Niclas Poitiers
@niclaspoitiers.bsky.social
360 followers 410 following 12 posts
Research Fellow at Bruegel, working on European Trade and Industrial Policy
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Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
codendahl.bsky.social
As #France is without government once more, it is worth remembering that its total bilateral support for #Ukraine is less than that of Sweden, Denmark and the Netherlands.

Not combined. Individually, and in €bn not % of GDP.
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
maxbergmann.bsky.social
So much of the coverage of the EU is hyper-micro. It's all about the sausage making. So story out of Copenhagen European Council is "dithering," "all talk, no action," nothing fully agreed, etc. It's an effing meeting! Take a step back... they are moving on Eurobonds/frozen Russian assets. 1/
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
bruegel.org
💢 COVID-19’s economic impact on low-income countries: preparing for the next shock

⛓️💥 How can vulnerable countries better withstand shocks in an era of heightened uncertainty?

🖊️ @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social and Costanza Greppi Maturana
🔗 buff.ly/Tj41aPW
#EconSky
COVID-19’s economic impact on low-income countries: preparing for the next shock
COVID-19 hit low-income exporters hard, exposing risks from weak diversification and straining trade, supply systems and financial stability
buff.ly
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
rethink-gsc.bsky.social
💡 𝗜𝗻𝗻𝗼𝘃𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 𝗶𝘀 𝗸𝗲𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗶𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝘀𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗹𝘆 𝗰𝗵𝗮𝗶𝗻𝘀!

Stronger research investment, better knowledge transfer, + policies linking trade, tax + innovation are key to resilience.

📽️More: www.youtube.com/watch?v=t6P7...

#SupplyChains #Innovation #EUResearch @horizoneu.bsky.social
Rethinking Global Supply Chains | Complexity matters
YouTube video by Kiel Institute for the World Economy
www.youtube.com
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
nvondarza.bsky.social
Whether it wants to or not, the EU is quickly being drawn into a mode of needing to contribute to the security of its members.

Here we have von der Leyen proclaiming that "We" will respond to every provocation and signaling the further investments in the EU's & NATO's Eastern flank:
vonderleyen.ec.europa.eu
Europe stands with Estonia in the face of Russia’s latest violation of our airspace.

We will respond to every provocation with determination while investing in a stronger Eastern flank.
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
bruegel.org
🎙️ EU foreign direct investment, explained

@rebeccawire.bsky.social discusses with @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social & Damien Levie from European Commission's DG Trade on what is at stake as talks start on how to revise the FDI rules. #EconSky

Listen to the podcast:
EU foreign direct investment, explained
How can the EU coordinate national screening procedures in key sectors when outside investors want to buy in?
buff.ly
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
garvanwalshe.org
Important stuff here by @jeremycliffe.bsky.social on the regional elections in NRW, Germany.

You’ll see a lot of stories about a “far right surge” (the FT has one this morning).

But that happened a couple of years ago. These results record voter shifts that already happened. 1/
jeremycliffe.bsky.social
North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany's most populous state, held local elections today. Support for AfD up but at 15% well below party's national polling. And lower among the young: 5th place on 11% among under-25s, who also delivered a smaller swing towards the party than did older generations.
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
tagliapietra.bsky.social
JOB POSTING 💼 As we keep expanding our work on energy, climate and clean tech, we at Bruegel - Improving economic policy are now searching for a climate economist to complement our team. Please share/apply! www.bruegel.org/careers/clim...
Climate economist
Deadline for applications: applications will be reviewed on a rolling basis
www.bruegel.org
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
bruegel.org
🌱 Towards a Green Procurement Union: trade-offs and strategic choices
📅 24 Sep 2025 13:00-14:00 CET

On a new Bruegel paper about public procurement and green transition w/ @niclaspoitiers.bsky.social, Anna Cavazzini, @francesconicoli.bsky.social, Oliver K. Saltoft & Marta Toporek

🔗 buff.ly/MIEhPwz
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
bmcwilliams.bsky.social
🚗 Electric vehicle sales grow steadily across Europe.

In June, 26% of newly registered cars were electric (compares to 20% in Jun24).

Italy and Spain lag the average. Germany edges in front. Belgium, Netherlands and Denmark are far ahead.

european-clean-tech-tracker.bruegel.org/technology/e...
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
aligarciaherrero.bsky.social
Some reflections from @bruegel.org #BAM. I am sorry for #Draghi, #Letta, and others trying to wake up #European leaders. Complacency reigns as the economic and political situation deteriorates. We are responsible for our mess and cannot expect any support, on the contrary.
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
fbermingham.bsky.social
@niclaspoitiers.bsky.social, a trade expert at Bruegel, a Belgian think tank, said the EACO description was “a bit harsh” but acknowledged “there’s some truth to it”.

“It doesn’t matter whether it’s fair, the point is deterrence. If it’s not a credible threat... it’s not a deterrent"
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
cleanpowerdave.bsky.social
NEW: The first evidence of a solar take-off in Africa☀️✈️

x33 rise in Algeria solar panel imports in the 12 mths to June 2025, compared to previous 12 mths.
x8 in Zambia
x7 in Botswana
x6 in Sudan
x3 in each of Liberia, DRC, Benin, Angola, Ethiopia

🧵
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
pisaniferry.bsky.social
"Trump has switched the United States’ role from global insurer to extractor of profit". The recent piece by @adamposen.bsky.social in #ForeignAffairs lucidly spells out the consequences: damaging for everyone, including the US, but less so for #China.
www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...
The New Economic Geography
Who profits in a post-American world?
www.foreignaffairs.com
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
smerler.bsky.social
#Bruegel is republishing the classics and I’m super proud that this paper by @pisaniferry.bsky.social and myself made the cut. It took a lot of work on then-obscure central bank liquidity data, but it changed the way we look at capital flows within monetary union.

www.bruegel.org/policy-brief...
Sudden stops in the euro area
Internal balance-of-payment crises should be taken as a strong signal of weakness and a wake-up call to reform euro area structures
www.bruegel.org
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
monapaulsen.bsky.social
I hope the China hawks are comfortable knowing their security concerns have a price tag.
simonlester.com
"'Beijing must be gloating to see Washington turn export licences into revenue streams,' said Liza Tobin, a China expert who served on the National Security Council in the first Trump administration ... 'What’s next — letting Lockheed Martin sell F-35s to China for a 15% commission?'”
financialtimes.com
Nvidia and AMD to pay 15% of China chip sale revenues to US government on.ft.com/3JaXE0w
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
hhesterm.bsky.social
The survival of any ‘deal’ with Trump ultimately depends on whether he insists on his unreal, unhinged statements - or whether these are just triumphalist brags that are removed from reality, but he will later simply declare the FDI inflow to be the triumph he declared before /1
atrupar.com
Trump on his EU trade deal: "The details are $600 billion to invest in anything I want. Anything. I can do anything I want with it."
niclaspoitiers.bsky.social
Lot's of excitement about Trumps IEEPA tariffs right now, but how long they will last is anyone's guess. It seems more likely than not that they will be rejected by the appeals court in just a few weeks. In the end it will be in the hand of the supreme court

www.piie.com/blogs/realti...
Trump tariffs and the courts: Round 2
The Federal Circuit Court heard oral arguments today on whether the US president can declare a national emergency and put tariffs on pretty much everything anyone imports into the country. The outcome...
www.piie.com
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
nvondarza.bsky.social
For whatever it is worth, in my view the EU should judge its self-perception on whatever crazy tariff or Ukraine/Russia policy Trump puts forward, in which the story might still change every day. The real question is whether the EU itself can get its act together.
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
aslak.bsky.social
There was a lot of commentary, including from myself, that the EU got the same deal as Japan. Turns out that was wrong - they got a better deal.
aslak.bsky.social
Only the EU got a flat tariff rate of 15 per cent -the UK for instance got 10 per cent plus MFN tariff, Japan 15 per cent plus MFN tariff, etc.
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
bruegel.org
CALL FOR APPLICATIONS

We are looking for one Economist and one Data Scientist to work on energy and climate topics. Applications are reviewed on a rolling basis—apply now!

1️⃣ Data scientist: buff.ly/bP72njr
2️⃣ Economist: buff.ly/qOdMnkf
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers
maxroser.bsky.social
Most electricity in the Netherlands now comes from renewables.

This is today's @ourworldindata.org Data Insight from my colleague @simonvanteutem.bsky.social.

All our Data Insights are here: ourworldindata.org/data-insights
niclaspoitiers.bsky.social
Great paper on the European automotive sector, bringing some nuance to a shrill debate
jannikjansen.bsky.social
Europe’s car industry may have just dodged a +25% US tariff – but this is no reason to relax. Deep structural challenges remain, and the EU lacks a common diagnosis for fixing them.

My new policy paper argues that a coherent EU strategy needs to rest on three uncomfortable truths: 🧵
Europe’s Car Industry in Transition: Stuck in Neutral or Shifting into Gear?
Europe’s automotive industry is entering a decisive decade but lacks a clear map for navigating it. While global competitors accelerate their shift toward electric vehicles, Europe’s strategic focus r...
www.delorscentre.eu
Reposted by Niclas Poitiers