Count of Monte Carlo
@jamaljulien.bsky.social
Doctoral Student in Earth Systems Science | Models & Morals
Pinned
Would you believe me if I said that environmentalists and military planners have a lot in common? Well for starters they both really care about weather.
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
Oh dude this Japanese House album rocked
December 19, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Oh dude this Japanese House album rocked
The Value of Learning as things change quickly
December 19, 2025 at 2:17 PM
The Value of Learning as things change quickly
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
A deep asymmetry between STEM and non-STEM (at the undergraduate level) is that in STEM, the amount of work and effort to be passable is quite high, while in the humanities it is as difficult if not more difficult to be brilliant, with very little needed to be passable.
With art, literature, etc there is really no such equivalent of "the circuits short out." You can spend an enormous amount of time, put your whole heart and soul in.....and it could still suck when you're done with it
May 26, 2025 at 1:36 AM
A deep asymmetry between STEM and non-STEM (at the undergraduate level) is that in STEM, the amount of work and effort to be passable is quite high, while in the humanities it is as difficult if not more difficult to be brilliant, with very little needed to be passable.
Trigonometry once again proves its relevance in another late night study of complex systems where sophisticated methods of playing with shapes is the only viable option for ascertaining order.
May 26, 2025 at 4:07 AM
Trigonometry once again proves its relevance in another late night study of complex systems where sophisticated methods of playing with shapes is the only viable option for ascertaining order.
Little bit of chaos (Brownian Motion)
May 25, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Little bit of chaos (Brownian Motion)
What’s a good tool to justify the cost of pessimism? open.substack.com/pub/jamaljul...
A very humble and modest reaction to Dawson et al.’s paper on the Economic Value of Climate Information in Adaptation Decisions (Ecological Economics, 2018)
What’s a good tool to justify the cost of pessimism?
open.substack.com
May 15, 2025 at 8:21 PM
What’s a good tool to justify the cost of pessimism? open.substack.com/pub/jamaljul...
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
There's a mean between hyping AI as something that changes everything and seeing it as a dystopian horrorscape.
It's a tool - it has capabilities and limitations. It's not a panacea and it's dumb to think that it's all upside or downside.
It's a tool - it has capabilities and limitations. It's not a panacea and it's dumb to think that it's all upside or downside.
May 14, 2025 at 2:14 PM
There's a mean between hyping AI as something that changes everything and seeing it as a dystopian horrorscape.
It's a tool - it has capabilities and limitations. It's not a panacea and it's dumb to think that it's all upside or downside.
It's a tool - it has capabilities and limitations. It's not a panacea and it's dumb to think that it's all upside or downside.
Would you believe me if I said that environmentalists and military planners have a lot in common? Well for starters they both really care about weather.
May 14, 2025 at 5:24 AM
Would you believe me if I said that environmentalists and military planners have a lot in common? Well for starters they both really care about weather.
I thought being on the talking apps would be a positive for my PhD but I clearly need to take time off and come back with a Substack
April 13, 2025 at 7:40 PM
I thought being on the talking apps would be a positive for my PhD but I clearly need to take time off and come back with a Substack
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
from "learn to code!" to "learn to put screws in iPhones!" in a few short years. really makes you think about Employable Skills
April 7, 2025 at 12:38 PM
from "learn to code!" to "learn to put screws in iPhones!" in a few short years. really makes you think about Employable Skills
Cheap Money.
This is what quitting an addiction cold turkey looks like. It sucks, it's awful, you feel that you won't survive(not unwarranted because you might die without supervision). We've been talking about this for a decade, maybe it'll shock us into sobriety.
This is what quitting an addiction cold turkey looks like. It sucks, it's awful, you feel that you won't survive(not unwarranted because you might die without supervision). We've been talking about this for a decade, maybe it'll shock us into sobriety.
April 7, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Cheap Money.
This is what quitting an addiction cold turkey looks like. It sucks, it's awful, you feel that you won't survive(not unwarranted because you might die without supervision). We've been talking about this for a decade, maybe it'll shock us into sobriety.
This is what quitting an addiction cold turkey looks like. It sucks, it's awful, you feel that you won't survive(not unwarranted because you might die without supervision). We've been talking about this for a decade, maybe it'll shock us into sobriety.
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
This is as if Chernobyl happened because the plant operators wanted to release delicious strontium to fertilize the crops.
April 7, 2025 at 11:22 AM
This is as if Chernobyl happened because the plant operators wanted to release delicious strontium to fertilize the crops.
When eating out gets too expensive don’t you cook at home?
you have to be genuinely stupid as fuck to think american companies are going to respond to tariffs by building factories and moving manufacturing to the US. i don't know how else to say it. you have to be genuinely braindead
April 5, 2025 at 2:40 AM
When eating out gets too expensive don’t you cook at home?
Princess Mononoke: Magical and tangible. In this world you can make a difference and still feel awe.
April 5, 2025 at 2:36 AM
Princess Mononoke: Magical and tangible. In this world you can make a difference and still feel awe.
Thank you for your input Satan. I’ll consult with St. Joseph and St. Joan about this.
The road to fascism is paved with bitches telling you “it’s not that serious”
April 5, 2025 at 1:59 AM
Thank you for your input Satan. I’ll consult with St. Joseph and St. Joan about this.
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
pronounces broccoli like E. coli
March 14, 2025 at 3:43 PM
pronounces broccoli like E. coli
The devil wears a suit and tie trying to sell you shit that’s not his
March 15, 2025 at 5:52 AM
The devil wears a suit and tie trying to sell you shit that’s not his
Methods Matter Most… there I said it. How you know what you know is more important than what you know.
January 26, 2025 at 3:57 PM
Methods Matter Most… there I said it. How you know what you know is more important than what you know.
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
Given the recent swarm of earthquakes and the significant ground movement that can be seen in Sentinel-1 interferograms, I wonder if any new rifting has occurred that is visible in high-res optical imagery.
January 3, 2025 at 11:42 PM
Given the recent swarm of earthquakes and the significant ground movement that can be seen in Sentinel-1 interferograms, I wonder if any new rifting has occurred that is visible in high-res optical imagery.
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
On the importance of history.
The coup d’æil (or professional judgment) is the ability to tell instances apart. It’s the ability to recognise patterns.
It is also a trained ability that requires a repertoire of historical cases.
Theory is not enough.
#PME #polsky #civmilsky
The coup d’æil (or professional judgment) is the ability to tell instances apart. It’s the ability to recognise patterns.
It is also a trained ability that requires a repertoire of historical cases.
Theory is not enough.
#PME #polsky #civmilsky
Sometimes you’re in the Cuban missile crisis, sometimes you’re at Munich. Statesmanship is (to echo Clausewitz) having the coup d'œil to tell what situation you are in and whether your opponent can be managed or must be defeated.
Mere performance of “responsible” behavior is not enough.
Mere performance of “responsible” behavior is not enough.
January 1, 2025 at 9:50 AM
On the importance of history.
The coup d’æil (or professional judgment) is the ability to tell instances apart. It’s the ability to recognise patterns.
It is also a trained ability that requires a repertoire of historical cases.
Theory is not enough.
#PME #polsky #civmilsky
The coup d’æil (or professional judgment) is the ability to tell instances apart. It’s the ability to recognise patterns.
It is also a trained ability that requires a repertoire of historical cases.
Theory is not enough.
#PME #polsky #civmilsky
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
What's the reading-ease score of NATO #doctrine?
AJP-01 (ch1) sits around 25, rendering it "very difficult to read, best understood by university graduates."
When most NATO members don't have English as their first language, hard-to-read doctrine (and operational orders!) is a real problem.
AJP-01 (ch1) sits around 25, rendering it "very difficult to read, best understood by university graduates."
When most NATO members don't have English as their first language, hard-to-read doctrine (and operational orders!) is a real problem.
Over the past 80 years, academic writing has become substantially harder to read 📉🧪 www.economist.com/science-and-... I analysed 350k PhD thesis abstracts and found that they've become more complex in every discipline, especially the humanities and social sciences
December 22, 2024 at 11:12 AM
What's the reading-ease score of NATO #doctrine?
AJP-01 (ch1) sits around 25, rendering it "very difficult to read, best understood by university graduates."
When most NATO members don't have English as their first language, hard-to-read doctrine (and operational orders!) is a real problem.
AJP-01 (ch1) sits around 25, rendering it "very difficult to read, best understood by university graduates."
When most NATO members don't have English as their first language, hard-to-read doctrine (and operational orders!) is a real problem.
Reposted by Count of Monte Carlo
There's this thing where you can read a really nice article and the fundamental misunderstanding of your niche field just makes you grind your teeth throughout it:
The Problem of Stability: Military Strategy in a Non-Newtonian Universe - Military Strategy Magazine
Although most of our strategic thinking pays lip service to the unstable nature of the environment in which strategy must operate, our strategies usually fail to account for that nature in any meaning...
www.militarystrategymagazine.com
December 22, 2024 at 12:14 PM
There's this thing where you can read a really nice article and the fundamental misunderstanding of your niche field just makes you grind your teeth throughout it: