes.com
November 16, 2025 at 2:32 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
If you were wondering how Fox is playing Mamdani/Trump:

Hannity (paraphrase): "This scene is profoundly disturbing to Democrat leftists. Here is their Communist hero, shaking hands with the man he has denounced as a despot. The left doesn't know what to think.'
November 22, 2025 at 3:13 AM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
Many people are saying
November 21, 2025 at 8:53 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
For whatever reason, in minutes, Trump has spoken more warmly about Zohran Mamdani than some of the Democratic party leadership has to date
"The better he does, the happier I am," Donald Trump says about Zohran Mamdani as he congratulates him.

Trump speaking with a warm tone towards the new mayor of New York City.
November 21, 2025 at 8:55 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
It's time to remove laptops from classrooms.

24 experiments: Students learn more and get better grades after taking notes by hand than typing. It's not just because they're less distracted—writing enables deeper processing and more images.

The pen is mightier than the keyboard.
November 20, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
The new neo-royalist world order. Stacie Goddard and
@abenewman.bsky.social explain how cliques are ruling the world. A new @goodauth.bsky.social podcast interview with yours truly based on the new @iojournal.bsky.social open access article that came out today!

goodauthority.org/news/the-new...
The new neo-royalist world order
Stacie Goddard and Abe Newman explain how cliques are ruling the world.
goodauthority.org
November 20, 2025 at 9:24 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
A significant number of Congressmen and their staffs have been identified as having friendly relations with a straight up neo-Nazi outfit called the Liberty Lobby, run by a man named Willis Carto who has busts of Hitler in his office. Strangely, it seems few are all that concerned. The year is 1967.
November 20, 2025 at 7:15 PM
Mike Schmidt on info asymmetry and the limits of APA-style arms length government communication with the private sector: "Sustained, iterative engagement was the only way to understand the companies, the industry structure, and the strategic context."
factorysettings.org/p/no-process-risk-no-reward
No (Process) Risk, No Reward
Design a process that lets you win
factorysettings.org
November 20, 2025 at 2:50 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
#BREAKING: Former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers will immediately leave his role as an instructor at Harvard while the University investigates his ties to child sex trafficker Jeffrey Epstein.

Dhruv T. Patel and Cam N. Srivastava report.
Summers Will Not Finish Semester of Teaching as Harvard Investigates Epstein Ties | News | The Harvard Crimson
Former Harvard President Lawrence H. Summers will immediately leave his role as an instructor at Harvard while the University investigates his ties to child sex trafficker Jeffrey E. Epstein.
www.thecrimson.com
November 20, 2025 at 12:30 AM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
1/This week has seen a blitz of what looks like corruption sandals: Saudi development deals for US military tech, Pakistani payments to Trump insiders for tariff relief, Swiss gold bars for a trade deal. Far from a payoff, this is a reordering of internat'l system.
www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/mxthh...
www.dropbox.com
November 18, 2025 at 1:59 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
After much deliberation and a grueling interview process, I’m pleased to announce that I’ve accepted a new job and will not need any financial support from my parents to cover the high costs of childcare going forward. #AmericanDream #ThisIsYourCity
November 18, 2025 at 4:38 PM
"After a torturous birth under Biden and a near-death experience under Trump, NEVI is starting to hit its stride. State departments of transportation have wrapped their heads around charging infrastructure; money is flowing, and stations are under construction."
www.politico.com/news/magazin...
Why Trump Couldn’t Stop the Electric Vehicle Dream
We never got those promised EV chargers — but we did get a future for EVs.
www.politico.com
November 18, 2025 at 6:30 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
In April 2009, the Washington Post asked 10 writers to make the case for something that deserves to be tossed out as part of "spring cleaning."

I chose Larry Summers.

Better late than never.

Unlocked version of my 16-year-old article below.
naomiklein.org/why-we-shoul...
November 18, 2025 at 6:20 AM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
Some people really could use less self-confidence.
November 18, 2025 at 1:55 PM
Reposted by Todd Tucker
Meanwhile, even as they pay Summers hundreds of thousands of dollars, Harvard is forcing janitors to work without a contract and go on strike just to get a basic cost of living increase
Harvard custodians launched a strike at 10 a.m. on Monday after union negotiations broke down on the eve of their contract’s expiration, their first strike in at least 50 years.

Hugo C. Chiasson and Amann S. Mahajan report.
Harvard Custodians Begin Two-Day Strike for New Contract | News | The Harvard Crimson
Harvard custodians launched a strike shortly after 10 a.m. on Monday after union negotiations broke down on the eve of their contract’s expiration, their first strike in at least 50 years.
www.thecrimson.com
November 18, 2025 at 2:50 AM