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Bryan Lawrence

@atmbnl.bsky.social

410 followers 230 following 21 posts

Prof of Weather and Climate Computing, UK National Centre for Atmospheric Science and University of Reading. Expat kiwi. Walker. Currently mainly at @[email protected]

Videos

Environmental science 31%

Computer science 30%

Posts Media Videos Starter Packs

Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

John Kennedy @micefearboggis.bsky.social · Sep 28

Let the datas speek

diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2023/09/28/l...

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Robert “The Bobby Yaga” McNees @mcnees.bsky.social · Jan 22

A thread on Felix Klein, Emmy Noether, and credit where credit is due.

Felix Klein gave a lecture at the Mathematical Society of Göttingen #OTD in 1918. The title was “On Hilbert’s first note on the foundations of physics." 🧪 ⚛️ 👩‍🔬

Black and white photo of Felix Klein. He wears a dark jacket, white shirt with a high collar, and a thin black bow tie. Klein has a neat, short beard and his hair is parted on the far right. He is looking just to the right of and slightly above the photographer, with a serious and thoughtful expression on his face.

Black and white photo of Emmy Noether. She wears a white blouse with fine vertical stripes and puffy shoulders, and a light gray skirt fastened at the waist with a dark belt. There is a puffy black bow at her collar. Noether's dark hair is pulled back, and she is looking just down and to the right of the photographer. She is standing behind an ornate chair; only the back of the chair is visible in the photo.

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · Jan 22

I am heartily sick of getting invitations to important meetings with strategic implications with only two or three weeks warning. It’s like people think we are sitting with empty diaries desperate to prioritise their meeting!

NERC, UKSA I’m looking at you!

Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · Jan 5

I cancelled mine for your country last year, so I too regret I can do nothing useful this time!

Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Stephan Lewandowsky @lewan.bsky.social · Jan 4

Pre-emptive obedience everywhere ... I am curious to know if even Hitler or Putin had a ride this easy? (Serious question, and I don't know the answer). What happened to en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Home_of... ?

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence, Philippe Huneman, Brian Medeiros , and 5 more Bryan Lawrence, Philippe Huneman, Brian Medeiros, Ksenia Chmutina, Dirk Richter, Drew B. Winters, Jasmin Siri, Dario Taraborelli

Arthur Gessler @arthurobuntspecht.bsky.social · Dec 22

Researchers spend approximately 45% of their time on administrative activities related to #grants rather than actual #research. The current #competition in research #funding has significant drawbacks; evidence-based improvements of the funding system are required: www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

The costs of competition in distributing scarce research funds | PNAS

Research funding systems fundamentally influence how science operates. This paper aims to analyze the allocation of competitive research funding fr...

www.pnas.org

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · Jan 3

“Scenarios are not forecasts because they are not aiming to be accurate, but to be useful”

My one foray into the epidemiological literature ended up in our paper being rejected precisely because the reviewers (and the editor) did not understand the distinction between a scenario and a forecast!

Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Prof. Eliot Jacobson @climatecasino.net · Jan 2

Bravo Sabine!

Must watch:

www.youtube.com/watch?v=P6EM...

Climate Scientists are Very Confused.

YouTube video by Sabine Hossenfelder

www.youtube.com

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Alaa Al Khourdajie @dralaaclimate.bsky.social · Jan 1

Climate scientists be like..

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Jonathan @renewableenergy.bsky.social · Jan 1

Ooohhhh, climate change is real when a golf course is involved but not when 8 billion lives are.

Got it.

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence, Dawn R. Bazely

Michael E. Mann @michaelemann.bsky.social · Dec 31

"A Triple Threat to Humanity: Climate Change, Pandemics, and Anti-Science" | My new article with Peter Hotez in #SkepticalInquirer: skepticalinquirer.org/2024/12/a-tr...

A Triple Threat to Humanity: Climate Change, Pandemics, and Anti-Science | Skeptical Inquirer

Over the past decade, many of us in the scientific community have come to appreciate the existential threat we face today—a threat unlike any we’ve witnesse ...

skepticalinquirer.org

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Kevin Pluck @kevpluck.bsky.social · Dec 31

72% of polio cases are asymptomatic.
24% get a sore throat or fever.
1-5% headache and neck stiffness (meningitis).
0.1–0.5% paralysis.

Can you imagine the internet with a polio epidemic where >99.5% of people are totally fine?

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Keith Edwards @keithedwards.bsky.social · Dec 25

This one wins

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Andy Reisinger @andyreisinger.bsky.social · Dec 24

Come work at He Pou A Rangi, New Zealand's Climate Change Commission, as General Manager, Evidence and Advice. This leadership role will steer the Commission's multi-year work programme providing independent advice and monitoring of climate action.

centralagenciesjobs.cass.govt.nz/jobdetails/a...

Screenshot of the He Pou A Rangi Climate Change Commission's vacancies web page. "Work with us. Be part of a game-changing organisation."

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

John Cook @johnfocook.bsky.social · Dec 18

The psychological challenge of climate change - our brains are hard-wired to respond to immediate threats, not a slow-motion disaster happening at a global scale (and that's not even considering the tsunami of misinformation hitting us every day).

Cartoon #1: What we're built for... A bear jumps out of a bush, a man cries "oh no, a bear!" Cartoon #2: What we face now... A graph jumps out of a bush, a bored man says "oh, a graph."

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Climate Dad @climatedad.bsky.social · Dec 14

“Farmers are driven to poor practice by the pressure to increase short-term yields.”

Add soil salinity to the long list of reasons why our food system is teetering on collapse.

Building this system around shareholder profit, rather than feeding people, may well be humanity’s greatest mistake.

Global food production at increased risk from excess salt in soil, UN report warns

Scientists say climate crisis and poor agricultural practices to blame with serious implications for crop yields

www.theguardian.com

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · Dec 11

Kudos to Australia for having an Earth System Science plan … which is in part about prediction, which is good, since they seem to have launched it next year

Screenshot of the launch sep page which states: The Australian Academy of Science and the National Committee for Earth System Science launched the Decadal Plan for Australian Earth System Science on Monday 25 November 2025.

Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

ESM2025 @esm2025.bsky.social · Dec 11

Anyone interested in #climatepolicy out there?

Take 2 min to watch/read below how we're building the next generation of #EarthSystemModels and Integrated Assessment Models tailored to inform mitigation strategies in support of achieving the goals of the Paris Agreement.👇https://bit.ly/ESM2025video

ESM2025 EU research project

This is the presentation video of ESM2025 EU research project on Earth system model development.ESM2025 is a European research project on Earth System modell...

www.youtube.com

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · Dec 10

(Sorry, the alt text is truncated, but suffice to say there is a long list of stuff which is all very nice, but doesn’t fit my definition of sustainability.). Reinforces my already low impression of the value of these things!

Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · Dec 10

Another set of bogus university rankings came out today (I think). They have sustainability ratings. Great, I think. Then I look at them, and I go, “What? Huh?” Then I look up the weightings. Their definition of sustainable is not mine!

Indicator,Weight
EE1 - Academic Reputation in Earth & Environment,10%
EE2 - Alumni Impact for Environmental Sustainability - Public and Third Sector,4%
EE3 - Climate Science and/or Sustainability Courses,3%
ER1 - Research Impact on SDGs for Sustainable Research,9%
ER2 - Sustainable Research National Statistics,1%
ER3 - Research Center with an Environmental Sustainability Focus,2%
ER4 - Policy Citations (Environmental),1%
ES1 - Alumni Impact for Innovation,5%
ES2 - Member of an officially recognised sustainable group,1%
ES3 - Climate change commitment (staff perception),2%
ES4 - Publicly available strategy or policy on sustainable procurement and investment,1%
ES5 - Student Society focused on Environmental Sustainability,1%
ES6 - Net Zero Commitment,1%
ES7 - Emissions Efficiency,1%
ES8 - Renewables Generated Onsite,1%
ES9 - Progress Towards Target,1%
ES10 - Policy on Climate Strategy,1%
EO1 - Employer Reputation,3%
EO2 - Research Impact on SDGs for Employment and Opportunities,4%
EO4 - Employment and Opportunities National Statistics,1%
EO5 - Partnerships with Industry,2%
EO6 - Skills Satisfaction ,1%
EQ1 - Research Impact on SDG's for Equality,4%
EQ2 - Student Gender Ratio,1%
EQ3 - Faculty Gender Ratio,1%
EQ4 - Women in Leadership Ratio,1%
"EQ5 - Equality, Diversity and Inclusion policy",1%
EQ6 - Academic Equality (Staff View),2%
EQ7 - Disability Support,1%
EQ8 - Equality National Statistics,1%
HW1 - Research Impact of SDGs for Health and Wellbeing ,3%
HW2 - Health Provision on Campus,1%
HW3 - Health and Wellbeing National Statistics,1%
IE1 - Research Impact on SDGs for Education,3%
IE2 - Academic Reputation for Impact of Education,1%
IE3 - Alumni Impact for Education,1%
IE4 - Academic Freedom Index,1%
IE5 - Impact of Education National Statistics,1%
KE1 - Knowledge Exchange: Progress / Dissemination,6%
KE2 - Outreach and Community Engagement,1%
KE3 - Staff perception,2%
KE4 - Policy Citations (Social),1%
GG1 - Ethics Cultu…

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Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · Dec 8

Then of course there’s are DSLs!

Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · Dec 8

I’m not sure that’s true! Some vendors are hand in glove with some modelling groups trying to address this sort of thing.

Bryan Lawrence @atmbnl.bsky.social · Dec 8

You just don’t remember! It was a requirement before you got your first cows milk!

Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Prof. Sonia I Seneviratne @soniaseneviratne.bsky.social · Dec 8

The regional climate sensitivity of ESMs (dXreg/dTglob) is found to be mostly independent from the ESMs' global climate sensitivity (dTglob/dCO2). Hence "hot models" can be used to derive regional climate changes as function of global warming
See also:
agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Peter Gleick @petergleick.bsky.social · Dec 8

We call it Earth only because we're land dwellers. This image shows how massive the Pacific Ocean is, covering 1/3 of the Earth's surface.
This cloudless image of the Earth centered on the Pacific was produced by NOAA satellites, which took photos over eleven ten-day periods and merged them.

A cloudless satellite image of the Earth, centred on the Pacific Ocean. Only ocean is visible over the entire disk except for a glimpse of Australia bottom left and a hint of North America top right with the Arctic ice cap visible at the top.

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

NinjaKitty 忍者キティ🥷🐈‍⬛ @ninjakitty.bsky.social · Dec 8

Absolute class from @slanecartoon.bsky.social in the #NZListener

Image shows a genius cartoon by Chris Slane showing The Gas-Powered Trolley Problem where a trolley named Climate Change is charging down the track towards a fat cat gas & oil executive sitting with a cigar and a bullhorn on one track, crying “Yes, yes, SAVE ME! I’m facing an existential crisis.”, and a bunch of kiwi tied to another track. Shane Jones is running to a track switch called “subsidies” saying to the executive “I’ll save you.”
In the Listener, Dec 14-20, 2024

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

doy.bsky.social @doy.bsky.social · Dec 8

John, wait until you find out trees aren't real eukaryotewritesblog.com/2021/05/02/t...

There’s no such thing as a tree (phylogenetically)

Dendronization – Evolving into a tree-like morphology. (In the style of “carcinization”.) From ‘dendro’, the ancient Greek root for tree.

eukaryotewritesblog.com

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Marcus Chown @marcuschown.bsky.social · Nov 15

Dear BBC, please do not call anti-vaxxers “vaccine sceptics”. It implies there exists doubt about vaccines. 70-odd years ago we had large numbers of people paralysed or in iron lungs. We don’t see that today and for that we can thank the Salk vaccine.

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Brian J. Karem @briankarem.bsky.social · Dec 7

Okay. Someone has a sense of humor and has definitely heard him speak

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Reposted by Bryan Lawrence

Brent Toderian @brenttoderian.bsky.social · Dec 7

Don’t forget Valencia, Spain.

Don’t forget those who insisted that actions needed to avoid the #ClimateCrisis were “too expensive.”

Don’t forget all the record-breaking, historic or “100 year” events we’ve seen lately.

They’re not the “new normal.

It’s going to keep getting exponentially worse.

A Valencia street filled with crumpled and piled cars left behind after the record-breaking flooding.

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