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AEA Journals @aeajournals.bsky.social · 16d

Forthcoming in the AER: "The Opportunity Atlas: Mapping the Childhood Roots of Social Mobility" by Raj Chetty, John N. Friedman, Nathaniel Hendren, Maggie R. Jones, and Sonya R. Porter. www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

The Opportunity Atlas: Mapping the Childhood Roots of Social Mobility

(Forthcoming Article) - We construct a public atlas of mean outcomes in adulthood by childhood Census tract. Outcomes vary sharply across neighborhoods: for children whose parents earn $27,000, the st...

www.aeaweb.org

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Jan P. Vogler @janvogler.bsky.social · Sep 9

🚨 The Virtual Workshop in Historical Political Economy is back! 🚨

For the new academic year, we have an amazing line up of papers for you!

In our inaugural session 2 HPE superstars will join us: @annagbusse.bsky.social (Stanford) will present & @jvoth.bsky.social (Zurich) discuss! I can't wait. 😀

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Dani Rodrik @drodrik.bsky.social · May 22

Three things made the US a rich and powerful nation: the rule of law, its science & innovation system, and openness to foreign talent. Remarkable how Trump has taken a sledgehammer to all three. No enemy of this country could do more.

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AEA Information @aeainformation.bsky.social · Apr 22

Congratulations to Stefanie Stantcheva (@s-stantcheva.bsky.social) of @harvard.edu, winner of the 2025 John Bates Clark Medal! #econsky www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...

Stefanie Stantcheva, Clark Medalist 2025

www.aeaweb.org

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The Quarterly Journal of Economics @qjeharvard.bsky.social · Apr 4

Recently accepted by #QJE, “Structural Estimation Under Misspecification: Theory and Implications for Practice,” by Andrews, Barahona (@nanobarahona.bsky.social), Gentzkow, Rambachan (@asheshrambachan.bsky.social), and Shapiro: doi.org/10.1093/qje/...

Structural Estimation Under Misspecification: Theory and Implications for Practice*

Abstract. A researcher can use a tightly parameterized structural model to obtain internally consistent estimates of a wide range of economically interesti

doi.org

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Augustin Bergeron @abergeron.bsky.social · Mar 23

Given the current political news, this may not be top of mind, but my co-authors and I are looking for French-speaking RAs to join projects in the DRC that study the role of state capacity in economic development.

1-year predoc: povertyactionlab.org/careers/pred...

Predoctoral Field-Based Research Associate (One Year) – Democratic Republic of Congo, UC Berkeley | The Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab

povertyactionlab.org

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Vincent Pons @vinpons.bsky.social · Mar 4

Our paper "Coordination and Incumbency Advantage in Multi-Party Systems—Evidence from French Elections" is now forthcoming @jeeanews.bsky.social !! 👇👇
Short 🧵on what we do and find, with K. Dano, @francescoferlenga.bsky.social, @vingalasso.bsky.social, and @clpennec.bsky.social (1/10).

jeeanews.bsky.social @jeeanews.bsky.social · Mar 3

Forthcoming article by Kevin Dano @francescoferlenga.bsky.social @vingalasso.bsky.social @clpennec.bsky.social and @vinpons.bsky.social "Coordination and Incumbency Advantage in Multi-Party Systems - Evidence from French Elections" @eeanews.bsky.social

doi.org/10.1093/jeea...

Coordination and Incumbency Advantage in Multi-Party Systems—Evidence from French Elections

Abstract. Free and fair elections should incentivize elected officials to exert effort and enable citizens to select representative politicians and occasio

doi.org

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Adam Bonica @adambonica.bsky.social · Feb 20

The DOGE firings have nothing to do with “efficiency” or “cutting waste.” They’re a direct push to weaken federal agencies perceived as liberal. This was evident from the start, and now the data confirms it: targeted agencies overwhelmingly those seen as more left-leaning. 🧵⬇️

Scatterplot titled “Empirical Evidence of Ideological Targeting in Federal Layoffs: Agencies seen as liberal are significantly more likely to face DOGE layoffs.”
• The x-axis represents Perceived Ideological Leaning of federal agencies, ranging from -2 (Most Liberal) to +2 (Most Conservative), based on survey responses from over 1,500 federal executives.
• The y-axis shows Agency Size (Number of Staff) on a logarithmic scale from 1,000 to 1,000,000.

Each point represents a federal agency:
• Red dots indicate agencies that experienced DOGE layoffs.
• Gray dots indicate agencies with no layoffs.

Key Observations:
• Liberal-leaning agencies (left side of the plot) are disproportionately represented among red dots, indicating higher layoff rates.
• Notable targeted agencies include:
• HHS (Health & Human Services)
• EPA (Environmental Protection Agency)
• NIH (National Institutes of Health)
• CFPB (Consumer Financial Protection Bureau)
• Dept. of Education
• USAID (U.S. Agency for International Development)
• The National Nuclear Security Administration (DOE), despite its conservative leaning (+1 on the scale), is an exception among targeted agencies.
• A notable outlier: the Department of Veterans Affairs (moderately conservative) also faced layoffs despite its size.

Takeaway:

The figure visually demonstrates that DOGE layoffs disproportionately targeted liberal-leaning agencies, supporting claims of ideological bias. The pattern reveals that layoffs were not driven by agency size or budget alone but were strongly associated with perceived ideology.

Source: Richardson, Clinton, & Lewis (2018). Elite Perceptions of Agency Ideology and Workforce Skill. The Journal of Politics, 80(1).

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Julius Kölzer @juliusk.bsky.social · Feb 17

Publication alert @pvs-journal.bsky.social! In a new research note, @marcdebus.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social and I investigate how past support for far-right extremist parties shaped the AfD's electoral success in the 2024 European elections.
A thread 🧵. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Alte Wurzeln, neue Wurzeln? Zum Einfluss früherer rechtsradikaler Unterstützung auf den AfD-Wahlerfolg bei der Europawahl 2024 - Politische Vierteljahresschrift

Despite ongoing legal proceedings and the classification as right-wing extremists by state domestic intelligence services, the AfD was able to make considerable gains in Germany’s last European electi...

link.springer.com

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Claire Adida @claireadida.bsky.social · Feb 13

Fascinating paper: partisan segregation is not due to sorting/migration. Counties trending Democratic tend to so because of generational change; Counties trending Republican tend to do so because of party switching.

www.nber.org/papers/w33422

Causes and Extent of Increasing Partisan Segregation in the U.S. – Evidence from Migration Patterns of 212 Million Voters

Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

www.nber.org

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POLECONUK Webinar @poleconukinar.bsky.social · Feb 13

🔜 POLECONUK Webinar is back on 10 March! Our first talk is by Bård Harstad (Stanford, @bardharstad.bsky.social) presenting "The Politics of Global Public Goods". For details visit us at: sites.google.com/view/polecon...

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Ashesh Rambachan @asheshrambachan.bsky.social · Feb 13

Excited to spend the day at the NBER Digital Economics and AI Meeting!

I'll be presenting this paper on LLMs and empirical research: www.nber.org/papers/w33344

Full lineup of the conference: www.nber.org/conferences/...

Digital Economics and AI Meeting, Spring 2025

www.nber.org

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Peter Hull @instrumenthull.bsky.social · Feb 13

Our practical guide to shift-share IV is now out in the JEP!

www.aeaweb.org/issues/793

(Ungated version: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/el9yn...)

Journal of Economic Perspectives

Vol. 39 No. 1 Winter 2025

www.aeaweb.org

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Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham @paulgp.com · Jan 30

Holy forking shirt balls

"Denial of a wanted abortion has both immediate and lasting effects. It increases a woman’s risk of death by 2.5 p.p within nine months, mainly due to unsafe abortion procedures, and raises the likelihood of carrying the pregnancy to term by 31 p.p. "

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Francesc Amat @cescamat.bsky.social · Jan 29

📢 Workshop Call 📢

3d Edition of the Yale-UB Historical Political Economy Workshop

Keynote: "Revolutionary Contagion" by Saumitra Jha and Steven Wilkinson

At University of Barcelona @ub.edu on June 30 and July 1, 2025

Send us your papers by Febr 28: shorturl.at/w96jk

@didacqueralt.bsky.social

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Chris Blattman @chrisblattman.bsky.social · Jan 27

Come work for me at UChicago @beckerfriedman.bsky.social ! I'm hiring a full-time pre-doc to start this April/May/June for data analysis on crime, education, mental health, and organized crime, mostly on projects in Latin America. Details & apply here: job-boards.greenhouse.io/universityof...

Research Professional – Christopher Blattman (Full-Time, Benefits Eligible)

Chicago, IL

job-boards.greenhouse.io

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Shengwu Li @shengwuli.bsky.social · Jan 22

I did a NYT video interview—along with voices from Hungary, Nicaragua, and Russia— about how repression works in authoritarian states.

www.nytimes.com/video/opinio...

Video: Opinion | How Tyranny Begins

Tyranny doesn’t happen overnight. Take it from the people who missed the first signs.

www.nytimes.com

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Daniel Ziblatt @dziblatt.bsky.social · Jan 22

As we enter the new year, our work & conversations at Harvard's Center for European Studies are zeroing in on understanding the disruptive forces remaking Europe & the broader Transatlantic world in deeply unsettling times. We have an exciting lineup. Please join us & mark your calendars.

Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies @europeatharvard.bsky.social · Jan 19

We have many new events on Europe lined up this semester. Check out our calendar for February. ces.fas.harvard.edu/events

Michael Ignatieff and Daniel Ziblatt in discussion

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Joseph E. Stiglitz @josephestiglitz.bsky.social · Jan 21

My latest piece for @projectsyndicate.bsky.social: www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/t...

The End of Progress? | by Joseph E. Stiglitz - Project Syndicate

Joseph E. Stiglitz predicts that Donald Trump’s second administration will be defined by its rejection of Enlightenment values.

www.project-syndicate.org

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Ben Golub @bengolub.bsky.social · Jan 17

PLEASE RT :)

Submit to the annual Network Science and Economics Conference, the largest US event for network theory and empirical research in and adjacent to economics

Deadline Jan 30 (soon!)

Conference Apr 11-13 at Stanford

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Joshua Weidmann @joshuaweidmann.bsky.social · Jan 17

Now with Ethan Bueno de Mesquita instead of Will Howell, right?

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Keith Schnakenberg @keithschnak.bsky.social · Jan 14

We are having our second annual formal theory conference at WashU for graduate students and postdocs working on formal models in political science. Please consider applying or passing this information to someone who might want to apply!

Call for Papers: 2025 Washington University Conference for Early Career Scholars in Theoretical Political Economy

The Department of Political Science at Washington University in St. Louis will host a conference for early-career scholars working on formal theories of politics. The conference will be held on campus at Washington University on April 18, 2025.

If you are a current PhD student or postdoctoral fellow working in formal theory or political economic theory, please apply to present by emailing your paper to me (keschnak@wustl.edu) by February 15, 2025. We will cover travel and lodging for paper presenters.

Additionally, if you are a faculty member interested in attending or serving as a discussant, please feel free to contact me.

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APSA @apsa.bsky.social · Jan 14

APSA Mentoring Program – Enroll Now for Spring 2025

Spring enrollment for the APSA Mentoring Program will be open from January 13 – January 27, 2025. The Mentoring Program connects undergraduate, graduate students, and junior faculty from all backgrounds to mentors in the political science…

APSA Mentoring Program – Enroll Now for Spring 2025

Spring enrollment for the APSA Mentoring Program will be open from January 13 – January 27, 2025. The Mentoring Program connects undergraduate, graduate students, and junior faculty from all backgrounds to mentors in the political science discipline. Potential mentoring topics include graduate school admissions, navigating the academic job market, applied careers in political science, and work-life balance. Find a Mentor…

politicalsciencenow.com

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Joshua Weidmann @joshuaweidmann.bsky.social · Jan 14

When will we get to know which one you guys picked? 😉