Sierkovitz
@sierkovitz.bsky.social
Data analysis in Magic: The Gathering; Magic Numbers podcast; Limited Resources regular guest. Interested in coaching - ping me a message.
linktr.ee/sierkovitz for socials
linktr.ee/sierkovitz for socials
Pinned
Sierkovitz
@sierkovitz.bsky.social
· Feb 7
Since I got a load of new followers who, I suspect, have no idea who I am, a short introductory thread.
Starting with the basics: I look at data in Magic and try to convert numbers to actionable advice. You might have heard me on Limited Resources, but I also have my own podcast, Magic Numbers.
1/8
Starting with the basics: I look at data in Magic and try to convert numbers to actionable advice. You might have heard me on Limited Resources, but I also have my own podcast, Magic Numbers.
1/8
Not a shame to lose out by the whiskers to @tedfro.bsky.social and Adam, a staple of the Skeleton Crew. Game is still afoot! Please people - tank Foggy Swamp Spirit Keepers win rate to help :P
One thing I enjoy about the #P0P1 contest is that there is *definitely* some skill to it -- it's clearly not just random. As evidence, I'll note that the top of the table is always full of familiar names -- folks who have placed well before. And... this time... @sierkovitz.bsky.social!
November 30, 2025 at 8:58 PM
Not a shame to lose out by the whiskers to @tedfro.bsky.social and Adam, a staple of the Skeleton Crew. Game is still afoot! Please people - tank Foggy Swamp Spirit Keepers win rate to help :P
New Magic Numbers are live now! We try to find best homes for each of the Avatar: The Last Airbender card. Which color pair in draft will house them most favourably?
Join me on twitch!
twitch.tv/sierkovitz
Join me on twitch!
twitch.tv/sierkovitz
November 29, 2025 at 11:19 PM
New Magic Numbers are live now! We try to find best homes for each of the Avatar: The Last Airbender card. Which color pair in draft will house them most favourably?
Join me on twitch!
twitch.tv/sierkovitz
Join me on twitch!
twitch.tv/sierkovitz
🏆 Collector box - here we come. On the second bullet (both logs below). This deck was hard-carried by the Barrels of Blasting Jelly - they made the mana possible and in last game killed 4 creatures in total (thanks Toph). Some really wild games but managed a clean 7-0
November 29, 2025 at 8:00 PM
🏆 Collector box - here we come. On the second bullet (both logs below). This deck was hard-carried by the Barrels of Blasting Jelly - they made the mana possible and in last game killed 4 creatures in total (thanks Toph). Some really wild games but managed a clean 7-0
Marshall - having a rant about disliking Vehicles on Limited Resources.
Someone in the design team: "Hear me out!"
Apocryphal, but sounds true. They definitely overshot - card has wild numbers in terms of win rate. Pick it high, they still travel too far round the table.
Someone in the design team: "Hear me out!"
Apocryphal, but sounds true. They definitely overshot - card has wild numbers in terms of win rate. Pick it high, they still travel too far round the table.
November 28, 2025 at 6:19 PM
Marshall - having a rant about disliking Vehicles on Limited Resources.
Someone in the design team: "Hear me out!"
Apocryphal, but sounds true. They definitely overshot - card has wild numbers in terms of win rate. Pick it high, they still travel too far round the table.
Someone in the design team: "Hear me out!"
Apocryphal, but sounds true. They definitely overshot - card has wild numbers in terms of win rate. Pick it high, they still travel too far round the table.
🏆 Bit of a surprise, but we do take those. Deck performed well and I was probably a bit lucky with never having mana issues. The key themes were card draw and evasion.
If you have an OK defence and outdraw opponent while they can't block you - turns out you're favoured.
7-2
1/2
If you have an OK defence and outdraw opponent while they can't block you - turns out you're favoured.
7-2
1/2
November 27, 2025 at 2:32 PM
🏆 Bit of a surprise, but we do take those. Deck performed well and I was probably a bit lucky with never having mana issues. The key themes were card draw and evasion.
If you have an OK defence and outdraw opponent while they can't block you - turns out you're favoured.
7-2
1/2
If you have an OK defence and outdraw opponent while they can't block you - turns out you're favoured.
7-2
1/2
Yesterday I looked at the commons, today time for uncommons. Which colors in Avatar draft are the deepest? I look at Game in Hand Win Rate of 1st, 2nd .... nth best common in each color pair. And again UB, WU, UR come out on top. This time with addition of WG.
1/9
1/9
November 26, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Yesterday I looked at the commons, today time for uncommons. Which colors in Avatar draft are the deepest? I look at Game in Hand Win Rate of 1st, 2nd .... nth best common in each color pair. And again UB, WU, UR come out on top. This time with addition of WG.
1/9
1/9
Color pair power in limited depends on many factors. One of them is colour pair "depth" - availability of good commons in a pod. That's what we are exploring today. Here are all the non-land commons for each of the 10 color pairs in Avatar plotted by Game in Hand WR rank.
1/9
1/9
November 25, 2025 at 12:58 PM
Color pair power in limited depends on many factors. One of them is colour pair "depth" - availability of good commons in a pod. That's what we are exploring today. Here are all the non-land commons for each of the 10 color pairs in Avatar plotted by Game in Hand WR rank.
1/9
1/9
Today some hot constructed data - I put together the results from EU, US and Canada RCs in Modern and here are the win rates. Since we are measuring unsure numbers - displayed as 95% confidence intervals (so we are 95% sure the real WR is within the bars for each deck.
1/9
1/9
November 24, 2025 at 12:36 PM
Today some hot constructed data - I put together the results from EU, US and Canada RCs in Modern and here are the win rates. Since we are measuring unsure numbers - displayed as 95% confidence intervals (so we are 95% sure the real WR is within the bars for each deck.
1/9
1/9
New Magic Numbers are live on YT and Spotify (give me follows, or whatever those are called, there to get the updates automatically.
We are diving into early data for Avatar and there is a lot to explore there: Best colors, strongest cards and what makes each color pair tick.
youtu.be/K50WFq3fgKk
We are diving into early data for Avatar and there is a lot to explore there: Best colors, strongest cards and what makes each color pair tick.
youtu.be/K50WFq3fgKk
Magic Numbers #168: Early 17Lands Draft data for Avatar: the Last Airbender
YouTube video by Sierkovitz
youtu.be
November 23, 2025 at 1:34 PM
New Magic Numbers are live on YT and Spotify (give me follows, or whatever those are called, there to get the updates automatically.
We are diving into early data for Avatar and there is a lot to explore there: Best colors, strongest cards and what makes each color pair tick.
youtu.be/K50WFq3fgKk
We are diving into early data for Avatar and there is a lot to explore there: Best colors, strongest cards and what makes each color pair tick.
youtu.be/K50WFq3fgKk
Going Live with new Magic Numbers - all about early 17Lands draft data for Avatar set. How does the meta look like, which cards surprised, which ones are traps and all that jazz.
twich.tv/sierkovitz
twich.tv/sierkovitz
November 22, 2025 at 9:48 PM
Going Live with new Magic Numbers - all about early 17Lands draft data for Avatar set. How does the meta look like, which cards surprised, which ones are traps and all that jazz.
twich.tv/sierkovitz
twich.tv/sierkovitz
🏆 Only Allies in the building. It was maybe not the best aggro deck but mid to late game value was through the roof - a classic deck where first turns are set-up and later is total domination. Lost to Momo into Reinforcement into W Suki. This is what it took.
7-1
7-1
November 19, 2025 at 4:55 PM
🏆 Only Allies in the building. It was maybe not the best aggro deck but mid to late game value was through the roof - a classic deck where first turns are set-up and later is total domination. Lost to Momo into Reinforcement into W Suki. This is what it took.
7-1
7-1
Looking at the super early data from Avatar draft win rates - it's basically the power cube...
Grain of salt etc. but White or Naya looks like the place to be. Let's see what the next days bring.
Grain of salt etc. but White or Naya looks like the place to be. Let's see what the next days bring.
November 19, 2025 at 1:52 PM
Looking at the super early data from Avatar draft win rates - it's basically the power cube...
Grain of salt etc. but White or Naya looks like the place to be. Let's see what the next days bring.
Grain of salt etc. but White or Naya looks like the place to be. Let's see what the next days bring.
PSA for Python 17Lands users - you need to update the client or the data won't upload - you wouldn't want to miss the early avatar drafts, would you? This is how your Event History would look like if you need an update:
Please share generously to reach as many as possible.
Please share generously to reach as many as possible.
November 18, 2025 at 3:55 PM
PSA for Python 17Lands users - you need to update the client or the data won't upload - you wouldn't want to miss the early avatar drafts, would you? This is how your Event History would look like if you need an update:
Please share generously to reach as many as possible.
Please share generously to reach as many as possible.
Skeleton Crew is back for the Avatar: The Last Airbender. Join our deck-centric eccentric limited set review with
@zakagan.bsky.social, @sampratt.bsky.social, Tresio
Join us at twitch.tv/sierkovitz
@zakagan.bsky.social, @sampratt.bsky.social, Tresio
Join us at twitch.tv/sierkovitz
November 10, 2025 at 10:25 PM
Skeleton Crew is back for the Avatar: The Last Airbender. Join our deck-centric eccentric limited set review with
@zakagan.bsky.social, @sampratt.bsky.social, Tresio
Join us at twitch.tv/sierkovitz
@zakagan.bsky.social, @sampratt.bsky.social, Tresio
Join us at twitch.tv/sierkovitz
We're live now!
#MTG Family Feud 4:00MT Sunday on Twitch.tv/ScuffleDLux!
Limited Creators
@sampratt.bsky.social
@sierkovitz.bsky.social
@3Omega
@Chord_O_Calls
@neo-mtg.bsky.social
VS
Magic Jank
@carlomtg.bsky.social
@headology.bsky.social
@numbskullmtg.bsky.social
@astralsflame.bsky.social
@hamhocks42.bsky.social
Limited Creators
@sampratt.bsky.social
@sierkovitz.bsky.social
@3Omega
@Chord_O_Calls
@neo-mtg.bsky.social
VS
Magic Jank
@carlomtg.bsky.social
@headology.bsky.social
@numbskullmtg.bsky.social
@astralsflame.bsky.social
@hamhocks42.bsky.social
a man in a suit and tie is smiling and saying good answer !
ALT: a man in a suit and tie is smiling and saying good answer !
media.tenor.com
November 9, 2025 at 11:08 PM
We're live now!
Reposted by Sierkovitz
#MTG Family Feud 4:00MT Sunday on Twitch.tv/ScuffleDLux!
Limited Creators
@sampratt.bsky.social
@sierkovitz.bsky.social
@3Omega
@Chord_O_Calls
@neo-mtg.bsky.social
VS
Magic Jank
@carlomtg.bsky.social
@headology.bsky.social
@numbskullmtg.bsky.social
@astralsflame.bsky.social
@hamhocks42.bsky.social
Limited Creators
@sampratt.bsky.social
@sierkovitz.bsky.social
@3Omega
@Chord_O_Calls
@neo-mtg.bsky.social
VS
Magic Jank
@carlomtg.bsky.social
@headology.bsky.social
@numbskullmtg.bsky.social
@astralsflame.bsky.social
@hamhocks42.bsky.social
a man in a suit and tie is smiling and saying good answer !
ALT: a man in a suit and tie is smiling and saying good answer !
media.tenor.com
November 7, 2025 at 10:09 PM
#MTG Family Feud 4:00MT Sunday on Twitch.tv/ScuffleDLux!
Limited Creators
@sampratt.bsky.social
@sierkovitz.bsky.social
@3Omega
@Chord_O_Calls
@neo-mtg.bsky.social
VS
Magic Jank
@carlomtg.bsky.social
@headology.bsky.social
@numbskullmtg.bsky.social
@astralsflame.bsky.social
@hamhocks42.bsky.social
Limited Creators
@sampratt.bsky.social
@sierkovitz.bsky.social
@3Omega
@Chord_O_Calls
@neo-mtg.bsky.social
VS
Magic Jank
@carlomtg.bsky.social
@headology.bsky.social
@numbskullmtg.bsky.social
@astralsflame.bsky.social
@hamhocks42.bsky.social
Hello friends! If you like me and would like to support me, and like Spider-Man, or unique promos - I put on the foil Spotlight Liverpool Spectacular Spider-Man on Ebay.
Obvs straight to sleeve, straight to toploader, shipping globally.
ebay.us/m/vlb0ww
Obvs straight to sleeve, straight to toploader, shipping globally.
ebay.us/m/vlb0ww
November 4, 2025 at 1:09 PM
Hello friends! If you like me and would like to support me, and like Spider-Man, or unique promos - I put on the foil Spotlight Liverpool Spectacular Spider-Man on Ebay.
Obvs straight to sleeve, straight to toploader, shipping globally.
ebay.us/m/vlb0ww
Obvs straight to sleeve, straight to toploader, shipping globally.
ebay.us/m/vlb0ww
New Magic Numbers are up on YT. A bit on Liverpool experience, a bit on general Spiderman set situation but mainly looking at signals in pick 2 draft. I do think pick 2 is a fine idea and stronger signalling is an interesting aspect of it, worth exploring.
youtu.be/ryDhc9Rv5Ek
youtu.be/ryDhc9Rv5Ek
November 4, 2025 at 12:50 PM
New Magic Numbers are up on YT. A bit on Liverpool experience, a bit on general Spiderman set situation but mainly looking at signals in pick 2 draft. I do think pick 2 is a fine idea and stronger signalling is an interesting aspect of it, worth exploring.
youtu.be/ryDhc9Rv5Ek
youtu.be/ryDhc9Rv5Ek
It's all been fun and games in Liverpool but back to harsh reality of being a limited content creator. Back with Magic Numbers after a hiatus and don't worry - back for good. Today - let's see what pick 2 draft does with draft signals.
twitch.tv/sierkovitz
twitch.tv/sierkovitz
November 3, 2025 at 9:16 PM
It's all been fun and games in Liverpool but back to harsh reality of being a limited content creator. Back with Magic Numbers after a hiatus and don't worry - back for good. Today - let's see what pick 2 draft does with draft signals.
twitch.tv/sierkovitz
twitch.tv/sierkovitz
11h drive, Liverpool mayhem on Halloween, 9 rounds, feature match, interview, tapas with friends, 6 more rounds, foil promo, dozens of great interactions with people all around Europe, loads of kudos for my data work, 8h drive back. But home sweet home!
Hell of a weekend!
Hell of a weekend!
He's not just a Limited data wizard! @sierkovitz.bsky.social clinched 6-0 in Standard to secure his Day 2 spot of Magic Spotlight: Spider-Man in Liverpool! #SpotlightSpiderMan
November 3, 2025 at 7:43 AM
11h drive, Liverpool mayhem on Halloween, 9 rounds, feature match, interview, tapas with friends, 6 more rounds, foil promo, dozens of great interactions with people all around Europe, loads of kudos for my data work, 8h drive back. But home sweet home!
Hell of a weekend!
Hell of a weekend!
I don’t know if people are ready for the truth.
October 30, 2025 at 7:13 PM
I don’t know if people are ready for the truth.
I need a shower to cry under but my planned prep for the Spotlight is done. List locked and I managed for the first time ever to get to Mythic. It was a pain with BO3 but at least I have a half decent plan against the mirror and against monoR. Shame the pilot is flawed.
October 29, 2025 at 12:47 PM
I need a shower to cry under but my planned prep for the Spotlight is done. List locked and I managed for the first time ever to get to Mythic. It was a pain with BO3 but at least I have a half decent plan against the mirror and against monoR. Shame the pilot is flawed.
My prep for Spotlight Liverpool:
Also - if you are going make sure to say hi.
Also - if you are going make sure to say hi.
October 28, 2025 at 5:44 PM
My prep for Spotlight Liverpool:
Also - if you are going make sure to say hi.
Also - if you are going make sure to say hi.
I should complain about how bad FNM packs are more often…
October 24, 2025 at 10:15 PM
I should complain about how bad FNM packs are more often…
I love the Limited Championship idea but.
When the system is in a bad state, fixing the top is not really what will solve the problem. Issues are at the local level. There is no rationale to buy a $500 Standard deck to win a $15 promo, or open a foil Purple Wurm in a promo pack.
When the system is in a bad state, fixing the top is not really what will solve the problem. Issues are at the local level. There is no rationale to buy a $500 Standard deck to win a $15 promo, or open a foil Purple Wurm in a promo pack.
October 22, 2025 at 1:41 PM
I love the Limited Championship idea but.
When the system is in a bad state, fixing the top is not really what will solve the problem. Issues are at the local level. There is no rationale to buy a $500 Standard deck to win a $15 promo, or open a foil Purple Wurm in a promo pack.
When the system is in a bad state, fixing the top is not really what will solve the problem. Issues are at the local level. There is no rationale to buy a $500 Standard deck to win a $15 promo, or open a foil Purple Wurm in a promo pack.