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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff
@guntramwolff.bsky.social
3.9K followers 140 following 170 posts
Professor of economics at Free University Brussels (ULB) and Bruegel fellow. European integration, climate, defence- and geoeconomics, macro; Frmr Director @dgap.org & @bruegel.org RT ≠ endorsement
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 8d
Mit offensiven Raketen abschrecken --- A Burilkov und ich argumentieren, warum reine Luftverteidigung nicht mehr ausreicht und Europa Kapazitäten zur Abschreckung durch Stärke benötigt. Und wie man diese aufbauen kann
www.faz.net/aktuell/poli...
Europa muss Putin mit offensiven Rakten abschrecken
Eine Luftabwehr, die sich auf Drohnenabschuss beschränkt, reicht nicht aus, um Putin abzuschrecken. Dazu braucht Europa Marschflugkörper und Hyperschallraketen, die tief in russisches Territorium vord...
www.faz.net
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Reposted by Guntram Wolff
wirtschaftsdienst.bsky.social
Wirtschaftsdienst @wirtschaftsdienst.bsky.social · 22d
📸 Eben beim #Industriepolitik-Panel bei der #VfS_Conf2025 @vfsecon.bsky.social

💟 Danke @guntramwolff.bsky.social, @monika-schnitzer.com, @sdullien.bsky.social, Michael #Hüther und Beate #Baron (Moderation: @kbiesenbender.bsky.social).

🏭 Vertiefung ⤵️
www.wirtschaftsdienst.eu/inhalt/jahr/...
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Reposted by Guntram Wolff
igorsushko.bsky.social
Igor Sushko @igorsushko.bsky.social · 24d
NATO members Romania and Poland scramble jet, Poland closes airport over Russian drones. One Russian war drone went sightseeing for 50 minutes in Romania.

Totally predictable outcome, a direct result of Europe's ongoing cowardice.
kyivindependent.com/romania-scra...
Romania scrambles jets, Poland closes airport over Russian drone alerts
"Russian military personnel know exactly where their drones are headed and how long they can stay in the air," President Volodymyr Zelensky said, commenting on the attacks. "The routes are always calc...
kyivindependent.com
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 28d
Today, a difficult State of the Union address. #SOTEU . From defence to trade and the weak economy and the continued political fragility in France: what will the Commission President say?
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 28d
Interview im #Deutschlandfunk zur politischen Krise in Frankreich und ihren ökonomischen Folgen. Frankreich muss seinen Haushalt sanieren, aber das wird kaum gelingen ohne einen breiteren gesellschaftlichen Konsens. Den sehe ich noch nicht.

www.deutschlandfunk.de/oekonomische...
Frankreich - nterview mit Ökonom Guntram Wolff zu ökonomischen Folgen der Krise
www.deutschlandfunk.de
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · 29d
No surprise here as Elbridge Colby had announced multiple times that he wants to de-prioritize weapon shipments to Europe: Ukraine battles air defence shortage as Pentagon slows shipments www.ft.com/content/26df...
Ukraine battles air defence shortage as Pentagon slows shipments
Moscow has stepped up attacks during Trump’s attempts to broker a peace deal, heaping pressure on Kyiv’s stocks
www.ft.com
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Reposted by Guntram Wolff
bruegel.org
Bruegel @bruegel.org · Sep 3
❗ LIVE NOW: The future of Europe’s defence
🔗 buff.ly/VQS0Bks

🗣️ @guntramwolff.bsky.social, Bertrand Dumont (French Treasury), @kristiraik.bsky.social @icds-tallinn.bsky.social & @simonassatunas.bsky.social @ec.europa.eu
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · Aug 22
join us for what promises to be an exciting discussion
bruegel.org
Bruegel @bruegel.org · Aug 22
📌 Bruegel Annual Meetings: The future of Europe’s defence
📆 3 September | 10:30-11:30 CET

🗣️ @guntramwolff.bsky.social, Bertrand Dumont (French Treasury), @kristiraik.bsky.social @icds-tallinn.bsky.social & @simonassatunas.bsky.social @ec.europa.eu

🔗 buff.ly/sMtqB2e
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Reposted by Guntram Wolff
voxeu.org
VoxEU @ CEPR @voxeu.org · Jul 15
A broader discussion of European banking needs to be had in the new geopolitical context. $ dependence, complexity of global financial networks, & new tech such as stablecoins should be taken into account.
M Dewatripont, P Praet, A Sapir, @guntramwolff.bsky.social‬
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Europe has recently pivoted to regulatory simplification with the aim to boost competitiveness. This column argues that in banking the debate needs to go beyond competitiveness and be embedded within a broader strategic vision fit for the new geopolitical context. The broader vision should consider the dependence on the US dollar-centric financial system, the increasing complexity of global financial networks, and the emergence of new financial technologies such as stablecoins. At the same time, the strategy should bolster the euro’s use in trade, finance, and reserves in order to reduce Europe’s exposure to external financial shocks and geopolitical leverage. By enhancing trust in our financial institutions, this strategy would contribute to their competitiveness and that of the overall EU economy.
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · Jul 15
This is indeed a must-read piece by a group of leading experts on how China shock affects our economies.
One point stands out: We need to let Chinese companies into our markets to get the technology and competition into our markets. At the same time, we need to be watchful of security risks.
tbenner.bsky.social
Thorsten Benner @tbenner.bsky.social · Jul 15
Der erste China-Schock ging an Deutschland vorbei.
Der zweite China-Schock wird Deutschland ins Mark treffen.
Wäre ja eigentlich einmal eine Diskussion wert, wenn wir nicht so abgelenkt wären.

www.nytimes.com/2025/07/14/o...
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · Jul 13
Daniel Stelter hat mich eingeladen, über das Thema Rüstung zu sprechen. Hier der Podcast: "Rüstungsmilliarden allein genügen nicht".
cc @kiel.institute , @bruegel.bsky.social , and Solvay Brussels School of Economics and Management
think-beyondtheobvious.com/ruestungsmil...
Rüstungsmilliarden allein genügen nicht
Europas Politiker verfallen schon wieder der Illusion, komplexe Probleme allein mit Geld lösen zu können. bto#304 – Die Zahlen sind atemberaubend: Deutschland will bis zum Jahr 2029 seine Verteidigung...
think-beyondtheobvious.com
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Reposted by Guntram Wolff
lucasguttenberg.bsky.social
Lucas Guttenberg @lucasguttenberg.bsky.social · Jul 10
The Socialists in the EP have leveraged a no-confidence vote put up by the far right to effectively gut a major part of the reform of the EU budget. Stunning development that further imperils the prospect for a major MFF reform. I had hopes that this time would be different. But I was naive.
Thread:
Socialists to support von der Leyen in no-confidence vote after she backs down on EU budget
European Commission president expected to easily survive ― but she has made two major concessions.
www.politico.eu
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Reposted by Guntram Wolff
tapani-hopkins.bsky.social
Tapani Hopkins @tapani-hopkins.bsky.social · Jul 10
We are truly in an era where *anything* can happen!

Next thing you know, the French will be praising the gourmet values of Yorkshire Pudding.
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Reposted by Guntram Wolff
florianaigner.at
Florian Aigner @florianaigner.at · Jul 7
CO2 ist der Hauptgrund für die Erderwärmung. Allerdings: Langfristig erhitzen wir den Planeten durch jede Form von Energiezufuhr, auch wenn sie CO2-neutral ist. Nur PV und Wind sind langfristig wirklich nachhaltig.
Der übersehene zweite Grund für Erderwärmung
Kaum jemand spricht darüber: Kraftwerke erzeugen Wärme – unabhängig von CO2 und Treibhauseffekt.
futurezone.at
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · Jul 10
Great to see the innovation proceeding fast - this will be critical for European security. The big question is whether our traditional armed services will be ready to adopt and scale with AI based systems...

www.ft.com/content/7100...
Europe just years away from uncrewed fighter jets, says defence start-up Helsing
AI company allowed its software to take control of a Gripen E fighter jet over the Baltic Sea in two test flights
www.ft.com
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Reposted by Guntram Wolff
monika-schnitzer.com
Monika Schnitzer @monika-schnitzer.com · Jul 9
Quote: „Also, truth-seeking and using X posts as training data is fundamentally incompatible.“ 👍🏻😆
eliothiggins.bsky.social
Eliot Higgins @eliothiggins.bsky.social · Jul 9
If you're wondering what happened with Grok overnight, it ended up referring to itself as MechaHitler before being switched off.
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Reposted by Guntram Wolff
rdzombak.bsky.social
Becca Dzombak @rdzombak.bsky.social · Jun 27
Forecasters will imminently lose observations crucial for hurricane tracking and prediction, as data from three NOAA/DOD satellites will go unmonitored.

The satellites aren't being decommissioned. The agencies will simply stop providing the satellites' data.

www.nytimes.com/2025/06/27/c...
Critical Hurricane Monitoring Data Is Going Offline
www.nytimes.com
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · Jun 28
"The more rapidly we need to get money out of the door, the more there is the risk that it just goes to the easiest, most expensive but also potentially outdated technology,” said Guntram Wolff, a senior fellow at the Brussels-based economic think-tank @bruegel.bsky.social

on.ft.com/46hnVUf
Seven years choosing a rifle: Germany faces battle to overcome defence bureaucracy
Size of planned €650bn splurge on military creates huge challenges for Berlin’s cumbersome procurement system
on.ft.com
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · Jun 26
Interview on CNBC on NATO and EU summit @bruegel.bsky.social
youtu.be/n4ynKaz-9GE?...
Squawk Box Europe - 26-Jun-25
YouTube video by CNBC International Live
youtu.be
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Reposted by Guntram Wolff
kakowalczyk.bsky.social
Krzysztof Adam Kowalczyk @kakowalczyk.bsky.social · Jun 24
@guntramwolff.bsky.social opowiada, jak nie przepłacać za zbrojenia. Kto będzie w Europie więcej na nie wydawał? Czy powstanie europejska armia? I czy Ukraina wejdzie do NATO oraz Unii? www.rp.pl/biznes/art42...
Europa musi się zjednoczyć. Nikt nie poradzi sobie sam. Nawet Niemcy są za małe
W Europie sprzęt wojskowy kupujemy w małych ilościach od krajowych dostawców, więc mogą oni dyktować naprawdę wysokie ceny. Brakuje nam ekonomii skali i konkure
www.rp.pl
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · Jun 24
Interview in der Börsenzeitung
www.boersen-zeitung.de/konjunktur-p...
Europa hat sehr viel geopolitisches Gewicht verloren | Börsen-Zeitung
Der Brüsseler Ökonom kritisiert die Zauderhaftigkeit europäischer Rüstungspolitik. Ohne glaubwürdige eigene Abschreckung sei Europa kein ernst zu nehmender Verhandlungspartner für Iran oder die USA.
www.boersen-zeitung.de
Reposted by Guntram Wolff
gzachmann.bsky.social
Georg Zachmann @gzachmann.bsky.social · Jun 22
In 2024 the Middle East was accounting for less than a quarter of global LNG supplies - almost 90% of which went to Asia.

At the same time, only about 10% of the EU's LNG imports came from the Middle East. And LNG contributed less than 40% to EU gas supplies.
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · Jun 22
A big #NATO week ahead. The debate needs to move from fiscal numbers to actual capabilities Europe needs to have. Want to find out the state of rearmament in #Germany, #UK, #Poland or #France? Check out our @bruegel.bsky.social and @kiel.institute report: www.ifw-kiel.de/de/publikati...
Fit for war by 2030? European rearmament efforts vis-a-vis Russia | Kiel InstitutMenu
This report updates and expands the data-driven work of our initial study from September 2024, which concluded that Europe would only be fit for war in several decades. We show that the situation toda...
www.ifw-kiel.de
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · Jun 22
I guess the emphasis can be on "used to be"
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guntramwolff.bsky.social
Guntram Wolff @guntramwolff.bsky.social · Jun 21
Die FAZ mit einer sehr schönen Zusammenfassung unserer Studie bei @bruegel.bsky.social und @kiel.institute
www.faz.net/aktuell/wirt...
Ökonomen warnen: Europas Verteidigung braucht mehr Tempo
Die europäische Militärindustrie stößt an Grenzen. Eine vollständige Unabhängigkeit von den Vereinigten Staaten bleibt auf Jahre unrealistisch.
www.faz.net
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