jraymond18.bsky.social
@jraymond18.bsky.social
Knitter, baseball fan, avid traveler. Lifelong Democrat.
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"So, no, the BLS is not incompetent, and it does not have an easy job at all. The reasons for revisions are incredibly boring and technical and have nothing to do with politics or ideology. Or at least they didn’t, until the president fired the BLS commish because he didn’t like the jobs numbers."
Why Counting Jobs Is Really, Really Hard | National Review
The reasons for revisions in jobs numbers are incredibly boring and technical and have nothing to do with politics or ideology.
www.nationalreview.com
August 3, 2025 at 12:45 PM
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Tomorrow, as we enjoy our #July4 BBQ, remember farm workers are harvesting in sweltering in dangerous heat - while being terrorized by ICE.

Today's highs are projected at:
Arvin CA 105°
Fresno CA 103°
Coachella CA 105°
Yuma AZ 105°

#WeFeedYou
July 3, 2025 at 6:52 PM
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July 1, 2025 at 6:12 PM
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Dems future and that of the country will be to tap into the reactions of real people to Trump’s brutal policies. It is the stories of real people and their anger that will end MAGA. Not a politician. Not an army of consultants. The simple fact that what Trump’s doing is so cruel and costly.
July 1, 2025 at 6:16 PM
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Once again, this is all nonsense
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent tells CBS that the tax bill won't increase the deficit because:
- Tariffs will bring in $2 trillion
- Admin will find $1 trillion in "savings" (presumably DOGE-style)
- Trump has a "prescription drug plan with the pharmaceutical companies" that will save another $1t
June 1, 2025 at 3:57 PM
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Your regular reminder that the entire global economy is subject to the whipsaw whims of a person who doesn’t understand how the global economy works
May 23, 2025 at 12:38 PM
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Never in the history of taxes and or tax cuts has there been a tax cut that has paid for itself. And yet the GOP keeps saying it and people keep believing it.
New analysis from the Joint Committee on Taxation (CBO, but for taxes) on whether the tax parts of the GOP bill pay for themselves.

No shit, JCT says absolutely not.

Under a conventional score, the tax parts cost $3.8 trillion. When you include the macrodynamic impact, they cost.... $3.7 trillion.
May 22, 2025 at 10:05 PM
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I just really need everybody to understand that everything that’s happening in and to the global economy now (and all the businesses and people in it) is the entirely predictable result of the intentional decisions of one guy who doesn’t understand how the global economy works.
May 10, 2025 at 2:53 PM
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*Of course* advance information on US combat operations is classified. Pretending otherwise is an insult to our troops, who all know this.

The Secretary is unfit to lead.
April 21, 2025 at 12:01 AM
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“The death of human empathy is one of the earliest and most telling signs of a culture about to fall into barbarism.”

Hannah Arendt
April 18, 2025 at 9:10 PM
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Trump is talking about shuttering publications and networks he disagrees with. He's talking about deporting and imprisoning Americans who dissent. This is unprecedented and undemocratic.

Wake up America.
April 14, 2025 at 5:45 PM
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Donald Trump is deporting legal US residents to a foreign gulag, and he has stated publicly that he is moving on to citizens next. This is a Constitutional crisis. Will a single Republican stand up for our Constitution?
April 14, 2025 at 9:01 PM
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There is no plan
Trump sent his cabinet to the Sunday shows to reassure, and they said the tariffs are permanent/being negotiated, strategic/across the board and will fix the trade deficit/manufacturing/national defense/toe fungus.

Collectively they made it clear there's no plan beyond one man's whims.
Every Cabinet member has different, contradictory talking points about supposed purpose of these tariffs.
Are they a negotiating tactic? Are they instead permanent, because we need them to raise revenue/boost US manufacturing?
Are they designed to return us to 1790s lifestyles & living standards?
April 7, 2025 at 2:19 AM
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Hosting the Olympics and World Cup are going to be impossible. What athlete in their right mind would risk coming to the US now?
Head coach of MMA Australian team Renato Subotic arrived in the US to teach a seminar. Instead he said he was detained at the border: "No clear explanation, no chance to talk to anyone, no rights. They handcuffed me, put me in a car, and drove me to federal prison."
www.news.com.au/sport/boxing...
www.news.com.au
April 6, 2025 at 8:53 PM
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April 6, 2025 at 8:21 PM
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The admin officials talking about using tariffs to return manufacturing to the US a.) do not know anything about trade, b.) do not understand how tariffs work, c.) do not understand how global supply chains work, d.) do not understand what a modest percentage of overall output, trade or jobs...
April 4, 2025 at 9:32 PM
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I was thinking that none of those numbers made sense, but holy fuck this is insane
April 2, 2025 at 11:45 PM
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The fascists are worse than the capitulators. But to defeat the fascists we have to get rid of the capitulators too. So-called leaders who choose the path of least resistance empower the wannabe despots. Call 'em out, oppose 'em, where possible remove 'em, where effective find ways to pressure them.
March 29, 2025 at 6:49 PM
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This is going to be the vibe coding version of the Chernobyl disaster, a wholly preventable failure caused by a combination of hubris, incompetence and design flaws.
March 29, 2025 at 9:40 PM
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Fact check - true
* MEXICAN PRESIDENT SHEINBAUM: WITHIN A FREE TRADE AGREEMENT, THERE SHOULD NOT BE TARIFFS

@reuters.com
March 27, 2025 at 1:55 PM
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Plain clothes, unmarked cars, pulling people off the street. Gestapo shit.
March 27, 2025 at 2:57 AM
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If these men had any sense of honor, they would already have resigned. The fact that they are all still in their jobs is just as damning as their terrifying and lawless incompetence.
March 25, 2025 at 12:43 PM
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The US doesn't have a super international track record during the past few decades. But no admin until now has ever made the bold choice to make clusterfuckery the central organizing principle of their foreign policy. (Well, that and, well, corruption, deceit, cruelty and service to our enemies.)
March 24, 2025 at 9:08 PM
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Your regular reminder that no tax cut in the history of tax cuts has ever paid for itself.
(Punchbowl) - Extending the 2017 Trump tax cuts would boost the national debt by almost 50% when measured as a percentage of GDP and increase the deficit by around $4 trillion, according to a new Congressional Budget Office analysis.

@punchbowlnews.bsky.social
punchbowl.news/article/fina...
CBO: Extending Trump tax cuts would boost deficit, debt
The analysis comes as Senate Republicans are set to huddle with the Senate parliamentarian’s office to get guidance on the “current policy baseline.”
punchbowl.news
March 21, 2025 at 9:26 PM
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We kept saying trumps second term will be worse and it is. But honestly, I get no pleasure from being right. It’s so soul crushing to watch how stupid everything is.
March 21, 2025 at 12:31 PM