Scott James
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drscottjames.bsky.social
Scott James
@drscottjames.bsky.social

Reader in Political Economy, King’s College London
www.kcl.ac.uk/people/dr-scott-james
IPE of finance and tech, monetary politics, City of London
BANK POLITICS (OUP, 2023)
https://global.oup.com/academic/product/bank-politics-9780192898609?cc=gb&lang=en& .. more

Political science 38%
Economics 34%
Pinned
New article with Lucia Quaglia on how EU banks and EU regulators engaged in ‘noisy geopolitics’ by leveraging the digital sovereignty agenda to push for tighter controls on (US) bigtechs. Part of a special issue on ‘Transformation of Banking’ in Competition and Change
doi.org/10.1177/1024...

The dollar’s longue durée

25-year cycles of de/redollarisation?
Hhhmmm.

Can’t see any of the likely successors making *major* changes to borrowing. You might get more taxes & more spending.
And don’t rule out a more pro-growth attitude to immigration.

www.ft.com/content/c855... Starmer camp warns leadership challenge risks economic chaos
Starmer camp warns leadership challenge risks economic chaos
Investors also signal concern at prospect of a more leftwing government
www.ft.com

Applications are open for the Finance Summer School 2026. Last two have been at Brown. This one is at LSE thanks to LSE European Institute and Huth Initiative, plus the Berkeley Program on Finance and Democracy. Stellar Line up. Apps open: forms.gle/WsEVk4Yy52Dn...

Huge if true

Dedollarization or Redollarization? with Jeff Frieden, Rogoff et al
www.youtube.com/live/M6vebFZ...
Dedollarization or Redollarization? | World Economic Forum Annual Meeting 2026
YouTube video by World Economic Forum
www.youtube.com

Our stablecoins, your problem
a lot of americans are convinced we need to re-invent the entire financial wheel just because they're still paying for things with cheques. This is a you problem/skill issue, guys
a lot of americans are convinced we need to re-invent the entire financial wheel just because they're still paying for things with cheques. This is a you problem/skill issue, guys

Reposted by James Scott

The stablecoin war: Wall Street vs crypto over the future of money - www.ft.com/content/0fe2... via @FT
The stablecoin war: Wall Street vs crypto over the future of money
Banks say rules governing the digital currency are a risk to financial stability. Are they just trying to stamp out competition?
www.ft.com

History doesn’t repeat or rhyme, it just tortures us
This works best if you imagine a delusional eccentric who has watched too many motivational videos shouting at themselves in a mirror.

Reposted by James Scott

This works best if you imagine a delusional eccentric who has watched too many motivational videos shouting at themselves in a mirror.

The more cynically minded might view Trump’s reluctant reconciliation with dollar stability - backtracking on Mar a Lago, appointing Warsh, etc - as creating monetary space for greater geopolitical adventurism in 2026

A transition not a rupture
Trump officially picks Warsh as Fed Chair

So we started Trump’s ‘Janarchy’ with Maduro, detoured via Greenland and Davos, and end with Kevin Warsh

Agency meets structure, a love story

Capital called, it wants the Fed back

Reposted by James Scott

Kevin Warsh, the Fed chair nominee forged by the 2008 financial crisis ft.trib.al/sdyW6DT
Kevin Warsh, the Fed chair nominee forged by the 2008 financial crisis
Trump’s pick will take the reins of the world’s top central bank during one of the most consequential periods in its history
ft.trib.al

Reposted by James Scott

Trump officially picks Warsh as Fed Chair

Narratives of dollar declinism also underestimate the probability that dominance actually strengthens: not because the US suddenly rediscovers functional politics but scale of geoeconomic risks facing Europe (far right, Russia) and China (debt mountain, energy constraints)
Don’t bet on dollar dethronement
If you want to see how entrenched the US currency is in the global system, look at the foreign exchange swap market
www.ft.com

What has arguably changed is that the quiet politics of finance now confronts not just the noisy but the personalist, vengeful and extractive politics of MAGA

An element of trying to reinvent the wheel here when theories of instrumental power / power of inaction vs structural power of markets still does a pretty good job
Chartbook 431 Convening, staging, acting ... and was it never about Greenland and mainly about the Fed? Which Davos-theory won?
To matter or not to matter?
open.substack.com

Great, thanks Jens

True, although I was also thinking of shadow money instruments, like MMF shares (which are stablecoin like) backed by bonds, repos, commercial paper, etc, which would presumably rely on private tokenisation

Obviously the post-2008 lesson is that all this private offshore credit ultimately needs to be backstopped with CB money via digital dollar swap lines, repo, etc. In which case ‘full spectrum digital dominance’ for the dollar means CBDC + stablecoins + tokenisation are complements not substitutes

So maybe there’s a structural logic to the US Genius Act, driven by the needs of shadow finance.

Whereas CBDCs make more sense for Europe and China with much less private / offshore issuance.

But then doesn’t this constrain the further internationalisation of the euro / renminbi? 🧐

Ends.

But I don’t see how you digitalise the dollar-based shadow financial system without the vast issuance of private stablecoins or tokenised assets covering MMF shares, repos, etc.

Am I missing something? 3/n

How do you digitalise the offshore dollar system or private / shadow money?

Retail and wholesale CBDCs work for pure public (cash) and public-private money (commercial bank liabilities). 2/n