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Reposted by Thom Volker

Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 9d

Cool stuff!

Florian van Leeuwen and I implemented a prediction function in the #mice package that allows the incorporation of missing data uncertainty in a prediction interval.

The `predict_mi()` function is available in the current development version: github.com/amices/mice

#Rstats #statsky

Image of R code. To reproduce:

library(ggplot2)
library(dplyr)

library(mice, warn.conflicts = FALSE)

imp <- mice(nhanes, m = 5, maxit = 5, seed = 1,
ignore = rep(c(FALSE, TRUE), c(20, 5)),
print = FALSE)

impdats <- complete(imp, "all")

train <- lapply(impdats, function(dat) subset(dat, !imp$ignore))
test <- lapply(impdats, function(dat) subset(dat, imp$ignore))

fits <- lapply(train, function(dat) lm(age ~ bmi + hyp + chl, data = dat))
preds <- predict_mi(object = fits, newdata = test, pool = TRUE, interval = "prediction")

preds

preds %>%
as.data.frame() %>%
mutate(case = 1:nrow(preds),
y = test[[1]]$age) %>%
ggplot(aes(x = fit, y = case, col = rowSums(is.na(nhanes[imp$ignore,]))>0)) +
geom_point() +
geom_errorbar(aes(xmin = lwr, xmax = upr)) +
theme_minimal() +
scale_color_manual(values = mice::mdc(1:2), labels = c("observed", "missing")) +
theme(legend.title = element_blank(),
legend.position = "bottom") +
labs(x = "prediction",
title = "Pooled prediction intervals")

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Reposted by Thom Volker

Mare @mareonline.nl · 1d

Politici lijken zelf niet meer te snappen hoe de parlementaire democratie werkt, betoogt Ruud Koole. Vanavond houdt de politicoloog ‘een pleidooi voor historisch institutioneel besef en constitutionele geletterdheid’.
www.mareonline.nl/achtergrond/...

Politici weten niet meer hoe het heurt. Ruud Koole pleit voor ‘constitutionele geletterdheid’

Politici lijken zelf niet meer te snappen hoe de parlementaire democratie werkt, betoogt Ruud Koole. Dinsdagavond houdt de politicoloog ‘een pleidooi voor historisch institutioneel besef en constituti...

www.mareonline.nl

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Reposted by Thom Volker

Jessica Hullman @jessicahullman.bsky.social · 1d

Looking forward to talking about our work on the value of explanation for decision-making at this workshop

Gunnar König @gunnark.bsky.social · 1d

Interested in provable guarantees and fundamental limitations of XAI? Join us at the "Theory of Explainable AI" workshop Dec 2 in Copenhagen! @ellis.eu @euripsconf.bsky.social

Speakers: @jessicahullman.bsky.social @doloresromerom.bsky.social @tpimentel.bsky.social

Call for Contributions: Oct 15

Theory of XAI Workshop

Explainable AI (XAI) is now deployed across a wide range of settings, including high-stakes domains in which misleading explanations can cause real harm. For example, explanations are required by law ...

sites.google.com

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 1d

Both can hold simultaneously? But it's Dutch indeed!

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Reposted by Thom Volker

Klaus Pforr @klauspforr.bsky.social · 1d

"emerging literature" == i presented once at a conference
"recent research" == two papers and one blog post
"research tradition" == everything in my zotero folder
At least, that's what I was told

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 1d

For all things related to R, I find it as intuitive as RStudio, with the addition that it's very easy to mix in python when needed. There are quite some handy tricks implemented, like the thing with color codes or creating github issues from "TODO"s in markdown in a single click.

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Reposted by Thom Volker

Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 1d

Click on the title of the picker and it’ll switch between hex, RGB, and HSL!

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 1d

How cool is this?! Positron opens a HTML color picker when typing a HTML color in your script.

#RStats #dataviz

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Reposted by Thom Volker

Adrian Weckler @adrianweckler.bsky.social · 2d

“Littered with errors including three nonexistent academic references and a made-up quote from a Federal Court judgement.”

Deloitte issues refund to (Aus) government for using AI in $440k report

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 1d

No pets for you I guess?

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 1d

Die gelijkenis is inderdaad treffend!

Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 1d

DOGE got nothing on this.

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 1d

Ja, ik denk dat dat, verdrietig genoeg, inderdaad is wat veel mannen willen. Het onderstaande fragment maakt een vergelijkbaar punt. Bizar dat de emancipatie eerder achteruit gaat dan verbetert.

Brooke Harrington @ebharrington.bsky.social · 5d

This is perhaps the ultimate expression of the phenomenon feminist theorist Marilyn Frye described 50yrs ago: that many self-proclaimed heterosexual men neither like nor desire women.
This is why the bros invented RealDolls & now AI "actresses:" they want femininity, not human beings who are women.

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Reposted by Thom Volker

Joppe does stuff @joppe.bsky.social · 2d

Meneer die denkt dat iedereen z'n profielfoto in hoge resolutie wilt om boven hun bed te hangen noemt 250.000 andere mensen een narcist.

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 1d

Ik vraag me altijd vooral af of deze mannen een partner willen of een soort assistent die het huishouden runt

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Reposted by Thom Volker

GroenLinks-PvdA @groenlinks-pvda.bsky.social · 7d

Wij zéggen niet alleen dat we wonen prioriteit maken, we investeren er groot in.

We nemen het heft in eigen hand, doorbreken de stilstand en we gaan bouwen voor de sociale meerderheid.

We hebben dit eerder gedaan. En we kunnen het opnieuw.

#SamenVooruit

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 2d

On LLM's

Frames @oxinabox.bsky.social · 3d

"it might be conscious but unable to express it! You can't know."
O-kay... That sounds like you are trying to argue for existence of a soul. Why have you never argued this for animals or other objects that didn't have multibillion dollar marketing campaigns?

1

Reposted by Thom Volker

Aki Vehtari @avehtari.bsky.social · 2d

I'm looking for a doctoral student with Bayesian background to work on Bayesian workflow and cross-validation (see my publication list users.aalto.fi/~ave/publica... for my recent work) at Aalto University.

Apply through the ELLIS PhD program (dl October 31) ellis.eu/news/ellis-p...

ELLIS PhD Program: Call for Applications 2025

The ELLIS mission is to create a diverse European network that promotes research excellence and advances breakthroughs in AI, as well as a pan-European PhD program to educate the next generation of AI...

ellis.eu

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Reposted by Thom Volker

Wonkish @wonkish.bsky.social · 3d

Interesting use of the passive voice you've got there, CNN..

Angry goose meme where in the first panel the goose says "“Adults and children alike were pulled from their Chicago apartments" then in the second panel the goose is chasing the person angrily saying "WHO PULLED THEM, CNN?".

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Reposted by Thom Volker

Follow the Money @ftm.nl · 3d

De Nederlandse rechtspraak lijkt onafhankelijk, maar achter de schermen heeft de minister van Justitie opvallend veel macht. En dat is een gevaarlijke kwetsbaarheid in ons systeem, waarschuwt hoogleraar en advocaat Jonathan Soeharno in gesprek met FTM. www.ftm.nl/artikelen/on...

Onze rechtsstaat is niet op het gevaar van autocratie voorbereid, zegt deze hoogleraar rechtspleging

Hoogleraar rechtspleging Jonathan Soeharno maakt zich grote zorgen over de rechtspraak in Nederland. Zo heeft de minister van Justitie en Veiligheid veel te veel macht bij benoemingen en neemt het ver...

www.ftm.nl

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 4d

Well, this constrains my ideas substantially already

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 4d

Does the topic matter?

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Reposted by Thom Volker

Andrew Heiss @andrew.heiss.phd · 4d

If you've ever wanted to learn how to make beautiful websites with #QuartoPub and #rstats , check out this workshop I'm giving in a couple weeks! It'll be a blast (and we're covering Quarto's brand new _brand dot yaml system!)

Statistical Horizons @stathorizons.bsky.social · 20d

Learn to create and publish a professional, data-focused website in “Create an Online Presence with Quarto Websites” on October 16-17, with @andrew.heiss.phd‬! Discover how to use #Quarto to build a variety of websites like personal portfolios, research compendiums, and interactive dashboards.

Quarto Websites | Online Seminar | Code Horizons

This online course taught by Andrew Heiss, Ph.D., teaches you how to use Quarto to build a variety of data-focused websites.

codehorizons.com

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Thom Volker @thomvolker.bsky.social · 4d

ffs

Andrew Couts @couts.bsky.social · 5d

NEW: ICE is planning to hire a team of nearly 30 people to surveil social media 24/7, build dossiers on people, and flag them for arrest and deportation. @dell.bsky.social has the scoop: www.wired.com/story/ice-so...

ICE Wants to Build Out a 24/7 Social Media Surveillance Team

Documents show ICE plans to hire dozens of contractors to scan X, Facebook, TikTok, and other platforms to target people for deportation.

www.wired.com

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Reposted by Thom Volker

Brooke Harrington @ebharrington.bsky.social · 5d

This is perhaps the ultimate expression of the phenomenon feminist theorist Marilyn Frye described 50yrs ago: that many self-proclaimed heterosexual men neither like nor desire women.
This is why the bros invented RealDolls & now AI "actresses:" they want femininity, not human beings who are women.

1 20 80