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resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson
@resiliencesci.bsky.social
3.2K followers 1.3K following 880 posts

Director FinBio.org
Professor of Environmental Science
with focus on Resilience in Social-Ecological Systems
Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University stockholmresilience.org

projects:
regimeshifts.org
biospherefutures.net
goodanthropocenes.net .. more

Videos
Environmental science 64%
Geography 16%
Posts Replies Media Videos
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resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 27d
Resilience Science Must-Knows

Nine essential insights from global resilience science to help decision-makers navigate a turbulent world.

Developed in dialogue with decision makers, and synthesised by an international team of resilience researchers

www.stockholmresilience.org/research/res...
Resilience Science Must-Knows
Nine things every decision maker should know about resilience
www.stockholmresilience.org

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 1h
Floods Have Killed at Least 1,200 in Southern Asia. Here’s What to Know. www.nytimes.com/2025/12/01/w...
Floods Have Killed at Least 1,200 in Southern Asia. Here’s What to Know.
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson

costasamaras.com
Costa Samaras @costasamaras.com · 19h
We looked at the impact of routine spatial adjustment choices on future rainfall levels and the choice can change the required stormwater pipe sizes by a lot. We don’t really know the equations for resilience yet. Still muddling through, & often underdelivering in resilience. doi.org/10.1007/s105...
The effect of modeling choices on updating intensity-duration-frequency curves and stormwater infrastructure designs for climate change - Climatic Change
Intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves, commonly used in stormwater infrastructure design to represent characteristics of extreme rainfall, are gradually being updated to reflect expected changes i...
doi.org

Reposted by Garry Peterson, Richard Waite

costasamaras.com
Costa Samaras @costasamaras.com · 23h
We talked about this in my class. People (& lenders!) need to have credible information about climate risk to their homes. However the way it is done right now, if at all, has lots of uncertainty. A home could be categorized as low-risk when it’s high risk, & vice versa! NOAA should do this service.
jeffgoodell.bsky.social Jeff Goodell @jeffgoodell.bsky.social · 1d
Realtors know that, in many parts of the country, if you educate people about climate risk, the housing market will collapse.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/30/c...
Zillow Removes Climate Risk Scores From Home Listings
www.nytimes.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 1d
"Flooding across much of south-east Asia fuelled by a rare cluster of three tropical storms has claimed the lives of more than 900 people in five countries, with Indonesia the worst hit so far"
on.ft.com/3KhnS2q

Tropical cyclones in 2025
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropica...
Flood death toll rises rapidly across south-east Asia to more than 900
Large parts of Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia and Sri Lanka reeling after rare cluster of storms
on.ft.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 1d
"Zillow, [USA's] largest real estate listings site, has quietly removed a feature that showed the risks from extreme weather for more than one million home sale listings on its site.
...users can click through to view climate risk scores for a specific property."
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/30/c...
Zillow Removes Climate Risk Scores From Home Listings
www.nytimes.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson

rtbecard.bsky.social
James A Campbell @rtbecard.bsky.social · 2d
Science of the total environment (elsevier) gets deindexed.

This is your regular reminder to please stop chasing impact factors and shitty metrics so we can stop feeding this awful system...

An alternative is to publish in more society journals (when possible).
The fall of a prolific science journal exposes the billion-dollar profits of scientific publishing
One of the 15 publications that put out the most studies globally has been expelled from the indexing system for irregularities. Its publisher, Elsevier, has a 38% profit margin that reached $1.5 bill...
english.elpais.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 3d
Resilience and regeneration for a world in crisis
Fischer+
doi.org/10.1007/s132...

building on resilience thinking
"regeneration can help through its explicit focus on human agency and mutualistic social-ecological relationships...
‘Poly-opportunities’ thus become a conceptual possibility"
Seven key principles for the regenerative governance of social-ecological systems. The seven principles depicted here draw on the seven central insights of resilience and regenerative systems literature as summarized in Fig. 1 for resilience (i, iii, iv) and Fig. 2 for regeneration (ii, v, vi, vii). While each item is derived from either body of literature on resilience or regeneration, the list of items offered here is fully complementary. See main text for details and references and Table 1 for some of the most pertinent similarities and differences between the two bodies of literature

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 3d
S&P Global Ratings on Tether (USDT)
"the longest-standing stablecoin with the largest volume in circulation"

"asset assessment of 5 (weak) reflects
the rise in exposure to high-risk assets in USDT's reserves over the past year
and
persistent gaps in disclosure"
www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/r...
"Exposure to high-risk assets in Tether’s reserve portfolio has increased over the past year. These holdings include corporate bonds, precious metals, bitcoin, secured loans, and other investments that are subject to credit, market, interest-rate, and foreign-exchange risks and for which disclosures remain limited. Such assets accounted for 24% of total reserves as of Sept. 30, 2025, compared with 17% on Sept. 30, 2024. More importantly, Tether’s exposure to bitcoin has also increased. On Sept. 30, 2024, bitcoin represented about 4% of USDT in circulation, below the 5.1% overcollateralization margin implied by a collateralization ratio of 105.1%. As of the latest attestation, bitcoin represents 5.6% of USDT in circulation, exceeding the 3.9% overcollateralization margin associated with a collateralization ratio of 103.9%. A decline in the price of bitcoin or the value of other higher-risk assets, could therefore reduce collateral coverage and result in USDT becoming undercollateralized. We believe the increasing share of risky assets exposes USDT's reserves to greater market fluctuations"

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 3d
MORNING SUN
(2003)
2 hr documentary about China's Cultural Revolution
focussed on first-hand perspectives from former Red Guards and victims of the era
www.youtube.com/watch?v=d3Ai...

reviews:
www.rottentomatoes.com/m/morning_sun
www.youtube.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 3d
“Let’s learn from the warriors who blew themselves up”
is apparently a new North Korean army slogan
www.dailynk.com/english/from...

while

North Korean trade officials operating in China are selling stolen cryptocurrency
www.elliptic.co/blog/north-k...

www.dailynk.com/english/pyon...
From Kim dynasty to battlefield martyrs: North Korea’s expanding ‘eternal life’ propaganda
North Korea’s military is using stories of soldiers who detonated themselves in the Russia-Ukraine war as indoctrination material.
www.dailynk.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson, Massimiliano Simons

bnerlich.bsky.social
Brigitte Nerlich @bnerlich.bsky.social · 3d
This is my last post in the 'metaphors for AI' trilogy. I never thought there was so much to say about it all. But this is it for now! Comments welcome. #AI #metaphor makingsciencepublic.com/2025/11/28/o...
Observing shifts in metaphors for AI: What changed and why it matters
In my previous two posts I have made the case for an AI metaphor observatory and surveyed the recent academic landscape of studies dealing with metaphors for AI in the sense of GenAI and LLMs. In t…
makingsciencepublic.com

Reposted by Garry Peterson, Paolo Crosetto

hansonmark.bsky.social
Mark A. Hanson @hansonmark.bsky.social · 3d
Scientific Reports has a ⬆️ Impact Inflation: a very high IF given their citation network (self-citing, citation cartels, etc).

They'll even typeset & publish AI slop for a fee!

Strain: bit.ly/StrainQSS
Strain explorer β: pagoba.shinyapps.io/strain_explo...

#SciPub #ResearchIntegrity #AcademicSky
A chart showing the Impact Inflation of Scientific Reports is much higher than the average journal. Biology Open, the "anything technically sound" megajournal of the non-profit Company of Biologists is shown for comparison given these two journals started in 2012 and 2013 respectively. The two have different management strategies: one focuses on profit via immense publication output (SciRep), the other focuses on publishing sound science (BiolOpen).

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 4d
South Australia’s 8-month
~20,000 km² toxic algal bloom
from
previously obscure
single-celled algae, Karenia cristata
has harmed nature & economy
doi.org/10.1126/science.z41uwyq

“It makes me wonder where else we’ll start seeing this problem appear,” -D. Anderson, an expert in harmful algal blooms
Australia’s unprecedented toxic algal bloom has a surprise culprit
A relatively unknown species is producing a notorious neurotoxin, devastating sea life
doi.org

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 4d
Public Health Guidelines for Social Connection: An International Delphi Study
Card+
doi.org/10.1016/j.he...

Popular summary
theconversation.com/we-created-h...
Redirecting
doi.org

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d
The Disaster to Come: New York’s Next Superstorm www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
See Which New York City Neighborhoods Could Get Hit By the Next Hurricane (Gift Article)
Heavy rain would make a hurricane catastrophic. See the neighborhoods that could face the worst flooding.
www.nytimes.com

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d
Perception of own centrality in social networks
Kovářík+
doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

people systematically misperceive their position in social networks and these misperceptions are correlated with academic outcomes, suggesting better understanding social structure could improve academic outcomes
We collected data on social networks from 11 independent classes in Loyola University Andalucia (Fig. 1A; Materials and Methods). In our sample, 484 (474) subjects reported their estimate of their own popularity (centrality). Fig. 1 B and C depict the distributions of the true and perceived in-degree and the deciles of centrality to which participants believe they belong, respectively. At the aggregate level, Fig. 1 B and C show that the true distributions of popularity and centrality exhibit “fatter tails” than their perceived counterparts. There is considerably higher frequency of unconnected/peripheral as well as highly connected/very central individuals in the true distribution, as compared to the distribution of perceived centralities.

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d
Cultural innovation can increase and maintain biodiversity: A case study from medieval Europe
Spitzig+
doi.org/10.1073/pnas...

"profound changes in the floristic landscape ...that occurred between approximately 500 and 1000 CE can be described in terms of a critical transition" in regions SES
A gradual, profound change in the floristic landscape of the Lake Constance region occurred between approximately 500 and 1000 CE. Pollen-estimated plant diversity in the western Lake Constance region between 2000 BCE and 2000 CE, as measured by Shannon’s Diversity Index. Each point and bar indicate the mean and distribution (± one SD), respectively, of Shannon’s Diversity Index for all pollen samples, across all cores, within a 50-y time window.

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d
IonE at U Minnesota, USA
environment.umn.edu

is hiring up to 2 research professors
impact-focused sustainability research capacity.
​
To apply
➡️Assistant: hr.myu.umn.edu/jobs/ext/371...
➡️Associate: hr.myu.umn.edu/jobs/ext/371...
➡️Full: hr.myu.umn.edu/jobs/ext/371...
Institute on the Environment | Discovering Solutions to Earth's Greatest Enviromental Challenges
IonE is leading the way toward a future in which people and the environment prosper together.
environment.umn.edu

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d
OpenAI needs to raise at least $207bn by 2030 so it can continue to lose money, HSBC estimates
on.ft.com/4ojxyY7

"What might not be clear from the above is that the HSBC software team is very, very bullish on AI as a concept"
Please use the sharing tools found via the share button at the top or side of articles. Copying articles to share with others is a breach of FT.com T&Cs and Copyright Policy. Email licensing@ft.com to buy additional rights. Subscribers may share up to 10 or 20 articles per month using the gift article service. More information can be found at https://www.ft.com/tour. https://www.ft.com/content/23e54a28-6f63-4533-ab96-3756d9c88bad OpenAI’s cumulative free cash flow to 2030 may be about $282bn, it forecasts, while Nvidia’s promised cash injections and the disposal of AMD shares can bring in another $26bn. The broker also includes OpenAI’s $24bn of undrawn debt and equity facilities and, at the 2025 mid-year point, its $17.5bn of available liquidity. Squaring the first total off against the second leaves a $207bn funding hole, to which HSBC adds a $10bn cash buffer for safety’s sake.

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d
"Archaeology is a weapon for us,

If anyone tries to invade our lands or undermine our presence, we can show that we have been here for centuries and that this place belongs to us."
-Kumessi Waurá Kuikuro, who participated in excavations with Heckenberger in 2018
www.science.org/content/arti...
To unearth their past, Amazonian people turn to ‘a language white men understand’
A model partnership between archaeologists and the Kuikuro people has helped rewrite the history of early Amazonian societies
www.science.org

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d
<>
doi.org/10.1126/scie...
Headless bodies hint at why Europe’s first farmers vanished
Wave of mass brutality accompanied the collapse of the first pan-European culture
doi.org

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d
<<"evidence points to “something of a cultural collapse.” From a demographic point of view, the LBK was a stunning success story.
...
“As LBK people multiply, communication becomes more and more difficult, and society breaks apart,” say Gronenborn>>
www.science.org/content/arti...
Headless bodies hint at why Europe’s first farmers vanished
Wave of mass brutality accompanied the collapse of the first pan-European culture
www.science.org

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d
‘Catch Them Doing Something Good.’- Deb Fallows
www.ourtownsfoundation.org/catch-them-d...

across the USA "citizens are finding new ways to work together to meet the challenges of this time."
'Catch Them Doing Something Good.' - Our Towns
In communities large and small across the country, citizens are finding new ways to work together to meet the challenges of this time.
www.ourtownsfoundation.org

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 5d
10X in Jacksonville assembled a novel “convergence” of three ...philanthropists; bureaucrats; actuaries...[they] recognized the many interests they had in common and engaged seriously on short- and long-term collaborations to protect their communities"
10across.org/events/10x-c...
HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE 10X CONVERGENCE: October 22- 23, 2025 - Jacksonville, Florida - Ten Across
Ten Across represents a cross-section of the country which is a strong indicator of the future.  The selected geography—roughly following the arc of the U.S. Interstate 10 from coast to coast—is on th...
10across.org

Reposted by Garry Peterson, David Leclère, Carly D. Ziter , and 1 more

plieningerlab.bsky.social
Tobias Plieninger @plieningerlab.bsky.social · 6d
Reconnecting people to nature is key for biodiversity action. Our new study identifies 5 ways people relate to #Natura2000:
🐾 Learning
🏞️ Heritage
🪴 Care
🧑‍🌾 Multifunctionality
👭 Collaboration
Revealing such narratives can build new alliances & place PAs at the heart of society.
doi.org/10.1002/pan3...

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 6d
“To remain competitive internationally, Sweden must meet its climate targets. Ordinary people want to be part of the transition, and we know it can be done fairly.”
-J Lindholm, President of LO, the Swedish Trade Union Confederation.

English
www.stockholmresilience.org/news--events...
24 reforms for a people-centred climate policy in Sweden
The research programme Fairtrans , hosted by the Centre, presents a groundbreaking agreement for a people-centred climate policy in Sweden, backed by major Swedish civil society organisations.
www.stockholmresilience.org

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 6d
"Major Swedish organisations representing a total of 5 million members have negotiated 24 climate policy reforms grounded in science. Implementing these proposals could rapidly reduce emissions in a fair and effective way."

Swedish
fairtrans.nu/unik-overens...
Unik överenskommelse – 24 reformer för en folklig klimatpolitik - Fairtrans
Mikael Karlsson (Uppsala universitet), Beatrice Rindevall (Naturskyddsföreningen), Johan Lindholm (LO) Foto: Tobias Sterner/Björn Nordqvist/Clara Dagh ”Sveriges klimatpolitik går åt fel håll. Utsläppe...
fairtrans.nu

Reposted by Katharine Hayhoe, Garry Peterson, Sangeeta Mangubhai

simondonner.bsky.social
Simon Donner @simondonner.bsky.social · 6d
UN climate summits are a strange hybrid of diplomatic negotiations and a sprawling climate change bazaar. You can learn a lot about the state of climate action from watching the negotiations and from the many concurrent panels and side events. Here are five themes that emerged frequently at #COP30:

Reposted by Garry Peterson

mparrington.bsky.social
Mark Parrington @mparrington.bsky.social · 7d
The State of Wildfires website provides interactive maps for evaluating 2024-25 global fire season for detailed context (e.g., burned area anomaly by ecoregion shown below) stateofwildfires.com/latest-report/. For tropical Africa, the Congo Basin had one of the most extreme seasons in 2024.

resiliencesci.bsky.social
Garry Peterson @resiliencesci.bsky.social · 8d
“I think what the problem is right now is the methodology of consensus,
because this consensus has turned into veto...
So the most ambitious agenda has been eliminated.
Veto is what is happening here.”
-Torres, Colombia’s Environment and Sustainable Development Minister
drilled.media/news/COP30-w...
COP-tastrophe: How the COP of Implementation, Truth, Forests, and Indigenous Peoples Failed on All Counts
COP30 began full of promise but ended as yet another reminder that the mechanism for global climate governance is broken.
drilled.media