Apple Valley
banner
valleyapple.bsky.social
Apple Valley
@valleyapple.bsky.social
Cognitive scientist & translation researcher • social cognition • directionality • research methodology • stats • open science
Reposted by Apple Valley
Are you listening Europe?
Rubio on Russia-Ukraine: "It's not our war. It's a war on another continent."
December 20, 2025 at 5:43 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
US government is going to extreme lengths to help Putin and hurt Ukraine.
Now threatening European states that if they use Russian assets to help Ukraine, they will have to pay it all back.
Trump is desperate to give Putin his money back.
December 17, 2025 at 8:00 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump have many things in common--but historically one thing will tie them together more than any other. They have both done more to weaken their own countries than any two US or Russian leaders for a century (if not longer).
December 18, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
Putins Offensive seit dem Sommer ist eine Katastrophe, nichts erreicht außer eigenen Verlusten. Der Ölpreis ist unten, russische Finanzen und Wirtschaft hängen in den Seilen. Putin setzt auf rhetorische Kraftmeierei und vor allen auf Spaltung zwischen USA und Europäern.
December 17, 2025 at 3:48 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
Dramatic increases in redundant publications in the Generative AI era pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/41361882/ "For example, the association between oxidative balance score and chronic kidney disease using NHANES data was published six times in 1 year."
December 18, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
This is a real headline on the New York Times website.

Support independent media.
December 15, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
#HochschulBarometer2025 ist da. Wir sehen deutlich: An staatlichen Universitäten schreitet Fachkräftemangel weiter voran. Dank #IchBinHanna überlegen sich die Leute, ob sie prekäre Beschäftigung ohne Zukunftschancen wirklich wollen. Was hilft? Perspektiven schaffen mit guter Reform des #WissZeitVG!
December 16, 2025 at 7:15 AM
Reposted by Apple Valley
I wrote this brief talk on why “augmenting diversity” with LLMs is empirically unsubstantiable, conceptually flawed, and epistemically harmful and a nice surprise to see the organisers have made it public

synthetic-data-workshop.github.io/papers/13.pdf
December 16, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Reposted by Apple Valley
Psychologists, what are your favorite (open) data sets for teaching multilevel modelling? I have a lot of observational examples, would love a therapy RCT with varying effects for therapists or some such.
December 15, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Reposted by Apple Valley
"Then in just the last week, the Ukrainians executed a military operation that pushed the Russians back about twice the distance as it had taken the Russians to advance in more than four months. It's interesting that this story has not yet appeared in the New York Times.'
December 14, 2025 at 11:11 AM
Reposted by Apple Valley
All Trump supporters must acknowledge this. Their backing of the president means that they support the forced transfer of millions of Ukrainians from a democracy to a corrupt and brutal dictatorship.
This is the America you have made. Own it.
December 15, 2025 at 1:21 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
A recent study purports to have found that multilingualism protects against accelerated ageing. I've taken a closer look at it, and it doesn't look good.

New blog post: "Does multilingualism really protect against accelerated ageing? Some critical comments"
janhove.github.io/posts/2025-1...
December 15, 2025 at 5:07 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
Those sanctions on Russian oil Trump got public praise for? Never really materialized. No enforcement on Russia’s customers.

As critics warned, the Trump admin pressures Ukraine but never puts real pressure on Russia, especially not if it requires effort.

Because they’d like to see Russia succeed.
Just sent out this piece. The whole idea that Trump's sanctions on Russian oil were meant to hurt Putin is collapsing on all fronts. Indian and Chinese purchases are up and there are no secondary sanctions to be found. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
The Trump Russian Oil Sanctions Con Is Collapsing
And Why It Matters
open.substack.com
December 13, 2025 at 2:33 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
Just sent out my free weekend update. Was quite a week in the land war, started with great doom for Ukraine and ended with the Ukrainians pushing the Russians away from Kupyansk and advancing in a week twice as much as the Russians advanced in 4 months. open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
Weekend Update #163: Ukraine Goes From Collapsing to Liberating Kupyansk
The Two Negotiations; Stirrings in Europe
open.substack.com
December 14, 2025 at 9:58 AM
Reposted by Apple Valley
This is not a sign that Ukraine is winning the land war, but its an important sign that the doom laden narrative (ukraine has "no cards" Ukraine will collapse) is wrong. Watch out, this narrative is being used to try and convince Europeans that Ukraine must take a terrible deal.
December 14, 2025 at 9:58 AM
Reposted by Apple Valley
PayPal und Datenschutz – eine komplizierte Beziehung?! Ein neues Gutachten des Netzwerks Datenschutzexpertise zeigt, dass der Bezahldienstleister massiv gegen Datenschutzbestimmungen verstößt.

Zum Artikel: heise.de/-11111140
December 14, 2025 at 9:31 AM
Reposted by Apple Valley
Somebody needs to write at length of the unhinged nonsense of calling academics critical of a monstrous technology, esp ones with direct expertise in formalism & implementation details: technopessimist. Are climate experts called pessimists for believing in & fighting against the climate crisis? 1/2
December 12, 2025 at 7:14 AM
Reposted by Apple Valley
“Billions of dollars have backed AI [...] while science-based climate research has met resistance, deferral, and denial as the world burns.” (p. 122)

@tjheffernan.bsky.social

Orga is not Mecha: How Literal Readings of Fiction are Damaging the World heiup.uni-heidelberg.de/journals/apo...
Orga is not Mecha: How Literal Readings of Fiction are Damaging the World | Apocalyptica
This paper traces the fictional roots of recent claims by those in the AI industry that superintelligent machines pose an existential risk. This irrational anxiety, given that fiction is not science, that grants AI agency is not only a distraction from real concerns, but a psychological displacement, an unconscious defense that substitutes a new object, autonomous machines, in place of one that cannot be acknowledged: responsibility for the environmental and societal damage caused by a resource-intensive industry that persists, despite the climate catastrophe, with a mechanistic worldview, one that treats nature, including humans, as a lucrative commodity. Initially seduced by the story of AI evolution, Stanley Kubrick consulted computer scientists when he was making 2001: A Space Odyssey, which was released a year before the moon landing. In the problematic cycle of fiction directing science, the film’s depiction of AI has, in turn, shaped research in the field. Yet, if at first Kubrick embraced the scientists’ vision of evolving, intelligent, immortal machines, by the time he was working on A.I. Artificial Intelligence in the 1980s, the field was entering one of its many winters and environmental concerns had dampened faith in technological progress. Kubrick again consulted AI scientists, but this time he returned the field to its fictional roots and presented AI as a dark fairy tale about a corporation that persists with the myth that it can turn ’mecha’ into ‘orga’ despite the climate crisis.
heiup.uni-heidelberg.de
December 12, 2025 at 7:17 AM
Reposted by Apple Valley
Reposted by Apple Valley
"An abrupt dismantling of the agency, without a considered plan, risks undermining hard-won gains."

As the UNAIDS board meets next week to decide the agency’s future, it should focus on a strategic transition that safeguards progress
www.bmj.com/content/391/...
December 11, 2025 at 4:43 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
Journal of Philosophical Logic (springer nature) editorial board resigned-- opened new diamond journal under the name Philosophical Logic

www.openlibhums.org/media/press/...
www.openlibhums.org
December 11, 2025 at 5:04 PM
Reposted by Apple Valley
"Die Militärexperten (in der Schweiz) kommen zu dem Schluss, dass ein Abfluss von Daten aus den Palantir-Systemen technisch nicht verhindert werden könne."

Hmm. Das ist ja komisch. Denn die polizeilichen Palantir-Nutzer in Deutschland behaupten steif & fest das sei technisch ja gar nicht möglich. 🤔
Schweiz: Palantir-Software hat verheerende Risiken
Nach Risikoprüfung des Einsatzes von Palantir-Software in der Schweiz bekam der US-Konzern eine Absage, trotz jahrelanger Hofierung von Behörden und Armee. Den Eidgenossen sind die Risiken zu groß. Da...
netzpolitik.org
December 8, 2025 at 7:37 PM