Matthew Frear
banner
mattchik.bsky.social
Matthew Frear
@mattchik.bsky.social
Assistant Professor, Leiden University. Russian and Eurasian Studies, including 🇧🇾🇺🇦
Pinned
A chapter from me on Belarus in an edited volume on Personalism and Personalist Regimes, just in time for upcoming elections! global.oup.com/academic/pro...
Reposted by Matthew Frear
Venezuela may seem like a tactical loss for Russia, but in fact it's a strategic win for Putin's vision of the world. new essay:
hegemon.substack.com/p/venezuela-...
Venezuela Is a Gift to Putin
and a harbinger of more Russian aggression in Europe
hegemon.substack.com
January 3, 2026 at 6:52 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
How Putin will threaten the UK in 2026

My take for @theipaper.com. Not the more fashionable, exciting and, for me, implausible suggestions of a direct military threat, but the more indirect challenges, regardless of whatever happens over Ukraine

inews.co.uk/news/world/h...
How Putin will threaten the UK in 2026
We must brace ourselves for plenty of Britain-bashing by the Kremlin and a growing escalation of its shadow campaign
inews.co.uk
December 29, 2025 at 8:47 AM
Pretty full house at www.splendoramsterdam.com/agenda/11159... Quite a few vyahyvankas and embroidery on show 🇺🇦
Carol of the bells! - Splendor
Midden in het centrum van Amsterdam vind je Splendor: meer dan 10 jaar geleden verzonnen en opgericht door 50 muzikanten die behoefte hadden aan een eigen, onafhankelijke plek om te verzinnen, maken, ...
www.splendoramsterdam.com
December 28, 2025 at 2:51 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
The hill I will die on: Faux Cyrillic is a load of old crдp | Viv Groskop
The hill I will die on: Faux Cyrillic is a load of old crдp | Viv Groskop
To the designers of film posters, I suppose it looks cleverly exotic – but there are 250 million readers of Cyrillic globally, and its misuse grinds our gears, says comedian and author Viv Groskop
www.theguardian.com
December 28, 2025 at 8:53 AM
Thinking of Odesa, where I lived for a few years in the late 1990s. Слава Україні 🇺🇦
December 22, 2025 at 9:47 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
The future of the Belarus track will depend on whether the EU can move beyond symbolic unity and adopt a strategic approach toward a neighbor central to Europe’s security architecture, argues Balázs Jarábik.
Belarus at the Border: The Limits of Reengagement
The future of the Belarus track will depend less on Minsk’s intentions than on whether the EU can move beyond symbolic unity and adopt a strategic approach toward a neighbor central to Europe’s securi...
carnegieendowment.org
December 22, 2025 at 8:17 AM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
How has Russia's full-scale invasion transformed the distribution of people, capital, infrastructure, and political influence within Ukraine? Mariya Levonova and Balázs Jarábik unpack what regional disparities mean for postwar reconstruction: carnegieendowment.org/research/202...
Ukraine’s Regional Shift: Realignments in Wartime and Beyond
Regional disparities in investment, labor markets, and government transparency mean that regional development will be a key feature of Ukraine’s postwar future.
carnegieendowment.org
December 18, 2025 at 4:48 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
Terwijl internationale media zich richtten op de vrijlating van 123 politieke gevangenen in Belarus, vierden staatsmedia in Minsk vooral een economische overwinning. De amnestie blijkt wisselgeld voor een versoepeling van Amerikaanse sancties.

platformraam.nl/in-het-kort/...
Belarus ruilt gevangenen voor sanctieverlichting: ‘We zijn terug in de middeleeuwen’
Bij Raam op Rusland vindt u altijd het laatste nieuws over Rusland, Oekraïne en de voormalige Sovjet-Unie. Ga naar de site voor het nieuws van vandaag.
platformraam.nl
December 16, 2025 at 9:40 AM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
Met de vrijlating van 123 Wit-Russische politieke gevangenen in ruil voor sanctieverlichting hoopt dictator Loekasjenko het internationale isolement te doorbreken. Maar hij stuurt ze niet voor niets meteen de grens over. buff.ly/pmBS4kz
Na vrijlating Wit-Russische gevangenen: ‘Voor Loekasjenko is er maar een weg naar de vrijheid en die loopt via het buitenland’
Wit-Rusland: Met de vrijlating van 123 Wit-Russische politieke gevangenen in ruil voor sanctieverlichting hoopt dictator Loekasjenko het internationale isolement te doorbreken. Maar hij stuurt ze…
buff.ly
December 15, 2025 at 5:03 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
On Russian state TV tonight, a headline (until recently) you wouldn't have expected to see. "USA-EU: Cold War." Moscow clearly enjoying tensions between Washington & Brussels, as well as the new US national security strategy that's more critical of the EU than of Russia.
December 14, 2025 at 5:15 PM
First press conference of Belarusian political prisoners released to Ukraine last week 🇧🇾https://news.zerkalo.io/economics/115870.html
Рассказываем главное с первой пресс-конференции Виктора Бабарико, Марии Колесниковой, Александра Федуты и Владимира Лабковича
«О том, что мы находимся в Украине, я узнавал только по вынужденным стоянкам и с точки зрения ориентации по солнцу», — рассказал Виктор Бабарико.
news.zerkalo.io
December 14, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
⚡️ Belarus contacted Ukrainian intelligence to offer release of political prisoners via Ukraine, Zelensky says.

Zelensky said Ukrainian military intelligence (HUR) chief Kyrylo Budanov informed him Belarus preferred this option over releasing the prisoners via "this or that EU country."
Belarus contacted Ukrainian intelligence to offer release of political prisoners via Ukraine, Zelensky says
Zelensky said Ukrainian military intelligence (HUR) chief Kyrylo Budanov informed him Belarus preferred this option over releasing the prisoners via "this or that EU country."
kyivindependent.com
December 14, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
Belarus laat politieke gevangenen vrij, in ruil voor minder Amerikaanse sancties
Belarus laat politieke gevangenen vrij, in ruil voor minder Amerikaanse sancties
Het is de tweede keer in een paar maanden tijd dat Belarus leden van de oppositie vrijlaat.
nos.nl
December 13, 2025 at 2:01 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
⚡️ Ales Bialiatski is free! ⚡️

The #NobelPeacePrize laureate and founder of Viasna spent over 4 years behind bars for his peaceful human rights work. Belarusian authorities had already imprisoned him once before — he then served almost 3 years.

#FreeViasna #FreeAles #FreeThemAll
December 13, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
As the Trump admin eases sanctions on Belarus, Lukashenko is arresting more political prisoners than he frees, warns veteran opposition politician Andrei Sannikov. Listen to our full conversation on @meduza.io’s podcast now! meduza.io/en/episodes/...
Andrei Sannikov on Lukashenko’s latest gambit — and why the West keeps taking the bait — Meduza
Belarusian pro-democracy activist Andrei Sannikov recently joined Beet editor Eilish Hart for a conversation recorded on the sidelines of the Halifax International Security Forum. The interview focuse...
meduza.io
December 8, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
In aflevering acht van Station Kyiv nemen we polshoogte in Oekraïne, waar de druk van alle kanten voelbaar is: aan het front maar ook zeker daarachter, zowel militair als diplomatiek. Te gast is voormalig topdiplomaat Robert Serry.

platformraam.nl/podcast/2948...
Station Kyiv #S1E8: De strijd aan de onderhandelingstafel
RAAM – op Rusland, Oekraïne en Belarus. Platform voor kennis, analyse en debat.
platformraam.nl
December 3, 2025 at 3:40 PM
A discussion with local analysts why an agreement over Ukraine might be good for Lukashenka but bad for Belarusian society 🇧🇾https://news.zerkalo.io/economics/114417.html
«Может сложиться наихудший из сценариев». Аналитик об опасностях для Беларуси (но не Лукашенко) в случае если РФ и Украина договорятся
«Мы можем подойти к ситуации, в которой это беларусским демсилам надо стараться заявить о себе, а не Лукашенко».
news.zerkalo.io
November 27, 2025 at 6:08 PM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
How Britain replaced the US as Russia’s villain of choice
How Britain replaced the US as Russia’s villain of choice
London and Moscow’s rivalry stretches back to the imperial era, but the Ukraine war has brought relations to a new low
www.theguardian.com
November 16, 2025 at 6:51 AM
Reposted by Matthew Frear
The problem of succession is the most critical question for Russia’s regime. But it is not solely one of who replaces Putin himself. It is also a question of succession across most of Russia’s sprawling imperium of institutional offices.
ridl.io/russia-s-sec...
Russia’s Securitized Boomerism – Riddle Russia
Julian G. Waller discusses the problem of generational sclerosis within Russia’s elite and new efforts at belated reform
ridl.io
November 10, 2025 at 1:20 PM