oilbidness.bsky.social
@oilbidness.bsky.social
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Not big volume, but about 50/50 chance Powell stays as governor after May per the @kalshi market (big drop last night)
kalshi.com/markets/k...
January 12, 2026 at 10:18 AM
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OK YOU CAN HAVE EUROPA TOO, WHATEVER

Seriously, @theplanetaryguy.bsky.social does a great job explaining a new paper in plain language. Since the 80's we've learned Europe is more likely more thicker ice / less active side of wide early estimates and this paper is another nail in that direction
New paper alert!

tl;dr: the seafloor of Europa is probably tectonically inert, meaning little to no active fracturing that could expose fresh rock to seawater.

Without such water–rock reactions the prospect for there being life within Europa just took a big hit.

A thread:
January 9, 2026 at 4:50 AM
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The joys of meta-analysis.

Manan (2025) used the social cost of carbon from a blog by EDF (2017), which cites a blog by Shelanski & Obstfeld, who use a later discarded estimate from an early draft of the Interagency Working Group.
January 6, 2026 at 8:20 AM
January 6, 2026 at 12:14 PM
www.forbes.com/sites/michae... Some production can be restored through maintenance, done through service contracts. Low cost, low risk. #oil #venezuela
www.forbes.com
January 6, 2026 at 12:13 PM
www.forbes.com/sites/michae... After a period of turmoil, Venezuelan oil supply should grow, once the government becomes stable. #oil #maduro
www.forbes.com
January 3, 2026 at 10:18 AM
www.forbes.com/sites/michae... A number of oil market developments didn't occur as expected this year, but still might in 2026, which would be bearish for prices. #oil #oilindustry #energy
www.forbes.com
December 30, 2025 at 12:54 PM
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Is it bad that nobody justifiably believes anything Putin says while the President of the United States believes everything he says?
December 30, 2025 at 1:25 AM
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December 28, 2025 at 4:27 PM
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I noticed whenever a show/movie decides to have these quiet, introspective moments like in Eternals, The Acolyte, or even Andor, that’s when people decide to call it “slow” or poorly written. It’s like no, you’ve just conditioned yourself to see action moments as the only valid thing.
December 28, 2025 at 11:00 PM
Well you have to say that Donald Trump has been good for the Sharpie business.
December 24, 2025 at 1:03 PM
...it doesn't get better. #oldguy
Ah, well, I was going to movie binge but guess who fell asleep in the middle of the evening.

Being a movie monster in your 30s is tough.
December 17, 2025 at 8:35 AM
Is he on double secret probation? #animalhouse
#GVerse via @captmarkkelly.bsky.social
"Tonight, we learned the Pentagon is escalating its review of me into "an official command investigation."

If #Shit4Brains or #WhiskyLeaks think they can stop me from doing my job and serving the American people, they've got the wrong guy."
December 17, 2025 at 8:34 AM
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December 16, 2025 at 9:19 AM
Stand by Me is also a classic.
As a princess bride fan I am upset
December 15, 2025 at 10:17 AM
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Fuck Times New Roman. Stupid modern shit. We need to return to this: illuminations. We need to return to the first letter on the page being a big picture.
December 10, 2025 at 7:50 AM
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Wow -- Russia reportedly plotted last year to plant bombs on US-bound flights (gift link) giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
December 9, 2025 at 7:33 PM
"The TV has a brightness knob but it don't work." Gallagher
Everything is getting stupider
December 9, 2025 at 11:51 AM
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Hey, my NEW YEAR'S EVE Advent calendar Day 24 is up on YouTube. Don't get behind.
December 9, 2025 at 8:48 AM
www.forbes.com/sites/michae... It's wrong to think that the U.S. might somehow get Venezuelan oil if we achieve regime change, but regime change and reform would be good for the country and the world more generally. #venezuela #oilindustry
The U.S. Won’t ‘Get’ Venezuelan Oil
Regime change in Venezuela should open up its oil industry to foreign investment, but won't result in a transfer of oil assets to the U.S.
www.forbes.com
December 8, 2025 at 11:47 AM
Worse, we always we "We can't afford NOT To pay our CEO millions of dollars a year."
What I always hear: “We can’t afford to pay our workers more than $15 an hour.”

What I never hear: “We can’t afford to pay our CEO millions of dollars a year.”

Funny how that works.
December 8, 2025 at 10:39 AM
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UK EV drivers save £540 more on running costs than those in Germany.

Why? Combo of smart meters + flexible tariffs is now widespread in the UK but in its infancy in Germany.
December 8, 2025 at 10:22 AM
If they are so great and inevitable, why do we need bans on competitors?
The shift to EVs is happening—fast. Manufacturers can either embrace the long-term transition or chase short-term gains by clinging to petrol and diesel.

China is choosing the long view. Many in Europe aren’t. The risk? Ending up with cars no one wants, lost market share, and shuttered factories.
December 5, 2025 at 12:16 PM
Yes, because if Joe had had the grace to lose in 2020, Trump would have been 4 years younger in his second turn. #everythingbiden
December 5, 2025 at 12:13 PM