Simon Galle
@simongalle.bsky.social
1.9K followers 1.6K following 170 posts
🇧🇪 Economist interested in trade & development, technology, and labor market inequality. PhD UC Berkeley. Associate Prof at BI, Oslo. https://www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~sgalle/
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simongalle.bsky.social
New version of our paper "The Labor Market Impact of Technical Change: Inspecting the Mechanisms," with F. Carpena.

www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~sgalle/wp-c...

We present a stylized, tractable model on how occupation-specific technical change affects the wage distribution.
#EconSky
Reposted by Simon Galle
karakterasl.bsky.social
De #Nobelprijs #Economie ligt onder vuur. Critici stellen dat de prijs een misleidende autoriteit verleent aan een discipline die vaak ideologisch gekleurd is.

Lees het antwoord van prof. @simongalle.bsky.social (BI Norwegian Business School).

👉 www.tijdschriftkarakter.be/de-nobelprij...
Karakter
Tijdschrift van wetenschap biedt een etalage op recente vernieuwingen in de internationale wetenschap
www.tijdschriftkarakter.be
Reposted by Simon Galle
davidheniguk.bsky.social
One obvious part of Europe's Trump handling is not to give too much weight to each individual utterance, but to stop the US going completely off the rails. In the absence of a domestic version, arguably even "the adults in the room"
maxbergmann.bsky.social
I don’t understand the framing of this Politico story at all. Trump’s post is saying Europe is strong enough to back Ukraine on its own…. US is out, hence he closes with “Good luck to all.” This ain’t good.

www.politico.eu/article/dona...
Trump’s apparent U-turn on Ukraine cheers Europeans amid deeper skepticism about US policy
Elation over Trump’s pro-Ukraine post vied with doubts that he will ever follow through with tougher action against Russia.
www.politico.eu
simongalle.bsky.social
BI is hiring PhD candidates in economics.

We offer:
- a friendly and collegial department
- strong faculty support during your PhD
- access to very rich Norwegian microdata
- a competitive salary
- a strong track record in PhD placements.

Please share #EconSky 🙏🙏

bi.easycruit.com/vacancy/3539...
Handelshøyskolen BI Programområdet - Doktorgrad - PhD Candidate in Economics
PhD Candidate in Economics
bi.easycruit.com
simongalle.bsky.social
This matter-of-fact letter is straightforward and non-partisan.

It is more informative on the "Trump vs. Cook" case than most of the press coverage I have seen about it.
tderyugina.bsky.social
Over 125 economists signed the open letter calling on the President, Congress, and the American public to uphold the principles of Federal Reserve independence and not remove Lisa Cook without due process.

There's still time to sign! And please share.

#EconSky

docs.google.com/document/d/1...
Open letter
Click here to add your signature. An Open Letter from Economists in Support of Governor Lisa Cook and Federal Reserve Independence To the President, Members of Congress, and the American public: We wr...
docs.google.com
simongalle.bsky.social
"Dag na dag ontvouwt zich in Gaza een van de grootste en grofste misdaden tegen de menselijkheid van onze tijd...

De waarheid is dat Europa wel degelijk hefbomen heeft om Israël onder druk te zetten om dit bloedvergieten te stoppen en zijn doelstellingen aan de onderhandelingstafel te bereiken."
Reposted by Simon Galle
laurentfranckx.bsky.social
I was already an adult when I first heard that the French and the British continued their blockade of Germany after the armistice of 11 November 1918 until the Treaty of Versailles was signed, and that this lead to hundreds of thousands of death from starvation. I remained convinced that this /
Reposted by Simon Galle
arindube.bsky.social
After a remarkable stretch when wage inequality fell substantially, wage growth at the bottom is now once again falling behind growth at the top.

This is bad news for working class Americans.

t.co/1hp5EE9up5
Reposted by Simon Galle
danielzhao.bsky.social
Wow, weak July #jobsreport. Headline a touch softer than expectations, but real surprise is huge downward revisions to May & June.

-Payrolls grew just 73,000, below expectations
-Surprisingly large downward revisions to May (+144k to +19k) and Jun (+147k to +14k)
-Unemp up to 4.2%

#NumbersDay 1/
Reposted by Simon Galle
ygorodnichenko.bsky.social
Please submit your papers to the series!

#EconSky #UkrainianView #Ukraine
econ4ua.bsky.social
📢Econ4UA is launching a working paper series on Ukraine-related issues! The first paper will be “A HIMARS in the Hand is Worth Two in the Bush: Measuring the Real Economic Value of U.S. Support for Ukraine.”

Read more: tinyurl.com/wp-series

Submit a paper: tinyurl.com/cfp-form

#EconSky
Working Paper Series – Economists for Ukraine
tinyurl.com
Reposted by Simon Galle
johnmclaren.bsky.social
The big question for LLM’s is not “will they revolutionize life” or “will they take our jobs?” It’s “who will benefit and who will lose.” It’s a very tricky question, and this paper is a careful attempt to work out the subtle mechanisms. Spoiler: Most of the cost is borne by white-collar types.
simongalle.bsky.social
New version of our paper "The Labor Market Impact of Technical Change: Inspecting the Mechanisms," with F. Carpena.

www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~sgalle/wp-c...

We present a stylized, tractable model on how occupation-specific technical change affects the wage distribution.
#EconSky
simongalle.bsky.social
At least I've learned a lot from writing this paper.

Colleagues have also recommended its pedagogical qualities, so hopefully it's insightful for others as well.

Thanks for reading.🙏
simongalle.bsky.social
Granted, the ideas in our analysis are not novel.

In my view, our contribution lies in integrating these fundamental forces on the labor demand and labor supply side in an elegant, concise, and transparent framework.
simongalle.bsky.social
Example: administrative assistants may be displaced from their job due to AI. Whether that affects their eventual wage outcomes, depends on how transferable their skills are to other jobs.
simongalle.bsky.social
Second, the reallocation elasticity (kappa) regulates the magnitude of the wage changes.

When labor reallocation is very elastic, differences in equilibrium wage changes are small.

When labor reallocation is inelastic, we get the highest possible wage differences.
simongalle.bsky.social
Example: AI may take over (some) coding tasks, but demand for programmers may still increase if the increase in overall demand for IT services offsets the decline in programmer demand for a given IT output.
simongalle.bsky.social
Note that when machines substitute workers in production (sigma >1), the wage impact for workers can still be positive if there is a sufficiently strong response in final demand.
simongalle.bsky.social
First, (sigma - psi), the difference between the input substitution and final demand elasticities, regulate whether workers and machines are gross substitutes or complements and thereby the sign of the wage changes.
simongalle.bsky.social
The model has 3 key elasticities: the input substitution elasticity (sigma), the final demand elasticity (psi), and the labor reallocation elasticity (kappa).

Proposition 1 explains how cost shocks translate into wage changes as a function of these three elasticities.
simongalle.bsky.social
Referees have so far compared the first paper of our paper to a "textbook exposition." Since our type of model is underutilized in economics, I'll take that as a complement :).
simongalle.bsky.social
New version of our paper "The Labor Market Impact of Technical Change: Inspecting the Mechanisms," with F. Carpena.

www.ocf.berkeley.edu/~sgalle/wp-c...

We present a stylized, tractable model on how occupation-specific technical change affects the wage distribution.
#EconSky