In it, you’ll find electoral analysis, policy recommendations, and general musings about this broken country we call home.
My first article is out. I hope y’all enjoy it.
substack.com/@abrokenamer...
This is Insurance Commissioner John King, a statewide elected official. He is exhorting Republicans to help win *another* special ... in a Trump+47 district. x.com/JohnKingGA/s...
This is Insurance Commissioner John King, a statewide elected official. He is exhorting Republicans to help win *another* special ... in a Trump+47 district. x.com/JohnKingGA/s...
Eric Gisler (D)- 50.9%
Mack "Dutch" Guest (R)- 49.1%
little to no attention on their side about actual demographic politics
little to no attention on their side about actual demographic politics
1. this turnout environment was more similar to a regular midterm just due to how nationalized this was
2. that type of turnout dynamic produces D+10-15 overperformances
3. while it is definitely not enough to win TN-07, there are 25-35 districts where that IS enough
1. this turnout environment was more similar to a regular midterm just due to how nationalized this was
2. that type of turnout dynamic produces D+10-15 overperformances
3. while it is definitely not enough to win TN-07, there are 25-35 districts where that IS enough
Fast-forward: a section of Nashville, which just 5 years ago had a Dem representative, is now voting Dem by huge margins but it's been designed to not matter.
Fast-forward: a section of Nashville, which just 5 years ago had a Dem representative, is now voting Dem by huge margins but it's been designed to not matter.
Waiting for Nashville before calling it for Van Epps tho
Waiting for Nashville before calling it for Van Epps tho
Certainly looks like a single-digit race to me!
Certainly looks like a single-digit race to me!
She needs to go gangbusters in Nashville and its suburbs and exurbs to have a shot here
She needs to go gangbusters in Nashville and its suburbs and exurbs to have a shot here
This is the one swing/competitive county of TN-07 - Behn has to win Montgomery to win the district imo
This is the one swing/competitive county of TN-07 - Behn has to win Montgomery to win the district imo