Steven Seegel
@stevenseegel.bsky.social
4K followers 1.8K following 1.4K posts
professor & associate chair of Slavic and Eurasian Studies at the University of Texas at Austin, dog lover, slow marathon runner, opinions mine
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Reposted by Steven Seegel
kyivindependent.com
⚡️Ukrainian journalist Roshchyna died in Russian custody in September 2024, investigation finds.

Viktoriia Roshchyna disappeared in August 2023 while reporting in Russian-occupied territories. Russian authorities confirmed her detention the following year.
Ukrainian journalist Roshchyna died in Russian custody in September 2024, investigation finds
Viktoriia Roshchyna disappeared in August 2023 while reporting in Russian-occupied territories. Russian authorities confirmed her detention the following year.
kyivindependent.com
Reposted by Steven Seegel
phillipspobrien.bsky.social
Very interesting. Trump seems to finally be getting intelligence that Russia is not doing well and Ukraine has actually started to gain an upper hand in some areas. The narrative of Ukraine failure, which was always overblown, might be ending in Washington.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
kyivindependent.com
⚡️Update: 1 killed, 13 injured in large-scale Russian missile, drone attack on Ukrainian cities.

In Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, regional Governor Serhii Lysak reported that one person was killed and 13 others injured amid the large-scale attack on the country.
1 killed, 13 injured in large-scale Russian missile, drone attack on Ukrainian cities
Russia launched a large-scale missile and drone attack on Ukrainian cities overnight on Sept. 20, killing at least one person and injuring 13 others, officials reported.
kyivindependent.com
Reposted by Steven Seegel
phillipspobrien.bsky.social
The US ceased to be a reliable NATO ally on January 20, 2025. The last week has simply made that undeniable. The only question now is whether European leaders accept it.

The USA will not now defend Europe from Russia. That is reality. Everything else is hopes and dreams.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
kyivindependent.com
⚡️Ukraine reportedly strikes oil refinery in Russia's Saratov Oblast, explosions reported deep inside Russia.

Ukrainian drones reportedly struck an oil refinery in the Russian city of Saratov overnight on Sept. 20, Russian Telegram media channels reported, citing resident accounts.
Ukraine reportedly strikes oil refinery in Russia's Saratov Oblast, explosions reported deep inside Russia
Ukrainian drones reportedly struck an oil refinery in the Russian city of Saratov overnight on Sept. 20, Russian Telegram media channels reported, citing resident accounts.
kyivindependent.com
Reposted by Steven Seegel
tendar.bsky.social
Not only the Saratov refinery, which produces annually over 7 million tons in oil products, was hit by Ukrainian drones last night, but also the Novokuybyshevsk refinery in the Samara region, Russia, the latter producing 7.9 million tons in oil products, annually.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
shekhovtsov.substack.com
Against the backdrop of Russian jets violating the airspace of Estonia and Poland earlier today, I find it odd that so many sensible people, including Lithuania’s Defence Minister, invoke Turkey’s response to a Russian attack aircraft in 2015. 1/7
stevenseegel.bsky.social
In which case, my liberal arts college could learn a lot from you ;)
stevenseegel.bsky.social
I'm sensing a need to add "power, money, and corruption" to course titles
Reposted by Steven Seegel
efinkel.bsky.social
I have heard this view many times and interestingly, I am hearing it more now than in the past. Often it is little more than a convenient excuse to sit back and do nothing. Even when it isn't, the distance from here to complacency is short. "Kyiv in 3 days" is history but Russia might as well win
united24media.com
⚡️ Kellogg: Russia is in fact losing this war.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
kyivindependent.com
⚡️Zelensky calls for tougher US sanctions, warns Russian drone strikes on Poland are 'Putin’s war.'

Zelensky remarks come days after Russian drones violated Polish airspace and were shot down in what marked the first known instance of NATO forces directly engaging Russian aerial assets.
Zelensky calls for tougher US sanctions, warns Russian drone strikes on Poland are 'Putin’s war'
Zelensky remarks come days after Russian drones violated Polish airspace and were shot down in what marked the first known instance of NATO forces directly engaging Russian aerial assets during the fu...
kyivindependent.com
Reposted by Steven Seegel
kyivindependent.com
⚡️Romania scrambles jets, Poland closes airport over Russian drone alerts.

"Russian military personnel know exactly where their drones are headed and how long they can stay in the air," Volodymyr Zelensky said, commenting on the attacks. "This cannot be an accident.”
Romania scrambles jets, Poland closes airport over Russian drone alerts
"Russian military personnel know exactly where their drones are headed and how long they can stay in the air," President Volodymyr Zelensky said, commenting on the attacks. "The routes are always calc...
kyivindependent.com
Reposted by Steven Seegel
kyivindependent.com
⚡️'This is just the beginning' — Pro-Ukrainian partisans claim strike on Russian air defense factory.

Communications were disabled after a strike on an air defense factory in the Russian city of Tula, the pro-Ukrainian Atesh partisan group claimed on Sept. 11.
'This is just the beginning' — Pro-Ukrainian partisans claim strike on Russian air defense factory
Communications were disabled after a strike on an air defense factory in the Russian city of Tula, the pro-Ukrainian Atesh partisan group claimed.
kyivindependent.com
Reposted by Steven Seegel
phillipspobrien.bsky.social
Latest in @theatlantic.com . The Russian deliberate attack on Poland (and thats what it was) should have been easy for NATO to handle. However the alliance failed--and the reasons why show just how dysfunctional it has become.
theatlantic.com
The incursion of “Russian drones into Poland overnight were a test of NATO’s capabilities”—and NATO flunked, Phillips Payson O’Brien writes.
Russia Tested NATO in Poland. NATO Flunked.
A drone incursion shows the limits of an alliance without America at its head.
bit.ly
Reposted by Steven Seegel
michaelmackay.bsky.social
Russia attacked Poland with 19 Shahed and Gerbera drones costing around $35,000 each.

Four of the drones were shot down with AIM-120C-7 missiles, each costing over $1 million.

Given Poland and NATO refuse to recognize they're at war, the battle advantage lies with Russia.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
maks23.bsky.social
🤡 Russia has demanded that Poland immediately reopen checkpoints on the Polish-Belarusian border.

😵‍💫 Zakharova called the decision to close the checkpoint “destructive” and warned Poland of “serious damage.”
Reposted by Steven Seegel
thestudyofwar.bsky.social
NEW: Russian drones violated Polish airspace on the night of September 9 to 10 in what NATO and European officials have suggested was an intentional Russian incursion.

Read the full update: isw.pub/UkrWar091025
Reposted by Steven Seegel
shekhovtsov.substack.com
The Russian drone attack on Poland has created an extremely sensitive situation. Some groups within Poland may push to trigger Article 4 of the NATO treaty, which would mean requesting Alliance-wide consultations on the country’s security concerns. 1/7
Reposted by Steven Seegel
kyivindependent.com
⚡️ Update: NATO activates Article 4 after Russian drones entered Polish airspace, Warsaw says.

Article 4 of the NATO treaty allows member states to request consultations with the allies if they believe their security has been threatened, without triggering a military response.
NATO activates Article 4 after Russian drones entered Polish airspace, Warsaw says
Article 4 of the NATO treaty allows member states to request consultations with the allies if they believe their security has been threatened, without triggering a military response.
kyivindependent.com
Reposted by Steven Seegel
michaelmackay.bsky.social
The Union State of Russia and Belarus carried out a pre-planned armed attack on Poland.

Because Poland and NATO do not recognize last night's assault with drones to be an act of war, this engagement must be regarded as a victory for the russian terrorist state.
Reposted by Steven Seegel
phillipspobrien.bsky.social
So if Russia did not attack Poland last night--can we say the Russians launched a special military operation against Poland? That cant offend anyone right....
Reposted by Steven Seegel
efinkel.bsky.social
Today, millions of people suddenly discovered, to their astonishment, that the North Atlantic Treaty also has articles 1 to 4. Thanks to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation for their educational efforts
Reposted by Steven Seegel
stevenseegel.bsky.social
Russian drones attacked Poland, a NATO country. Are we just supposed to spin this story some other way?