Andrea Titton
@nofishlikeian.bsky.social
500 followers 690 following 30 posts
PhD candidate @tinbergeninstitute.bsky.social. Working on climate econ and transition risk. Neuroscience tourist. Lazy programmer. My website: andreatitton.com
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nofishlikeian.bsky.social
Economics hasn’t fully internalized how difficult climate tipping points are to both predict and reverse. My JMP 🚨 estimates the costs of this unpredictability and irreversibility.

A thread! 🧵 (1/14)
#econjobmarket #econjmp #econtwitter #climate
Reposted by Andrea Titton
johnholbein1.bsky.social
Climate models since the 1970s nailed it—most predicted global warming almost exactly as it happened.
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
If you are at #CCN2025, check this out.
phil-johnson.bsky.social
Interested in finding out what causes you to disengage from a task? Catch my talk about the dynamics of arousal and engagement at #CCN2025 @cogcompneuro.bsky.social today at 11! You'll find me in room C1.04, and Friday afternoon at poster C168.
hidden Markov model
Reposted by Andrea Titton
tsonj.bsky.social
Are you planning to attend #CCN2025? Do you want to reflect on how to direct your skills and aptitudes to tackle today's most pressing social problems? Make sure you come to Amsterdam a day early to attend our satellite event on Science for Social Good. Register here: forms.gle/TFRCZYX2qfwD...
CCN for social good - satellite registration
See https://anneurai.net/2025/05/05/ccn-for-social-good-2025-satellite-event/ for more information
forms.gle
Reposted by Andrea Titton
tkingfisher.com
There’s a famous chart from the Conservation Research Institute, which demonstrates this. GAZE UPON THESE ROOTS, YE MIGHTY AND DESPAIR.
A chart showing bigass roots on a whole bunch of plants.
Reposted by Andrea Titton
riegerfels.bsky.social
Heading to the AOM Meeting in Copenhagen? Interested in Climate Risks, Risk Perception, and Risk Management in the Supply Chain? Stop by my poster presentation on “Value Chain Dependencies and Climate Risks in the Value Chain”. @ifmbonn.bsky.social #AOM2025 #ClimateRisk #RiskPerception #EconSky
Reposted by Andrea Titton
voxeu.org
#EU manufacturing broadly outperforms the rest of the world in #productivity terms, but the industries in which it specialises are not always those in which it is relatively more productive. Policy should target weak #trade sectors.
F Di Mauro, M Matani, G Ottaviano
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
Chart showing the EU vs US: Relative state of technology by sector. The EU leads the US technologically in food products and wearing apparel.

Amid geopolitical shocks, the EU is revisiting its industrial strategy. However, traditional metrics often paint a misleading picture of Europe’s underlying strength. This column uses a new approach to measure the EU’s relative state of technology in different sectors. It shows that although EU manufacturing broadly outperforms the rest of the world in productivity terms, the industries in which it specialises are not always those in which it is relatively more productive. It argues that industrial policy must be rooted in productivity diagnostics and support should target sectors with strong relative state of technology but weak trade performance.
Reposted by Andrea Titton
pseudoerasmus.bsky.social
The Nievas-Piketty unequal exchange paper is certainly better than Hickel's, but their counterfactual assertion of convergence between countries in 1800-2025 is based on these entirely political-economy-free assumptions
Reposted by Andrea Titton
benmoll.bsky.social
I couldn't agree more!

The excessive focus on linearized solutions to HA models is a bit like the old joke about the drunk who is looking for a key under a lamppost because that's where the light is.

More discussion of why we need non-linear models and ways forward here benjaminmoll.com/challenge/
Reposted by Andrea Titton
gzachmann.bsky.social
[email protected] and my Policy Brief:
"Upgrading Europe's electricity grid is about more than just money" has just been published.

www.bruegel.org/policy-brief...
Reposted by Andrea Titton
bengolub.bsky.social
As @shengwuli.bsky.social always says, when you notice the network theorists getting really excited, you're probably in for a bad time.
bengolub.bsky.social
Modern supply chains don't look like trade theory 101!

They involve constant border crossings, each now hit by tariffs.

Tariffs raise prices, but the more important thing they do is disrupt supply relationships.

1/
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
Perfect timing: I just finished watching the Michael Penn series on differential forms. It makes me want to dig back into differential geometry.
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
If I have time and get around to it, I will try and turn this code into a proper package for the #JuliaLang, contributing to the "bottom left quadrant" of dynamic optimization problem, as discussed here by Albert Zevelev (not on Bluesky yet?) here:
Solving the 4 quadrants of dynamic optimization problems in Julia. Help Wanted!
Solving dynamic optimization problems is at the heart of economics (and many other fields). The goal of this post is to explore various tools for solving dynamic optimization problems in the Julia Ec...
discourse.julialang.org
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
In the paper's Appendix, I prove the algorithm's convergence for Epstein-Zin recursive preferences.

I also leverage the excellent implementation of the ZigZag algorithm by ZigZagBoomerang.jl to parallelise everything and run it on the Snellius supercomputer. 🚀
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
This approach makes your algorithm focus on where it really matters (around the tipping point), rather than wasting time computing policies at boring steady states.
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
To solve this in a reasonable time, I take an old and relatively straightforward idea from one of my favourite books, Kushner & Dupouis, from 2001.

Just take time steps that get shorter and shorter around the tipping point! Now your time discretisation is state and control dependent.
Numerical Methods for Stochastic Control Problems in Continuous Time
The book presents a comprehensive development of effective numerical methods for stochastic control problems in continuous time. The process models are diffusions, jump-diffusions or reflected diffusi...
books.google.nl
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
In the paper, I compute optimal emissions abatement in a climate with tipping points.

As you approach the tipping point, computing optimal emission abatements can be challenging, as you should tread carefully: small mistakes can lead to abrupt and dire consequences! 📿
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
The code from my #JMP is now available here: github.com/NoFishLikeIan/carbon-tipping-point

#EconSky: if you are interested in stochastic optimal control problems, #JuliaLang or the climate, read further!  🧵
Reposted by Andrea Titton
kevinzollman.com
A while ago Alex London and I noticed that many of the objections to utilitarianism depend on a utilitarian being in a world of non-utilitarians.

There would be no forced organ harvesting in a world of utilitarians. People would line up to volunteer.

...
Reposted by Andrea Titton
This inequality says that if y=φ(x) is a continuous, strictly increasing function of x, for x≥0, with φ(0)=0 then (note φ^{-1}(y) is the function inverse) 2/
Reposted by Andrea Titton
latzplacian.bsky.social
Discretisation memes! 😊
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
Nice, good timing then! Always happy to talk about it.
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
Since a few more people decided to follow me in the last week (👋 and 🙏), let me re-up my #EconJMP, maybe using the right hashtag this time! #EconSky

If you are interested in climate economics and tipping points, check it out:

bsky.app/profile/nofi...
nofishlikeian.bsky.social
Economics hasn’t fully internalized how difficult climate tipping points are to both predict and reverse. My JMP 🚨 estimates the costs of this unpredictability and irreversibility.

A thread! 🧵 (1/14)
#econjobmarket #econjmp #econtwitter #climate