gelbach
@gelbach.bsky.social
6.5K followers 1.5K following 7.6K posts
expert provider of lay opinions
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gelbach.bsky.social
A WHART on America
kenwhite.bsky.social
The White House Antifa Roundtable is one of the best displays I’ve seen of this-is-how-bad-it’s-gotten — just a sewer of open fascism, dementia, morons and freaks, and incoherent rage.
Reposted by gelbach
maxkennerly.bsky.social
Putting aside the many reasons they should include it, this is also negotiation 101: don't negotiate against yourself, such as by locking your demand in low when your counterparty refuses to negotiate.

Dems shouldn't take stuff off the table until Trump & GOP are truly negotiating.
ericmgarcia.bsky.social
Durbin on whether Democrats can use reining in ICE in Chicago as a precondition to rein in the government says “can’t do that. It’s gotta be health care all the way.”
Reposted by gelbach
matthewstiegler.bsky.social
My wife @pattyskuster.bsky.social is in Portland today. It’s a war zone, insurrectionists and sunflowers everywhere.
Pretty flowers at the downtown farmers’ market.
Reposted by gelbach
mcopelov.bsky.social
Again, when we get through this, every one of these laws with aircraft carrier-sized loopholes allowing POTUS to be a dictator bc REASONS needs to go. Every one. They rested on shared norms that simply no longer exist. We need complete contracts now. Rules, not discretion.

bsky.app/profile/mcop...
crampell.bsky.social
White House officials have held increasingly serious discussions in recent days about President Donald Trump invoking the Insurrection Act, a rarely used 19th century law that gives the president the power to deploy active-duty troops inside the U.S. for law enforcement purposes
Trump administration officials seriously discussing invoking Insurrection Act, sources say
A decision is not expected to be imminent, one source said, but debate within the administration has shifted recently to more deeply exploring how and when the act might be invoked.
www.nbcnews.com
Reposted by gelbach
mjamurphy.bsky.social
I still have to update my website & whatnot to do a fancy post, but in the meantime...

I'm going to be on the econ job market this year so if you know of cool openings in applied micro / development / environmental econ, please send them my way!

#EconSky
gelbach.bsky.social
Simple principle: if it would be a war crime when done to enemy soldiers, then it shouldn’t be done to civilians by the US government
asharangappa.bsky.social
One of the (many) legal gaps that needs to be filled after this nightmare is over is to prohibit federal law enforcement agencies from using federal funds to create propaganda videos with anyone in custody. This is all about spectacle and content creation, remove the incentive and the means
smith.senate.gov
Weird how that didn’t make the cut.
Reposted by gelbach
nicholasgrossman.bsky.social
Fascists are desperate for violent disruption they can use an excuse for state violence and power grabs.

They have trouble with mockery, goofiness, and fun.

That holds across just about every type of authoritarianism. They like being feared for cruelty. They hate being laughed at and humiliated.
courtneyvaughn.bsky.social
Streets are still closed off in front of the Portland ICE facility at 8:30pm. Protesters have gathered on a side street. Dance party in progress.
Reposted by gelbach
Re National Guard deployments: @jacklgoldsmith.bsky.social says the Oregon TRO is less significant than people are saying, b/c DJT has other & more powerful tools than s.12406, such that if he wants to deploy troops, he'll be able to.

I think he's right about that part.

But...

(1/5)
Reposted by gelbach
That’s important. If the courts are going to put up any meaningful resistance to lawless executive behavior, they’re going to need to stop giving DJT lies a free pass and call it the benefit of the “doubt.”

(3/5)
Reposted by gelbach
carlquintanilla.bsky.social
“.. Oh, we've entered the ‘shooting priests’ phase of the Glorious Trump Revolution. Good to know.”

- @therickwilson.bsky.social
Reposted by gelbach
neilturkewitz.bsky.social
“We asked Cruz's office to explain why a senator pressuring Wikipedia is appropriate while an FCC chair pressuring ABC is not and will update this article if we get a response.”

Perfect! The 🧑🏽‍🍳’s 💋
arstechnica.com
Cruz apparently took particular issue with Wikipedia's reliable sources/perennial sources list, which lists Fox News as a "generally unreliable" source for politics and science.
Ted Cruz picks a fight with Wikipedia, accusing platform of left-wing bias
Cruz sends letter demanding answers from Wikimedia Foundation.
arstechnica.com
gelbach.bsky.social
My sister used to eat those.
I never developed a taste, maybe because I never tried it
Reposted by gelbach
blockclubchi.bsky.social
A federal judge in Chicago says ICE violated a consent decree with warrantless arrests. blockclubchi.co/4nGUOQ8
gelbach.bsky.social
Definitely seems like there’s going to be a soybean shortage
ddayen.bsky.social
So this is funny.
The administration just issued a rule slashing foreign agricultural worker wages. And to justify it, in a public filing, Trump's Labor Department alleges that Trump's immigration enforcement has devastated the Ag workforce and caused a "risk of supply shock-induced food shortages."
Trump Labor Department Says His Immigration Raids Are Causing a Food Crisis
In a filing in the Federal Register, the Labor Department argues there are “immediate dangers to the American food supply” due to a lack of migrant agricultural workers.
prospect.org
gelbach.bsky.social
Excellent, all three of us can have dinner
Reposted by gelbach
amyfeldman7.bsky.social
Six former surgeons general appointed by every President since George HW Bush warn that RFK Jr. is endangering the health of the nation, calling his policies/positions a “profound, immediate + unprecedented threat”

www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Opinion | Six surgeons general: It’s our duty to warn the nation about RFK Jr.
We took an oath to declare dangers when we found them. We’re doing that again today.
www.washingtonpost.com
Reposted by gelbach
karlbode.com
twice a year the entire U.S. press becomes a marketing extension of a single billionaire-owned retailer, and nobody in any position of editorial power thinks it's weird or gross
photo of Google News search results for Amazon Prime Day (the second this year)
Reposted by gelbach
govpritzker.illinois.gov
I will not back down.

Trump is now calling for the arrest of elected representatives checking his power.

What else is left on the path to full-blown authoritarianism?
Donald Trump Truth Social Post: Chicago Mayor should be in jail for failing to protect Ice Officers! Governor Pritzker also.
gelbach.bsky.social
What if I take you to Chez Panisse (my $ for the UC meal overage)
Reposted by gelbach
zohrankmamdani.bsky.social
My statement on the two year anniversary of October 7, 2023.
“Two years ago today, Hamas carried out a horrific war crime, killing more than 1,100 Israelis and kidnapping 250 more. I mourn these lives and pray for the safe return of every hostage still held and for every family whose lives were torn apart by these atrocities.

In the aftermath of that day, Prime Minister Netanyahu and the Israeli government launched a genocidal war: adeath toll that now far exceeds 67,000; with the Israeli military bombing homes, hospitals, and schools into rubble. Every day in Gaza has become a place where grief itself has run out of language. I mourn these lives and pray for the families that have been shattered. Our government has been complicit through it all.

This must end. The occupation and apartheid must end. Peace must be pursued through diplomacy, not war crimes, and our government must act to end these atrocities and hold those responsible to account.

These last two years have demonstrated the very worst of humanity. We must answer it by modeling the very best: a relentless pursuit of our higher ideals and an unwavering commitment to universal human rights.”
gelbach.bsky.social
Wow
thomasfuchs.at
How many trillions of dollars have been invested into this technology so far?
Google search for "austria hungary in space"

Google excitedly tells you about the 1889 orbital flight, and that by 1908 there was a Mars research output with 30 people.
gelbach.bsky.social
CNBC anchor / Econ professor / Marketing Professor
mcopelov.bsky.social
Associate Professor / Full Professor / Assistant Professor
gelbach.bsky.social
No use of AI to disambiguate the key statutory term?