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Kyiv4ever
@kyiv4ever.bsky.social
Economist. Former banker. Ukrainian. Coffee&Cats person.
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👀👀👀
January 27, 2026 at 9:59 PM
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Anyone surprised by this story has been living in a fantasy world. Since Jan 2025, the Trump administration has been using lots of different tactics to force Ukraine to commit strategic suicide. This is just the latest.
The real story is that people have not grasped this reality.
January 27, 2026 at 9:37 AM
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Can't help but feel the quote marks are in the wrong place
January 24, 2026 at 5:30 PM
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Everything Trump says here is verifiably untrue. During this period of time the number of US installations on Greenland went from 17 to 1 as a result of US determinations that they were not needed.
Trump: "NATO has been telling Denmark, for 20 years, that “you have to get the Russian threat away from Greenland.” Unfortunately, Denmark has been unable to do anything about it. Now it is time, and it will be done!!! President Donald J. Trump"
January 19, 2026 at 4:14 AM
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Russia's full scale war against Ukraine, which Moscow started on 24th February of 2022, lasts now exactly as long as the German-Soviet war in WW2, exactly 1,418 days.
January 11, 2026 at 3:50 PM
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It's New Year, so time to look back and forward. These are 10 things I think we need to recognise in 2026. It’s a response to what I think are profoundly damaging mistaken assumptions I’ve heard and read from practitioners, journalists, and analysts in 2025. Warning: very long🧵
January 1, 2026 at 4:55 PM
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On the last day of 2025, I tried to sum up in this free piece the big stories of the year. Boil it down, however, and one story surpasses all others, be that for the Russo-Ukraine war or global geopolitics overall.
2025 was the year when the USA changed sides

open.substack.com/pub/phillips...
2025 In Review: The Year The US Changed Sides
Amongst many stories, one stands out
open.substack.com
December 31, 2025 at 9:41 AM
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We put Putin's 19 December speech next to Hitler's 1939 Reichstag address.

Seven steps. Same sequence. Same wording.

"I wanted peace." "They rejected everything." "I was forced to act."
December 20, 2025 at 4:38 PM
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We have a deal.

Decision to provide 90 billion euros of support to Ukraine for 2026-27 approved.

We committed, we delivered.
December 19, 2025 at 1:56 AM
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If the US can seize a Venezuelan tanker carrying sanctioned oil, then can other tankers in other places, say the Baltic or the Black Sea, also be seized?
December 11, 2025 at 12:37 AM
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Europe is under siege
Europe is under siege
Menaced by Russia and China, abandoned by America.
www.noahpinion.blog
December 7, 2025 at 10:10 AM
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Ukraine received almost no US government aid in 2025 with all support coming from Europe and other countries, Kiel Institute tracker shows.

www.kielinstitut.de/topics/war-a...
December 5, 2025 at 1:38 PM
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Thread on the huge shift in US policy towards Russia visible in the new National Security Strategy - the biggest change since the collapse of the USSR. 🧵
December 5, 2025 at 2:25 PM
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One thing that is not getting enough attention is that Trump has normalized the idea of the United States supporting the transfer of territory and millions of people from a democracy to a dictatorship.
The ending of freedom for millions is now the official US position.
November 24, 2025 at 3:27 PM
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1/ What a Russian breaking of the ceasefire will look like, step by step.

There are far better experts on this, but I was an Australian diplomat in Ukraine in 2014 so I've seen this play out up close.

So join me, brothers and sisters, as we count down to a fullscale re-invasion.
November 21, 2025 at 2:23 PM
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Some notable things in what's being called the "Trump peace plan" but which could not have been more clearly written in Moscow if it came with a 2 for 1 deal on tickets to the Bolshoi Ballet. 🧵
November 21, 2025 at 10:06 AM
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Kherson streets covered with anti-drone nets.
November 16, 2025 at 12:34 PM
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Good morning readers; Kyiv remains in Ukrainian hands.

In the towns near Ukraine's frontline, Russian FPV drones hunt civilians, a new tactic called a "human safari".

Yana, who lives in Kherson, regularly sees these drones and the damage they cause.
Russia’s disturbing human ‘safaris’
Violating the laws of war, Russians have created a sick game of hunting civilians with FPV drones near the frontline. We take you behind the scenes, to the people most affected.
www.counteroffensive.news
November 10, 2025 at 2:46 PM
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Dear Europe, especially Germany,

Stop obsessing over what Trump will or won’t do. Hoping & praying America will step up so we don’t have to is dangerously stupid.

Step up yourself, destroy Russia’s war economy, & give Ukraine what they need to win.

Europe must defend Europe.
October 18, 2025 at 2:29 PM
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Phase one involved taking no action against Russia for the first 8 months of the Trump presidency. Phase two will involve taking no action against Russia for the remaining 3 years and 4 months of the Trump presidency.
September 7, 2025 at 6:47 PM
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Following my EU "Wall of Shame" post this weekend, I got a lot of requests to add countries. This "Wall of Shame" adds the Baltics, Sweden, Finland and France. Countries in orange have cracked down on transshipments to Russia via Kyrgyzstan. Countries in blue keep looking the other way for 3 years.
August 26, 2025 at 4:02 PM
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The Pentagon is blocking Ukraine from using long-range missiles to hit Russian military targets.
No wonder Putin still thinks he can win the war
www.wsj.com/politics/nat...
Exclusive | Pentagon Has Quietly Blocked Ukraine’s Long-Range Missile Strikes on Russia
The Defense Department has withheld approval for attacks as the White House has sought to entice Moscow to open peace talks.
www.wsj.com
August 24, 2025 at 3:36 AM
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⚡️Pentagon has quietly barred Ukrainian long-range strikes in Russia with US missiles, WSJ reports.
Pentagon has quietly barred Ukrainian long-range strikes in Russia with US missiles, WSJ reports
The U.S. has quietly implemented a review process giving Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth authority to approve Ukrainian long-range strikes inside Russia with American missiles, effectively blocking str...
kyivindependent.com
August 23, 2025 at 10:35 PM
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To my opinion, the Rutte-doctrine of being nice to Trump has failed. we need to look into ways to wack the American mule. Hard.
Economic, financial, pressure, and if necessary deterrence.
July 4, 2025 at 11:29 AM
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Ukraine's eminent former defense minister Andriy Zagorodnyuk has published an outstanding article on a Ukrainian victory:
1. No end in sight: Russia wants to continue.
2. Ukraine needs to nullify Russia's war aims by building a successful nation.
carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
Ukraine’s New Theory of Victory Should be Strategic Neutralization
By ensuring that Russia’s war is operationally pointless, Ukraine can survive, adapt, and achieve success, no matter how prolonged the war.
carnegieendowment.org
June 24, 2025 at 2:18 PM