Daniel Wincott
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danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott
@danielwincott.bsky.social
1.4K followers 180 following 230 posts

Academic @walesgovernance.bsky.social (Wales Governance Centre) and Cardiff University’s School of Law and Politics.

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Daniel Edward Wincott FLSW is the Blackwell Law and Society Chair at Cardiff Law School, a position he has held since September 2008.

Source: Wikipedia
Political science 78%
Law 6%
Posts Replies Media Videos

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

aoifemod.bsky.social
Aoife O'Donoghue @aoifemod.bsky.social · 1d
Me @ruthhoughton.bsky.social & Cher Weixia Chen co-edited a Handbook on Global Governance 📔

Some amazing scholars critically think what “global” & “governance” mean in & how ideologies shape institutions & frameworks that claim to address global challenges

1/4
www.e-elgar.com/shop/gbp/res...

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

paulnightingale.bsky.social
Paul Nightingale @paulnightingale.bsky.social · 1d
This 👇

Railways are large capital intensive infrastructure with very significant market failures - few things manage to be both natural monopolies and public goods with extensive externalities.

Ownership doesn't really change the fundamentals. Private monopolies and public monopolies same same..
stephenkb.bsky.social Stephen Bush @stephenkb.bsky.social · 1d
Essentially the best way to run a railway is for it to be owned by a development corporation, and then frankly whether that corporation is state owned or privately owned is sort of a much of a muchness:
The missing piece in Labour’s rail renationalisation scheme
Whether trains are public or private is not the deal-breaker for a well-functioning service — it is about a better delivery model
www.ft.com

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

walesgovernance.bsky.social
Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · 3d
“The glaring weaknesses of prisoners’ Welsh language rights also demand fresh consideration of the anomalous constitutional arrangements governing prisons in Wales. The only
common law country in the world to have its own legislature and executive without its own justice system.” 1/2
Commissioner to investigate HM Prison and Probation Service
Stephen Price The Welsh Language Commissioner has announced that an investigation will be conducted to consider how HM Prison and Probation Service implements its Welsh language scheme following claim...
nation.cymru

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

paulnightingale.bsky.social
Paul Nightingale @paulnightingale.bsky.social · 4d
Good journals are swamped with this stuff and lower tier journals struggle to get reviewers who can see through the methods section

It gets cited (a lot!) so editors who should know better let it through.

Reposted by Daniel Wincott, Paul Nightingale

sophieehill.bsky.social
Sophie E. Hill @sophieehill.bsky.social · 5d
🙋‍♀️ @paulnightingale.bsky.social me too!

I call it: "The "Nexus" Nexus" 😅

Recipe

🟢 Pick 1 econ var
🟢 Pick 2+ "green" vars
🟢 Pick 3+ methods (unit root, cointegration, Granger causality, GMM, ECM, FMOLS, PMG, PVAR, wavelet)
🟢 Misinterpret results
🟢 Make absurd policy recommendations

Rinse & repeat!
Pattern 1: “Nexus between X and Y” “Nexus Between Economic Policy Uncertainty and Green Growth in Brics Countries: Evidence from Panel Quantile Regression” “Nexus Between Energy Efficiency, Green Investment, Urbanization and Environmental Quality: Evidence from Mena Region” “The Nexus Between Digital Finance and Carbon Emissions: Evidence from China” Pattern 2: “Verb-ing the nexus” “Investigating the Nexus among Environmental Pollution, Economic Growth, Energy Use, and Foreign Direct Investment in 6 Selected Sub-Saharan African Countries” > “Mapping the Nexus Between Digital Transformation and the Green Brand in the Context of Achieving Sdgs” Pattern 3: Weird nexus bi-gram “Asymmetric Nexus among Financial Globalization, Non-Renewable Energy, Renewable Energy Use, Economic Growth, and Carbon Emissions: Impact on Environmental Sustainability Targets in India”

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 6d
Banana Monarchy

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 9d
Not the main point here, but I’m struck by this use of ‘policy wonk’ language.
adambienkov.bsky.social Adam Bienkov @adambienkov.bsky.social · 9d
Not everyone is unhappy about the Government's descent into anti-refugee politics

Reposted by Andrew Scott, Simon Wren‐Lewis, Ralf Martin , and 2 more

adambienkov.bsky.social
Adam Bienkov @adambienkov.bsky.social · 9d
Not everyone is unhappy about the Government's descent into anti-refugee politics

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

walesgovernance.bsky.social
Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · 13d
NEWYDD - Adroddiad gan @robdjones.bsky.social yn dadansoddi'r data diweddaraf ar garchardai a charchariad yng Nghymru 👇

NEW - Report from Dr Robert Jones analyses the latest data on prisons and imprisonment in Wales 👇 #Wales #Cymru #Senedd26
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-n...
Women in Wales are being jailed more often
Research has been carried out by a team at Cardiff University
www.walesonline.co.uk

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

walesgovernance.bsky.social
Wales Governance Centre | Canolfan Llywodraethiant Cymru @walesgovernance.bsky.social · 14d
Yn cynnwys ymchwil gan @jaclarner.bsky.social / Including research from Dr Jac Larner: #Senedd26 #Cymru #Wales
www.walesonline.co.uk/news/politic...
Conservative party adamant 'we're not irrelevant' in Wales after thumping
The party say not only did they lose votes to Nigel Farage's Reform UK, but an unexpected other party
www.walesonline.co.uk

Reposted by Will Jennings, Tim Bale, Ben Worthy , and 4 more

jaclarner.bsky.social
Jac Larner @jaclarner.bsky.social · 14d
🚨 NEW in @bjpols.bsky.social : When Partygate hit Westminster, trust in Scottish politicians increased. Our experiments reveal a "contrast effect" - scandals at one level can make the other look better by comparison. Who lost most trust in Westminster? Scottish unionists. Read now #OpenAccess 👇
Boris Johnson toasting one of the gatherings in Downing Street which breached Covid lockdown rules

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 17d
There is an important debate on the left about whether describing ‘Britain’ as ‘broken’ feeds the far(ageist) right. Folk need to take account of such prosaic realities as the longer term hollowing out of local govt capacity.
jenwilliamsft.bsky.social Jennifer Williams @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social · 17d
Meanwhile the officer corps - upon whom inexperienced politicians heavily rely to make budget decisions, for eg - is depleted, with low morale and increasing difficulty recruiting to the top statutory positions that carry the can for financial/legal failure (why do that when you can be an interim)

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

jenwilliamsft.bsky.social
Jennifer Williams @jenwilliamsft.bsky.social · 17d
Meanwhile the officer corps - upon whom inexperienced politicians heavily rely to make budget decisions, for eg - is depleted, with low morale and increasing difficulty recruiting to the top statutory positions that carry the can for financial/legal failure (why do that when you can be an interim)

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 20d
Come to find out how Gwyn Alf Williams and Tommy Cooper can both be quoted in one blog. Stay for excellent analysis of what the Caerphilly result might mean for Welsh Labour (the most successful political party in democratic history).
ccc-research.bsky.social Centre on Constitutional Change @ccc-research.bsky.social · 20d
New blog

Cracks in the Stonehenge of Welsh Politics: Caerphilly and Labour’s Future

Read @nyedavies.bsky.social on why the result in Caerphilly should act as a wake-up call to Welsh Labour, despite many in the party having warned against reading too much into the defeat

Read more: edin.ac/4949g0m

Reposted by Daniel Wincott, Davide Vampa

ccc-research.bsky.social
Centre on Constitutional Change @ccc-research.bsky.social · 20d
New blog

Cracks in the Stonehenge of Welsh Politics: Caerphilly and Labour’s Future

Read @nyedavies.bsky.social on why the result in Caerphilly should act as a wake-up call to Welsh Labour, despite many in the party having warned against reading too much into the defeat

Read more: edin.ac/4949g0m

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

robertsaunders.bsky.social
Robert Saunders @robertsaunders.bsky.social · 20d
I wonder if the people proposing this strategy have encountered the Brexit referendum, in which a government tried to stop an insurgent, Faragist movement focused on immigration by talking exclusively about economic risk.

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 25d
Emily Maitlis saying the quiet part out loud about Monarchy and the enforcement of the law. She said, in effect, that now Andrew is no longer a Prince, he can be investigated by the police in broadly the same way as ordinary people. (Radio 4 PM)

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 25d
These questions are complicated. Folk with a strong English national ID generally also identify strongly as British. Welsh born folk with a strong British ID are likely to skew ro authoritarianism.

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · 25d
Britishness means different things politically across the nations on GB (also in NI!). I’d expect folk born in Wales or Scotland who identify as British to skew towards authoritarianism. See our territorial analysis of Brexit vote choice: www.pure.ed.ac.uk/ws/portalfil...
www.pure.ed.ac.uk

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

richardwynjones.bsky.social
Richard Wyn Jones @richardwynjones.bsky.social · 25d
NEWYDD - @jaclarner.bsky.social a minnau ar Etholiad 2024 yng Nghymru

NEW - Jac Larner and myself on the 2024 UK GE in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿

2024 UK General Election in Wales url: academic.oup.com/pa/article-a...
The 2024 UK General Election in Wales
That Labour emerged victorious from the 2024 UK General Election in Wales must count among the least surprising political outcomes imaginable. It has, afte
academic.oup.com

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Oct 25
A devolved election in Wales is featuring prominently in UK-wide media. I wonder if a note has gone out to BBC English language journals not to say the word Senedd? The ‘Welsh Parliament’ , its ’official title’ in English, has more syllables. It’s ‘commonly known as the Senedd’.

senedd.wales
Senedd Cymru | Welsh Parliament
The Welsh Parliament is the democratically elected body that represents the interests of Wales and its people.
senedd.wales

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Oct 25
Quite right on the Westminster reporters caravan. But the underlying article is painfully miscuing its readers. As well as ignoring the Senedd election, drawing the conclusion that the next UK election will be a Labour-Reform contest is to turn your back to the future.

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

mimosacymru.bsky.social
Richard Martin @mimosacymru.bsky.social · Oct 25
Oh for f**k's sake, we would never have hyped a Caerphilly by-election if Reform weren't going to win it 🤣🤣
(h/t @richardwynjones.bsky.social )

www.thedailymash.co.uk/politics/oh-...
Oh for f**k's sake, we would never have hyped a Caerphilly by-election if Reform weren't going to win it
ARE you taking the f**king piss, Wales? You think we’d have bothered covering a by-election in bloody Caerphilly if Reform weren’t going to win?
www.thedailymash.co.uk

Reposted by Ben Worthy, Daniel Wincott

lauramcallister30.bsky.social
Laura McAllister @lauramcallister30.bsky.social · Oct 25
My take on the Caerffili by-election and the political state of play six months from the Senedd election: www.walesonline.co.uk/news/news-op...
The 2026 Senedd election will be the most competitive yet | Laura McAllister
The Caerphilly by-election was 'catastrophic' for Labour, 'convincing' for Plaid and signals 'a problem' for Reform. So what does this all mean ahead of next year's May polling day?
www.walesonline.co.uk

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

nation.cymru
NationCymru @nation.cymru · Oct 24
Tickets for Reform's UK's Welsh victory event are still available to buy online with Caerphilly by-election candidate Llŷr Powell booked as a guest speaker along with Lee Anderson who was active throughout the party's failed campaign ✍️ Emily Price
Tickets still available for Reform Caerphilly victory event
Emily Price  Tickets for Reform’s UK’s Welsh victory event are still available to buy online with Caerphilly candidate Llŷr Powell booked as a guest speaker along with Lee Anderson who was active thro...
nation.cymru

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Oct 24
Remarkable victory for Plaid Cymru. Expect lots of attention (rightly) on Labour’s collapse to 11% of the vote. How much attention will the Conservatives get for their 2%?

danielwincott.bsky.social
Daniel Wincott @danielwincott.bsky.social · Oct 24
*Conservatives 🫣

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

a-b-evans.bsky.social
Dr Adam Evans @a-b-evans.bsky.social · Oct 19
Coverage in @financialtimes.com of the Caerphilly Senedd by-election, featuring analysis from the Enron of Welsh political statistics, and friend of the gnomes of Zurich, @walesgovernance.bsky.social’s @jaclarner.bsky.social #senedd #devolution
Labour braces for defeat in Caerphilly by-election
Governing party faces potential loss of Senedd control amid Reform and Plaid Cymru surge in Welsh heartlands
on.ft.com

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

profrosiecamp.bsky.social
Rosie Campbell @profrosiecamp.bsky.social · Oct 10
@electoralstudies.bsky.social If you’re interested in academic studies of political polarisation we have loads of great papers at Electoral Studies. Check out this one by Joseph Phillips www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
Affective polarization and habits of political participation
Affective polarization, or relative dislike of opposing partisans, is associated with several negative outcomes for democracy. However, a number of st…
www.sciencedirect.com

Reposted by Daniel Wincott

gjdavies.bsky.social
Greg Davies @gjdavies.bsky.social · Oct 8
HMP Berwyn, the UK's largest prison, was once presented as an advance for the Welsh language.

@robdjones.bsky.social and I argue that it’s been a categorical failure by that measure, posing troubling questions for Welsh language rights more widely: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Rights, Pains and Illusions: The Experiences of Welsh‐Speakers at Wales’ ‘Flagship’ Prison
This article challenges claims of ‘inherent’ bilingualism in Wales’ largest prison, HMP Berwyn. Drawing on semi-structured interviews and extensive documentary research, we find that Welsh-speaking p...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com