Natalie
natalievotes.bsky.social
Natalie
@natalievotes.bsky.social
PhD student, political strategist, Pol Sci researcher & scientist-practitioner: US election law • voting rights • Latino vote • Pol Psych (intergroup relations) • quant methods
Woooooo!!!! Yeeeaaahhhh!!!
December 12, 2025 at 8:30 AM
Reposted by Natalie
Excellent stuff from @sifill.bsky.social. "The assault on the 14th Amendment has not generated the kind of moral panic that politicians, journalists, and tech bros successfully created over their claims of First Amendment abuses several years ago..."
sherrilyn.substack.com/p/is-it-too-...
December 11, 2025 at 3:33 PM
Reposted by Natalie
Judge Xinis grants habeas for Abrego Garcia, ordering him released from ICE custody immediately.
storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...
Memorandum Opinion – #110 in Abrego Garcia v. Noem (D. Maryland, 8:25-cv-02780) – CourtListener.com
MEMORANDUM OPINION. Signed by Judge Paula Xinis on 12/11/2025. (kns, Deputy Clerk) (Entered: 12/11/2025)
storage.courtlistener.com
December 11, 2025 at 3:26 PM
Reposted by Natalie
This is quite a thing from the people who brought you a copyright extension act that strains the rule against perpetuities. Actual human artists can't tell stories with your characters for decades to come, but Sam Altman's toy can put them into porn, no problem.
Please treat our treasured IP like trash
December 11, 2025 at 2:23 PM
Reposted by Natalie
This is a really good (and painful) illustration of what advocates have been saying for years about immigration enforcement by state cops: immigration status is way more complicated than “legal” vs “illegal,” and cops aren’t equipped to figure this out.
On Reddit, a post shows the ways in which 287(g) agreements, combined with ICE's mass deportation efforts are making a total hash of the the basic functioning of a fair system — a man in Florida was pulled over for a traffic stop on his way to an asylum interview and is now detained in Colorado!
December 11, 2025 at 3:23 PM
Reposted by Natalie
During ratification of the 14th Amendment, senators discussed whether the Citizenship Clause would apply to the children of immigrants and resoundingly concluded that it did. The text and history all point in one direction and the counter-arguments are patently fraudulent. I am going to lose my mind
The evidence is the text. All you have to do is read the Constitution.
December 7, 2025 at 7:19 PM
Reposted by Natalie
i think to understand the meaning of the birthright citizenship clause to the framers of the 14th amendment, you have to understand significance of dred scott to the civil war republican party. dred scott wasn't just a bad ruling, it was understood as a rejection of the declaration itself.
December 6, 2025 at 6:03 PM
🤔
Couldn’t Sam Altman just ask ChatGPT how to make itself profitable
December 6, 2025 at 7:25 AM
Reposted by Natalie
The Nobel Prize committee should announce the World Cup winner tomorrow
December 6, 2025 at 4:29 AM
Reposted by Natalie
Person who actually deserves a trophy is the artist who made the FIFA peace prize trophy look like everyone in the entire world holding their head in their hands out of secondhand embarrassment
December 5, 2025 at 7:38 PM
Reposted by Natalie
Every legal story now is either

Ancient Circuit Judge Delivers Crystal Clear 100 Page Rebuke To Trumpist Overreach

or

In Unsigned Shadow Docket Decision, 6-3 Majority Declares Trump Can Hunt People For Sport
October 3, 2025 at 10:26 PM
Reposted by Natalie
if shapiro runs his 2028 campaign fighting the last war then he will lose pretty handily
Josh Shapiro believes he is uniquely suited to win over Trump voters—but he’ll need to overcome distrust among some in his own party first, Tim Alberta reports: theatln.tc/mR9AHSG4
December 5, 2025 at 6:53 PM
Reposted by Natalie
"for more than 50 years, the court was often in sync with the masses..However, when we analyze decisions during Roberts’ tenure as chief justice, starting in 2005, we find a negative relationship, indicating that the court has tended to move away from public opinion."
www.latimes.com/opinion/stor...
Contributor: When did the Supreme Court stop caring about public opinion?
The court has historically understood the perils of completely ignoring precedent and the will of the people. Chief Justice John Roberts is different.
www.latimes.com
December 5, 2025 at 5:27 PM
Reposted by Natalie
State of Higher Ed
December 5, 2025 at 6:00 AM
Reposted by Natalie
Note that these lines quite deliberately divide Black majority precincts among the districts. This map would never have passed scrutiny under the pre-Roberts Voting Rights Act.
If you ever wondered what GOP gerrymandering looks like in red states with blue cities, I present:
December 3, 2025 at 2:55 AM
Reposted by Natalie
🚨We analyzed 138 million geocoded property tax records to quantify how municipal boundaries spatially overlap onto economic segregation in every US metro area—creating disparities in localities’ ability to fund public goods. And we made an interactive map of our results! [1/16]
November 24, 2025 at 4:31 PM
Reposted by Natalie
historic levels of leopards eating faces
PUNCHBOWL: “.. GOP members messaged us over the weekend saying that they, too, are considering retiring in the middle of the term. Here’s one particularly exercised senior House Republican:

@punchbowlnews.bsky.social
November 24, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Reposted by Natalie
It's always hard to pick a worst day politically, but today the president called for the death of members of the opposition party, and the administration decided that people were being too hard on the swastika
November 21, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Reposted by Natalie
I really hate it when scientists keep saying that “we need to rebuild trust in science,” because it implies that scientists are to blame for the mistrust rather than the millions of dollars of dark money that have funded political attacks on science in order to advance a far right agenda.
November 19, 2025 at 9:48 PM
Reposted by Natalie
My terrorism class finished a section on jihadists and is now discussing white nationalists, and it occurred to me that in some states (Florida? Texas?) I might not be allowed to teach about the latter, since it mentions race, and doesn't balance it out with pro-white-nationalist-terrorism readings.
November 19, 2025 at 4:13 PM
Reposted by Natalie
A #Skydiver Appears to Fall from the #Sun in a Stunning Image

#photography #Icarus Credit: Andrew McCarthy

Link for more: www.thisiscolossal.com/2025/11/andr...
November 17, 2025 at 9:53 PM
Reposted by Natalie
“Gen Z has the lowest racial resentment of any generation ever studied.”

Important work from @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social that offers a clear explanation of why there is an intense push to change school curricula to make them more white supremacist

newrepublic.com/article/2030...
The Shocking Truth About Gen Z Voters Is That They’re Pretty Great
Stop panicking: They are the most progressive generation ever, especially on race. If that surprises you, you’ve been listening to the wrong story.
newrepublic.com
November 15, 2025 at 3:25 PM
Reposted by Natalie
I usually don’t like linking to the NYT, but I think it’s important to know that they wrote and published an obituary immediately for Alice Wong. (It selectively left out parts of her disability activism that they didn’t like, of course.)
“One of the things that really gives me joy is the fact that there are so many amazing, brilliant, creative disabled people out there. But part of my rage — and it’s a very real rage — is that most people don’t really know about them.”

Obit:
Alice Wong, Writer and Relentless Advocate for Disability Rights, Dies at 51
www.nytimes.com
November 15, 2025 at 10:46 PM
Reposted by Natalie
Please watch
I wanted to share probably the most important sermon I’ve given and it’s while I’m being arrested. It’s torture pure and simple what happens at #Broadview. I’m ok, though I was thrown to the ground and choked with my pectoral cross. A review of the video shows I was peaceful - did I deserve this?
November 15, 2025 at 11:23 PM
Reposted by Natalie
5/🧵 Race divides the Democratic Party more than it does Republicans. Young Republicans remain almost as racially resentful as older Republicans. But among Democrats and independents, massive shifts. White Gen Z independents have lower racial resentment than Boomer Democrats.
November 14, 2025 at 8:44 PM