iasmin goes
@iasmingoes.bsky.social
840 followers 340 following 24 posts
Assistant Professor, Colorado State University. Political economy, natural resources, international organizations, statistical capacity, Latin America, bikes, running, sourdough, tofu. From 🇧🇷 via 🇩🇪🇪🇸 She/her www.iasmingoes.com
Posts Media Videos Starter Packs
Reposted by iasmin goes
iasmingoes.bsky.social
So we see an asymmetric credibility loss: since democracies are held accountable, they revise their data frequently, even at the expense of public trust. Autocracies don't - they don't have to admit they're wrong, so they report consistent data (or no data) and maintain a semblance of credibility
iasmingoes.bsky.social
I wrote a whole paper about revisions! They are a statistical best practice but can erode public trust in institutions. Governments don't revise their data unless they're forced to - which is why revisions are more prevalent among democracies (see Ireland, Greece)

www.iasmingoes.com/papers/Goes-...
These boxplots present the distribution of current GDP estimates for (A) Greece and (B) Ireland from 1990 to 2020, using data drawn from the 104 WDI releases from April 1994 to December 2021. The estimate reported for Greece in 2005 is 70 billion dollars (32.78 percent) larger in the April 2008 WDI than in the April 2007 WDI. The estimate reported for Ireland in 2015 is 53.8 billion dollars (22.6 percent) larger in the December 2017 WDI than in the July 2016 WDI.
iasmingoes.bsky.social
This was a fun paper to write and we are very grateful for the recognition!
intlcollaboration.bsky.social
Outstanding Article Award: @iasmingoes.bsky.social and Terry Chapman, “Can “Soft” Advice from International Organizations Catalyze Natural Resource Sector Reform?” International Studies Quarterly, doi.org/10.1093/isq/...
Reposted by iasmin goes
miblogestublog.bsky.social
there's no stopping the Latin American meme machine
Reposted by iasmin goes
Reposted by iasmin goes
anneapplebaum.bsky.social
Since writing this article, I have received messages from federal civil servants who tell me it is accurate, and that they are frightened. Please share this with anyone who doesn't understand the scale of the transformation.

www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...
There’s a Term for What Trump and Musk Are Doing
How regime change happens in America
www.theatlantic.com
Reposted by iasmin goes
paulecohen.bsky.social
"the crucial question is: What $1tn problem will AI solve?"

www.goldmansachs.com/images/migra...

(via @edzitron.com)
screenshot of part of an interview with Jim Covello of Goldman Sachs indicating he is skeptical of AI as an investment
Reposted by iasmin goes
tomphillips.bsky.social
“We’ve always been told that North American institutions are really strong – but the institutions that showed themselves to be truly strong were the Brazilian ones, which did not allow a coup to take place,” says @freixomarcelo.bsky.social
Brazilians hail strength of democracy as Bolsonaro is called to account
‘In Brazil coup-mongers go to jail. In the US they get back into the White House,’ says one leading politician
www.theguardian.com
Reposted by iasmin goes
cullenhendrix.bsky.social
If you've ever used the Polity data, read this from Monty Marshall.

tl;dr Polity is coding recent US events as an executive self-coup and an adverse regime change.
Reposted by iasmin goes
grudkevich.bsky.social
The left map shows the parts of Germany with the highest percentage of Syrian refugees.

The right map shows public support for the anti-migrant AfD.

Something to keep in mind when reading stories that posit a direct link between refugee numbers and support for the far-right.
Reposted by iasmin goes
nicholasguyatt.bsky.social
Assuming we make it through the next couple of decades, this will be an incredible image for future historians/students of the Trump era
Photo of FBI hq
Reposted by iasmin goes
auschwitzmemorial.bsky.social
Auschwitz was at the end of a long process. It did not start from gas chambers.

This hatred was gradually developed by humans. From ideas, words, stereotypes & prejudice through legal exclusion, dehumanization & escalating violence... to systematic and industrial murder.

Auschwitz took time.
A bird's-eye view of a former Auschwitz II-Birkenau camp showing a wide dirt pathway flanked by parallel rows of barbed-wire fences. Groups of visitors walk along the path, surrounded by the remnants of brick structures and barracks, now reduced to foundations. Green grass contrasts with the somber history of the site, as the path leads toward a guard tower in the distance.
Reposted by iasmin goes
acalacino.bsky.social
The one thing you can say about oil and gas in the US is that it has been "unleashed" for years. In fact, 2023 broke a new record, and 2024 probably broke that record.
US oil field production of crude oil showing massive increase since 2010.
Reposted by iasmin goes
titonka.bsky.social
FOREIGN COUNTRIES DO NOT PAY TARIFFS. FOREIGN COUNTRIES DO NOT PAY TARIFFS. FOREIGN COUNTRIES DO NOT PAY TARIFFS.
Reposted by iasmin goes
tabouchadi.bsky.social
Important insights against the “young men have it so bad now that they have to support the far right” narrative
jessicacalarco.com
Despite patriarchy's persistence, growing numbers of men believe they have it worse off than women. And, new research shows this "male victimhood" ideology is most common among men who aren't facing hardship. Which means what they're really feeling is status loss. 1/
www.psypost.org/male-victimh...
Male victimhood ideology driven by perceived status loss, not economic hardship, among Korean men
Research published in Sex Roles suggests that male victimhood ideology among South Korean men is driven more by perceived socioeconomic status decline rather than objective economic hardship.
www.psypost.org
Reposted by iasmin goes
jael.bsky.social
scoop: will oklahoma be the first state to ban renewable energy? its becoming increasingly likely.

as investments from the inflation reduction act flow into red states, we're seeing backlash. republicans are disliking renewables *more* than before.

cc @heatmap.news

heatmap.news/plus/the-fig...
The Growing Push to Ban Renewable Energy in Oklahoma
Will this renewable energy powerhouse become the first state to ban renewable energy?
heatmap.news
Reposted by iasmin goes
Reposted by iasmin goes
drlindseyfitz.bsky.social
With science falling under increasing attack, this medical historian is here to remind people of the power of vaccines. THREAD👇

Hard-hitting polio advert from 1958. In the first half of the 20th century, polio was the leading cause of death in children and young adults. 1/7 #history #skystorians
An advertisement for the polio vaccine which reads: "they all got vaccine except dad...don't take a chance...take your polio shots!" It depicts a photo of a family gathered around a father who is in an iron lung.
Reposted by iasmin goes
alphaville.ft.com
[Robbie Williams voice] "And through it all, it has kept paying interest" ... on.ft.com/3OQkmL1
Happy 400th birthday to the world’s oldest bond
🎂
on.ft.com
iasmingoes.bsky.social
I rewatched the prequels recently and they're surprisingly less terrible than I remembered
Reposted by iasmin goes
darinself.com
I really hate how many time's I've had to say this in the past month, but MAGA seems to want to become 1900s Argentina

Going into the 1900s Argentina was one of the wealthiest countries in the world - it has flatlined for over a century now due to terrible monetary & trade policies that Trump likes
darinself.com
The IMF's estimate is that Argentina saw its real GDP decrease 3.5% this past year.

As a comparison the US's real GDP decreased 2.6% in 2009 which was widely viewed as the largest economic catastrophe the US experienced since the Great Depression
Reposted by iasmin goes
sheraresearch.bsky.social
Gisèle Pelicot graces the cover of vogue Germany, on the International Day for the Elimination of Violence Against Women #16daysofactivism
Gisèle Pelicot graces the cover of vogue germany, on the International Day for the Elimination of Violence Against Women.
iasmingoes.bsky.social
Oh I totally agree with you that weak institutions don't explain the US election. I meant that Brazillian institutions are weak, newer, malleable, which might have allowed prosecutors to go after presidents (though I worry Brazil will become the new Peru and all ex-presidents will end up in jail)