David Lea
@climateprof.bsky.social
22 followers 19 following 3 posts
Climate Scientist, Faculty at UCSB since 1989. Biking when I can...
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climateprof.bsky.social
The best defense of the university I've ever read, by Steven Pinker:

Harvard Derangement Syndrome www.nytimes.com/2025/05/23/o...
Opinion | Harvard Derangement Syndrome
www.nytimes.com
Reposted by David Lea
jennfehrenbacher.bsky.social
Need micropaleontology slides? I started a company! MicroPaleoWorks.com. If you need slides, hit me up. Prices range from 1.50 to 2.20 each depending on the variety. We can customize with numbering for a fee. We are a #smallbusiness #womenowned #madeintheUSA using #canadianaluminum & #recycledpaper
MicroPaleoWorks | micropaleoslides
MicroPaleoWorks, a Foraminarium company. Supplier of micropaleoslides for foraminifera and other microfossils or small samples
MicroPaleoWorks.com
Reposted by David Lea
thefosterlab.bsky.social
Very pleased to have co-edited the latest version of Elements Magazine (www.elementsmagazine.org) "Biomineral Geochemistry" with @amoeba-lab.bsky.social and Ros Rickaby. Topics range from controls on CaCO3 polymorph to the role of amorphous intermediate phases and "vital effects". 🧪🌊🪸⚒️
Cover of Elements Issue entitled Biomineral Geochemistry: Windows into Past Climates and Calcification.  The picture shows amorphous calcium carbonate particles - the precursors to many biominerals
climateprof.bsky.social
Polling of my global warming class @ucsantabarbara.bsky.social for the 20 years I have taught it.

Results:

Sense of alarm hit a low in 2012 ("Climategate" era), peaked in 2019 (protest era), declined slightly since.

But 2025 "at end" of class was back up.

Why? Fires in LA (Jan), or new admin?
Reposted by David Lea
zacklabe.com
🧵 I'd like to share some of the recent and ongoing collaborative projects I’m most proud of from my time at NOAA. Some will continue on in one form or another, but others will not - a direct result of the cuts hitting science across the board.
Reposted by David Lea
stevehaddock.bsky.social
A fun case of usual-unusual: Most luminescence in the sea is blue-green, but Tomopteris worms emit yellow light.

With Warren Francis, we found a species that emits blue light — unusual but usual. 🦑🧪
link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00227-016-3028-2
doi.org/10.1002/bio.2671
Three panels: On top is a face on view of a large Tomopteris polychaete, with orange pigment spots along its long anterior antennae. Lower left shows the yellow bioluminescent emission typical of the genus Tomopteris.  Lower right shows the blue bioluminescent emission of a Tomopteris species. This color is typical for marine animals, but atypical for Tomopteris, which is the odd-species-out for luminescent emission spectra. 
Blue-emitting Tomopteris were independently discovered by our lab in the Pacific and by Anaïd Gouveneaux working in Jerôme Mallefet's lab in Belgium. 
Warren determined that the chemical which gives the yellow color seems to be aloe-emodin, but the function of using yellow light rather than blue remains unknown.  See the two manuscripts linked in the main text, and references therein, for more detailed info.
Reposted by David Lea
climateofgavin.bsky.social
This is a big deal, mainly because it is a very thorough piece of work, but also because the sensitivity of ice sheet models are still highly dependent on important details of the topography and conditions at the bottom of the ice sheet that remain highly uncertain.
climateprof.bsky.social
Worth noting that the Princeton GFDL lab @voosen.me highlights was where Nobel prize winner Syukuro Manabe did his pioneering work developing the first climate model used to test the theory of global warming.
voosen.me
My latest: The mass firings at NOAA can feel abstract. Here's what was lost at one research center -- the birthplace of climate modeling.

Fired staff became U.S. citizens to pursue these dream jobs, only to have their dreams upended.
NOAA firings hit the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting
Dismissed researchers were improving severe weather predictions
www.science.org
Reposted by David Lea
hausfath.bsky.social
February 2025 was the third warmest February on record after 2024 and 2016, at 1.59C above preindustrial level.

This is the first time a month has not been the warmest or second warmest on record since June 2023.
Reposted by David Lea
hausfath.bsky.social
Global temperatures fell sharply in the first half of the month, but have been rising in the past week.

This may be a sign that the short-term cooling effect of La Nina is at long last kicking in, though it it too early to know for sure.
Reposted by David Lea
weatherwest.bsky.social
A shift back toward much wetter conditions in NorCal now appears likely by this weekend, with a pretty strong warm/wet #AtmosphericRiver potentially bringing heavy rain somewhere between SF Bay Area and Oregon border (likely heaviest northern/central Sierra). #CAwx #CAwater
ECMWF ensemble average accumulated precipitation forecast for next 10 days. It depends heavy rainfall across portions of Northern CA, especially northern Sierra.
Reposted by David Lea
sabincenter.bsky.social
🚨 🚀🌍 Today, the Sabin Center for Climate Change Law is launching three online tools – the Climate Backtracker, the Inflation Reduction Act Tracker & the Silencing Science Tracker – to keep tabs on the Trump administration’s climate rollbacks & anti-science actions: https://buff.ly/4jsf5HJ
🧵⤵️
Reposted by David Lea
rarohde.bsky.social
More than 20% of the Earth's surface recorded its locally hottest annual average temperature last year.

40% of the Earth had its hottest recorded year since 2020, and 85% since the year 2000.

🧪
Global map showing the year that each location recorded its hottest annual average from among the available years 1850-2024.
Reposted by David Lea
afreedma.bsky.social
If you're looking for the text of the U.S. withdrawal from the Paris Agreement (which takes a yr. to be in effect, but the U.S. is treating as immediate): it is here. Also cuts off US funding to the UNFCCC and US int'l climate finance. www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
Putting America First In International Environmental Agreements – The White House
By the authority vested in me as President by the Constitution and the laws of the United States of America, it is hereby ordered as follows: Section 1.
www.whitehouse.gov
Reposted by David Lea
hausfath.bsky.social
Global temperatures have started 2025 at record-setting levels – above where they were in January 2024 despite the emergence of modest La Nina conditions in the tropical Pacific.
Reposted by David Lea
weatherwest.bsky.social
After becoming increasingly enmeshed in the wildfire world, you start to notice things about the way we've systematically altered our relationship with the natural environment in a way that has increased the risk of destructive fires. And then you stop being able to unsee them.
Reposted by David Lea
hausfath.bsky.social
I have a new paper in Dialogues on Climate Change exploring climate outcomes under current policies. I find that we are likely headed toward 2.7C by 2100 (with uncertainties from 1.9C to 3.7C), and that high end emissions scenarios have become much less likely.

journals.sagepub.com...
Reposted by David Lea
andrewdessler.com
New post on The Climate Brink from Zeke @hausfath.bsky.social about our climate future. With current policies, we’re on track for a bit less than 3C, with 2030 NDCs we’re on track for about 2.5C, and with net zero pledges we’re on track for a bit less than 2C.
www.theclimatebrink.com/p/moving-awa...
Moving away from high-end emissions scenarios
I have a new commentary in Dialogues on Climate Change exploring climate outcomes in current policy scenarios
www.theclimatebrink.com
Reposted by David Lea
weatherwest.bsky.social
Our recent review on "Hydroclimate Volatility on a warming Earth" will be in front of the journal paywall for all to read/download freely for 14 days (until 1/23). Thereafter, this specific (ReadCube) link will grant read-only access to all: https://rdcu.be/d6ceH
Hydroclimate volatility on a warming Earth
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment - Rapid transitions between extreme wet and extreme dry conditions — ‘hydroclimate whiplash’ — have marked environmental and societal...
rdcu.be
Reposted by David Lea
hausfath.bsky.social
Scientists developed the first climate models in the late 1960s (for which the Nobel Prize in physics was recently awarded!).

How have these models held up against what happened in the real world after they were published? Surprisingly well, it turns out:
Reposted by David Lea
weatherwest.bsky.social
Is there a link between #ClimateChange & increasing risk/severity of #wildfire in California--including the still-unfolding disaster? Yes. Is climate change the only factor at play? No, of course not. So what's really going on? [Thread] #CAfire #CAwx #LAfires iopscience.iop.org/a...
Reposted by David Lea
berkeleyearth.org
🚨 Global Temperature Report for 2024

2024 was the hottest year since instrumental measurements began.

3.3 billion people had their locally warmest year.

The warming rate appears to have increased, likely due to reductions in aerosol pollution & cloud cover.

berkeleyearth.org/global-tempe...

🧵
Map showing warming patterns in 2024 relative to the 1951-1980 average